PotlatchDeltic (PCH) 2025 Conference June 04, 2025 08:00 AM ET Speaker0 What I would tell you is that any kind of a demand increase or supply reduction, especially coming out of Canada, is likely to result in in price tension. So the fact that nobody is expanding right now, it bodes well for the future is the way we think of it. And I think the smaller competitors probably are less likely to put capital back into their mills, unlike the larger competitors like us that understand you need to keep these mills ...

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 882 [Table_Date] 2025 年 05 月 23 日 [Table_Title] 亚玛芬 Q1 业绩超预期，上调全年指引 纺织服装行业周报 [Table_Title2] 20250519-20250523 [Table_Summary] ► 主要观点： 本周滔搏发布FY2025年报，FY2025公司收入/归母净利 /经营性现金流分别为 270.13/12.86/37.55 亿元，同比增长 -6.6%/-41.9%/20.0%，归母净利下滑幅度高于收入主要由于 公司面对销售下滑带来的存货压力，加大整体促销力度、调 整线上线下销售结构影响导致毛利率下滑。经营现金流高于 净利主要由于存货减少、应收账款减少、有效的运营资金管 理。FY25 每股拟派发现金红利 0.02 元、特别股息 0.12 元，叠加中期股息 0.14 元，分红率为 135%，股息率为 8.75%。 本周 Deckers 公布 FY2025 全年业绩，公司 FY25 收入增 长 16.3% 至 49.86 亿美元，营运利润同比增加 27.1%至 11.79 亿美元。毛利率同增 2.3pct 至 57.9%，净 ...

财报季向来几家欢喜几家愁。在运动热情高涨的五月，知名运动品牌陆续交出最新"成绩单"—— 不妨看看，谁在领跑，谁又掉队？ 始祖鸟领涨，母公司亚玛芬 25 Q1 收入同比增长 23% 5 月 20 日，拥有始祖鸟、萨洛蒙等品牌的亚玛芬体育（Amer Sports）发布了 2025 财年第一季度财务业绩，报告期内，该公司营收、利润及每股 收益（EPS）等数据均超预期。 具体来看，一季度亚玛芬营收达 14.73 亿美元，同比增长 23%，在固定汇率基准下增长 26%（此前预计增长 14% 至 16%）。营业利润同比增长 97% 至 2.14 亿美元，营业利润率提升 5.4 个百分点至 14.5%。 以始祖鸟为代表的户外功能性服饰继续领涨，第一季度收入同比增长 28% 至 6.64 亿美元，固定汇率计算同比增长 32%，该部门营业利润率达 23.8%，同比提升 110 个基点。始祖鸟在各地区、渠道和类别中均维持强劲发展趋势，其中鞋履为第一季度增长最快的品类。 集团在各大区域市场均实现增长，尤以大中华区及亚太市场表现亮眼：大中华区收入同比大涨 43% 至 4.46 亿美元。 中国是重要增长引擎，lululemon 持续提 ...

Core Viewpoint - Weyerhaeuser Company has announced an agreement to acquire approximately 117,000 acres of high-quality timberlands in North Carolina and Virginia for $375 million, enhancing its Southern Timberlands portfolio and expected to deliver immediate cash flows [1][2]. Acquisition Details - The acquisition includes mature, productive timberlands that will integrate well with existing operations in North Carolina and expand into southeastern Virginia markets [1][2]. - This transaction is part of a broader strategy, with Weyerhaeuser having acquired over $1.1 billion in timberlands since early 2022, aligning with its growth targets [2]. Financial Aspects - The cash for the acquisition will primarily come from divestitures of non-core timberlands, which are expected to be completed in a tax-efficient manner [2]. - Upon completion, Weyerhaeuser will manage approximately 744,000 acres in North Carolina and 150,000 acres in Virginia, along with three mills and two distribution centers [2]. Operational Insights - The acquired timberlands are located in strong markets, with 81% planted pine acreage and an expected average annual harvest of 7.4 tons per acre over the first five years [4]. - The anticipated average annual timber free cash flow yield from the acquisition is projected to be 5.1% over the same period [4]. Company Background - Weyerhaeuser is one of the largest private owners of timberlands, managing approximately 10.4 million acres in the U.S. and has been a leader in sustainable forestry for over a century [3]. - In 2024, the company reported $7.1 billion in net sales and employed around 9,400 people [3].

