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Wall Street analyst updates Tesla stock price after Musk's $1 trillion package approval
Finbold· 2025-11-12 12:49
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock outlook has been updated following the approval of CEO Elon Musk's $1 trillion pay package, with a 'Hold' rating and a price target of $406 per share, indicating a potential 7% downside from the current trading level of about $439 [1][4]. Group 1: CEO Compensation and Its Implications - Shareholder approval of Musk's compensation plan alleviates a significant uncertainty regarding the company's leadership [3]. - Musk's pay package is performance-based, contingent on achieving ambitious milestones, including market capitalization targets ranging from $2 trillion to $8.5 trillion, production of 20 million vehicles, and 1 million robotaxis and humanoid "Optimus" bots [5][6]. - The new pay plan builds on Musk's previous $56 billion package, which faced legal challenges but was ultimately reinstated by shareholders [6]. Group 2: AI and Technology Development - Tesla's ambitious AI projects, including Full Self-Driving (FSD), robotaxis, and the Optimus robot, are still in early development and are years away from generating significant revenue [3][4]. - While progress is noted in Tesla's FSD system, it is not meeting expectations, and there are ongoing execution risks in scaling AI-driven technologies [4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus 'Hold' rating for Tesla, with 34 analysts tracked by TipRanks, including 14 'Buy', 10 'Hold', and 10 'Sell' recommendations [7]. - The average 12-month price target is $382.54, suggesting a 12.98% downside from the recent closing price of $439.62 [7]. - Price targets among analysts vary significantly, ranging from a high of $600 to a low of $19.05, indicating differing views on Tesla's near-term trajectory [8].
UnitedHealth to pay dividends on December 16; Here's how much 100 UNH shares will earn
Finbold· 2025-11-12 11:10
Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group has announced its next quarterly dividend of $2.21 per share, unchanged from the previous dividend, amidst a challenging year marked by a significant stock decline and ongoing investigations [1][2][4]. Dividend Information - The next dividend payment will be made on December 18, 2025, to shareholders of record as of December 8, 2025 [1]. - The current annual dividend yield is 2.7%, with a payout ratio of 49.99%, based on a share price of $327.45, which is higher than the sector average yield of 1.58% [2]. Shareholder Impact - For investors holding 100 shares, the upcoming payout will amount to $221 in December, translating to an annual total of $884 [3]. Stock Performance and Outlook - UnitedHealth's stock has experienced a 35% decline since January, primarily due to leadership changes and investigations by the Department of Justice [4]. - Despite the decline, the company reported stronger-than-expected earnings, with $113.2 billion in revenue, a 12% year-over-year increase, and adjusted EPS of $2.92, exceeding Wall Street estimates by $0.13 [6]. - The medical care ratio was reported at 89.9%, which is above the industry norm of around 80%, leading management to raise the full-year EPS forecast to at least $16.25 [7]. - The stock remains approximately 50% below its 52-week high of $630 and trades at a forward P/E ratio of about 20, slightly below the S&P 500 average of 22, which may limit near-term upside [7]. Long-term Prospects - Although UnitedHealth has not fully recovered from the year's downturn, its long-term outlook appears strong due to solid revenue growth, with management indicating that new initiatives may yield significant benefits by 2027 [8].
Banking giant says it's time to take profits from this booming sector
Finbold· 2025-11-12 09:55
Core Viewpoint - Wells Fargo has downgraded the S&P 500 Information Technology sector from 'Overweight' to 'Neutral' due to concerns over high valuations and overheated sentiment in the AI-driven tech rally [1] Valuation Concerns - Technology stocks are currently trading at over 46 times earnings, significantly higher than the S&P 500's average of 29 times, making them vulnerable to minor earnings disappointments [2] - The IT sector has surged approximately 60% since April, outperforming the broader S&P 500 by over 25 percentage points [4] Earnings and Market Risks - Expectations for the tech sector have risen too quickly, leading Wells Fargo to believe that high valuations and investor enthusiasm could result in underperformance if earnings fall short [6] - Ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions and concerns regarding returns on AI-related capital expenditures are additional market risks [7] Investment Strategy - Wells Fargo suggests that investors should "lock in gains" by reducing their exposure to the tech sector, despite the potential for a short-lived pullback [8] Broader Market Sentiment - Other market players, including Michael Burry, have also expressed bearish views on tech stocks, warning that mega-cap firms may be inflating profits through aggressive accounting related to AI investments [9] - Burry estimates that major tech firms could understate depreciation costs by approximately $176 billion between 2026 and 2028, artificially inflating reported profits [11]
