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Should you buy Nvidia stock ahead of the earnings?
Finbold· 2025-02-12 11:26
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock has struggled to recover from a significant market capitalization loss, remaining down 3.98% year-to-date as of February 12, 2025, despite a potential upcoming earnings report that could act as a catalyst for growth [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Nvidia shares are currently trading at $133.37, slightly above the previous closing price of $132.80, indicating a lack of significant recovery [2]. - The stock has experienced substantial volatility around earnings reports, with notable price swings before and after announcements [5][6]. - Historical trends show that Nvidia's stock often rebounds strongly after earnings reports, with increases of 15.10% and 15.46% following previous filings [6]. Group 2: Upcoming Earnings Report - Nvidia is set to release its quarterly earnings report on February 26, 2025, raising questions about whether now is the right time to invest [3][4]. - The upcoming report is expected to be strong, covering the final quarter of 2024, which was not significantly impacted by recent challenges [11]. - Wall Street anticipates earnings-per-share (EPS) of $0.85 and revenue of $38.13 billion, which may be challenging for Nvidia to exceed given its recent performance [12]. Group 3: Market Challenges and Opportunities - Recent geopolitical factors, including export restrictions and tariffs, have contributed to a more cautious outlook for Nvidia [10]. - Despite these challenges, the current stock price may present a buying opportunity, as it has not fully recovered from previous dips [9]. - Investors may experience a pre-filing drop in stock price due to heightened nervousness surrounding the upcoming earnings report [9].
Here's how much Tesla stock is down since Trump's inauguration
Finbold· 2025-02-12 10:39
For most of 2024, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) was not doing particularly well. Tesla stock spent the first half of the year trading sideways, and subsequently struggled to break through the $250 mark in a sustained manner.All the while, longstanding concerns surrounding the electric vehicle (EV) company’s high valuation, CEO Elon Musk’s habit of overpromising and underdelivering, and increasing competition in key areas such as full self-driving (FSD) were shaking the confidence of Wall Street and investors alike.T ...
2 steel stocks to buy now as Trump announces new tariffs
Finbold· 2025-02-11 14:13
United States President Donald Trump is doubling down on imposing tariffs on goods entering the country, this time targeting a 25% tax on all steel and aluminum imports.This policy shift, which seeks to boost the local industry, has already sparked a positive reaction in the stock market, with steel stocks showing immediate gains.Although some analysts warn of potential retaliation from affected countries, the short-term gains hint at a possible investment opportunity in the sector.  Therefore, if the steel ...
Vanguard vs. BlackRock: Which ETFs will dominate the market in 2025?
Finbold· 2025-02-10 16:51
BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) and Vanguard are two of the largest exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers in the world.The investment vehicles offered by these two finance giants cover just about every facet one could think of. Whether investors are after exposure to a certain class of stocks, a particular sector, or an emergent theme, odds are either BlackRock or Vanguard — or most commonly, both, can provide.With each of these behemoths, wide-market index funds are the most popular choice. Offering simple exposure to ...
2 Dow Jones stocks to buy in Q1 2025
Finbold· 2025-02-10 15:16
Group 1: Market Outlook - The U.S. stock market has become tempestuous and uncertain in the early months of the year, despite a broadly optimistic outlook for 2025 [1] - Concerns have arisen regarding the impact of President Trump's tariffs on U.S. companies and the risks to global supply chains amid a potential trade war [2] Group 2: Chevron (CVX) - Chevron is well-positioned for both long and short-term growth, supported by its significant operations in various regions and the current national strategy favoring abundant energy [3][4] - The stock has shown slight positive performance year-to-date, trading at $154.36, indicating a comparatively low risk of becoming a deflated bubble [5] Group 3: Nvidia (NVDA) - Nvidia is expected to continue its rise despite concerns raised by China's DeepSeek AI model, as it remains the main semiconductor supplier and stands to benefit from the $500 billion Stargate program [6] - The stock price is currently $134.34, reflecting a 0.03% increase in 2025, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a discount [7] - However, Nvidia faces risks related to its valuation and quality issues with home-use chips, which could impact its long-term performance [9][10]
Wall Street analyst updates Google stock price amid ‘healthy share of incremental AI-driven activity'
Finbold· 2025-02-10 15:02
Core Viewpoint - A Wall Street analyst has reaffirmed a bullish outlook for Alphabet (GOOGL) stock amidst market volatility due to trade tensions, with a focus on reclaiming the $200 resistance level [1] Stock Performance - Ahead of market opening on February 10, GOOGL was up 0.98% to $188.89, but ended the last trading session at $187.14, down 1.8% year-to-date, while still up 26% over the past year [2] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Bank of America (BofA) analyst Justin Post reaffirmed a 'Buy' rating with a target of $225, indicating a 20% upside, supported by Google's strong search market position despite rising competition from AI platforms like ChatGPT [3] - JPMorgan lowered its price target from $232 to $220 due to weaker-than-expected revenue and operating income, while Morgan Stanley reduced its target from $215 to $210, citing challenges in proving long-term revenue growth [9] - Goldman Sachs raised its price target to $220, maintaining a 'Buy' rating, highlighting strong growth in Search and YouTube, while Raymond James revised its target from $190 to $205, acknowledging similar strengths but expressing concerns over Google Cloud's performance [10] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, Alphabet reported $96.5 billion in revenue, slightly missing analyst expectations of $96.67 billion, but exceeded EPS forecasts with $2.15, surpassing the expected $2.13 [8] Competitive Landscape - Despite competition from AI platforms, Google's search engine continues to show healthy growth in traffic and revenue, with ChatGPT not materially impacting Google search traffic or share [4] - BofA identified potential risks in 2025, including pressure on search traffic from emerging AI competitors and possible negative implications from court rulings in the U.S. and EU [5] AI Investments - Alphabet plans to spend $75 billion on capital expenditures in 2024, with a significant portion allocated to enhancing AI capabilities and infrastructure, indicating AI as a major long-term growth catalyst [11]
Here's why Citi sees a 14% upside for Boeing stock
Finbold· 2025-02-10 13:45
Boeing (NYSE: BA) had a rough time in 2024. In fact, Boeing stock was the worst performer in the entire Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA) during the year, having lost 32.1% of its value.There’s no shortage of what went wrong with the company last year. From catastrophic mid-air blowouts and whistleblower incidents to production delays and labor disputes, almost everything that could have gone wrong for Boeing did go wrong.However, there is a silver lining in otherwise dark clouds — Wall Street analysts have ...
