Core Insights - Wingstop reported a decline in same-store sales of 5.6% for the third quarter, which was more than anticipated, and lowered its full-year guidance, yet the company continues to expand aggressively with a record 114 openings this quarter, aiming for over 10,000 locations globally [1][3][9] Company Performance - The company has experienced two years of strong same-store sales growth of nearly 40%, but is now facing broader consumer pressures, particularly among lower-income and middle-income demographics [3][4] - Despite the decline in same-store sales, the company sees strength in brand health metrics, particularly in the dinner segment, which grew during the third quarter [5][6] Growth Strategy - Wingstop is focusing on long-term growth strategies, including the rollout of the Wingstop Smart Kitchen and a new advertising campaign, with plans to launch a loyalty program by the second quarter of 2026 [6][7] - The company anticipates growth in 2026 that is not heavily reliant on changes in the macroeconomic environment [7] Expansion Plans - Wingstop is on track to open between 475 and 485 new restaurants this year, with a goal of reaching 3,000 restaurants by the end of the fourth quarter [9][10] - The company has entered five new countries this year and plans to enter three more by early 2026, with a long-term opportunity of over 1,000 restaurants in India [14][15] Operational Efficiency - The new kitchen operating platform has shown positive results, with same-store sales growth spreading across the system, indicating a long-term opportunity for operational improvements [12][13] - The company is not planning to reduce prices, focusing instead on quality and maintaining brand strength in the face of industry-wide pricing challenges [16][18]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - System-wide sales grew by 13%, exceeding $5 billion on a trailing 12-month basis [5] - Total revenue increased by 8.1% to $175.7 million compared to the prior year [24] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $63.6 million in Q3, marking a 19% year-over-year increase and the highest single quarter on record [26] - Adjusted earnings per diluted share rose by 15.6% to $1.09, despite a 24% impact from additional interest expense [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic same-store sales declined by 5.6% in Q3, following two years of strong growth [7][24] - Company-owned restaurants outperformed the broader system with same-store sales growth of 3.8% [25] - Domestic average unit volumes (AUVs) reached $2.1 million, with industry-leading unlevered cash-on-cash returns exceeding 70% [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 369 net new restaurants in the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a 19% unit growth rate [5][24] - The Southwest region, which has the highest concentration of the new kitchen operating platform, showed mid-single-digit same-store sales growth compared to the U.S. average [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand to over 10,000 restaurants globally, with a focus on executing a national rollout of the new kitchen operating platform [5][19] - A new marketing campaign is designed to increase brand awareness and attract new customers, targeting a demand space where the company currently captures only 2% [11][12] - The launch of a loyalty program, Club Wingstop, is expected to enhance customer engagement and drive sales [13][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a temporary decline in same-store sales due to broader industry trends but expressed confidence in the brand's fundamentals and strategies [7][28] - The company expects to return to same-store sales growth in 2026, supported by the new kitchen operating platform and marketing initiatives [28][39] - Management highlighted the strong demand from brand partners for new restaurant openings, indicating confidence in the unit economic model [24][29] Other Important Information - The company has raised nearly $3.5 million for St. Jude Children's Research Hospital as part of its community engagement efforts [18] - SG&A expenses decreased by $1.6 million to $30.7 million, reflecting lower headcount-related expenses [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for same-store sales in Q4? - Management acknowledged near-term choppiness but noted stabilization in trends as they entered Q4, with a focus on long-term investments [34][35] Question: What are the key drivers for returning to positive same-store sales in 2026? - Management cited the impact of the Smart Kitchen rollout, the upcoming loyalty program, and a new advertising campaign as catalysts for growth [36][39] Question: How is the Smart Kitchen performing in terms of sales? - The Southwest region, with the highest concentration of Smart Kitchen, is seeing positive comps and improved guest satisfaction scores [41][43] Question: What is the cannibalization impact from new restaurant openings? - Cannibalization has been around 1% in comps, with recent openings in new markets affecting performance due to high initial sales [46][47] Question: How does the company plan to emphasize value in the current environment? - Management stated that