Core Insights - TKO Group Holdings reported a revenue of $1.12 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, marking a 64.4% increase year-over-year, while EPS was $0.50, down from $0.53 in the previous year [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.08 billion by 4.13%, but the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.55 by 9.09% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Net Revenue for IMG was $336.7 million, slightly below the estimated $338.46 million [4] - Net Revenue for UFC was $325.2 million, compared to the average estimate of $342.4 million, reflecting an 8.4% year-over-year decline [4] - Net Revenue for WWE was $402.1 million, surpassing the average estimate of $348.64 million, showing a 23.2% year-over-year increase [4] - UFC Partnerships and Marketing generated $70.8 million, exceeding the estimate of $64.8 million [4] - Corporate & Other net revenues were $63.3 million, above the estimate of $60.05 million [4] - WWE Media Rights, Production, and Content revenue was $248.9 million, compared to the estimate of $217.13 million [4] - WWE Live Events and Hospitality revenue reached $82.5 million, exceeding the estimate of $64.94 million [4] - WWE Partnerships and Marketing generated $39.9 million, above the estimate of $32.38 million [4] - WWE Consumer Products Licensing and Other revenue was $30.8 million, compared to the estimate of $28.25 million [4] - UFC Live Events and Hospitality revenue was $43.6 million, slightly below the estimate of $44.79 million [4] - UFC Media Rights, Production, and Content revenue was $200.5 million, compared to the estimate of $217.88 million [4] - Eliminations reported a revenue of -$7.4 million, better than the estimate of -$14.7 million [4] Stock Performance - TKO Group's shares have returned -5.4% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by 1% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

TKO Group Holdings (NYSE:TKO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 05, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company ParticipantsAriel Emanuel - Executive Chair and CEOLawrence Epstein - SEVP and COOAndrew Schleimer - CFOBen Swinburne - Head of U.S. Media ResearchMark Shapiro - President and COOSeth Zaslow - Head of Investor RelationsConference Call ParticipantsNone - AnalystEric Handler - Managing Director and Senior Research AnalystVikram Kesavabhotla - Senior Research AnalystRyan Gravett - Associate AnalystBrandon Ross - AnalystPe ...

Core Insights - The earnings season is underway, with mixed results from various companies, highlighting resilience in consumer spending despite economic challenges [1][2][3] - Netflix's stock is under pressure due to a one-time tax expense in Brazil, leading to a 9% drop at the open, despite analysts remaining optimistic about future content and growth [1][2][3] - Beyond Meat has experienced a significant surge in stock price, up nearly 600% in three trading sessions, driven by a short squeeze, despite ongoing operational losses and declining sales [4][5][6] Company Performance - Netflix reported a strong quarter but missed earnings expectations due to an unexpected tax expense, with shares trading at approximately 45 times forward earnings [1][2][3] - Texas Instruments warned of slowing order trends, indicating potential challenges in demand [1][2] - Hilton and AT&T reported earnings beats and positive outlooks, reflecting consumer resilience [1][2] Market Trends - The market is showing resilience with strong earnings reports from various sectors, including banks and consumer goods, while meme stocks are experiencing volatility driven by retail investor interest [1][2][3] - The meme stock phenomenon is characterized by speculative trading, with stocks like Beyond Meat and Krispy Kreme seeing significant price movements due to high short interest [4][5][6][7] - Analysts suggest that the earnings growth in the current quarter may come more from underperforming sectors rather than tech and communication services [2][3] Future Outlook - Netflix's strategy of offering a range of pricing options is seen as effective, with expectations for revenue to double by the end of 2025 [2][3] - The plant-based meat market's potential is being questioned, with Beyond Meat's fundamentals not supporting its recent stock price surge [5][6][7] - The broader market may be experiencing speculative trading as investors seek opportunities in stocks with high volatility [4][5][6][7]

Core Insights - TKO Group Holdings Inc (NYSE:TKO) is identified as a trending stock amidst rising AI bubble warnings, with bullish sentiments expressed by industry experts [1] - The company owns and operates leading combat sports assets, including UFC and WWE, which are crucial for its economic performance [2] Financial Performance - Upcoming earnings for TKO are anticipated to be critical, especially in comparison to UFC's performance [2] - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including Premier Bull Riding (PBR), sports marketing agency IMG, and On Location, enhancing its portfolio [2] Market Position - TKO's core assets, UFC and WWE, continue to dominate the company's economic landscape, accounting for the majority of its financial performance [2] - The recent deal with ESPN is expected to positively impact WWE's performance, contributing to TKO's overall growth [2]

