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Here's Why Investors Should Retain Aflac Incorporated Stock for Now
ZACKS· 2025-12-31 17:35
Core Viewpoint - Aflac Incorporated (AFL) is positioned for growth due to strong U.S. business performance, product launches, acquisitions, partnerships, improved underwriting discipline, and effective cost management [2] Financial Performance - Aflac's shares have increased by 4.7% over the past six months, outperforming the industry's 2.8% rise [2] - The market capitalization of Aflac is $58.1 billion [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AFL's 2025 earnings is $7.53 per share, reflecting a 4.4% year-over-year increase [4] - Revenue estimates for 2025 are projected at $17.8 billion [4] - Aflac has beaten earnings estimates in two of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 9.4% [4] Growth Drivers - Aflac's revenue growth is supported by strong sales in both U.S. and Japan segments, driven by strategic investments and high persistency rates [5] - New annualized premium sales in Aflac Japan grew by 16.1% year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025, primarily due to sales of the Miraito cancer insurance product and Tsumitasu [5] - Aflac U.S. saw a 3% year-over-year increase in new annualized premium sales in the first nine months of 2025, with group products contributing significantly [6] - The company is enhancing its core insurance growth through strategic acquisitions and partnerships, expanding its capabilities and reach [7] Financial Position - Aflac concluded the third quarter of 2025 with $6.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, an increase from $6.2 billion at the end of 2024 [8] - The company maintains a strong times-interest-earned ratio of 25.39X, compared to the industry average of 20.02X [8] - Aflac has prioritized shareholder rewards, repurchasing 25.7 million shares worth $2.7 billion in the first nine months of 2025 [8]
Aflac Incorporated Announces Third Quarter Results, Reports Third Quarter Net Earnings of $1.6 Billion, Declares Fourth Quarter Dividend
Prnewswire· 2025-11-04 21:05
Core Insights - Aflac Incorporated reported strong third-quarter results for 2025, with total revenues of $4.7 billion, a significant increase from $2.9 billion in the same quarter of 2024, primarily due to net investment gains of $275 million compared to losses of $1.4 billion a year ago [2][3][19] Financial Performance - Net earnings for the third quarter of 2025 were $1.6 billion, or $3.08 per diluted share, a turnaround from net losses of $93 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, in the previous year [2][3][26] - Adjusted earnings for the third quarter were $1.3 billion, reflecting a 9.6% increase from $1.2 billion in the same quarter of 2024, with adjusted earnings per diluted share rising 15.3% to $2.49 [3][32] - For the first nine months of 2025, total revenues decreased by 9.1% to $12.3 billion, with net earnings of $2.3 billion, or $4.21 per diluted share, down from $3.5 billion, or $6.23 per diluted share, in the same period of 2024 [6][11][34] Shareholders' Equity - Shareholders' equity at the end of the third quarter was $28.7 billion, or $54.57 per share, up from $24.8 billion, or $44.60 per share, a year earlier [5][7] - The annualized return on average shareholders' equity in the third quarter was 23.5% [5] Aflac Japan Performance - In yen terms, Aflac Japan's net earned premiums were ¥245.2 billion for the quarter, a 4.0% decrease year-over-year, while adjusted net investment income was relatively flat at ¥98.0 billion [8][9] - The pretax adjusted profit margin for the Japan segment improved to 52.2%, compared to 44.7% a year ago [8] Aflac U.S. Performance - Aflac U.S. net earned premiums increased by 2.5% to $1.5 billion in the third quarter, supported by improved sales [13][14] - The pretax adjusted profit margin for the U.S. segment was 21.7%, up from 20.8% a year ago [13] Sales and New Products - Total new annualized premium sales increased by 11.8% to ¥19.6 billion, primarily driven by strong sales of the new cancer insurance product, Miraito [12] - For the first nine months, total new sales increased by 16.1% to ¥54.4 billion [12] Capital Management - The board declared a fourth-quarter dividend of $0.58 per share, with a total of $1.0 billion deployed for share repurchases in the third quarter [18][22] - The company maintains a strong commitment to capital management and liquidity, celebrating 43 consecutive years of dividend increases [22]
