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九强生物(300406):集采、税率调整等影响短期表现 持续看好AI赋能+海外拓展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:50
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, attributed to various market pressures and rising costs, while maintaining a strong gross margin due to an improved product mix [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 320 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.81% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 83 million yuan, down 30.99% year-on-year [1]. - The non-recurring net profit was 82 million yuan, reflecting a 32.02% decline compared to the previous year [1]. - Gross margin for Q1 2025 was approximately 80.84%, an increase of about 3.98 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 26.13%, a decrease of 4.39 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Cost Structure - Sales expense ratio increased to 22.09%, up 4.38 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - Management expense ratio rose to 10.37%, an increase of 1.73 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - R&D expense ratio remained high at 13.45%, up 2.56 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - Financial expense ratio was 3.11%, an increase of 0.40 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Market Dynamics - The pathology business remains stable despite policy disruptions, while the biochemical sector may face short-term pressure due to ongoing national policies [2]. - The company is exploring AI integration in diagnostics and expanding its international presence, particularly in emerging markets [2]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 1.669 billion, 1.886 billion, and 2.129 billion yuan, with expected growth rates of 1%, 13%, and 13% respectively [3]. - Forecasted net profits for the same period are 553 million, 642 million, and 759 million yuan, with growth rates of 4%, 16%, and 18% respectively [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 15, 13, and 11 for 2025-2027, reflecting the company's strong growth potential in high-demand sectors [3].
【九强生物(300406.SZ)】AI病理深化布局,国际化进入新阶段——2024年年报点评(王明瑞/黎一江)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-03 08:47
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue for 2024, primarily due to price reductions in biochemical reagents resulting from domestic IVD centralized procurement, but managed to achieve a slight increase in net profit, indicating effective cost control [3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 1.659 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.75% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 533 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.70% - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 521 million yuan, up 1.93% year-on-year - In Q4 2024, the company reported a single-quarter revenue of 422 million yuan, down 17.01% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 159 million yuan, an increase of 4.48% [3][4]. Operational Insights - The company's revenue decline was mainly influenced by the significant drop in biochemical reagent prices due to centralized procurement, which exerted pressure on the biochemical business line - Despite the revenue decline, the net profit showed a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.5% in Q4, indicating improving profitability [4]. R&D and Product Development - The company has increased its R&D investment, with a research and development expense ratio of 11.36% in 2024, up 2.01 percentage points year-on-year - By the end of 2024, the company obtained 379 medical device registration certificates, up from 294 at the end of 2023, covering various fields including biochemistry, coagulation, chemiluminescence, blood typing, and POCT - The company also added 19 new patents and received approvals for multiple pathology, biochemistry, coagulation, and chemiluminescence reagent products, enhancing its product portfolio [5]. Strategic Initiatives - The subsidiary, Mai Xin Bio, is focusing on core technologies in pathological diagnosis and is expanding into areas such as companion diagnostics and pathology AI - Mai Xin Bio is also actively pursuing international markets, working on product qualification in mature markets like Europe and the US, as well as emerging markets in the Middle East and Southeast Asia, thereby entering a new phase of internationalization [6].