Core Insights - TKO Group Holdings is benefiting from media rights deals, additional UFC and WWE events, and rising site fees, supporting its growth outlook [1] - BTIG has named TKO Group a Top Pick, maintaining a Buy rating with a price forecast of $235, based on a sum-of-the-parts EV/EBITDA model [2] Financial Performance - UFC gate receipts in Q3 2025 totaled approximately $31 million across ten fights, down from $40 million year-over-year, aligning with expectations due to tough comparisons [3] - Premium numbered events generated $8–$11 million each, while fight night events averaged $2-$3 million, with average ticket prices ranging from $130 to $275 [4] - TKO's first major boxing event, Canelo vs. Crawford, generated around $47 million in gate receipts with an average ticket price of $670, attracting 41.4 million global livestream viewers [5] Media Rights and Revenue - TKO signed a long-term media rights deal with Paramount Skydance to stream 12 annual Zuffa Boxing events starting January 2026, following a $7.7 billion deal for UFC's U.S. domestic rights [6] - UFC's core unit economics estimate a net profit of approximately $35 million per fight in 2025, with media rights accounting for about 60% of event revenue [7] - Partnerships and marketing contribute around $7 million per fight, with live events generating about $6 million; potential upside in partnership revenue could rise 25% year-over-year in 2025 [8] Growth Projections - BTIG projects UFC revenue growth of 25-37% in 2026, with EBITDA margins between 57% and 60.5%, alongside growth in WWE and IMG segments [9] - Fiscal 2025 revenue is projected at $4.69 billion, increasing to $6.01 billion in fiscal 2026, with adjusted EBITDA expected to rise from $1.56 billion to $2.30 billion [10] Market Position - TKO remains the leading combat sports entertainment platform with strong pricing power and industry-leading margins, supported by a loyal fan base [11]

TKO Group Holdings Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: TKO Group Holdings (NYSE: TKO) - **Date**: September 10, 2025 - **Key Speaker**: Marc Shapiro, President and COO Key Industry Insights Media Rights and Partnerships - TKO has successfully renegotiated media rights deals, significantly increasing revenue streams - UFC secured a seven-year deal worth **$1.1 billion**, double the previous ESPN deal [5][6] - WWE's new media rights include a **10-year deal** for WWE Raw with Netflix and a **five-year deal** for SmackDown [6] - Paramount+ is seen as a strong partner for WWE, leveraging CBS's sports history to grow audience and brand [12][11] Revenue Growth and Financial Performance - TKO is experiencing strong financial performance with **60%+ free cash flow conversion** and projected **35% to 40% EBITDA margins** [23][23] - The company anticipates **$400 million** in global partnerships, up from **$30 million** when UFC was acquired [26] - TKO is focused on capital returns, including a **dividend increase** and a share buyback program [56][59] Live Events and Ticketing - Demand for live events remains high, with TKO optimizing ticket pricing and capacity [31] - The company is seeing record ticket yields, particularly in UFC events, with plans to replicate this success in WWE [35][37] - Upcoming events, such as WrestlePalooza, are expected to enhance brand visibility and revenue [39] Boxing and Future Opportunities - TKO is launching Zuffa Boxing, aiming for **12 to 16 fights per year** and exploring media rights for these events [20][19] - The company plans to partner with Saudi Arabia for high-profile boxing events, minimizing financial risk [18] Additional Insights Strategic Focus - TKO emphasizes a humble approach despite current successes, focusing on execution and long-term growth strategies [7] - The company is not actively pursuing acquisitions but remains open to opportunistic deals [56] Operational Efficiency - TKO maintains a lean cost structure while ensuring competitive fighter pay, which is crucial for retaining talent [48][49] - The integration of UFC and WWE operations is ongoing, with expectations for increased synergies and efficiencies [22] Market Trends - There is a growing trend towards premium experiences in live events, with consumers seeking personalized and exclusive opportunities [32][33] - TKO is capitalizing on this trend through its On Location hospitality services, enhancing the overall event experience [33] Conclusion - TKO Group Holdings is positioned for continued growth through strategic media partnerships, robust financial performance, and a focus on enhancing live event experiences. The company is committed to returning capital to shareholders while exploring new opportunities in boxing and global partnerships.

Group 1 - Baird initiated coverage on TKO Group Holdings with an Outperform rating and a $225 price target, citing strong positioning in the evolving media landscape [1] - The analysts highlighted the company's recent media rights agreements for UFC and WWE, noting that the deals provided greater visibility into long-term performance while also strengthening brand value [1] - Additional upside drivers for TKO include potential growth from boxing, site fees, dynamic pricing, and new partnerships [1] Group 2 - Baird concluded that TKO was well-positioned to capitalize on these opportunities and maintained it would remain an attractive asset for investors [2]

The deal increases Netflix’s live sports portfolio after adding the NFL and WWE. The 2026 World Baseball Classic will mark the first time Netflix will stream a live event in Japan. (Photo: Eric Espada via Getty Images) https://t.co/iyxVuG9CRw https://t.co/welFLx7o6H ...

Acquisition Deals - ESPN and Disney both struck MEGA acquisition deals this week [1] - The deals involve NFL and WWE assets [1] Industry Expert - @joepompliano provides insights on the deals [1]

Group 1 - TKO Group Holdings reported a 10% increase in total revenue for Q2, reaching $1.3 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.27 billion [1] - Diluted earnings per share rose to $1.17, up from 72 cents in the same quarter last year, exceeding the analyst target of $1.09 [1] - WWE revenue increased by $99.4 million to $556.2 million, while UFC revenue grew by $21.5 million to $415.9 million [2] Group 2 - The WWE's Wrestlemania event in April set multiple records for global viewership, contributing significantly to revenue growth [2] - TKO announced a new rights deal with ESPN for 10 annual "premium live events," generating $1.6 billion, a substantial increase from the $900 million deal with NBCUniversal in 2020 [4] - TKO is increasing its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $4.63 billion to $4.69 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $1.54 billion and $1.56 billion [5]