Lamb Weston (LW) Q4 2025 Earnings Call July 23, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsDebbie Hancock - VP - Investor RelationsMike Smith - President & CEOBernadette Madarieta - CFOPeter Galbo - Director - Head of US Consumer Staples Equity ResearchScott Marks - Equity Research (Consumer)Marc Torrente - Vice President - Equity ResearchRobert Moskow - Managing Director Carla Casella - Managing DirectorMax Gumport - Director - Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsAlexia Howard - Research Analyst - US Food ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the fourth quarter, net sales increased by 4% year-over-year, while volume increased by 8%, driven by contract wins across channels and geographies [26][27] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $285 million, essentially flat compared to the prior year, with lower adjusted SG&A offsetting lower adjusted gross profit [32][34] - The company ended the year with approximately $1.24 billion in liquidity and a net debt of $4.1 billion, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA to net debt leverage ratio of 3.3 times [33][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America net sales declined by 1% year-over-year, primarily due to lower net selling prices, with a price mix decline of 5% [27][28] - International segment sales grew by 15% year-over-year, with volume increasing by 16%, driven by recent customer contract wins [30][32] - Adjusted EBITDA in the North America segment declined by 7% to $258 million, while the International segment's adjusted EBITDA increased by $22 million to $63 million [32][33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global restaurant traffic trends were down low single digits in the US and UK, impacting overall sales [26][30] - In the US, French fry attachment rates remained approximately two points higher than pre-pandemic levels, with the French fry category growing by 1% in the quarter [27][30] - The international segment experienced a 3% decline in restaurant traffic in the UK, but still achieved significant volume growth [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a "Focus to Win" strategy, which includes zero-based budgeting and assessing non-core assets to drive targeted decision-making [11][22] - The strategic focus is on strengthening customer partnerships, achieving executional excellence, and setting the pace for innovation [15][16] - The company plans to invest in priority global markets and segments, targeting premium market segments where innovation is a differentiator [17][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures affecting consumer behavior and restaurant traffic, but expressed confidence in the company's ability to capitalize on future demand [23][40] - The outlook for fiscal 2026 anticipates revenue in the range of $6.35 billion to $6.55 billion, reflecting a potential decline or modest growth due to carryover pricing actions [40][41] - Management emphasized the importance of controlling operational costs and improving efficiency to enhance competitiveness [45] Other Important Information - The company announced a cost savings program targeting $250 million in annualized savings by the end of fiscal 2028 [22][43] - Capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 were $651 million, down from initial targets, with expectations for approximately $500 million in fiscal 2026 [35][66] - The company plans to continue returning cash to shareholders, having returned $489 million in fiscal 2025 [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the EBITDA margin target for the year? - Management indicated that the EBITDA margin would be below normalized levels in fiscal 2026 due to headwinds faced by key customers and ongoing pricing support [51][52] Question: Can you elaborate on working capital improvements? - Management highlighted improvements in inventory management and planning capabilities as key components of their strategy to enhance working capital [56][57] Question: What is the outlook for international capacity? - Management noted that while there have been announcements of new capacity, many projects are being delayed or canceled, indicating a rational approach within the industry [62][63] Question: How is the company assessing risks related to tariffs? - Management stated that the potential impact of tariffs on financial results is estimated at $25 million, with ongoing efforts to mitigate exposure [85] Question: What is the company's leverage target? - The company continues to target a leverage ratio of about 3.5 times and is open to M&A opportunities that align with its strategic focus [103][106]

Industry Overview - India has become a french fry superpower [1] Market Dynamics - The report focuses on how India achieved its status as a major player in the french fry industry [1]

Business & TechSome Concerns Raised Over Proposed Chick-Fil-A Proposal In MilfordThe popular restaurant chain's application with the city was addressed at a Planning and Zoning Board meeting this week.Chick Fil A is planning to open a Milford store. (Scott Anderson/Patch)MILFORD, CT — The ever-popular chain Chick-fil-A is seeking to add a Milford location. Documents filed with the city show the fast-food restaurant is applying to open a 1357 Boston Post Road store.The restaurant at the Milford Crossing plaz ...

