| 业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 纪工菲 | 0813180 | | 现货价格与基差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 7月9日 | 7月8日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | N型复投料 - 平均价 | 40000.00 | 39000.00 | 1000.00 | 2.56% | | | P型菜花料 - 平均价 | 29500.00 | 29500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | | | N型颗粒硅 - 平均价 | 38000.00 | 36500.00 | 1500.00 | 4.11% | 元/吨 | | N型料基差(平均价) | 730.00 | 615.00 | 115.00 | 18.70% | | | 菜花料基差(平均价) | 2230.00 | 3115.00 | -885.00 | -28.41% | | | N型硅片-210mm - 平均价 | 1.1900 | 1.1900 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 元/片 | | N型硅片-210R - 平均价 | 1.00 ...

以下文章来源于华夏能源网 ，作者www.hxny.com 华夏能源网 . 能源产业与财经信息服务平台 将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 等待机会重新起来。 作者丨 田思 作者丨 蒋波 王东 来源丨 华夏能源网 "所有企业都在承受着不可承受之痛，大家都在苦熬。"6月10日，中国机电产品进出口商会副会长 石永红在上海SNEC2025光伏展上说道。 这说出了广大光伏企业的真实状态和心声。 经过 7个季度的持续洗牌，一大批光伏企业倒下了，但产能依旧严重过剩。主要的龙头企业安然无 恙，按照业界调侃的每次寒冬"必死老大"的标准看，调整并没有到位。而那些暂时停产的"死而不 僵"的产能，随时在等待机会重开起来。 与此同时，今年上半年 "抢装潮"带动光伏装机再创新高，仅5月份光伏新增装机就高达92.92GW， 1-5月光伏新增装机198GW，相当于2024年光伏装机的七成。但是，如此强劲的装机还是没能拉起 来价格，光伏各产业链价格还在滑落，寒冬深不见底。 一边是艰难的产能出清，一边是见不到企稳希望的价格，整个光伏行业处在痛苦不堪的 "炼狱"之 中。没有谁会好过，也没有谁知道"炼狱"往下还有几层。大家只能在一点点失血 ...

第17届世界太阳能光伏暨储能产业博览会：全球绿色能源转型的"风向标" 在全球"碳中和"目标加速推进的背景下，光伏与储能产业已成为能源转型的核心驱动力。2025年8月8日至10日，第17届世界太阳能光伏暨储能产业博览会 （Solar PV & Energy Storage World Expo 2025）将在广州·中国进出口商品交易会展馆B区盛大启幕。这场由广东省太阳能协会、广东省粤港澳经贸合作促进 会、广东鸿威国际会展集团联合主办的行业盛会，预计吸引全球2000余家企业参展，展览面积达18万平方米，专业观众超20万人次，成为全球光伏储能领 域规模最大、专业性最强的交流平台之一。 技术创新：从"单点突破"到"系统革新" 本届展会以"智领能源·绿动全球"为主题，全面展示光伏与储能技术的深度融合。在光伏领域，TOPCon、HJT、钙钛矿等高效电池技术同台竞技，转换效率 突破26%的组件成为现实。某头部企业展示的N型TOPCon组件，通过双面发电设计，在弱光环境下发电量提升15%，且成本较传统PERC组件降低8%。钙 钛矿-晶硅叠层电池实验室效率达33.9%，其柔性、轻量化特性为分布式光伏提供了新可能。 储能技术成为 ...

