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Affirm's GMV Poised for Growth on an Expanding Merchant Base
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 17:35
Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) is focused on reinventing payments through a diverse merchant network, which has grown to approximately 358,000 active merchants as of March 31, 2025, up from around 292,000 the previous year [1][10] Merchant Network and Partnerships - The merchant partners of Affirm span various industries, including fashion, electronics, travel, and home and lifestyle, utilizing Affirm's buy now, pay later (BNPL) solutions to enhance average order values and customer conversion rates [2] - Recent partnerships include collaborations with Shopmonkey and Xsolla, extending payment solutions to auto repairs and game developers, while partnerships with Williams-Sonoma and KAYAK facilitated entry into the Canadian market [3] Financial Performance - In the first nine months of fiscal 2025, Affirm's gross merchandise volume (GMV) reached $26.3 billion, reflecting a 36% year-over-year increase, with expectations for fiscal 2025 GMV to be between $35.7 billion and $36 billion, indicating a 34.8% rise at the midpoint [5][10] - Merchant network revenues improved by 30% year-over-year during the same period [10] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors in the BNPL space include PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) and Sezzle Inc. (SEZL), with PayPal reporting over 36 million merchants globally and a 1% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.8 billion [6][7] - Sezzle's merchant base exceeds 40,000 businesses, with total revenues more than doubling year-over-year to $104.9 million, supported by a 64.1% rise in GMV [8] Stock Performance and Valuation - Affirm's stock has surged 132.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 41.2% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 5.61, which is below the industry average of 5.88 [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Affirm's fiscal 2025 earnings suggests a 101.8% improvement from the previous year, with revenue growth projected at 37% year-over-year [14]
Will Affirm Be a Long-Term Winner in a Crowded Fintech Space?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 17:35
Key Takeaways AFRM is expanding from large purchases to everyday items via new deals with Costco and World Market. Total Q3 FY25 transactions rose 45.6% YoY to 31.3M, driven by more repeat customer activity. Active merchants hit 358,000, up 23% YoY, as AFRM invests in ML underwriting and real-time decisions.Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) has established a distinct position in the bustling Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) market by focusing on transparency, catering to high-ticket purchases and offering flexible fi ...
Affirm Stock Skyrockets 146% in a Year: Is it Too Late to Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 13:56
Key Takeaways AFRM shares jump 145.7% in a year, outpacing peers and major indexes on strong product and execution gains. 94% of Q3 transactions came from repeat users, showing success of short-term plans and wallet integrations. AFRM is expanding into Europe via Shopify, targeting gaming and essentials to diversify transaction growth.Shares of Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) have surged 145.7% over the past year, significantly outperforming the broader market and peers. By comparison, the industry rose 35.1 ...
Can PayPal Make a Turnaround With Its Buy Now, Pay Later Platform?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 17:16
Core Insights - PayPal's Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) business is experiencing significant growth, with over 20% year-over-year growth in total payment volumes and an 18% increase in monthly active accounts in Q1 2025, driven by consumer adoption and enhanced visibility in the checkout experience [1][2] BNPL Business Performance - BNPL users on PayPal spend 33% more and conduct 17% more transactions on average, indicating the segment's critical role in increasing user engagement and revenue [2] - PayPal is enhancing BNPL visibility at checkout and integrating it into personalized strategies using AI and smart wallet features [2] Global Expansion Strategy - PayPal plans to increase BNPL adoption in key international markets such as the UK, Germany, Australia, France, Italy, and Spain in 2025, aiming to diversify its BNPL presence beyond the U.S. [3] Strategic Integration - The BNPL initiatives are integral to PayPal's transformation into a comprehensive commerce platform, aligning with innovations in checkout, omnichannel capabilities, and AI-driven personalization [4] Competitive Landscape - Affirm Holdings is expanding its BNPL business by securing long-term funding partnerships and launching a $3 billion revolving loan facility to enhance liquidity and scalability [5] - Block, Inc. is integrating BNPL features into its Cash App through Afterpay, enhancing its merchant ecosystem and expanding its reach [6] Financial Performance and Valuation - PayPal shares have declined 13.7% year-to-date, underperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index [7] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 13.74X, significantly lower than the industry average of 22.48X, indicating a potentially undervalued position [8] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PayPal's earnings in 2025 is $5.08 per share, reflecting a 9.25% growth over 2024, while the estimate for 2026 is $5.64, indicating an 11% year-over-year growth [9][10]
What Does 13% YTD Drop Mean for PayPal Stock? Buy, Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 16:46