Market Overview - U.S. futures are down across the board, with the Dow down 345 points (-0.81%), S&P 500 down 38 points (-0.64%), Nasdaq down 146 points (-0.68%), and Russell 2000 down 21 points (-1.02%) [2] - Major indexes have been flat over the past five trading days, with the Dow showing a slight increase of 1% over the past month, while all indexes are up double-digits [2] Q1 Earnings Reports - Target's Q1 earnings were disappointing, with earnings of $1.30 per share missing the Zacks consensus of $1.65 by 19.75%. Revenues of $23.85 billion were 1.58% short of expectations. The company has cut its growth forecast to negative from slightly positive [3] - Lowe's reported better-than-expected Q1 results, with earnings of $2.92 per share beating the Zacks consensus by 4 cents, and revenues of $20.93 billion slightly exceeding the anticipated $20.92 billion. Shares are up 1.75% in early trading [4] - The TJX Companies modestly beat expectations with earnings of 92 cents per share, 2 cents above estimates, and revenues of $13.11 billion, surpassing the anticipated $13.0 billion. Comparable sales grew by 3% year over year [5] - VF Corp. reported mixed results, with a narrower-than-expected loss of 13 cents per share compared to the estimated 15 cents, but revenues of $2.14 billion fell short of the $2.18 billion consensus. Shares are down 14% due to a challenging macro environment [6] Upcoming Earnings - Urban Outfitters is expected to report solid growth in both top and bottom lines year over year. Additionally, Snowflake and Zoom Communications will also release their quarterly results later today [7]

