Core Insights - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) anticipates a decline in earnings for Q2 2025 due to lower oil and natural gas prices, which is a significant concern given the company's reliance on exploration and production activities [1][3] Price Trends - The average spot prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude were $63.54, $62.17, and $68.17 per barrel for April, May, and June respectively, indicating a decline from Q1 prices which averaged $75.74, $71.53, and $68.24 per barrel [2] - Natural gas prices have also shown a similar downward trend, impacting the overall pricing environment for the energy sector [2] Earnings Impact - XOM forecasts that lower oil prices will reduce its upstream earnings by $800 million to $1.2 billion, while changes in gas prices could decrease upstream profit by $300 million to $700 million, leading to an expected earnings per share (EPS) of $1.47 for Q2, a decline of nearly 31% year over year [3][7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) is $2.13 per share for Q2, reflecting a 33% year-over-year decline, while ConocoPhillips (COP) is estimated at $1.44 per share, indicating a 27.3% decline [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - XOM shares have increased by 3.7% over the past year, contrasting with a slight decline of 0.6% in the broader industry [6] - XOM's current trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio stands at 6.89X, which is above the industry average of 4.16X [8] Earnings Estimates Revision - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for XOM's earnings for 2025 has been revised upward in the past week, with current estimates for Q2 at $1.47, next quarter at $1.48, and the current year at $6.33 [10][11]

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Key Takeaways XOM's upstream earnings are under pressure due to a more than 7% drop in WTI crude prices this year. Despite falling oil prices, XOM's low-cost Permian operations help shield it from outright upstream losses. XOM trades at a 6.65X EV/EBITDA, higher than the industry average, with shares up 1.5% year to date.Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) generates a significant portion of its earnings from the upstream business, which is positively correlated with oil prices. Given that the price of West Texa ...

Oil prices prices have been volatile today amid a slew of updates, moving higher after reports that Israel is preparing to strike Iran, and back lower following bearish crude data out of the U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was last seen down 0.7% at $61.62, adding to its 14.3% year-to-date deficit amid geopolitical tensions and potential trade disruptions. Amidst this choppiness, keep these three oil stocks on your radar. The shares of Pennsylvania-based EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT) hit an 11-year high of $ ...

ConocoPhillips (COP) is set to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 8, before the opening bell. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings is pegged at $1.99 per share, implying a decline of 2% from the year-ago reported number. Two analysts revised the estimate upward in the past seven days. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues is currently pegged at $16.4 billion, suggesting an improvement of 13.1% from the year-ago actuals. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research COP beat ...