Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, net income per share was $0.03, and core FFO per share grew to $0.76, slightly above expectations [11] - Cash available for distribution was $29.3 million, reflecting steady operational performance [11] - Core FFO growth from 2024 to the midpoint of 2025 was reported at 3%, driven by acquisitions and strong renewal execution [7][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company maintained high portfolio occupancy at 97% and a weighted average lease term of approximately 10 years, indicating strong tenancy durability [7] - Recent acquisition of York Space Systems headquarters in Colorado aligns with the goal of 15% government-adjacent exposure [8] - The development pipeline remains active, with major projects like the FDA Atlanta nearing completion, expected to enhance earnings [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focused on diversifying its portfolio with a goal of 70% federal exposure, 15% state and local, and 15% adjacent space [54] - The acquisition of properties like DC Plaza and DHS Burlington demonstrates the strategy to grow state and local exposure while maintaining high-credit government properties [54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company’s growth strategy is centered on three long-term priorities: growing core FFO by 2%-3% annually, increasing same-store performance, and executing value-creating development opportunities [5][10] - The strategy aims to balance growth and durability, ensuring consistent performance regardless of economic conditions [6] - The company is targeting a medium-term cash leverage goal of six times, down from historical levels of seven to eight times, to enhance investor comparability [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the federal government will not default on leases, despite ongoing budget negotiations and shutdowns [4] - The company remains optimistic about its ability to deliver consistent growth, supported by a robust acquisition pipeline and strong tenant relationships [10][11] - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by the current cost of capital but emphasized the potential for mean reversion as the company continues to deliver on growth targets [25][60] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress in reducing cash leverage, with expectations to improve further upon project completions [12][13] - The recent acquisition of York Space Systems was priced at $29 million with a cap rate in the low 11%, reflecting strong fundamentals in the Denver market [49] - The company is exploring modern lease structures with the GSA, indicating a shift towards more competitive leasing practices [55] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Flagstaff Courthouse completion - Management indicated that the completion date was pushed out due to ongoing design work involving multiple agencies, with a new achievable date set for 2026 [17] Question: Thoughts on capital allocation and funding sources - Management discussed the cost of equity and the potential for partnerships with sovereign wealth funds to optimize capital allocation [18][20] Question: Acquisition guidance for 2026 - Management clarified that the $50 million acquisition guidance for 2026 is a conservative target, reflecting confidence in the pipeline and growth potential [24][26] Question: Impact of dispositions on leverage targets - Management noted that dispositions may require favorable interest rates to effectively reduce leverage, while still pursuing acquisitions [27][29] Question: Effects of government shutdown on operations - Management acknowledged that shutdowns slow operations but do not threaten the value of the portfolio, emphasizing the government's commitment to meet obligations [30][31] Question: Strategy shift from higher leverage to lower leverage - Management explained that the focus is on achieving lower leverage with moderate growth to improve cost of capital, while still aiming for consistent growth [60][64] Question: 2026 guidance and expected growth - Management provided insights into the 2026 guidance, highlighting that growth will primarily come from the FDA Atlanta project and same-store growth, with no expected dispositions [71][73]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the third quarter, net income per share was reported at $0.03, while core FFO per share grew to $0.76, slightly above expectations [11] - Cash available for distribution was $29.3 million, reflecting steady operational performance [11] - Core FFO growth from 2024 to the midpoint of the 2025 guidance range was 3%, driven by acquisitions and strong renewal execution [7][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company maintained high portfolio occupancy at 97% and a weighted average lease term of approximately 10 years, indicating strong tenancy durability [7] - The recent acquisition of York Space Systems headquarters in Colorado aligns with the goal of achieving 15% government-adjacent exposure [8] - The development pipeline remains active, with major projects like the FDA Atlanta nearing completion, expected to enhance earnings [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company aims to diversify its portfolio with a target of 70% federal exposure, 