证券研究报告 | 2025 年 09 月 25 日 晨会集萃 制作：产品中心 重点推荐 《策略|风险平衡式降息落地——政策与大类资产配置周观察》 美联储 9 个月后重启降息。这是美联储自 2024 年 12 月以来的首次降息。 本次美联储对经济前景的表述较 7 月会议有一定变化。本次声明中美联储 删除了"尽管净出口的波动继续影响数据"的表述。美联储对就业市场的 表述较上次会议悲观。更新版点阵图显示，美联储内部分歧依然较大。我 们认为由于就业压力逐步增大且通胀反弹弱于预期，目前美联储决策函数 或暂时向就业倾斜，今年后续两次 FOMC 会议大概率每次降息 25bp。1、 权益：A 股方面，9 月第三周三大指数基本维持平稳，其中中证 100 和创 业板指数单周分别涨 1.08%和 2.34%，但上证综指回落 1.3%。万得微盘股 指数 9 月第三周涨 1.8%。9 月第三周南向资金净流入 337.26 亿元。2、固 收：央行上周整体净投放资金 11923 亿元（含国库现金）。9 月第三周流 动性略显紧张，DR007 一度突破至 1.55%以上，9 月 18 日最高上探至 1.56% 附近。3、大宗商品：9 月第二周 ...

Group 1: Cloud Computing Industry - The global cloud computing market is expected to approach $2 trillion by 2030, driven by AI model training and the continuous improvement of application models in SaaS [1][20] - Key themes include the flexibility of computing power in cloud computing, high demand for AI-driven applications, and the competitive landscape in satellite internet services [1][22] - The transition towards "AI+" in cloud computing services marks a critical transformation period for the industry [1][20] Group 2: UPS Battery Industry - The demand for UPS batteries is significantly driven by AIDC, with a notable trend of lithium batteries replacing lead-acid batteries [2] - The company is a leader in the global LFP lithium battery UPS market, with a market share of over 70% and a strong product performance compared to peers [2] - Revenue projections for the company are expected to grow from 4.84 billion yuan in 2025 to 6.66 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit increasing from 290 million yuan to 640 million yuan during the same period [2] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Industry - The potential implementation of strict controls on Chinese pharmaceuticals by the Trump administration is currently in early discussion stages, with low likelihood of immediate impact [3][5] - Major multinational pharmaceutical companies benefit from Chinese innovative drugs, which enhance their profit margins despite potential regulatory challenges [5] - The overall trend in the pharmaceutical sector remains focused on the global demand for effective and efficient drugs, with Chinese innovations playing a crucial role [5] Group 4: Renewable Energy Sector - The company has a robust wind power project pipeline, with a total installed capacity of 1,340.3 MW and a significant increase in wind power generation [16][31] - Despite a decline in overall sales gas volume, the wind power segment continues to show growth, contributing positively to the company's performance [16][31] - The company’s wind power projects are expected to expand further, with a focus on increasing operational capacity and maintaining stable electricity pricing [16][31]