证券代码：000591 证券简称：太阳能 1 | | 2、公司当前电站组件技术路线？ | | --- | --- | | | 答： | | | 公司运营的电站中，目前组件技术以 TOPCon 为主，个别项目 | | | 有试点 HJT 技术路线，后期也会计划按需试点应用一定比例 BC 及 | | | 钙钛矿组件。 | | | 3、补贴进展情况？ | | | 答： | | | 2024 年，公司共计收到电费补贴 13.66 亿，其中国补 12.33 | | | 亿。公司积极关注后续发放情况，积极配合相关工作。 | | | 4、分红比例是否会提高？ | | | 答： | | | 公司自上市以来高度重视对广大股东的投资回馈，始终保持 | | | 稳定的现金分红。过去三年，公司累计现金分红约 15.12 亿，分红 | | | 比例约占年均归母净利润的 36%，未来仍将在综合考虑盈利情况、 | | | 资本支出计划等事项的基础上，合理安排分红。 | | | 5、公司海外项目拓展情况及未来规划？ | | | 答： | | | 公司目前与斯里兰卡、印度尼西亚以及乌兹别克斯坦等国家 | | | 地区相关部门进行了洽谈，有的也 ...

一、子弹还没打光 各方都在博弈，光伏行业想要见底，没那么简单。 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 董必政 头图 | SNEC 2025年，光伏行业正在上演冰与火之歌。 一边是火焰。6月的SNEC光伏展会人声鼎沸，热度"火爆如昨"。近40万平方米的展馆，涌入了来自全球近100个国家的3600多家参展商和预计超过50万的观 众。 另一边是寒冰。光伏行业正经历着史上罕见的产业重构与深度调整。2024年，产业链遭遇严重产能过剩和价格战，头部企业也录得巨额亏损，全行业阵痛远 未消散。 这看似矛盾的一幕，让2025年的SNEC展会成为了一个绝佳的观察窗口。SNEC正试图为仍在追光的从业者们，解答那个最核心的问题——行业的下一站在 哪里？ 从2024年下半年以来，光伏行业经历了自律、控价、控产、提升技术门槛等一系列的组合拳。虽然这些措施取得了一定的效果，但光伏产业链价格维持弱势 运行。 要知道，光伏产业链价格直接反映供需关系的变化，现在仍是供大于需。 据InfoLink数据，截至2025年6月19日，2025年硅料、单晶N型硅片（210mm/130um）、电池片（210mm/25.0%+）、单晶TopCon组件的均价分别下降 ...

东方金诚国际信用评估有限公司日前发布晶科能源股份有限公司主体及 "晶能转债"2025年跟踪评级报 告，维持公司主体信用等级为AA+，评级展望为稳定，同时维持"晶能转债"信用等级为 AA+。 东方金诚认为，光伏产业在全球能源转型中发挥重要作用，在政策引导及市场需求驱动下，晶科能源外 部发展环境长期向好；2024年晶科能源全球光伏组件出货量居全球第一，仍保持很强的竞争地位；同 时，组件功率、电池转换效率等技术优势持续增强，研发投入保持较大规模，在行业内仍保持很强的技 术竞争力；此外，高功率 TOPCon 产品下游市场开拓顺利，产品结构进一步优化。 一方面，作为全球光伏组件出货量第一的龙头企业，晶科能源2024年组件出货量达92.87GW，同比增长 18.28%，其中N型TOPCon组件占比高达88%，技术迭代领先行业。公司实验室TOPCon钙钛矿叠层电池 效率突破34.22%，全年新增专利679项，研发投入44.07亿元，持续强化技术壁垒。垂直一体化产能布局 进一步优化成本结构，支撑其在激烈市场竞争中的盈利能力。 另一方面，全球能源转型加速推进及政策引导驱动为公司带来增长确定性。据彭博新能源财经数据， 2024年 ...