15% state and local, and 15% in adjacent spaces [54] - The acquisition of properties like DC Plaza and DHS Burlington demonstrates the strategy to grow state and local exposure while maintaining high-credit government properties [54] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a disciplined growth strategy centered on three long-term priorities: growing core FFO by 2-3% annually, increasing same-store performance, and executing value-creating development opportunities [5][10] - The strategy aims to balance growth and durability, ensuring consistent performance regardless of economic conditions [6] - The company is targeting a medium-term cash leverage goal of six times, down from historical levels of seven to eight times, to enhance investor comparability [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the government will not default on leases, despite the ongoing federal government shutdown [4] - The company remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, with expectations of achieving 2-3% annual core FFO growth and potential upside [14][60] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong relationships with government agencies and the potential for modernizing lease structures with the GSA [55] Other Important Information - The company has successfully extended leases at key properties, including USCIS Lincoln and VA Golden, indicating strong tenant relationships [11] - The FDA Atlanta project is expected to significantly contribute to earnings growth, with a large portion of the anticipated increase in 2026 coming from this development [71] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is happening with the Flagstaff Courthouse completion? - The completion date has been pushed out two quarters due to the government balancing multiple agency designs, but the new date is considered achievable [17] Question: Can you discuss your overall thoughts on capital allocation and funding sources for development? - The company is focused on optimizing its cost of equity and exploring partnerships with sovereign wealth funds to enhance funding opportunities [20][21] Question: What are the headwinds affecting the $50 million acquisition guidance for 2026? - The guidance is conservative to reflect the current cost of capital, but the company expects to achieve this target given its strong acquisition pipeline [25][26] Question: Will dispositions be part of achieving the leverage target? - Dispositions may be necessary, but the company believes it can achieve its leverage goals through careful management of acquisitions and development projects [28] Question: How does the government shutdown impact operations? - While the shutdown slows down processes, management believes it will not diminish the portfolio's value, and the government will continue to meet its obligations [30][76] Question: Can you clarify the 2026 guidance and any expected dispositions? - There are no dispositions expected for 2026, and the guidance reflects growth primarily from the FDA Atlanta project and same-store growth [73]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, net income per share was $0.03 and core FFO per share grew to $0.76, slightly above expectations [16] - Cash available for distribution was $29.3 million, reflecting steady operational performance [16] - Core FFO growth from 2024 to the midpoint of guidance for 2025 was reported at 3% [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio occupancy remained near historical highs at 97% with a weighted average lease term of approximately ten years [10] - The recent acquisition of York Space Systems headquarters in Colorado aligns with the goal of 15% government-adjacent exposure [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company continues to maintain strong relationships across agencies and has refined its balance sheet with a disciplined approach to capital deployment [10] - The development pipeline remains active, with major projects progressing, including the FDA Atlanta project nearing completion [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three long-term priorities: growing core FFO by 2% to 3% annually, increasing same-store performance through diversification, and executing value-creating development opportunities [7] - The strategy aims to balance growth and durability, ensuring consistent performance regardless of economic or policy changes [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the government will not default on leases, viewing shutdowns as part of budget negotiations [5] - The company is optimistic about its growth strategy and the opportunities ahead, emphasizing the importance of mission-critical facilities [14] Other Important Information - The company is targeting a medium-term cash leverage goal of six times, down from historical levels of seven to eight times [13] - The acquisition team has built a robust pipeline, allowing for selective capital deployment [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Update on Flagstaff warehouse completion - The completion has been pushed out two quarters due to ongoing design work by the government, but the new date is considered achievable [24] Question: Thoughts on capital allocation and funding sources - The company is focused on cost of equity and