Core Insights - V.F. Corporation (VFC) reported a revenue of $2.14 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9.7% and an EPS of -$0.13, an improvement from -$0.32 a year ago [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.18 billion by 1.62%, while the EPS exceeded the consensus estimate of -$0.15 by 13.33% [1] Revenue Performance - Geographic Revenue: - Americas: $995.20 million, below the estimated $1.11 billion, a decline of 11.6% year-over-year [4] - Asia-Pacific: $336.20 million, below the estimated $355.65 million, a decline of 11% year-over-year [4] - Europe: $812.30 million, exceeding the estimated $744.21 million, a decline of 6.6% year-over-year [4] - Revenue by Segment: - Active: $645.32 million, below the estimated $753.22 million, a decline of 29.4% year-over-year [4] - Work: $222.17 million, slightly above the estimated $221.17 million, a decline of 7.6% year-over-year [4] - Outdoor: $1.28 billion, exceeding the estimated $1.22 billion, an increase of 4.7% year-over-year [4] - Revenue by Brand: - Dickies: $139.30 million, slightly above the estimated $138.68 million, a decline of 14.2% year-over-year [4] - Timberland: $376 million, exceeding the estimated $337.45 million, an increase of 10.1% year-over-year [4] - Vans: $492.60 million, below the estimated $571.91 million, a decline of 22% year-over-year [4] - The North Face: $834.50 million, exceeding the estimated $792.59 million, an increase of 2.5% year-over-year [4] - Revenue by Channel: - Direct-To-Consumer: $920.80 million, below the estimated $1 billion, a decline of 15.8% year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - V.F. shares have returned +32.3% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +12.7% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q4 fiscal year 2025 was down 3% year-over-year, aligning with guidance of a decline between 2% to 4% [7][28] - Operating income increased by 400 basis points year-over-year to $22 million, exceeding guidance [7] - Gross margin improved by 560 basis points to 53.4%, driven by lower material costs and reduced discounting [7][30] - Net debt decreased by 26% year-over-year, with leverage reduced by one full turn to 4.1 times [8][31] - Adjusted loss per share improved to negative $0.13 from negative $0.30 in the same quarter last year [30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Vans revenue declined by 20% in Q4, attributed to strategic actions and reduced storefronts, with 60% of the decline linked to deliberate revenue management [10][11] - The North Face brand saw a revenue increase of 4% in Q4, with direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales rising by 9% [17][28] - Timberland reported a strong performance with a 13% revenue increase in Q4, benefiting from lower discounts [17][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The APAC region experienced a revenue growth of 2%, while The Americas and EMEA regions saw declines of 5% and 2% respectively due to reduced promotional activities [29] - DTC sales were down 3%, while wholesale sales decreased by 2% [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a transformation strategy called "Reinvent," aimed at improving operational profitability and simplifying the business structure for long-term growth [7][30] - Strategic actions include reducing unprofitable storefronts and managing marketplace dynamics to achieve profitable growth [11][12] - The company is diversifying its supply chain and has reduced reliance on China for finished goods to less than 2% [20][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the turnaround of Vans, indicating that progress is being made despite current numerical setbacks [10][14] - The company is navigating macroeconomic uncertainties with a proactive approach, leveraging its asset-light model for flexibility [20][22] - Future cash flow is expected to improve year-over-year, with operating cash flow and free cash flow anticipated to rise [33] Other Important Information - The company is not providing full-year guidance but expects Q1 revenue to decline by 3% to 5% on a constant dollar basis [34] - The impact of tariffs is being managed through strategic pricing and cost management initiatives [26][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on gross margin and free cash flow - Management expects continued improvement in gross margins and free cash flow, with the $313 million free cash flow not including Supreme [41][44] Question: One-time strategic reset actions at Vans - The impact of strategic reset actions will continue into Q1 and Q2, with expectations of fading by Q3 and being eliminated by Q4 [52][56] Question: Free cash flow and debt management - The company plans to use free cash flow and a revolver to manage upcoming debt maturities, with confidence in improving cash flow [61][64] Question: Store count strategy and dividend considerations - The company has aggressively edited its store count, with further optimization expected but heavy lifting largely completed [126][128] - Dividend reductions are on the table if necessary, but no immediate changes are anticipated [132][134] Question: Gross margin components and outlook - Management discussed the contributions to gross margin improvements, including product cost tailwinds and lower promotions, with expectations for these trends to continue [140]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, revenue decreased by 3%, aligning with guidance of a decline between 2% to 4% [6][28] - Operating income increased by 400 basis points year-over-year to $22 million, exceeding guidance [6] - Gross margin improved by 560 basis points to 53.4%, driven by lower material costs and reduced discounting [6][30] - Net debt decreased by 26% year-over-year, with leverage reduced by one full turn to 4.1 times [7][32] - Adjusted loss per share improved to negative $0.13 from negative $0.30 in Q4 of the previous year [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Vans revenue declined by 20% in Q4, following an 8% decline in the prior quarter, with 60% of the decline attributed to strategic actions to eliminate unprofitable business [9][29] - The North Face brand saw a revenue increase of 4% in Q4, with direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales rising by 9% [17][28] - Timberland experienced a strong performance with a 13% revenue increase in Q4, driven by lower discounts and higher margins [17][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The APAC region grew by 2%, while The Americas and EMEA regions saw declines of 5% and 2% respectively due to reduced promotional activity [29] - DTC sales were down 3%, while wholesale sales decreased by 2% [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a transformation strategy called "Reinvent," aimed at improving operational profitability and simplifying the business structure [6][30] - Strategic actions include reducing storefronts and channel inventory in China to set up for long-term growth [11][19] - The company is pursuing brand elevation through channel cleanup and enhanced digital experiences [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the turnaround of Vans, indicating that progress is being made despite current numerical setbacks [9][14] - The company is well-positioned to manage tariff impacts through a diversified supply chain and proactive cost management strategies [19][26] - Management remains optimistic about returning to growth and delivering sustainable value creation despite macroeconomic uncertainties [21][22] Other Important Information - The company expects operating cash flow and free cash flow to increase year-over-year, although specific full-year guidance is not provided [34] - The company has strategically reduced its reliance on finished goods sourced from China to less than 2% [19][25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on gross margin improvements and free cash flow - Management expects continued improvement in gross margins and free cash flow, with the $313 million free cash flow not including Supreme [40][43] Question: One-time strategic reset actions at Vans - The impact of strategic reset actions will continue into Q1 and Q2, with expectations of fading by Q3 and being gone by Q4 [50][55] Question: Free cash flow and debt management - The company plans to use free cash flow and a revolver to manage upcoming debt maturities, with confidence in improving cash flow [58][61] Question: Health of The North Face brand and DTC momentum - The North Face brand is performing well, with strong DTC sales and plans to increase product offerings [82][84] Question: Tariff impacts and pricing strategies - The company is confident in its ability to offset tariff impacts through strategic pricing and cost management [108][110]

Whether they invest or not, most Americans are getting weary of tariff talk. Beyond the prospect of significantly higher prices, investors are unclear of what level of tariffs will be applied to which country. For example, China stands to face the largest tariffs. At one point, President Trump threatened the country with 145% tariffs. That’s since been walked back, but the president made it clear that (for now), the tariffs won’t be 0%. That's a wide range of outcomes for companies to consider. Many retaile ...