Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for CSPC Pharmaceutical, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [15]. Core Insights - CSPC's total revenue is projected to decline by 7.8% YoY to RMB29.0 billion in FY24, primarily due to significant drops in oncology and cardiovascular drug sales [7]. - The company anticipates a return to positive organic revenue growth in FY2025, driven by new product launches and business development (BD) initiatives [7]. - CSPC has made substantial progress in out-licensing innovative assets, aiming to secure 3-4 out-licensing deals annually to generate recurring revenue [7]. - The target price for CSPC is revised to HK$5.71 from HK$5.97, reflecting a 15.5% upside from the current price of HK$4.94 [3][7]. Financial Summary - Revenue for FY23 is reported at RMB31,450 million, with a slight YoY growth of 1.7%, while FY24 revenue is expected to drop to RMB29,009 million [2][12]. - Net profit for FY23 is RMB6,072.7 million, showing a decline of 2.6% YoY, with further expected declines in FY24 to RMB4,338.8 million [2][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY23 is reported at RMB0.49, with projections of RMB0.37 for FY24 [2][12]. Business Development and Pipeline - CSPC's business development efforts are expected to create a sustainable revenue stream, with a robust pipeline of 40-50 assets identified for out-licensing potential [7]. - The company is focusing on clinical trials for its EGFR ADC (SYS6010), which is currently in Phase 3 development globally [7]. Market Performance - CSPC's market capitalization is reported at HK$58,871 million, with a 52-week high of HK$7.12 and a low of HK$4.34 [3]. - The stock has shown a 1-month absolute performance of 4.9% and a 3-month performance of 3.3% [5].

Core Viewpoint - HengRui Medicine has entered into a licensing agreement with Merck to develop and commercialize the HRS-5346 project, a significant move in the pharmaceutical industry targeting Lp(a) as a cardiovascular risk factor [1][2]. Group 1: Licensing Agreement Details - The agreement allows Merck exclusive rights to develop, produce, and commercialize HRS-5346 outside Greater China, with an upfront payment of $200 million and potential milestone payments of up to $1.77 billion, plus sales royalties [1]. - The agreement is expected to take effect in the second quarter, but the approval and milestone payment timelines for HRS-5346 remain uncertain [1]. Group 2: Lp(a) and Cardiovascular Disease - Elevated Lp(a) is an independent risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), affecting approximately 1.4 billion people globally, with traditional medications showing limited efficacy in lowering Lp(a) levels [2][3]. - Current treatments, including statins and PCSK9 inhibitors, have limited impact on Lp(a), necessitating the development of targeted therapies [2][3]. Group 3: HRS-5346 and Market Potential - HRS-5346 works by blocking the covalent binding of apolipoprotein(a) with low-density lipoprotein (LDL), significantly reducing Lp(a) levels and improving atherosclerosis risk [3]. - As an oral small molecule drug, HRS-5346 offers better patient compliance and has the potential to become a market breakthrough [3]. Group 4: Industry Trends and Competitors - The development of Lp(a) inhibitors signifies a shift in cardiovascular treatment from broad lipid-lowering strategies to precision-targeted therapies, with several companies, including Novartis and Eli Lilly, advancing their own Lp(a) targeting drugs [4]. - Other domestic companies such as Jingxin Pharmaceutical, Xinlitai, WuXi AppTec, and Shiyao Group are also exploring this target, currently in preclinical stages [4].