believes it can develop at a spread above its cost of capital, with strong relationships with sovereign wealth funds [25][27] Question: Acquisition guidance for 2026 - The $50 million acquisition guidance is set low to manage expectations, with a strong pipeline of $1.5 billion identified [31][34] Question: Impact of government shutdown on leasing - The shutdown slows processes but does not diminish portfolio value, with agencies continuing to work effectively [40][42] Question: Achieving six times cash flow leverage - The company plans to leverage attractive development projects and joint ventures to reach its leverage target [46][50] Question: Changes in growth strategy - The focus has shifted to lower leverage with moderate growth to improve cost of capital, while still aiming for 2% to 3% growth [69][76] Question: 2026 guidance and headwinds - The guidance reflects growth from FDA Atlanta and same-store growth, offset by increased G&A expenses [81][84] Question: Government shutdown and lease funding - All leases are funded for six months, and the company expects the government to meet its obligations despite shutdowns [86][88]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, net income per share was $0.03, and core FFO per share grew to $0.76, slightly above expectations [11] - Cash available for distribution was $29.3 million, reflecting steady operational performance [11] - Core FFO growth from 2024 to the midpoint of guidance for 2025 was 3%, driven by acquisitions and strong renewal execution [7][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company maintained high portfolio occupancy at 97% and a weighted average lease term of approximately 10 years, indicating strong tenancy durability [7] - Recent acquisition of York Space Systems headquarters in Colorado aligns with the goal of 15% government-adjacent exposure [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focused on diversifying its portfolio with state and local government leases, which can extend lease terms up to 40 years, enhancing weighted average lease term [12] - The development pipeline remains active, with major projects like the FDA Atlanta nearing completion, expected to drive future earnings growth [12][67] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company’s growth strategy is centered on three long-term priorities: growing core FFO by 2-3% annually, increasing same-store performance through diversification, and executing value-creating development opportunities [5] - The company aims to improve its cost of capital through leverage optimization, targeting a medium-term cash leverage goal of six times, down from historical levels of seven to eight times [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the government will not default on leases despite the ongoing federal government shutdown, viewing it as a negotiating tool rather than a threat [4][73] - The company remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, with a focus on delivering essential real estate that supports government operations [10][77] Other Important Information - The company has successfully extended leases at key properties, including USCIS Lincoln and VA Golden, and continues to find the government a constructive partner [11] - The company’s guidance for full-year core FFO per share for 2025 is narrowed to a range of $2.98 to $3.02, consistent with its growth objectives [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the status of the Flagstaff Courthouse completion? - The completion date has been pushed out two quarters due to ongoing design work involving multiple agencies, but the new date is considered achievable [18] Question: Can you discuss your thoughts on capital allocation and funding sources for development? - The company is exploring various funding sources, including partnerships with sovereign wealth funds, to optimize capital allocation while managing costs [19][22] Question: What is the reasoning behind the $50 million acquisition guidance for 2026? - The guidance reflects a conservative approach amid cost of capital challenges, but the company expects to identify opportunities within its $1.5 billion pipeline [25][27] Question: Will dispositions be part of achieving your leverage target? - Dispositions may be considered, but the company believes it can achieve its leverage goals through acquisitions and partnerships without needing to sell assets [28][29] Question: How does the government shutdown affect leasing and agency operations? - While the shutdown may slow processes, it does not threaten the value of the portfolio, and the company expects a quick catch-up once operations resume [30][31] Question: Can you elaborate on the strategy for achieving six times cash flow leverage? - The company plans to leverage development projects effectively while maintaining a focus on growth, aiming for a gradual reduction in leverage over the next few years [33][36] Question: What are the expectations for 2026 guidance and potential headwinds? - The 2026 guidance reflects growth primarily from the FDA Atlanta project, with expectations for same-store growth offset by increased G&A expenses [67][70]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q3 2025 were $571.4 million, down from $613.6 