Core Viewpoint - The carbon fiber industry is showing signs of recovery in the first half of the year, with most companies reporting positive revenue growth after a challenging two years due to supply-demand mismatches and weak downstream demand [1]. Industry Overview - The recovery is attributed to technological breakthroughs and the advancement of large and small tow fibers, leading to a more complete industrial chain [1]. - Rapid release of downstream demand, particularly in the high-value aerospace market and the emerging low-altitude economy represented by eVTOL, is driving growth [1]. - Significant demand for carbon fiber in the wind power sector and the electric vehicle industry is also noted, with carbon fiber structural components and carbon-ceramic brake discs gaining traction [1]. Company Performance - **Zhongjian Technology**: Achieved revenue of 464 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.46%, and net profit of 208 million yuan, up 99.15% [2]. - **Zhongfu Shenying**: Reported revenue of 922 million yuan, a 25.86% increase, with net profit of 11.93 million yuan. Notable sales growth in small tow products and significant increases in the wind power sector [3]. - **Jilin Chemical Fiber**: Revenue of approximately 2.635 billion yuan, a 48.39% increase, with carbon fiber product revenue soaring by 368.31% [3]. - **Guangwei Composites**: Revenue of 1.201 billion yuan, a 3.87% increase, with a notable 47.95% growth in the new energy sector [4]. - **AVIC High-tech**: Revenue of 2.747 billion yuan, a 7.87% increase, focusing on aerospace new materials and advanced manufacturing technologies [4]. - **Shanghai Petrochemical**: Revenue of 39.5 billion yuan, a 9.17% decrease, but plans to enhance carbon fiber production and expand applications in various sectors [4]. - **Jinggong Technology**: Revenue of 1.061 billion yuan, a 10.31% increase, with a significant portion from carbon fiber equipment [4]. - **Jinbo Co., Ltd.**: Revenue of 411 million yuan, a 19.69% increase, with positive prospects in carbon/ceramic brake discs due to the rapid development of the new energy vehicle sector [4]. - **Boyun New Materials**: Revenue of 396 million yuan, a 30.98% increase, with a significant contribution from aerospace applications [5]. - **Chuangjiang New Materials**: Revenue of 28.803 billion yuan, a 16.05% increase, with net profit of 251 million yuan, driven by effective capacity release and product upgrades [6]. Market Trends - The carbon fiber industry's recovery is supported by the release of application-side demand, with companies like Zhongfu Shenying and Shanghai Petrochemical planning expansions [6]. - The industry is experiencing a phase of technological advancement and application expansion, indicating a clear trend towards recovery and growth [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns [6]. Core Views - The company plans to invest 1.402 billion yuan to build a high-performance carbon fiber production project with an annual capacity of 2,000 tons, expected to generate annual sales revenue of 1.588 billion yuan and a net profit of 773.74 million yuan upon reaching full capacity [1]. - The demand for carbon fiber is on the rise, particularly in the aerospace sector, with a projected global demand of 156,100 tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.7% [3]. - The company has achieved advanced performance levels in its aerospace-grade carbon fiber products, enabling domestic substitution and meeting national strategic needs [2]. Summary by Sections Investment Project - The company is set to invest 1.402 billion yuan in a project to produce high-performance carbon fiber, with a construction period of three years and a full production rate expected by the seventh year [1]. Market Demand - The aerospace and military sectors are expected to see a 20% increase in carbon fiber demand in 2024, with the total demand in China reaching 84,000 tons, a 21.7% increase year-on-year [3]. Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 483 million yuan, 609 million yuan, and 705 million yuan respectively, reflecting significant growth [3][5]. - The report forecasts a recovery in downstream demand, leading to an upward revision of profit estimates for 2025-2026 [3]. Competitive Position - The company is positioned as a core supplier of high-end carbon fiber for aerospace applications, with a strong focus on expanding production capacity to meet growing market needs [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company plans to invest 1.402 billion yuan to build a high-performance carbon fiber production project, with an annual capacity of 2,000 tons, expected to achieve full production in the seventh year [1]. - The demand for carbon fiber is continuously improving, particularly in the aerospace sector, which is projected to grow significantly [3]. - The company has achieved advanced performance levels in its aerospace-grade carbon fiber products, enabling domestic substitution and meeting national strategic needs [2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Project - The company is investing in a high-performance carbon fiber project with a total investment of 1.402 billion yuan, aiming for an annual sales revenue of 1.588 billion yuan and a net profit of 773.74 million yuan upon reaching full capacity [1]. Market Demand - Global carbon fiber demand is expected to reach 156,100 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 35.7%, with the aerospace and military sectors accounting for 26,400 tons, a 20% increase [3]. - In China, the total carbon fiber demand is projected to be 84,000 tons in 2024, reflecting a 21.7% growth [3]. Financial Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 483 million yuan, 609 million yuan, and 705 million yuan, respectively, with significant upward adjustments of 17.5% and 30.3% for 2025 and 2026 [3]. - The report provides a detailed financial outlook, including revenue growth rates and profit margins, indicating a recovery in demand and profitability [5][11]. Competitive Position - The company is positioned as a core supplier of high-end carbon fiber for aerospace applications, with a strong focus on expanding production capacity to meet growing market needs [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The company Zhongjian Technology (300777.SZ) is planning a significant expansion with an investment of approximately 1.4 billion yuan to build a 2,000 tons/year high-performance carbon fiber production project, aiming to enhance its supply capacity and meet increasing customer demand [1][5]. Group 1: Expansion Plans - The company has approved an investment of about 1.4 billion yuan for the construction of a high-performance carbon fiber project, which will enhance its production capacity and improve its supply chain [1][5]. - The project is expected to reach a 100% production capacity by the seventh year, generating an estimated annual revenue of approximately 1.6 billion yuan and a net profit of 770 million yuan [2][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first quarter of this year, the company reported a revenue of 239 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.89%, and a net profit of 113 million yuan, up 91.29% [8]. - The operating cash flow for the first quarter was 176 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of about 6,508.73% year-on-year, indicating strong customer demand and effective cash collection [3][9]. Group 3: Market Position and Competitiveness - The company has developed domestic ZT7 and ZT9 series carbon fiber products that meet international standards, breaking the technological barriers imposed by developed countries [5]. - The company’s financial health is robust, with a debt ratio of only 6.31% and sufficient cash reserves to support the expansion plans [11].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, which is recognized as a leading domestic aerospace high-end carbon fiber enterprise [3]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth from 10.25 billion to 14.62 billion CNY and net profit growth from 4.57 billion to 6.56 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, supported by capacity expansion and stable customer relationships [3]. - The ZT9H series of carbon fiber products is anticipated to see a significant increase in demand in 2025, with ongoing negotiations for new contracts with clients [4]. - The company reported a revenue of 8.12 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 45.39%, and a net profit of 3.56 billion CNY, up 23.16% year-on-year [6]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A: 559 million CNY, 2024A: 812 million CNY, 2025E: 1,025 million CNY, 2026E: 1,245 million CNY, and 2027E: 1,462 million CNY, with respective growth rates of -29.90%, 45.39%, 26.21%, 21.37%, and 17.50% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 289 million CNY in 2023A, increasing to 656 million CNY by 2027E, with growth rates of -51.44%, 23.16%, 28.27%, 21.77%, and 17.99% [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.66 CNY in 2023A to 1.49 CNY in 2027E, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 45.20 to 22.30 [2]. - The gross margin is projected to be 63.12% in 2024, with a slight decline expected due to production ramp-up and fixed cost absorption [5].