May NY world sugar #11 (SBK26) on Tuesday closed up +0.26 (+1.83%), and May London ICE white sugar #5 (SWK26) closed up +12.30 (+2.97%). Sugar prices moved higher on Tuesday, with London sugar posting a 1-week high as higher crude oil prices encourage the world's sugar mills to boost ethanol production at the expense of sugar.   WTI crude (CLJ26) rose by more than +2% on Tuesday, boosting ethanol prices and potentially prompting the world's sugar mills to divert more cane crushing toward sugar production ...

Core Viewpoint - REX American Resources Corporation will report its fiscal fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 results on March 26, 2026, and will host a conference call and webcast to discuss these results [1]. Group 1: Financial Reporting - The company will announce its fiscal fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 operational and financial results on March 26, 2026, before the market opens [1]. - A conference call and webcast will take place at 11:00 a.m. ET on the same day to review the results [1]. - Interested parties can access the conference call by dialing (877) 269-7751 (US) or (201) 389-0908 (international) [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - REX American Resources has interests in six ethanol production facilities with a total production capacity of approximately 730 million gallons per year [1]. - The company's effective ownership of annual production volumes is around 300 million gallons [1].

Core Viewpoint - Valero Energy Corporation has priced a public offering of $850 million in 5.150% Senior Notes due 2036, with the offering expected to close on March 10, 2026, subject to customary closing conditions [1]. Group 1: Notes Offering Details - The offering consists of $850,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 5.150% Senior Notes due 2036 [1]. - Proceeds from the offering will be used for general corporate purposes, including the repayment and redemption of existing debt [1]. - The offering is managed by SMBC Nikko Securities America, Citigroup Global Markets, MUFG Securities Americas, and Wells Fargo Securities [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - Valero Energy Corporation is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products [1]. - The company operates 15 petroleum refineries with a combined throughput capacity of approximately 3.2 million barrels per day [1]. - Valero is involved in producing low-carbon fuels through its joint venture in Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC, with a production capacity of about 1.2 billion gallons per year [1].

May NY world sugar #11 (SBK26) today is up +0.06 (+0.43%), and May London ICE white sugar #5 (SWK26) is up +1.70 (+0.41%). Sugar prices are moving higher today, supported by surging crude oil prices.  WTI crude (CLJ26) is up more than +6% today to an 8.5-month high, which benefits ethanol prices and may prompt the world's sugar producers to divert more cane crushing toward ethanol production rather than sugar, thus reducing sugar supplies.  Gains in sugar are limited due to today's rally in the dollar ind ...

Raw sugar futures briefly extended gains after the Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s global tariffs, as the move could allow top producer Brazil to export more sugar and ethanol to the US https://t.co/dEXWFFnCUK ...

Core Insights - The company reported a record level of earnings per share in the fourth quarter, driven by strong performance in renewables and effective execution in agribusiness [4][7] - Full-year adjusted EBITDA decreased to $337 million from $363 million in 2024, while quarterly adjusted EBITDA improved to $137 million from $117 million year-over-year [1][3] Financial Performance - Fourth-quarter gross profit increased by 8% year-over-year to $231 million, attributed to higher volume and margins in renewables and the acquisition of Skyland Grain [2] - Net income for the fourth quarter was $67 million, or $1.97 per diluted share, with adjusted net income rising to $70 million, or $2.04 per diluted share, compared to $47 million, or $1.36 per diluted share, in the same quarter of 2024 [3][7] - Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital was $110 million in the fourth quarter, up from $100 million a year earlier, while full-year cash flow was $278 million, down from $323 million in 2024 [8] Segment Performance - Agribusiness reported fourth-quarter pre-tax income of $46 million, down from $56 million in 2024, with adjusted EBITDA of $80 million compared to $88 million a year ago [11][13] - Renewables generated fourth-quarter pre-tax income of $54 million, significantly up from $17 million in the same quarter of 2024, with renewables EBITDA reaching $69 million, up from $41 million [6][15] Strategic Initiatives - The company outlined growth projects, including a 30 million gallon expansion in Climer, Indiana, and upgrades at the Port of Houston, with expectations for improved agribusiness results and strong ethanol demand in 2026 [5][16] - Management emphasized a commitment to profitable growth in both agribusiness and renewables, with plans for additional investments and infrastructure improvements [16][17] Market Outlook - The company anticipates better financial results in agribusiness for 2026, driven by more certainty in global grain markets and strong demand for ethanol [17][20] - Long-term targets were updated, with expectations to exit 2026 with run-rate EPS above $4.30 and a long-range target of $7 by the end of 2028 [21]