the company does not need to rely heavily on promotions, focusing instead on protecting unit economics and long-term strategies [53][55] Question: What is the strategy for the new advertising campaign? - The campaign aims to showcase how Wingstop fits into everyday life moments, targeting a broader audience to increase brand awareness [60][62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - System-wide sales grew by 13%, exceeding $5 billion on a trailing 12-month basis [5] - Total revenue increased by 8.1% to $175.7 million compared to the prior year [23] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $63.6 million in Q3, marking a 19% year-over-year increase [25] - Adjusted earnings per diluted share rose by 15.6% to $1.09 [25] - Domestic average unit volumes (AUVs) are now at $2.1 million, with cash-on-cash returns exceeding 70% [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 369 net new restaurants in the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a 19% unit growth rate [5][22] - Company-owned restaurants delivered same-store sales growth of 3.8%, outperforming the broader system [23] - The new kitchen operating platform, Wingstop Smart Kitchen, is live in over 2,000 restaurants, showing a 50% reduction in service speed [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Same-store sales declined by 5.6% in Q3, attributed to broader industry trends affecting various consumer demographics [7][23] - The company is experiencing record demand for new development, with over 70 unique brand partners opening restaurants in more than 100 different markets [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand to over 10,000 restaurants globally, with a mid-teens unit growth rate expected for 2026 [17][29] - Strategic investments include the rollout of the Wingstop Smart Kitchen, a new marketing campaign, and the launch of a loyalty program named Club Wingstop [10][13][15] - The marketing campaign targets a broader consumer base, aiming to increase brand awareness and consideration from 2% to 20% in the core demand space [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges near-term challenges but remains confident in the brand's fundamentals and long-term growth strategies [7][27] - The company expects to return to same-store sales growth in 2026, supported by the new kitchen platform and loyalty program [27][36] - Management emphasizes the importance of protecting unit economics while navigating the current consumer environment [50][63] Other Important Information - The company has raised nearly $3.5 million for St. Jude Children's Research Hospital as part of its community engagement efforts [18] - A quarterly dividend of 30 cents per share will be paid on December 12, 2025, reflecting the company's strong pre-capex position [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Comp outlook for Q4 - Management acknowledges near-term choppiness but sees stabilization in trends as Q4 progresses [32] Question: Path to positive comps in 2026 - Management cites the impact of the Smart Kitchen rollout, loyalty program, and new advertising campaign as key drivers for returning to positive comps [34][36] Question: Incrementality of Smart Kitchen - Management believes the new operating standard will enhance guest satisfaction and drive sales as more restaurants adopt the Smart Kitchen [39] Question: Cannibalization impact - Cannibalization has been minimal, typically around 1% in comps, with recent openings performing well above system averages [42][44] Question: Value proposition and promotions - Management focuses on maintaining strong unit economics and does not feel pressured to engage in heavy discounting [50] Question: Awareness and brand health - There remains a significant gap in brand awareness compared to larger QSR brands, presenting an opportunity for growth [73] Question: New ad campaign testing - Early feedback on the new campaign has been positive, indicating it resonates well with consumers [77] Question: Expansion in India - The company has finalized an agreement for expansion in India, targeting over 1,000 restaurants with a proven operator [78]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - System-wide sales grew by 13%, exceeding $5 billion on a trailing 12-month basis [4] - Total revenue increased by 8.1% to $175.7 million compared to the prior year [20] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $63.6 million in Q3, marking a 19% year-over-year increase and the highest single quarter on record [23] - Adjusted earnings per diluted share increased by 15.6% to $1.09 [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic same-store sales declined by 5.6% in Q3, following two years of strong growth [5][20] - Company-owned restaurants delivered same-store sales growth of 3.8%, outperforming the broader system [20][21] - Domestic average unit volumes (AUVs) are now at $2.1 million, with cash-on-cash returns exceeding 70% [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 369 net new restaurants in the first three quarters of 2025, achieving a 19% unit growth rate [4][19] - The development pipeline remains at a record level, indicating strong demand from brand partners [16] - International