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对话华东理工曾惠丹:日本一块布,如何卡住英伟达的“脖子”?中国做不出来吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 03:00
Core Viewpoint - The global demand for high-end electronic glass fiber cloth, essential for AI chips and printed circuit boards, is surging, leading to supply shortages and increased competition among major tech companies for procurement [5][10]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The high-end electronic glass fiber cloth market is dominated by Nitto Denko, which holds over 90% of the global market share, benefiting from a 40-year lead and strong patent protections [5][7]. - The rapid expansion of AI and big data is driving the demand for high-performance materials, creating a "supply chain war" among tech giants like Nvidia and Apple [5][11]. - The certification cycle for chip substrates typically lasts 2 to 3 years, making it difficult for top clients like Intel and Samsung to switch suppliers easily [6]. Group 2: Technical Barriers - The production of high-end glass fiber cloth involves significant technical barriers, including uniformity of fiber thickness, formulation technology, and stringent control over raw material purity [12][13]. - The manufacturing process requires high temperatures (up to 1650 degrees Celsius) and specialized equipment, which limits the number of potential competitors in the market [8][12]. Group 3: China's Position and Opportunities - China leads in the mid-to-low-end electronic glass fiber cloth market but has yet to establish stable mass production capabilities for high-end products [7][14]. - Recent technological breakthroughs in China indicate a positive long-term outlook for domestic production of high-end glass fiber cloth, although significant challenges remain until 2027 [14][15]. Group 4: Future Trends - The demand for high-end glass fiber cloth is expected to continue growing due to advancements in chip packaging technology and the expansion of applications in autonomous driving and industrial manufacturing [16][17]. - The current supply constraints are prompting support for new companies in the sector, suggesting a potential shift in competitive dynamics within the next five to six years [15].