Core Viewpoint - The analysis focuses on the performance and trading patterns of crude oil futures, particularly the United States Oil Fund ETF (USO), highlighting its recent underperformance and potential bullish signals. Group 1: Performance Analysis - The USO has underperformed the benchmark since late June [3] - A recent 15% correction from the peak during the Middle East crisis has occurred, with $64 acting as a significant support level [5] - The ETF is currently trading in the middle of the new July 6-month calendar range, which aligns with the 200-day moving average [3] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The momentum remains in a bullish divergence to price, indicating potential upward movement [3] - The ETF is above the 50-day moving average, with the 200-day moving average around $66.20 [4] - A move above the July calendar range high would be considered very bullish [3] Group 3: Trading Strategy - The safest trade is identified as one that clears the $68 level [5] - Holding above the $64 support level is seen as favorable for future performance [5]