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower coal sales prices and transportation revenues, partially offset by higher coal sales volumes [4] - Average coal sales price per ton decreased by 7.5% year-over-year to $58.78, but increased by 1.5% sequentially [4] - Net income attributable to the company was $95.1 million, including a $3.7 million increase in the fair value of digital assets and $4.5 million in investment income [10] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $185.8 million, up 9% year-over-year and 14.8% sequentially [10] - Distributable cash flow for Q3 2025 was $106.4 million, up 17% sequentially, leading to a distribution coverage ratio of 1.37x [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total coal production in Q3 2025 was 8.4 million tons, an 8.5% increase compared to Q3 2024, while total coal sales volumes increased by 3.9% to 8.7 million tons [5] - In the Illinois Basin, coal sales volumes increased by 10.8% year-over-year but decreased by 0.8% sequentially [6] - Coal sales volumes in Appalachia decreased by 13.3% year-over-year but increased by 21.8% sequentially due to improved mining conditions [7] - Segment-adjusted EBITDA expense per ton sold in Appalachia improved by 11.7% year-over-year [7] - Total revenues from royalties segments were $57.4 million, up 11.9% year-over-year, driven by higher coal royalties tons and revenue per ton sold [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date utility coal consumption increased by 15% in MISO and 16% in PJM, reflecting strong demand fundamentals [16] - Analysts project 4%-6% annual growth in electricity demand in PJM and other markets over the next several years [17] - The recent PJM capacity auction cleared at maximum allowable prices, indicating a need for coal-fired power plants [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet, investing prudently in core operations, and positioning for long-term growth while delivering attractive returns to unitholders [18] - The company has secured additional contract commitments for 2025, with a total of 32.8 million tons committed and priced [12] - The company is actively pursuing disciplined growth opportunities in its oil and gas royalties business [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that significant infrastructure investments in coal operations are beginning to pay off, with improved productivity expected from automation [14] - The company anticipates that coal demand will continue to grow due to favorable federal energy policies and rising electricity demand [16] - Management expressed confidence in the ability to increase production at Tunnel Ridge and in the Illinois Basin to meet anticipated demand [17] Other Important Information - The company held approximately 568 Bitcoin valued at $64.8 million at the end of Q3 2025 [10] - The company expects full-year 2025 segment-adjusted EBITDA expense per ton to be in a range of $60-$62 per ton in Appalachia and $34-$36 per ton in the Illinois Basin [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the supply contracts being signed? - Most contracts are for two to three years, with a preference for fixed pricing, and some include tariff protection [24] Question: What index should be monitored for pricing? - The Illinois Basin index is relevant, but pricing may vary based on customer specifics [25] Question: What is the expectation for pricing in 2026? - Pricing is expected to decline around 5% year-over-year due to contracts rolling off, but improved conditions at Tunnel Ridge may help maintain margins [31] Question: How will the recent DOE investments impact the business? - Increased engagement from utilities and the DOE is expected to enhance demand for coal as utilities seek to extend the life of coal plants [34] Question: What is the outlook for equity method investment income? - Modestly positive numbers are anticipated for Q4, with some investments starting to yield distributions [40] Question: What is the expected CapEx for the full year? - CapEx is expected to be closer to the midpoint of guidance, with higher spending anticipated in Q4 [69] Question: Will there be a need for more staffing to increase production? - No additional staffing is anticipated; existing personnel will be utilized more effectively [55] Question: What is the confidence level for selling uncommitted met tons? - The company is confident in placing uncommitted met tons, although pricing will depend on market conditions [57] Question: How does the company view the coal vs. gas competition? - The competition is less significant now due to strong electricity demand growth, and all sources of generation are needed [64]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q3 2025 were $571.4 million, down from $613.6 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower coal sales prices and transportation revenues, partially offset by higher coal sales volumes [4] - Average coal sales price per ton decreased by 7.5% year-over-year to $58.78, but increased by 1.5% sequentially [4] - Net income attributable to the company in Q3 2025 was $95.1 million, which included a $3.7 million increase in the fair value of digital assets and $4.5 million in investment income [10] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $185.8 million, up 