Group 1 - Wingstop Inc. is expanding its support for communities affected by natural disasters in Texas, matching contributions up to $1 million for the American Red Cross Disaster Relief Fund [1][2] - The company will launch Family Flavor Day on July 15, donating 15% of sales from all Texas locations to the American Red Cross, and will match donations made through the Round-Up campaign and Family Flavor Day, up to $500,000 [2] - Wingstop's President & CEO, Michael Skipworth, expressed the company's commitment to supporting Texas communities and first responders during these challenging times [3] Group 2 - In fiscal year 2024, Wingstop's system-wide sales increased by 36.8% to approximately $4.8 billion, marking the 21st consecutive year of same-store sales growth [5] - The company aims to become a Top 10 Global Restaurant Brand and operates over 2,650 locations worldwide, with independent franchisees accounting for approximately 98% of its total restaurant count [5] - Wingstop has received multiple accolades, including a spot on Ad Age's 'Hottest Brands' list and recognition as one of QSR Magazine's "Best Brands to Work For" [6]

Iconic Burger Chain Celebrates National French Fry Day All Week-Long with Free Fat or Skinny Fries with Online Purchase LOS ANGELES, July 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Fatburger, the all-American burger chain owned by FAT Brands Inc., is ringing in National French Fry Day with a week-long golden, crispy and perfectly salted deal! From July 9 through July 13 at participating locations, fans can get their hands on a free order of Fat or Skinny Fries with any burger or sandwich purchase made online through www. ...

Core Insights - FAT Brands Inc. plans to expand its Fatburger franchise by opening 40 new locations in Florida over the next 10 years, including areas like Jacksonville [1][2] - Whole Factor Inc., an existing franchisee, has successfully developed the Fatburger brand in Florida since 2021, with a previous 14-unit deal in Orlando and Tampa [1][2] - The Riverview and Celebration locations have exceeded expectations, indicating strong demand for Fatburger's offerings [2] Company Overview - FAT Brands is a global franchising company that owns 18 restaurant brands, including Fatburger, and operates over 2,300 units worldwide [3] - Fatburger has a legacy of over 70 years, known for its customizable burgers and a menu that includes various sides and desserts [4] - The brand has a strong fanbase, including celebrities and athletes, and emphasizes a high-quality dining experience [4]

Company Overview - Wingstop Inc. operates and franchises over 2,650 locations globally, focusing on providing a unique guest experience with a technology-driven platform and a diverse menu featuring wings, tenders, and chicken sandwiches [4] - The company aims to become a Top 10 Global Restaurant Brand, with approximately 98% of its restaurants being operated by independent franchisees [5] Financial Performance - In fiscal year 2024, Wingstop's system-wide sales rose by 36.8% to around $4.8 billion, marking the 21st consecutive year of same-store sales growth [5] Recognition and Awards - Wingstop was listed on Ad Age's 'Hottest Brands' list in 2024 and recognized by QSR Magazine as one of the "Best Brands to Work For" [6] - The company was also acknowledged by Fast Company as one of the "Most Innovative Companies" and ranked 14 on Entrepreneur Magazine's 'Franchise 500' [6]

Core Insights - Nomad Foods (NOMD) is focusing on innovation to recover from a decline in total revenues, organic sales, and volume in Q1 2025, which fell by 3%, 3.6%, and 3.7% respectively [1][9] - The company is particularly enhancing its fish portfolio, which accounts for about one-third of total revenues, by renovating existing products and launching new lines [2][9] - Nomad Foods is targeting new consumption occasions, especially snacking, to reposition frozen fish products, with early success indicated by a 9% year-over-year increase in fish retail sales in Italy during Q1 [3][9] Innovation Strategy - The company plans to increase the percentage of sales from innovation in 2025 while maintaining investment levels despite macroeconomic challenges [4] - Management will monitor the performance of innovation initiatives and apply insights across markets to support volume trends and enhance product relevance over time [4] Industry Context - Other companies in the industry, such as Conagra Brands and Lamb Weston, are also focusing on innovation to drive growth, with Conagra reporting a 6.3% revenue decline in Q3 2025 and Lamb Weston achieving a 9% volume growth despite challenges [5][6][7] Financial Performance - Nomad Foods' shares have decreased by approximately 1.8% over the past month, contrasting with the industry's growth of 2.3% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.04X, significantly lower than the industry average of 15.97X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a projected year-over-year sales growth of 4.6% and earnings per share growth of 7.3% for the current financial year [12] Sales and Earnings Estimates - Current quarter sales are estimated at $857.70 million, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 5.80% [14] - The earnings per share for the current year is projected at $2.07, reflecting a year-over-year growth estimate of 7.25% [15]

Key Takeaways CAVA posted 10.8% y/y Q1 same-restaurant sales growth, fueled by a 7.5% increase in guest traffic. CAVA plans to open 64-68 restaurants in 2025, with new locations outperforming sales expectations. SG saw a 3.1% y/y Q1 same-store sales drop, citing traffic softness and macroeconomic headwinds in key cities.CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) and Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) are both U.S.-based fast-casual restaurant chains that cater to health-conscious customers. Both are expanding quickly and compete directl ...