TPT时序工业大模型

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中控技术(688777):创新商业模式,剑指工业AI龙头
Haitong Securities International· 2025-06-19 08:58
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating with a target price of RMB 72.75, reflecting the company's strong historical foundation and AI investment, alongside accelerating industrial AI applications and optimizing business models [4][26]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in the industrial AI sector, leveraging over 100EB of industrial data from 100,000 control systems to enhance real-time industrial data capabilities. It integrates AI and robotics to drive automation and has launched innovative products like the UCS control system and TPT foundation models [4][26]. - The company has a stable growth trajectory in key industries, with a market share of 40.4% in the domestic DCS market, and is expanding into emerging sectors such as oil, gas, and Chinese baijiu [4][26]. - Internationally, the company has seen significant growth, with overseas revenue reaching RMB 749 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 118.27%, indicating enhanced global operational capabilities [4][26]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are RMB 103.14 billion, RMB 112.80 billion, and RMB 124.66 billion, respectively, with net profits of RMB 12.72 billion, RMB 14.72 billion, and RMB 17.38 billion [11][13]. - The company anticipates EPS of RMB 1.61, RMB 1.86, and RMB 2.20 for the years 2025-2027, reflecting a gradual increase in profitability [11][16]. - The report highlights a stable gross margin trend, with expected gross margins of approximately 36% to 38% across various business segments by 2027 [10][14].
中控技术(688777):公司信息更新报告:业绩平稳增长,工业AI+机器人蓝海可期
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-04-01 05:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from equipment renewal policies and overseas expansion opportunities, with industrial AI opening up long-term growth potential [4][6] - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a 6.02% year-on-year increase in operating income for 2024, reaching 9.139 billion yuan [5][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 1.117 billion yuan, a 1.38% year-on-year increase, while excluding GDR exchange gains, the net profit grew by 20.26% [5][6] Financial Performance - The company achieved operating income of 91.39 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 6.02% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 11.17 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.38% [5] - The gross profit margin improved to 33.86%, an increase of 0.67 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company’s overseas revenue reached 749 million yuan in 2024, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 118.27% [6] Profit Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 1.292 billion, 1.508 billion, and 1.769 billion yuan respectively [4] - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is 1.63, 1.91, and 2.24 yuan per share respectively [4] Market Position - The company is a leader in the process industrial intelligent manufacturing sector, with increasing market share in the petrochemical and chemical industries [6] - The company has successfully launched its first UCS universal control system and TPT time series industrial model, achieving significant breakthroughs in various client applications [7] Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 32.5, 27.8, and 23.7 for 2025-2027 [4][8] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 4.3 in 2023 to 3.0 by 2027 [8]