Core Insights - PayPal (PYPL) shares have declined 13.7% year to date, primarily due to increased competition in the fintech sector from companies like Visa, Mastercard, Apple Pay, and Adyen [1][2] - Despite PayPal's struggles, Visa and Mastercard have seen share increases of 10.3% and 4.5% respectively, indicating PayPal's relative underperformance [2][7] - PayPal is transitioning from a payments provider to a comprehensive commerce partner, focusing on personalized experiences and a unified platform for consumers and merchants [3][18] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, PayPal's transaction margin dollars increased by 7% year over year to $3.72 billion, driven by strong performance in omnichannel commerce and Venmo, with Venmo revenues rising by 20% [4][10] - The Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) segment saw over 20% volume growth in Q1, with monthly active accounts up 18% year over year, indicating strong consumer engagement [5][7] - PayPal's forward 12-month P/E ratio is 13.74X, significantly lower than the industry average of 22.48X, suggesting the stock is undervalued compared to peers like Visa and Mastercard [11][13] Strategic Initiatives - PayPal is expanding its omnichannel strategy internationally, with plans to roll out NFC functionality in Germany and the UK [4][10] - The company is enhancing its partnerships with firms like Coinbase, Fiserv, and Shopify to bolster its growth outlook and expand the adoption of its PayPal USD stablecoin [9][18] - Investments in product modernization and geographic expansion are expected to impact margin improvement in the near term, but are essential for long-term growth [10][18] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PayPal's 2025 earnings is $5.08 per share, reflecting a 9.25% growth over 2024, with Q2 2025 earnings estimated at $1.30 per share, indicating a 9.2% increase year over year [14][15] - Recent estimate revisions show a positive trend for the second quarter and full years 2025 and 2026, although the outlook for Q3 is less favorable [14][19]
Looking for Fintech Growth? Here's How Affirm and SoFi Stack Up
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 15:00
Key Takeaways AFRM reported $783.1M in Q3 revenues, up 36% YoY, and raised its full-year guidance. SoFi's Q1 revenues grew 33% with net income rising 200%, but face credit risk from unsecured loan exposure. AFRM's current ratio of 11.5 highlights stronger liquidity versus SOFI's below-average 0.8 ratio.Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) and SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) are two standout names in the fast-evolving fintech sector. Both cater to Gen Z and millennial consumers, as well as older consumers, through ...
Will Affirm's Auto Move With Shopmonkey Fuel More Repeat Users?
ZACKS· 2025-06-26 13:56
Key Takeaways AFRM is now the default financing option for Shopmonkey auto repair shops across the U.S. and Canada. The deal gives AFRM access to a high-frequency, urgent spending category with broad consumer relevance. AFRM's total transactions grew 45.6% YOY to 31.3M, driven by repeat users in the last reported quarter.Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) has partnered with a cloud-based auto shop management platform, Shopmonkey, to become a default pay-over-time option for auto repair customers in the United S ...
Can Strategic Funding Deals Keep Affirm Ahead in the BNPL Space?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 13:05
Core Insights - Affirm Holdings, Inc. has renewed its long-term capital partnership with Moore Specialty Credit, extending the agreement through May 2027, which reflects ongoing confidence in Affirm's lending model [1][9] - The partnership is crucial for Affirm as it ensures reliable, long-term funding to support growing loan originations, allowing the company to maintain its zero late fee model while scaling [2] - Affirm has handled over $33 billion in gross merchandise volume in the past year, with a funding capacity of $23.3 billion, supported by 24 asset-backed securitizations totaling $12.25 billion [3][9] Funding and Partnerships - The renewed partnership with Moore Specialty Credit signifies a decade of collaboration, with Moore having invested nearly $5 billion in Affirm's assets since 2017 [1][9] - Affirm has also deepened its partnership with PGIM Fixed Income by launching a new $3 billion revolving pass-through loan sale facility, enhancing its access to diversified, off-balance-sheet funding [4] Market Position and Performance - Affirm's shares have gained 7.8% year to date, underperforming the broader industry but outperforming the S&P 500 Index [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 5.40X, which is lower than the industry average, and carries a Value Score of F [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Affirm's fiscal 2025 earnings implies a 100.6% improvement year over year, indicating strong growth potential [13]
Affirm Raises Fiscal 2025 Guidance: A Signal for Sustainable Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 16:56
Key Takeaways AFRM raised fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to $3.163-$3.193B after a strong Q3 performance. Higher GMV, more repeat customers and card revenues supported AFRM's quarterly gains. AFRM expects fiscal 2025 GMV of $35.7-$36B, up from its previous forecast of $34.74-$35.34B.A leading player in the Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) space, Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) slightly raised its full-year guidance for fiscal 2025. After a robust result in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, AFRM also raised its fourth-q ...
Affirm's Active Merchants Rise: A Strategic Advantage in BNPL Space?
ZACKS· 2025-06-12 16:51
Key Takeaways AFRM grew active merchants 23% YoY in fiscal 3Q 2025, reaching around 358,000 partners. GMV surged 36% YoY to $8.6B in fiscal 3Q 2025, with FY25 GMV forecasted at $35.7-$36B. Merchant network revenues rose 34.3% YoY, backed by key partnerships and product enhancements.Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) is primarily focusing on growth and merchant expansion. It is strengthening its position in the competitive market of Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) through merchant adoptions on its platform. The company ...