ZT9H系列碳纤维产品

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中简科技(300777):24年业绩稳健增长,ZT9H系列需求攀升推动增长
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-18 08:23
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, which is recognized as a leading domestic aerospace high-end carbon fiber enterprise [3]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth from 10.25 billion to 14.62 billion CNY and net profit growth from 4.57 billion to 6.56 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, supported by capacity expansion and stable customer relationships [3]. - The ZT9H series of carbon fiber products is anticipated to see a significant increase in demand in 2025, with ongoing negotiations for new contracts with clients [4]. - The company reported a revenue of 8.12 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 45.39%, and a net profit of 3.56 billion CNY, up 23.16% year-on-year [6]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A: 559 million CNY, 2024A: 812 million CNY, 2025E: 1,025 million CNY, 2026E: 1,245 million CNY, and 2027E: 1,462 million CNY, with respective growth rates of -29.90%, 45.39%, 26.21%, 21.37%, and 17.50% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 289 million CNY in 2023A, increasing to 656 million CNY by 2027E, with growth rates of -51.44%, 23.16%, 28.27%, 21.77%, and 17.99% [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.66 CNY in 2023A to 1.49 CNY in 2027E, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 45.20 to 22.30 [2]. - The gross margin is projected to be 63.12% in 2024, with a slight decline expected due to production ramp-up and fixed cost absorption [5].