Legendary trader sets 100% upside for this Michael Burry stock; Should you buy?
Finbold· 2025-02-09 21:00
Core Viewpoint - Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) is experiencing significant stock performance in 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 22% and a recent valuation of $103.51, attracting attention from analysts and traders [1][2]. Stock Performance and Projections - Peter Brandt, a notable trader, predicts that Alibaba's stock could reach $200, representing a potential upside of approximately 95%, based on an ascending triangle pattern observed in the stock's weekly chart [2][3]. - The stock is currently consolidating below a resistance level of $117.82, which has limited its gains since 2022 [2][3]. Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Analysts forecast Alibaba's revenue to be around $39 billion for Q4 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 7.06%, and $33.4 billion for Q1 2025, indicating a 7.44% increase [5][6]. - For fiscal year 2025, revenue is projected at $139.9 billion, a 6.15% rise, and is expected to grow to $151.2 billion in 2026, with an 8.06% increase [5]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - Alibaba's Tmall and Taobao platforms are significant contributors to the Chinese e-commerce market, generating $60 billion in annual revenue, while its diverse operations, including logistics and cloud computing, are also driving growth [7][8]. - The company is noted for its robust consumer spending in China, a clear strategic direction post-management changes, a healthy balance sheet with minimal debt, and an increasing focus on artificial intelligence [8]. Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets - A consensus among 12 Wall Street analysts indicates a 'Strong Buy' rating for BABA, with a price target of $121.33, suggesting a potential growth of 17.22% over the next 12 months [9][10]. - Projections for BABA's stock price range from a high of $144 to a low of $105, reflecting mixed sentiments regarding the company's future prospects [10][11].
‘Tesla implodes in 2025', warns Wall Street analyst
Finbold· 2025-02-08 10:45
Core Viewpoint - A Wall Street analyst has warned that Tesla may face a potential collapse in 2025 due to declining sales and an unsustainable valuation, as the stock struggles to regain the $400 mark [1][2]. Sales Performance - Tesla's sales have significantly dropped, with a 50% year-over-year decline in Europe for January 2025, an 8% decrease in China, and five consecutive quarters of year-over-year declines in California, its largest U.S. market [7][11]. - In Germany, Tesla registrations fell 59.5% year-over-year to just 1,277 in January, despite having its sole European factory located there [9]. Financial Performance - Tesla reported weaker-than-expected Q4 2024 earnings, with revenue rising only 2% to $25.71 billion, missing the forecast of $27.26 billion. Automotive sales fell 8% to $19.8 billion due to lower average selling prices across all major models [11][12]. - Operating income dropped 23% to $1.6 billion, while net income plunged 71% to $2.32 billion, largely due to the absence of a $5.9 billion tax benefit from the previous year [12]. Valuation Concerns - The analyst highlighted Tesla's valuation as "absurdly high," noting it stands at 181 times its projected 2025 non-GAAP earnings per share, implying an unrealistic scenario where Tesla would need to pay 100% of its earnings as dividends for 181 years [10]. Market Dynamics - The current political landscape, particularly with Donald Trump in office, is seen as unfavorable for Tesla, as regulatory shifts could negatively impact the company's core business by moving away from EV subsidies and renewable energy policies [3][5]. - Tesla's key customer base, primarily liberal-leaning Democrats, has distanced itself from Elon Musk due to his political and social stances, which has weakened brand loyalty [4][5]. Future Outlook - Tesla is banking on advancements in full self-driving technology (FSD) and artificial intelligence (AI) to drive future growth, although analysts warn that the stock is already pricing in these advancements despite the lack of tangible products and rising safety concerns [14][15]. - The company recorded a slight year-over-year drop in 2024 deliveries, falling to 1.79 million from 1.8 million in 2023, but maintained a strong daily average of 4,889 shipments, with improvements in quarterly deliveries [13].
This Michael Burry stock bet is on fire—and Wall Street is taking notice
Finbold· 2025-02-07 16:39
Group 1: Michael Burry's Investment Strategy - Michael Burry is a highly respected investor known for predicting the subprime mortgage collapse that led to the 2008 financial crisis [1] - Through his hedge fund, Scion Asset Management, Burry has shifted focus to international investments, particularly in China [2] Group 2: Portfolio Performance - In 2024, Burry's portfolio achieved an estimated return of 74.24%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 25% [3] - His largest holding, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), has increased by 23.37% year-to-date, reaching $104.61 [4] Group 3: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Citi analyst Alicia Yap maintained a 'Strong Buy' rating for Alibaba and raised the price target from $133 to $138, indicating a potential upside of 31.91% [5] - Barclays analyst Jiong Shao also reiterated a 'Strong Buy' rating for Alibaba, adjusting his price target from $137 to $130, which suggests a 24.27% upside from current prices [6][7]