21世纪经济报道记者曹恩惠上海报道 在本届SNEC光伏展会期间，TOPCon组件产品依然占据主流宣传态势。不过，BC组件朋友圈似乎也在 扩大，除了隆基绿能、爱旭股份、TCL中环外，晶澳科技、中来股份、通威股份等组件厂商也展示了包 含BC技术的组件新品。 "从去年到今年，大家都对BC有了认知，认为BC应该是高价值的。"陈刚向记者介绍，2024年三季度之 前，"大家都说做BC不行，所有人都不敢买，后来我们的客户用完之后的确感觉不错，所以就开始起量 了。" 不可否认的是，尽管BC产品能否走向"主流替代"还需进一步突破。但在不少业内人士看来，BC产品的 确已经成为当前光伏组件同质化背景下的差异化存在。 有光伏企业负责人直言，N型电池技术之争已经没有意义。天合光能董事长高纪凡便认为："现在大量 的企业还在争TOPCon好、BC好、还是HJT好，我认为没有任何的意义。这三个N型技术都是伯仲之 间，在不同的场景有一些优势。" 但需注意的是，对于BC技术而言，如何构建好生态圈成为重中之重。 "新能源行业作为一个持续发展的新兴产业，到了2024年以后，就步入了成熟阶段，每年保持比较平稳 的增长。"近日，爱旭股份董事长陈刚在回顾 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Reports Natural Rubber - In the context of expected supply increase and weak demand, the subsequent rubber price is expected to remain weak. Hold the short position at 14,000 and monitor the raw material supply in each production area and macro - event disturbances [2]. Industrial Silicon - In June, industrial silicon still faces a weak fundamental situation of oversupply, and the price remains under pressure. Recently, the rebound in coal prices brings an expectation of rising raw material prices, which supports the price, and the price may fluctuate at a low level [4]. Polysilicon - The fundamentals have not significantly improved, and the atmosphere at the Shanghai PV exhibition is bearish. However, due to the low price, hold short positions cautiously and pay attention to the pressure level around 35,000 yuan/ton. If the polysilicon production increases, it is beneficial for the arbitrage of buying industrial silicon and shorting polysilicon [5]. Glass and Soda Ash - For soda ash, the excess pattern is obvious, and there will be further profit - reduction. After the photovoltaic rush - installation, the growth of photovoltaic capacity has slowed down, and the overall demand has not increased significantly. After the maintenance, inventory accumulation may accelerate. - For glass, it still faces over - supply pressure in the future, and the industry needs capacity clearance. The 09 contract fluctuates around 1000 points, and a short - term bearish strategy can be considered [6]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Natural Rubber Price and Spread - The price of Yunnan Guofu all - latex rubber (SCRWF) in Shanghai remained unchanged at 13,900 yuan/ton. The all - latex basis (switched to the 2509 contract) decreased by 35 yuan/ton to - 10 yuan/ton, a decline of 140%. The Thai standard mixed rubber quote remained at 13,750 yuan/ton. The non - standard price difference decreased by 35 yuan/ton to - 160 yuan/ton, a decline of 28%. The FOB mid - price of cup rubber in the international market increased by 0.40 Thai baht/kg to 47.45 Thai baht/kg, an increase of 0.85%. The FOB mid - price of glue in the international market remained at 56.75 yuan/ton. The price of natural rubber lumps in Xishuangbanna increased by 400 yuan/ton to 12,600 yuan/ton, an increase of 3.28%. The price of natural rubber glue in Xishuangbanna increased by 400 yuan/ton to 13,100 yuan/ton, an increase of 3.15%. The mainstream market price of raw materials in Hainan remained at 12,400 yuan/ton, and the mainstream market price of imported rubber raw materials in Hainan remained at 9,000 yuan/ton [2]. - In terms of monthly spreads, the 9 - 1 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to - 850 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.8%. The 1 - 5 spread decreased by 10 yuan/ton to - 72 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.18%. The 5 - 9 spread increased by 25 yuan/ton to 915 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.81% [2]. Fundamental Data - In April, Thailand's production