Rising Sales & Declining Cash Flows: The Aflac Investor Dilemma
ZACKS· 2025-09-30 14:15
Core Insights - Aflac Incorporated (AFL) is positioned for growth due to expanding sales in Japan and the U.S., a trusted brand, innovative products, strict underwriting discipline, and effective cost management [1][3][4] Sales Performance - Sales in Japan increased by 18.7% year-over-year in the first half of the year, reaching $236 million, driven by strong sales of Miraito and efforts to attract younger customers with Tsumitasu [3][9] - U.S. sales rose by 3.1% year-over-year to $649 million, with group life and disability products contributing significantly to this growth [3][9] Margin Analysis - The company anticipates pretax margins of 30-33% in Japan and 17-20% in the U.S. for 2025, with the U.S. segment achieving a 22.5% pretax margin in the second quarter due to cost-control measures [4][9] Business Resilience - Demand for supplemental insurance remains strong, as these products address coverage gaps rather than compete with traditional offerings, providing Aflac with a stable revenue stream less affected by economic fluctuations [5] Shareholder Value Initiatives - Aflac prioritized shareholder rewards, repurchasing 7.9 million shares worth $829 million in the second quarter and authorizing an additional 100 million shares for repurchase, totaling approximately 130.9 million shares remaining [6] - The company extended its dividend growth streak to 42 consecutive years in 2024, with total capital deployment reaching $2.4 billion in the first half of 2025 [6] Earnings Performance - Aflac's earnings have exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 6.6% [7] Industry Competitors - Competitors like AMERISAFE, Inc. and Globe Life Inc. are also active in the market, with AMERISAFE focusing on workers' compensation and maintaining a strong retention rate, while Globe Life benefits from steady premium income and underwriting margins [10][11]
Aflac Incorporated Announces Second Quarter Results, Reports Second Quarter Net Earnings of $599 Million, Declares Third Quarter Dividend
Prnewswire· 2025-08-05 20:05
Core Insights - Aflac Incorporated reported a significant decline in total revenues and net earnings for the second quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to net investment losses [2][3][7] Financial Performance - Total revenues for Q2 2025 were $4.2 billion, down 19.0% from $5.1 billion in Q2 2024 [2][27] - Net earnings fell to $599 million, or $1.11 per diluted share, a decrease of 65.9% from $1.8 billion, or $3.10 per diluted share, a year earlier [2][27] - Adjusted earnings for Q2 2025 were $957 million, down 7.5% from $1.0 billion in Q2 2024 [4][32] Investment Performance - The company experienced net investment losses of $421 million in Q2 2025, compared to net investment gains of $696 million in Q2 2024 [3][37] - Adjusted net investment income for Q2 2025 was $1.036 billion, a slight increase of 0.3% from $1.033 billion in Q2 2024 [38] Shareholder Equity - Shareholders' equity increased to $27.2 billion, or $50.86 per share, at June 30, 2025, compared to $26.0 billion, or $46.40 per share, at June 30, 2024 [6][39] - The annualized return on average shareholders' equity for Q2 2025 was 9.0% [6][40] Segment Performance - Aflac Japan's net earned premiums in yen decreased by 4.8% to ¥254.6 billion in Q2 2025, primarily due to internal cancer reinsurance transactions [9][10] - In dollar terms, Aflac U.S. net earned premiums increased by 3.4% to $1.5 billion in Q2 2025, reflecting improved sales and persistency [14][15] Sales and Growth - Total new annualized premium sales in Aflac Japan increased by 23.2% to ¥20.7 billion, or $143 million, in Q2 2025 [13] - Aflac U.S. sales increased by 2.7% in Q2 2025 to $340 million, benefiting from group life and disability products [16] Capital Management - The board declared a third-quarter dividend of $0.58 per share, payable on September 2, 2025 [19] - Aflac repurchased $829 million in shares during Q2 2025, with 30.9 million shares remaining authorized for repurchase [19][23]