JPMorgan analysts say the recent crypto sell-off may be nearing its end, with inflows and outflows in Bitcoin ETFs starting to even out. Bitcoin is trading around $90,944 (up 2.6% over the past week), while Ethereum is near $3,100 (up over 3%), showing continued pressure but no signs of panic. That’s important because the late-2025 drop was driven by investors pulling back on exposure, not by anything breaking under the surface. That difference shapes what happens next. When the selling slows because in ...

Daily spot trading volumes have roughly doubled versus the last cycle. Bitcoin now averages $8–22 billion per day, up from $4–13 billion previously. Futures open interest sits at a record high of $68 billion, with about 30% on CME. That shows major institutional players are active. Historic inflows, record invested capital, rising volumes, and falling volatility all point to a mid-cycle reset for the Bitcoin price.Market data shows Bitcoin's unusual strength. One-year realized volatility has almost halved, ...

Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala Capital has entered a collaboration with institutional RWA infrastructure provider Kaio to study how digital rails can support tokenized access to private market strategies. Key Takeaways: Mubadala Capital is exploring tokenized private market access with Kaio. The partnership reflects rising institutional interest in RWAs. Tokenized assets continue gaining momentum as infrastructure improves. Announced Tuesday, the partnership will focus on testing how Kaio’s framework could ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 are highly contentious, with forecasts ranging from $150,000 to $250,000, reflecting a significant divergence in analyst opinions [2][3][21] Group 1: Price Predictions - Some analysts predict a conservative target of $150,000 to $200,000, contingent on Bitcoin maintaining support around $102,000 and a stable macro environment [7][21] - Fundstrat Global Advisors forecasts a more bullish target of $200,000 to $250,000, driven by anticipated ETF inflows and a potential supply squeeze [12][23] - Extreme models suggest prices could reach $300,000 to $500,000 if global liquidity remains loose, although these scenarios assume ideal conditions [13][21] Group 2: Key Catalysts - The upcoming Bitcoin halving and spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are identified as critical catalysts influencing price movements [2][14] - Analysts are divided on whether ETF inflows represent new capital or merely a reallocation from other crypto products, impacting overall demand [18][19] - Corporate adoption of Bitcoin, similar to MicroStrategy's strategy, could significantly tighten supply and support higher prices, but regulatory challenges could hinder this trend [19][21] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The traditional view emphasizes Bitcoin's halving cycle as a primary driver of price, while some analysts argue that current liquidity conditions are more influential [15][16] - Market sentiment and technical structures, such as Elliott Wave analysis, suggest that maintaining support near $102,000 is crucial for a potential rally [20][21] - Fear-driven events, like major exchange failures, could lead to mass liquidations, underscoring the volatility of the crypto market [20][24]

JUST IN: Total Spot Bitcoin ETF volume surpasses $5.1 billion today. ...

JUST IN: $11 trillion Vanguard officially lists BlackRock's Spot Bitcoin ETF, with trading set to go live tomorrow. https://t.co/2nnSjXwu8n ...

Core Insights - The current behavior in global financial markets is characterized as a classic late-cycle phenomenon, rather than an indication of an imminent recession [1] - Bitcoin is currently trading around $91,750, showing attempts at recovery after a dip below $90,000, influenced by liquidity conditions and ETF outflows [2] - The recent asset corrections are attributed to tightening liquidity, changing policy expectations, and declining risk appetite, following excessive gains [3] Market Dynamics - The likelihood of a quarter-point rate cut has decreased significantly from over 60% to 32.8% within a week, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [4] - Duration-sensitive assets like Bitcoin have been adversely affected, while equities are showing resilience due to strong corporate earnings, particularly in AI sectors [5] - The current market environment is described as late-mid to early-late stage, with rising vulnerabilities and sensitivity to macroeconomic shocks, but without clear recession indicators [6] Bitcoin Outlook - Analysts suggest that Bitcoin is in a bottoming process, but a rapid recovery is not expected; instead, a weak rebound followed by a range-bound bottom formation is more likely [7] - The stabilization of macro liquidity is essential for a true trend reversal in Bitcoin's price trajectory [7]

💥 NEW: Spot Bitcoin ETF trading volume surpasses $1 billion in the first 30 minutes of trading today ...

JUST IN: Total Spot Bitcoin ETF trading volume surpasses $1 billion in the first 30 minutes of trading today. ...

Core Insights - FalconX is in talks to acquire 21Shares, a major player in the digital asset ETP market, with the deal to be financed through cash and equity [1] - The merger aims to leverage FalconX's trading infrastructure and 21Shares' ETF expertise to launch new crypto funds focused on derivatives and structured products [1][4] Company Overview - FalconX, founded in 2018, has processed over $2 trillion in trades and serves more than 2,000 clients globally, specializing in institutional trading, staking, and credit services, with an $8 billion valuation in 2022 [2] - 21Shares, also established in 2018, manages over $11 billion in assets across 55 listed ETPs and co-launched the first US spot Bitcoin ETF in partnership with ARK Investment [3] Market Context - The merger represents a significant consolidation in the crypto space, coinciding with a potential new "ETF season" as institutional interest in crypto investment vehicles surges [5] - There are currently 155 crypto ETP filings across 35 cryptocurrencies, with predictions that this number could exceed 200 within the next year [6]