decreased by 435,000 tons to 1.057 million tons, a decline of 29.16%. Indonesia's production decreased by 15,200 tons to 194,100 tons, a decline of 7.26%. India's production decreased by 7,600 tons to 45,400 tons, a decline of 14.34%. China's production increased by 42,300 tons to 58,100 tons. The weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires for automobile tires increased by 4.12 percentage points to 77.98%, and the weekly operating rate of all - steel tires decreased by 2.23 percentage points to 61.24%. In April, the domestic tire production decreased by 5.444 million pieces to 102.002 million pieces, a decline of 5.07%. The export volume of new pneumatic rubber tires in April decreased by 490,000 pieces to 5.739 million pieces, a decline of 7.87%. The total import volume of natural rubber in April decreased by 70,900 tons to 523,200 tons, a decline of 11.93%. The import volume of natural and synthetic rubber (including latex) in May decreased by 83,000 tons to 607,000 tons, a decline of 12.03% [2]. Inventory Changes - The bonded area inventory (bonded + general trade inventory) decreased by 4,100 tons to 1,011,111 tons, a decline of 0.67%. The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE increased by 13,003 tons to 34,876 tons, an increase of 59.45%. The inbound rate of dry rubber in the bonded warehouse in Qingdao increased by 1.14 percentage points to 3.34%, and the outbound rate increased by 1.44 percentage points to 4.83%. The inbound rate of dry rubber in general trade in Qingdao increased by 0.82 percentage points to 7.76%, and the outbound rate decreased by 0.29 percentage points to 7.18% [2]. Industrial Silicon Price and Spread - The price of East China oxygen - passing SI5530 industrial silicon remained at 8,150 yuan/ton, and the basis (based on oxygen - passing SI5530) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 805 yuan/ton, an increase of 15.83%. The price of East China SI4210 industrial silicon remained at 8,700 yuan/ton, and the basis (based on SI4210) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 555 yuan/ton, an increase of 24.72%. The price of Xinjiang 99 silicon remained at 7,600 yuan/ton, and the basis (in Xinjiang) increased by 110 yuan/ton to 1,055 yuan/ton, an increase of 11.64% [4]. - In terms of monthly spreads, the 2507 - 2508 spread increased by 7,260 yuan/ton to - 85 yuan/ton, an increase of 98.84%. The 2508 - 2509 spread increased by 5 yuan/ton to 40 yuan/ton, an increase of 14.29%. The 2509 - 2510 spread increased by 15 yuan/ton to 45 yuan/ton, an increase of 50%. The 2510 - 2511 spread increased by 35 yuan/ton to 55 yuan/ton, an increase of 175%. The 2511 - 2512 spread decreased by 5 yuan/ton to 50 yuan/ton, a decline of 9.09% [4]. Fundamental Data - In May, the national industrial silicon production increased by 6,900 tons to 307,700 tons, an increase of 2.29%. Xinjiang's production decreased by 4,400 tons to 163,100 tons, a decline of 2.6%. Yunnan's production decreased by 3,400 tons to 10,000 tons, a decline of 25.43%. Sichuan's production increased by 12,400 tons to 23,700 tons, an increase of 109.47%. Inner Mongolia's production increased by 2,100 tons to 46,100 tons, an increase of 4.78%. Ningxia's production increased by 3,500 tons to 23,500 tons, an increase of 17.5%. The production of 97 - grade silicon decreased by 7,200 tons to 4,800 tons, a decline of 60%. The production of recycled silicon increased by 500 tons to 16,500 tons, an increase of 3.12%. The production of silicone DMC in May increased by 11,200 tons to 184,000 tons, an increase of 6.48%. The production of polysilicon