expansion includes openings in several countries, with a significant opportunity in India for over 1,000 restaurants [15][59] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to scale towards over 10,000 Wingstop restaurants globally [4][14] - Key strategic investments include the new kitchen operating platform, a marketing campaign targeting new guests, and the launch of a loyalty program [9][12][25] - The company is focused on maintaining industry-leading unit economics while expanding its footprint [17][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged a temporary decline in same-store sales due to broader industry trends but remains confident in the brand's fundamentals [5][25] - The company expects to return to same-store sales growth in 2026, supported by strategic initiatives [25][33] - Management highlighted the importance of operationalizing the new kitchen platform and launching the loyalty program to drive future growth [51][53] Other Important Information - The company has raised nearly $3.5 million for St. Jude Children's Research Hospital through its partnership [16] - A quarterly dividend of 30 cents per share will be paid on December 12, 2025, totaling approximately $8.3 million [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for Q4 same-store sales? - Management acknowledged near-term choppiness but noted stabilization in trends as they entered Q4, with growth in key segments like dinner [30][31] Question: What are the key drivers for returning to positive comps in 2026? - Management cited the rollout of the Smart Kitchen, the loyalty program, and a new advertising campaign as catalysts for growth [32][33] Question: How long will it take to see benefits from the Smart Kitchen across franchise stores? - Management indicated that as more restaurants implement the Smart Kitchen, improvements in guest satisfaction and sales are expected to follow [35][36] Question: What is the impact of cannibalization on new restaurant openings? - Management noted that cannibalization has typically been around 1% and is more pronounced in high-volume areas [38] Question: How does the company plan to emphasize value in the current environment? - Management stated that the company does not feel pressured to discount due to strong unit economics and is focused on long-term strategies [43] Question: What is the significance of the new ad campaign? - Management expressed confidence in the campaign's ability to resonate with consumers and drive brand awareness [58]

Core Insights - Wingstop reported Q2 FY2025 adjusted earnings per share of $1.00, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.87, while GAAP revenue reached $174.3 million, slightly above the forecast of $173.71 million [1][2] - The company experienced a 1.9% decline in domestic same store sales, marking the first negative growth in over 20 years, despite strong adjusted earnings and rapid expansion [1][7] - Wingstop raised its quarterly dividend by 11% to $0.30 per share, indicating a commitment to returning capital to shareholders [11] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 FY2025 was $59.2 million, reflecting a 14.3% increase year-over-year [2][6] - System-wide sales grew by 13.9% to $1.34 billion, supported by a 12.0% rise in GAAP revenue compared to the previous year [2][6] - The company added 129 new restaurant units, bringing the total to 2,818, a 19.8% increase from the prior year [5] Business Model and Strategy - Wingstop operates a highly franchised, asset-light business model, with nearly 98% of its locations run by independent franchisees [3][5] - The company focuses on a limited menu of chicken wings and sandwiches, emphasizing customization and omnichannel ordering [3] - Recent corporate priorities include global expansion, investment in digital ordering, and enhancing franchisee economics [4] Consumer Trends and Challenges - The decline in domestic same store sales was attributed to pullbacks among lower-income and Hispanic consumer segments, with company-owned stores showing a 3.6% positive growth [7] - The introduction of new menu items like tenders and chicken sandwiches has attracted individual eaters, potentially leading to higher future group orders [9] International Expansion - Wingstop opened a record 21 new international locations, increasing its international store count to 407, with strong performance in new markets like Kuwait and Puerto Rico [8] Technological Initiatives - The "Wingstop Smart Kitchen" project aims to enhance operational efficiency through AI-driven demand forecasting and improved guest experience, with early pilot results showing a 5% increase in conversion rates [10] Future Outlook - For FY2025, the company raised its global unit growth guidance to 17-18%, while same store sales growth in the U.S. is expected to remain flat at around 1% [11] - Interest expense guidance was adjusted to $39 million for FY2025, reflecting balance sheet improvements [11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - System-wide sales increased by 13.9% to $1.3 billion, while same-store sales declined by 1.9% for the quarter [7][25] - Total revenue increased by 12% to $174.3 million compared to the prior year [25] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 14.3% to $59.2 million, and adjusted EPS was $1 per diluted share, a 1.6% increase year-over-year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Company-owned restaurant sales increased by $2.6 million due to same-store sales growth of 3.6% [25] - Cost of sales as a percentage of company-owned sales was 75.2%, a decline of 70 basis points [26] - The implementation of the Wingstop Smart Kitchen has led to a consistent average ticket time of ten minutes [26][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 129 net new restaurants globally in the second quarter, marking a nearly 20% growth rate [9][20] - The international business is showing strong demand, with new restaurants in Sydney and Paris exceeding expectations [21][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to scale brand awareness, drive menu innovation, expand delivery channels, and invest in digital transformation [9][19] - The long-term target is to achieve average unit volumes (AUVs) of $3 million, supported by the success of the Wingstop Smart Kitchen [17][19] - The company has updated its guidance for unit growth to 17% to 18% for 2025, reflecting strong demand from brand partners [20][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged uncertainty in consumer behavior and spending habits but remains focused on executing strategies [10][22] - The company expects to return to positive same-store sales growth as the year progresses, particularly in the latter half of the third quarter [38][86] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term strategies and the potential of the Wingstop Smart Kitchen to enhance operational efficiency [41][43] Other Important Information - The company has increased its quarterly dividend from $0.27 to $0.30 per share, reflecting the strength of its business model [28] - The digital database has grown by 30%, now approaching 60 million, which will support the upcoming loyalty program [18][56] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on third quarter guidance - Management noted some softness in consumer demand but expects to return to growth as comparisons ease in the latter half of the third quarter [36][38] Question: Impact of Smart Kitchen on sales - Early results from the Smart Kitchen indicate improvements in speed and guest satisfaction, with sales outperformance noted in the Dallas Fort Worth market [41][43] Question: Unit growth and franchisee demand - The company is encouraged by the pace of development and the record level of sold commitments, indicating strong franchisee demand [46][50] Question: Details on the loyalty program - The loyalty program is designed to create an emotional connection with guests, leveraging insights from the growing digital database [56][57] Question: Impact of value deals on customer behavior - The 20 for 20 bundle performed well, leading to higher average checks and demonstrating the company's ability to offer value without sacrificing margins [62][63] Question: Changes in delivery mix with Smart Kitchen - Restaurants with Smart Kitchen are seeing mid-single-digit growth in delivery sales, indicating improved performance [69] Question: Future unit growth normalization - Management is focused on disciplined and sustainable growth, with a strong pipeline of sold commitments supporting future expansion [98][100]

Core Insights - Wingstop Inc.'s earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 have increased by 0.5% to $3.90 per share and 0.8% to $5.03 per share, reflecting year-over-year growth of 6.6% and 29% respectively [1][2] Financial Performance - WING stock has surged 50.2% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry, the broader Retail-Wholesale sector, and the S&P 500 index [3] - The fiscal 2025 EPS estimates indicate a 6.6% year-over-year growth, supported by the new AI-powered Smart Kitchen, which has halved order times and is now implemented in over 200 locations [7][10] Strategic Initiatives - The newly developed Wingstop Smart Kitchen aims to enhance guest visits and delivery times, featuring AI-driven demand forecasting and a customer-facing order tracking system [9] - Wingstop is focusing on menu innovation, digital enhancements, and expanding delivery channels to drive brand awareness and guest traffic, including a recent pop-up bar in Brooklyn dedicated to chicken tenders [12] Shareholder Value - The company has initiated a share repurchase program, retiring 2,196,768 shares at an average price of $258.58 per share, and declared a quarterly dividend of 27 cents per share, totaling approximately $7.5 million [13][14] Market Position - WING is trading above both its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating strong market sentiment and confidence in its financial health [15] - The stock is currently trading at a premium compared to industry peers on a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio basis, reflecting strong market potential [16][17] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts show optimism for WING stock, with 15 out of 23 recommendations indicating a "Strong Buy" and two indicating a "Buy," representing 65.2% and 8.7% of all recommendations respectively [19]