Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX) is one of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s recent game plan. Cramer made a note of the company’s significant operations in gold during the episode, as he commented: “Thursday, we find out if the awesome gold rally still has legs when Freeport-McMoRan reports. This company has the world’s largest gold mine with the world’s largest set of gold mine problems, including recent horrendous flooding in Indonesia. But if they talk a good game, precious metal could have still another ral ...

Company Overview - Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) shares increased by 12.3% to close at $5.95, with a notable trading volume compared to typical sessions, and a total gain of 23.5% over the past four weeks [1][2] Project Development - The company has initiated a large-scale drilling program at its Sangdong Molybdenum Project in South Korea, planning to drill 26 holes over 11,700 meters to confirm molybdenum reserves [2][3] - Almonty holds an exclusive agreement to supply 100% of future molybdenum output from the Sangdong project to SeAH M&S, a subsidiary of the SeAH Group, in response to a molybdenum shortage in South Korea [3] Financial Performance - The upcoming quarterly earnings report is expected to show earnings of $0.00 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +100%, with revenues projected at $17.33 million, a 248% increase from the previous year [4] - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that stock price movements may not continue without trends in earnings estimate revisions [5] Industry Context - Almonty Industries is part of the Zacks Mining - Miscellaneous industry, where Teck Resources Ltd (TECK) also operates, having closed at $38.62 with a 0.3% decrease in the last trading session and a 16.3% return over the past month [6]

Company Performance - Amerigo Resources (ARREF) closed at $1.74, down 1.92% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.13% [1] - The stock has increased by 12.99% over the past month, outperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 6.19% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.71% [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings release is anticipated to show an EPS of $0.06, reflecting a 200% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $0.21 per share and revenue of $0 million, indicating a 75% increase in earnings and no change in revenue from the previous year [2] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Amerigo Resources are crucial as they indicate the evolving business trends and analysts' outlook on the company's health and profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - Amerigo Resources has a Forward P/E ratio of 8.45, significantly lower than the industry's Forward P/E of 24.88, suggesting a valuation discount [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.42, compared to the Mining - Non Ferrous industry's average PEG ratio of 0.83, indicating favorable growth expectations relative to its price [6] Industry Context - The Mining - Non Ferrous industry, part of the Basic Materials sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 176, placing it in the bottom 29% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1, highlighting the competitive landscape [7]

Core Insights - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) reported a significant increase in sales volumes for Q2 2025, with copper sales rising approximately 9% year-over-year to 1,016 million pounds, gold sales increasing by around 45% to 522,000 ounces, and molybdenum sales up about 4.8% to 22 million pounds [1][7] Sales Volume Outlook - The company has provided a cautious outlook for Q3 2025, expecting copper sales volumes to decline by 4% year-over-year to 990 million pounds, with gold and molybdenum sales also projected to decrease to 350,000 ounces and 18 million pounds, respectively [2][7] Pricing and Margin Considerations - Sales volume growth is essential for FCX to capitalize on higher copper and gold prices, maintain margin expansion, and meet its 2025 targets, despite the gains in realized prices [3][7] Peer Comparison - Among peers, Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) experienced a 3% decline in copper sales volumes in Q2, while BHP Group Limited reported a 14% year-over-year increase in total copper sales for fiscal 2025 [4][5] Stock Performance and Valuation - FCX shares have increased by 4.7% year-to-date, contrasting with a 1.1% decline in the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry [6] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 18.9, slightly above the industry average of 18.69, and holds a Value Score of A [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year earnings rise of 20.3% for 2025 and 31.9% for 2026, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [8]

Group 1 - Amerigo Resources (ARREF) stock closed at $1.67, showing a +1.03% change, outperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.4% [1] - The stock has increased by 17.86% over the past month, significantly higher than the Basic Materials sector's gain of 2.16% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.97% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings report for Amerigo Resources is anticipated to show an EPS of $0.05, reflecting a 16.67% decline from the same quarter last year [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $0.21 per share with revenue expected to remain unchanged at $0 million, indicating a 75% increase in earnings year-over-year [2] Group 3 - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Amerigo Resources are being monitored, as they often indicate shifts in near-term business trends [3] - Positive estimate revisions suggest analyst optimism regarding the company's business and profitability [3] Group 4 - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, provides a rating system for stocks, with a proven track record of outperformance [4][5] - Amerigo Resources currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS projection remaining stagnant over the past 30 days [5] Group 5 - Amerigo Resources is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 7.86, which is below the industry average of 22.13, indicating a discount relative to its peers [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.39, compared to the industry average of 0.85, suggesting favorable valuation metrics [7] Group 6 - The Mining - Non Ferrous industry, which includes Amerigo Resources, ranks in the top 18% of all industries according to the Zacks Industry Rank [7] - The strength of industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, with top-rated industries outperforming lower-rated ones by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Group 1 - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) is a leading international metals company focused on mining and selling copper, gold, and molybdenum with significant assets in Indonesia, North America, and South America [1] - The Grasberg minerals district in Indonesia is highlighted as one of the world's largest mining operations [1] Group 2 - The company has a strong emphasis on fundamental analysis and disciplined market research, indicating a robust approach to investment strategy [1] - FCX's portfolio includes a mix of small cap companies with strong fundamentals, large cap companies facing temporary setbacks, and stable companies with solid dividend yields and growth potential [1]

Core Viewpoint - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) is facing challenges due to declining copper prices, high production costs, and downward revisions in earnings estimates, despite having strong financial health and ongoing expansion projects [2][21]. Financial Performance - FCX is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 21.65X, which is approximately 10% higher than the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry average of 19.77X [1]. - The stock has experienced a 15.7% decline in share price over the past six months, underperforming the industry's decline of 15.3% and the S&P 500's rise of 6.4% [2]. - Operating cash flows for FCX were around $1.4 billion in Q4 2024, with full-year 2024 cash flows climbing 35% year over year to $7.2 billion [15]. Production and Expansion - FCX is focused on expanding its production capacity, with significant projects underway, including a concentrator expansion at Cerro Verde in Peru, which is expected to add 600 million pounds of copper annually [12]. - The company is also evaluating a large-scale expansion at El Abra in Chile and conducting pre-feasibility studies in Arizona to define significant sulfide expansion opportunities [12]. Cost and Pricing Challenges - FCX's consolidated unit net cash costs per pound of copper increased by 9% year over year in Q4 2024, with expectations for further increases in 2025 [18]. - Copper prices fell nearly 12% in Q4 2024, closing at around $4 per pound, influenced by weak demand in China and uncertainties regarding U.S. tariffs [20]. Market Sentiment and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FCX's earnings has been revised downward over the past 60 days, reflecting negative sentiment in the market [9]. - Despite strong financial health, the premium valuation of FCX may not present a compelling investment opportunity at current levels [11]. Dividend and Shareholder Value - FCX offers a dividend yield of approximately 0.8%, with a payout ratio of 20%, indicating a sustainable dividend policy [17]. - The company has distributed $4.7 billion to shareholders through dividends and share purchases since June 30, 2021 [15].