in May increased by 700 tons to 96,100 tons, an increase of 0.73%. The production of recycled aluminum alloy in May decreased by 400 tons to 60,600 tons, a decline of 0.66%. The export volume of industrial silicon in April increased by 100 tons to 6,050 tons, an increase of 1.64% [4]. Inventory Changes - The factory - warehouse inventory in Xinjiang decreased by 410 tons to 18,670 tons, a decline of 2.15%. The factory - warehouse inventory in Yunnan increased by 70 tons to 2,580 tons, an increase of 2.79%. The inventory in Sichuan increased by 10 tons to 2,310 tons, an increase of 0.44%. The social inventory decreased by 1,500 tons to 57,200 tons, a decline of 2.56%. The warehouse - receipt inventory decreased by 550 tons to 28,410 tons, a decline of 1.89%. The non - warehouse - receipt inventory decreased by 950 tons to 28,790 tons, a decline of 3.2% [4]. Polysilicon Price and Spread - The average price of N - type re -投料 remained at 35,500 yuan/ton, the average price of P - type cauliflower material remained at 29,500 yuan/ton, and the average price of N - type granular silicon remained at 33,000 yuan/ton. The N - type material basis (average price) decreased by 625 yuan/ton to 1,180 yuan/ton, a decline of 34.63%. The cauliflower material basis (average price) decreased by 625 yuan/ton to 7,180 yuan/ton, a decline of 8.01%. The average price of N - type silicon wafers of 210mm remained at 1.27 yuan/piece, the average price of N - type silicon wafers of 210R remained at 1.06 yuan/piece, the average price of single - crystal Topcon battery wafers of 210R remained at 0.268 yuan/piece, the average price of single - crystal PERC battery wafers of 182mm remained at 0.268 yuan/piece, the average price of Topcon components of 210mm (distributed) remained at 0.699 yuan/watt, and the average price of N - type 210mm components for centralized projects remained at 0.686 yuan/watt [5]. - The PS2506 contract price increased by 625 yuan/ton to 34,320 yuan/ton. The PS2506 - PS2507 spread decreased by 720 yuan/ton to 1,690 yuan/ton, a decline of 29.88%. The PS2507 - PS2508 spread increased by 290 yuan/ton to 1,215 yuan/ton, an increase of 31.35%. The PS2508 - PS2509 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to 595 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.46%. The PS2509 - PS2510 spread decreased by 60 yuan/ton to 265 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.46%. The PS2510 - PS2511 spread decreased by 15 yuan/ton to 370 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.46%. The PS2511 - PS2512 spread decreased by 60 yuan/ton to - 1,605 yuan/ton, a decline of 18.46% [5]. Fundamental Data - The weekly silicon wafer production increased by 0.06 GW to 13.1 GW, an increase of 0.46%. The weekly polysilicon production increased by 0.18 tons to 2.38 tons, an increase of 8.18%. The monthly polysilicon production in May increased by 0.07 tons to 9.61 tons, an increase of 0.73%. The polysilicon import volume in April decreased by 0.02 tons to 0.29 tons, a decline of 7.1%. The polysilicon export volume in April decreased by 0.02 tons to 0.2 tons, a decline of 10.4%. The net export volume of polysilicon in April remained at - 0.09 tons [5]. Inventory Changes - The polysilicon inventory increased by 0.6 tons to 27.5 tons, an increase of 2.23%. The silicon wafer inventory decreased by 0.68 GW to 19.34 GW, a decline of 3.4%. The polysilicon warehouse receipts remained at 2,600 tons [5]. Glass and Soda Ash Price and Spread - The glass price in North China decreased by 10 yuan/ton to 1,130 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.88%. The