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士兰微(600460):全球份额稳步提升,碳化硅上车加速推进
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-27 08:51
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company is expected to maintain steady growth with a projected revenue of 11.22 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.14%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to reach 2.52 billion yuan, a significant increase of 327.34% year-on-year [1] - The company is ranked sixth globally in power semiconductor market share, holding 3.3% of the market, and is the leading player in the domestic market [1] - The integrated circuit segment is anticipated to grow by 29% in 2024, with the IPM module revenue reaching 2.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47% [2] - The discrete device segment is projected to generate revenue of 5.44 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.53%, with a focus on high-value products for automotive and photovoltaic applications [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 11.22 billion yuan, up 20.14% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.52 billion yuan, up 327.34% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.7%, with a net profit of 145 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.96% [1] Segment Analysis - The integrated circuit segment's revenue in 2024 is expected to be 4.11 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 30.70%, up 1.23 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The discrete device segment's revenue is projected to be 5.44 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 13.53%, down 9.20 percentage points year-on-year [3] Profit Forecast - The net profit forecast for 2025 is 524 million yuan, with expected growth rates of 138.5% and 53.1% for 2026 and 2027, respectively [5] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve, with projections of 23% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [5]
第三代化合物半导体材料虚火过旺?碳化硅衬底产业暗含隐忧
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 01:32
Group 1 - The global N-type SiC substrate industry revenue is projected to decline by 9% in 2024, reaching $1.04 billion, primarily due to weakened demand in the automotive and industrial sectors, along with intensified market competition leading to significant price drops [2][3] - SiC, as a representative third-generation compound semiconductor material, is crucial in power electronic devices and is widely used in electric vehicles, photovoltaics, energy storage, industrial power supplies, and rail transportation [2] - The price of 6-inch SiC substrates has fallen below $500, approaching the manufacturers' cost line, due to the entry of Chinese companies into the market [2] Group 2 - Wolfspeed remains the most significant supplier in the SiC materials market with a 33.7% market share in 2024, while Chinese companies TanKeBlue and SICC hold the second and third positions with 17.3% and 17.1% market shares, respectively [5] - The aggressive pricing strategies of Chinese companies are disrupting the existing market structure, leading to concerns about increased internal competition and potential impacts on product quality [6][7] - The entire SiC device-related ecosystem is experiencing continuous capacity growth, raising concerns about the sustainability of the market dynamics [7] Group 3 - Silan Microelectronics has achieved a monthly production capacity of 9,000 pieces of 6-inch SiC MOS chips, with 50,000 units shipped to four domestic automotive manufacturers [9] - As the ecosystem improves, domestic companies are focusing on quality enhancement alongside competitive pricing, with Silan's 8-inch mini line achieving higher yield rates compared to the 6-inch line [9]