Core Insights - The Andersons, Inc. reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.04 per share, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.56, while revenue was below forecasts at $2.54 billion compared to the expected $3.28 billion [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted net income reached a record $70 million for the quarter, driven by strong contributions from the Renewables and Agribusiness segments [2] - Adjusted EBITDA increased to $136.5 million from $116.5 million in the prior-year quarter, despite a revenue decline from $3.12 billion to $2.54 billion [3] Segment Contributions - The Renewables segment generated pretax income of $54 million, benefiting from improved ethanol board crush margins of $0.15 per gallon year over year and $15 million in 45Z tax credits [4] - Agribusiness contributed $46 million in pretax income, supported by favorable basis appreciation in corn and sorghum during a record corn harvest season [4] Full-Year Performance - For the full year 2025, adjusted earnings were reported at $3.23 per share with adjusted EBITDA of $337.3 million, compared to $3.40 per share and $363.4 million in 2024 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining & Marketing industry faces significant challenges due to margin volatility and rising operational costs, yet it has outperformed the broader energy sector and S&P 500 over the past year, presenting selective investment opportunities in companies like Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum, and Valero Energy [1][10]. Industry Overview - The industry includes companies that refine petroleum products and non-energy materials, with profitability heavily influenced by refining margins, inventory levels, and demand patterns [2]. - Refining margins are volatile and affected by various factors including crude prices, product demand, and regional capacity utilization [2]. Trends Defining the Industry's Future - Margin volatility and demand uncertainty are persistent risks, with crack spreads subject to rapid changes due to external factors like weather and refinery operations [3]. - Operational flexibility and strong export linkages are crucial for managing volatility, allowing refiners to optimize yields and respond to market demands effectively [4]. - Rising costs and regulatory pressures pose challenges, with maintenance and compliance expenses increasing, which can compress margins and create operational risks [5]. Industry Rank and Outlook - The industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 197, placing it in the bottom 19% of 243 Zacks industries, indicating a bearish outlook [7]. - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downward, with a 17.5% decrease in the industry's earnings estimate for 2026 over the past year [8]. Performance Metrics - The industry has increased by 24.7% over the past year, outperforming the broader energy sector's 17% increase and the S&P 500's 16.8% gain [10]. - The current EV/EBITDA ratio for the industry is 5.05X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 17.20X and the sector's 6.07X [13]. Company Highlights - **Phillips 66**: A major independent refiner with a refining capacity of nearly 2 million barrels per day, expected EPS growth rate of 25%, and shares have gained 21.6% in a year [16][17]. - **Marathon Petroleum**: A significant independent refiner with access to lower-cost crude, expected EPS growth of 18.8%, and shares have increased by 31.5% in a year [19][20]. - **Valero Energy**: Operates 15 refineries with a throughput of about 3.2 million barrels per day, expected EPS growth of 15.7%, and shares have risen by 47.1% in a year [21][22].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, the company reported a net income of $11.9 million, or $0.17 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $54.9 million, or -$0.86 per diluted share in Q4 2024 [12] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $49.1 million, an improvement of over $67 million compared to Q4 2024's adjusted EBITDA of -$18.2 million [6][13] - Revenue for Q4 2025 was $428.8 million, down 26.6% year-over-year due to the impact of the Obion plant sale and idling of the Fairmont facility [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company increased its maximum production capacity to 730 million gallons per year, a 10% increase from the previous capacity [5] - Four plants reached historical production volumes, and seven plants achieved record ethanol yields [4] - The startup of CO2 compression equipment at three Nebraska plants is now fully operational, contributing to cash flow and lowering carbon intensity (CI) scores [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ethanol margins remained resilient in Q4 2025 due to strong domestic blending and export demand, supported by a record corn crop [20] - Ethanol exports set a record last year, with expectations for increased demand in 2026 [21] - Corn oil markets remained steady, contributing positively to gross margins, while protein pricing faced pressure [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on five strategic priorities: improving energy efficiency, evaluating carbon sequestration opportunities, debottlenecking or expanding facilities, increasing on-site grain storage, and balancing capital structure [23][24] - The company aims to be a low-cost, low-carbon biofuels producer, with ongoing projects to reduce energy consumption and operational costs [24][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the operational execution and the potential for carbon monetization, with expectations of at least $188 million of adjusted EBITDA from carbon-related activities in 2026 [8][9] - The company is optimistic about the regulatory environment supporting biofuels and the potential for year-round E15 adoption [9][62] Other Important Information - The company refinanced a majority of its 2027 convertible notes through a new $200 million convertible note due in 2030 [13] - Consolidated liquidity at the end of the quarter included $230.1 million in cash equivalents and restricted cash, with $325 million in working capital revolver availability [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Interest in 2026 45Z credits - Management confirmed active marketing of 2026 45Z credits and expressed confidence in the platform's ability to deliver credits [28] Question: Upside potential for carbon opportunities - Management indicated numerous plant efficiency projects with fast returns and potential for additional investments to lower energy consumption [29][30] Question: Q4 cash flow from operations - Management explained that Q4 cash flow was lower than EBITDA due to timing of cash receipts from carbon earnings and accelerated receivables [33] Question: Q1 ethanol EBITDA outlook - Management noted that while Q1 is typically a low point, the company is in a better position compared to the previous year, with strong operational efficiency [35] Question: CI score and potential improvements - Management discussed the potential for further reductions in CI scores due to new guidance and ongoing projects [51][52]

Core Insights - Bunge Global SA (NYSE:BG) is recognized as a significant agricultural middleman, with a notable stock price increase of nearly 28% this month, attributed to positive analyst commentary and an improving industry outlook [1][3]. Company Overview - Bunge processes agricultural commodities such as oilseeds and grains, supplying ingredients for the food, fuel, and animal nutrition sectors. The company also engages in the production of sugar and ethanol [3]. Investment Perspective - The stock is currently trading at 13 times this year's earnings estimates, suggesting it may be undervalued if an agricultural recovery is anticipated for 2026 [1].