9% year-over-year and 14.8% sequentially [10] - Distributable cash flow for Q3 2025 was $106.4 million, up 17% sequentially, leading to a distribution coverage ratio of 1.37 times [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total coal production in Q3 2025 was 8.4 million tons, an increase of 8.5% compared to Q3 2024, while total coal sales volumes increased by 3.9% to 8.7 million tons [5] - In the Illinois Basin, coal sales volumes increased by 10.8% year-over-year but decreased by 0.8% sequentially [6] - Coal sales volumes in Appalachia decreased by 13.3% year-over-year but increased by 21.8% sequentially due to a successful transition at Tunnel Ridge [7] - Segment-adjusted EBITDA expense per ton sold in Appalachia improved by 11.7% year-over-year [7] - Total revenues from royalties segments were $57.4 million, up 11.9% year-over-year, driven by higher coal royalties tons and revenue per ton sold [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date utility coal consumption increased by 15% in MISO and 16% in PJM, reflecting strong demand fundamentals [16] - Analysts project 4% to 6% annual growth in electricity demand in PJM and other markets over the next several years [17] - The recent PJM capacity auction cleared at maximum allowable prices, indicating a need for every available megawatt of dispatchable generation [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet, investing prudently in core operations, and positioning for long-term growth while delivering attractive returns to unitholders [18] - The company has secured additional contract commitments for 2025 and has contracted 29.1 million sales tons for 2026, up 9% from the previous quarter [12] - The company is actively pursuing disciplined growth opportunities in its oil and gas royalties business [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that significant infrastructure investments in coal operations are beginning to pay off, with improved productivity expected from automation [14] - The company anticipates that rising electricity demand and favorable regulatory environments will support long-term coal demand [11][16] - Management expressed confidence in the ability to increase production at Tunnel Ridge and in the Illinois Basin to meet anticipated demand in 2026 [17] Other Important Information - Total liquidity at the end of Q3 2025 was $541.8 million, including $94.5 million in cash [10] - The company holds approximately 568 Bitcoin valued at $64.8 million at the end of Q3 2025 [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the supply contracts being signed? - Most contracts are for two to three years, primarily fixed pricing, with some escalation in years two and three [24] Question: What index should be monitored for pricing? - The Illinois Basin index is relevant, but pricing may be higher than what the index shows [25][29] Question: What is the expectation for pricing in 2026? - Pricing is expected to decline around 5% year-over-year due to contracts rolling off, but improved conditions at Tunnel Ridge may help maintain margins [30][31] Question: How will the recent DOE investments impact the business? - Increased interest from utilities in dispatching coal resources is expected, potentially leading to higher demand [34][35] Question: What is the outlook for equity method investment income? - Modestly positive numbers are anticipated for Q4, with some investments starting to yield distributions [40] Question: What is the expected CapEx for the full year? - CapEx is expected to come in toward the midpoint of guidance, with higher spending anticipated in Q4 [68] Question: Will there be a need for more staffing to increase production? - No additional staffing is anticipated; existing personnel will be utilized more efficiently [54][55] Question: What is the confidence level for uncommitted MET tons? - The company is confident in placing uncommitted MET tons, although pricing will depend on market conditions [56] Question: How does the company view the competition between coal and gas? - The competition is less significant now due to increased electricity demand, with coal supply needed to meet growing demand [62][64]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q3 2025 were $571.4 million, down from $613.6 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower coal sales prices and transportation revenues, partially offset by higher coal sales volumes [4][5] - Average coal sales price per ton decreased by 7.5% year-over-year to $58.78, but increased by 1.5% sequentially [5] - Net income attributable to the company was $95.1 million, including a $3.7 million favorable increase in the fair value of digital assets [10] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $185.8 million, up 9% year-over-year and 14.8% sequentially [10][11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total coal production in Q3 2025 was 8.4 million tons, an increase of 8.5% compared to Q3 2024, while total coal sales volumes increased by 3.9% to 8.7 million tons [5][6] - In the Illinois Basin, coal sales volumes increased by 10.8% year-over-year but decreased by 0.8% sequentially [6] - Coal sales volumes in Appalachia decreased by 13.3% year-over-year but increased by 21.8% sequentially due to improved mining conditions [6][7] - Total revenues from royalty segments were $57.4 million, up 11.9% year-over-year, driven by higher coal royalty tons sold [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date utility coal consumption increased by 15% in MISO and 16% in PJM, reflecting strong demand fundamentals [17] - Analysts project 4% to 6% annual growth in electricity demand in PJM and other markets over the next several years [18] - The recent PJM capacity auction cleared at maximum allowable prices, indicating a need for every available megawatt of dispatchable generation [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet, investing prudently in core operations, and positioning for long-term growth while delivering attractive returns to unitholders [20] - The company has secured additional contract commitments for 2026, with 29.1 million tons contracted, up 9% from the previous quarter [13] - The company plans to reduce sustaining capital needs in coal segments, enhancing free cash flow visibility for 2026 and beyond [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that favorable federal energy policies and rising electricity demand are supporting coal demand [17] - The company expects to increase production at Tunnel Ridge and in the Illinois Basin in 2026 to meet anticipated demand [18] - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of lower costs in Appalachia due to improved mining conditions [86] Other Important Information - Total liquidity at the end of Q3 2025 was $541.8 million, including $94.5 million in cash [11] - The company declared a quarterly distribution of $0.60 per unit, unchanged from the previous quarter [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Duration and structure of supply contracts - Most contracts are for two to three years, primarily fixed pricing with some tariff protection [26][27] Question: Pricing guidance for 2026 - Pricing is expected to decline around 5% year-over-year due to contracts rolling off, but improved conditions at Tunnel Ridge may help maintain margins [34][36] Question: Impact of Department of Energy investments - Increased interest from utilities in extending the life of coal plants could enhance demand for coal [38][40] Question: Equity method investment income - Modestly positive numbers are anticipated for Q4, with some investments starting to yield distributions [45][46] Question: Production increase logistics - No new staffing is required; existing personnel will be utilized more efficiently due to favorable conditions [63] Question: Confidence in uncommitted met coal sales - Anticipation of selling uncommitted met coal based on current pricing trends [67] Question: Coal vs. gas competition - Competition between coal and gas is less significant due to increasing electricity demand and data center growth [72][75] Question: Capital expenditures outlook - Full year CapEx is expected to be closer to the midpoint of guidance, with Q4 anticipated to be higher [81] Question: Future M&A outlook - Focus is more on minerals rather than expanding coal operations, with limited expectations for coal M&A [59][84]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q3 2025 were $571.4 million, down from $613.6 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to lower coal sales prices and transportation revenues, partially offset by higher coal sales volumes [4] - Average coal sales price per ton decreased by 7.5% year-over-year to $58.78, but increased by 1.5% sequentially [4] - Net income attributable to Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. in Q3 2025 was $95.1 million, including a $3.7 million increase in the fair value of digital assets [10] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $185.8 million, up 9% from Q3 2024 and up 14.8% sequentially [10] - Total liquidity at quarter end was $541.8 million, including $94.5 million in cash [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total coal production in Q3 2025 was 8.4 million tons, an 8.5% increase compared to Q3 2024, while total coal sales volumes increased by 3.9% to 8.7 million tons [5] - Coal sales volumes in the Illinois Basin increased by 10.8% year-over-year, but decreased by 0.8% sequentially [5] - Coal sales volumes in Appalachia decreased by 13.3% year-over-year but increased by 21.8% sequentially due to improved mining conditions [6] - Total revenues from royalties segments were $57.4 million, up 11.9% compared to Q3 2024, driven by higher coal royalties tons sold [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date utility coal consumption increased by 15% in MISO and 16% in PJM, reflecting strong demand fundamentals [17] - Analysts project 4% to 6% annual growth in electricity demand in PJM and other markets over the next several years [18] - The recent PJM capacity auction cleared at maximum allowable prices, indicating a need for coal-fired power plants [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet, investing prudently in core operations, and positioning for long-term growth [19] - The company has secured additional contract commitments for 2026, with 29.1 million sales tons contracted, up 9% from the previous quarter [12] - The company is actively pursuing disciplined growth opportunities in its oil and gas royalties business [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that U.S. coal demand is supported by favorable federal energy policies and rapid electricity demand growth [17] - The company expects to increase production at Tunnel Ridge and in the Illinois Basin in 2026 to meet anticipated demand [18] - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of lower costs in Appalachia due to improved mining conditions [63] Other Important Information - The company generated free cash flow of $151.4 million after investing $63.8 million in coal operations [10] - Distributable cash flow for Q3 2025 was $106.4 million, leading to a distribution coverage ratio of 1.37 times [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Duration and structure of supply contracts - Most contracts are for two to three years, primarily fixed pricing, with some escalation in years two and three [25] Question: Pricing guidance for 2026 - Overall pricing is likely to be down year-over-year due to contracts rolling off, but cost improvements at Tunnel Ridge may maintain margins [28] Question: Impact of Department of Energy investments - Increased engagement from utilities and the Department of Energy is expected to enhance demand for coal [32] Question: Equity method investment income outlook - Modestly positive numbers are anticipated for Q4, with some investments starting to yield distributions [37] Question: Confidence in uncommitted MET tons - Historically, MET tons are committed quarterly, and the company is confident in placing those tons [50] Question: Logistics of increasing production - No additional staffing is required to increase production; existing capital investments will be utilized [49] Question: CapEx expectations - Full-year CapEx is expected to come in toward the midpoint of guidance [60] Question: Future M&A outlook - Focus is more on minerals rather than expanding coal operations [46]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 6% revenue CAGR and an 11% EPS CAGR since its formation, placing it in the top tier of consumer packaged goods (CPG) peers [7][25] - The company expects year one EPS accretion of approximately 10% from the JDE Peet's acquisition [38] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Refreshment Beverage segment has achieved a high single-digit net sales CAGR since 2018, driven by flagship brands like Dr Pepper [23] - The U.S. Coffee segment has maintained a steady low single-digit sales CAGR in recent years, with Keurig reinforcing its position as the number one North American single-serve system [24][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The global coffee category has experienced a post-COVID slowdown but is beginning to show signs of recovery, with a historical volume growth of 2% CAGR over 40 years [11][29] - The company anticipates that the acquisition of JDE Peet's will more than triple its coffee net sales to $16 billion, making it the second-largest global coffee player [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to create two focused pure-play entities: Beverage Co, a growth-oriented player, and Global Coffee Co, a steady grower with strong cash flow [34] - The acquisition of JDE Peet's is seen as a strategic move to maximize the value of the coffee business, leveraging economies of scale and enhancing global reach [30][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the need for a refreshed approach to the coffee category, emphasizing the importance of structural tailwinds supporting future growth [27][30] - The company is committed to executing the integration and separation plans effectively, with a focus on maintaining business momentum and achieving synergy capture [40][41] Other Important Information - The company has established a transformation management office to oversee the integration and ensure successful execution of the acquisition and separation [36] - Recent actions have been taken to address investor concerns regarding capital structure, including minority investments to shore up the balance sheet [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why is JDE Peet's the right acquisition? - Management believes JDE Peet's represents the most attractive path for maximizing the value of the coffee business due to its scale and capabilities [19][30] Question: How will the separation into Beverage Co and Global Coffee Co uniquely enable growth? - The separation allows each entity to tailor its strategy and capital allocation priorities to align with distinct category and geographic exposures [34] Question: How will the company optimize its capital structure post-acquisition? - The company plans to target initial leverage ranges for Beverage Co and Global Coffee Co to ensure financial stability and attractive returns [37]

Keurig Dr Pepper (NasdaqGS:KDP) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 27, 2025 08:45 AM ET Company ParticipantsKaumil Gajrawala - Managing DirectorTim Cofer - CEORob Moskow - Managing DirectorEric Gorli - President of U.S. Refreshment BeveragesFilippo Falorni - Director of Equity ResearchDara Mohsenian - Managing DirectorJane Gelfand - SVP of FinanceOlivier Lemire - President of U.S. CoffeeRoger Johnson - Chief Transformation Officer and Supply Chain OfficerKevin Grundy - Managing DirectorBob Gamgort - ChairmanPam ...