price in East China decreased by 30 yuan/ton to 1,230 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.38%. The price in Central China remained at 1,070 yuan/ton. The price in South China decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 1,290 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.53%. The glass 2505 contract price decreased by 4 yuan/ton to 1,077 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.37%. The glass 2509 contract price decreased by 2 yuan/ton to 976 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.51%. The 05 basis decreased by 6 yuan/ton to 53 yuan/ton, a decline of 10.17% [6]. - The soda ash price in North China remained at 1,400 yuan/ton, the price in East China remained at 1,350 yuan/ton, the price in Central China remained at 1,350 yuan/ton, and the price in Northwest China decreased by 20 yuan/ton to 1,030 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.9%. The soda ash 2505 contract price decreased by 8 yuan/ton to 1,204 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.66%. The soda ash 2509 contract price decreased by 19 yuan/ton to 1,156 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.57%. The 05 basis increased by 8 yuan/ton to 196 yuan/ton, an increase of 4.26% [6]. Supply and Demand Data - The soda ash operating rate increased by 6.33 percentage points to 84.9%, and the weekly production increased by 5,510 tons to 74,010 tons, an increase of 8.04%. The daily melting volume of float glass decreased by 100 tons to 15,570 tons, a decline of 0.7%. The daily melting volume of photovoltaic glass decreased by 1,000 tons to 98,990 tons, a decline of 1%. The mainstream price of 3.2mm coated glass decreased by 1 yuan to 20 yuan, a decline of 4.76% [6]. Inventory Changes - The glass factory - warehouse inventory increased by 192,300 weight - boxes to 6,968,500 weight - boxes, an increase of 2.84%. The soda ash factory - warehouse inventory increased by 62,000 tons to 168,630 tons, an increase of 3.82%. The soda ash delivery warehouse inventory decreased by 20,000 tons to 32,710 tons, a decline of 5.87%. The glass factory's soda ash inventory days increased by 2.9 days to 21 days, an increase of 15.91% [6]. Real Estate Data - The year - on - year growth rate of new construction area increased by 2.99 percentage points to - 18.73%, the year - on - year growth rate of construction area decreased by 7.56 percentage points to - 33.33%, the year - on - year growth rate of completion area increased by 15.67 percentage points to - 11.68%, and the year

2025.06. 16 "相较于TOPCon组件，目前ABC组件存在溢价。"据陈刚介绍，今年一季度，公司实现经营活 动现金流转正。"争取全年实现经营改善，率先代表光伏产业穿越这轮周期。" 本文字数：1488，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陆如意 "去年公司某个欧洲的渠道商一共做了22个组件品牌，一年下来，其他家的组件产品买回来就 亏钱，只有做爱旭是赚钱的，因为爱旭保持价格的相对稳定。" 在光伏全行业弥漫在产能过剩和价格内卷的阴霾之际，爱旭股份（600732.SH）董事长陈刚在 SNEC展会期间接受第一财经等媒体采访时重申其"反低价内卷"的定位。 陈刚表示，从2023年第四季度到今天，业内企业都觉得非常"卷"，竞争非常激烈。比如，传统 光伏企业的运作模式一味追求低价，拥有许多代理商、经销商。 "行业中有些公司经销渠道大批量扩张，一个省就有几十个经销商，造成渠道之间的内斗。"他 举例称，某光伏企业在一个省有52家代理商，这种情况下，要想管理价格，做好服务，让这些 代理商之间不互相争斗，几乎不可能。 "不亏本卖""不参与恶性竞争"，成为他接受采访时的高频词。 他说："到今天为止，至少做N型BC这个产业生态 ...

"去年公司某个欧洲的渠道商一共做了22个组件品牌，一年下来，其他家的组件产品买回来就亏钱，只 有做爱旭是赚钱的，因为爱旭保持价格的相对稳定。" 在光伏全行业弥漫在产能过剩和价格内卷的阴霾之际，爱旭股份（600732.SH）董事长陈刚在SNEC展 会期间接受第一财经等媒体采访时重申其"反低价内卷"的定位。 陈刚表示，从2023年第四季度到今天，业内企业都觉得非常"卷"，竞争非常激烈。比如，传统光伏企业 的运作模式一味追求低价，拥有许多代理商、经销商。 "行业中有些公司经销渠道大批量扩张，一个省就有几十个经销商，造成渠道之间的内斗。"他举例称， 某光伏企业在一个省有52家代理商，这种情况下，要想管理价格，做好服务，让这些代理商之间不互相 争斗，几乎不可能。 "不亏本卖""不参与恶性竞争"，成为他接受采访时的高频词。 他说："到今天为止，至少做N型BC这个产业生态里面大家没有哪一家是亏本销售，没有哪一个供应商 或者是渠道商处于亏本状态。" 去年下半年起，爱旭股份先后与高景太阳能、创维光伏等BC产业链上下游企业开展战略合作，共建BC 生态圈。 "相较于TOPCon组件，目前ABC组件存在溢价。"据陈刚介绍，今年一季度 ...