This Nvidia stock just crashed 10%
Finbold· 2025-11-11 11:28
Core Viewpoint - CoreWeave's stock experienced a nearly 10% decline in pre-market trading despite better-than-expected quarterly results, indicating a negative investor sentiment influenced by operational challenges [1][4]. Financial Performance - CoreWeave reported third-quarter revenue of $1.36 billion, exceeding Wall Street's forecast of $1.29 billion [3]. - Adjusted operating income reached $217.15 million, surpassing expectations of $177.2 million [3]. - The adjusted EPS loss was narrowed to $0.22 per share, better than the anticipated loss of $0.40 [3]. Operational Challenges - A third-party developer partner is behind schedule in building new data center capacity, creating uncertainty regarding CoreWeave's ability to meet increasing AI demand [4]. - The company's full-year 2025 revenue guidance of $5.05 billion to $5.15 billion is below analysts' consensus of $5.3 billion, indicating caution [4]. Strategic Partnerships - CoreWeave secured significant contracts, including a $14 billion AI compute agreement with Meta, an expanded partnership with OpenAI, and a $6.3 billion deal with Nvidia for unused cloud capacity [5]. - The backlog of contracted work surged to $55.6 billion, nearly doubling from the previous quarter, although delays in data center buildout may slow revenue recognition [5]. Analyst Sentiment - DA Davidson reiterated an 'Underperform' rating with a $36 price target, citing ongoing unprofitability and projected losses of -$1.24 per share for 2025 [6]. - JPMorgan downgraded CoreWeave from 'Overweight' to 'Neutral', lowering its price target to $110 from $135, reflecting mixed signals from the quarterly results [6]. - Morgan Stanley's analyst noted that large contracts validate CoreWeave's position in the GPU market but highlighted execution challenges as a key risk [8].
This company just dumped $5.8 billion of Nvidia stock
Finbold· 2025-11-11 11:26
Core Viewpoint - SoftBank has divested its entire stake in Nvidia, selling 32.1 million shares for $5.83 billion to fund new investments in the AI sector, including a significant $22.5 billion allocation to OpenAI [1][5]. Group 1: SoftBank's Actions - SoftBank sold 32.1 million shares of Nvidia for $5.83 billion [1]. - The proceeds from the sale will be directed towards investments in the AI sector, with a notable $22.5 billion earmarked for OpenAI [1][5]. - CEO Masayoshi Son is seeking partnerships with companies like TSMC to establish a $1 trillion AI manufacturing hub in Arizona [1]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Nvidia's stock initially rose by 5.79% on November 10 but fell by 1.66% in pre-market trading on November 11, reaching $195.74 following the news of SoftBank's share sale [2]. - Analysts like Rolf Bulk from New Street Research suggest that the sale does not indicate a loss of confidence in Nvidia, but rather a strategic move to increase SoftBank's investment budget for the current quarter [4][5]. Group 3: SoftBank's Strategy - The sale reflects SoftBank's shift from merely holding tech stocks to actively investing in the AI ecosystem [6]. - SoftBank's Vision Fund reported a record $19 billion gain last quarter, contributing to a year-over-year profit doubling [6]. - The company previously sold $4 billion worth of Nvidia shares in 2019, indicating a history of asset monetization [6]. Group 4: Ongoing Relationship with Nvidia - Despite the sale, SoftBank remains involved in Nvidia's ecosystem through a $500 billion Stargate data center deal announced in February [7].
‘Big Short' Michael Burry exposes big tech's ‘common frauds of the modern era'
Finbold· 2025-11-10 19:50
Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry has accused major technology companies of manipulating their earnings by extending the depreciation schedules of computing and networking equipment, labeling it as a common fraud of the modern era [1][2]. Group 1: Accusations Against Tech Companies - Burry's criticism targets tech giants including Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon for gradually lengthening the useful lives of their data center and compute assets [2][4]. - By artificially extending the useful life of assets, these companies reduce annual depreciation expenses, which boosts reported earnings [5]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Burry estimates that the extended depreciation schedules will understate depreciation by approximately $176 billion between 2026 and 2028, leading to overstated profits across the sector [6]. - His calculations suggest that Oracle's earnings could be inflated by 26.9% and Meta's by 20.8% by 2028 [6]. Group 3: Burry's Investment Actions - Burry has taken a significant short position against popular AI stocks, Nvidia and Palantir, with a total investment of roughly $1.1 billion in put options [7]. - Both Nvidia and Palantir are trading at high valuations, with Palantir having a price-to-earnings ratio of 417 and a price-to-sales ratio of 116 [8].
Wall Street analyst updates Nvidia stock price ahead of Q3 earnings
Finbold· 2025-11-10 17:31
Group 1 - Citi has raised its price target on Nvidia to $220 from $210 while maintaining a 'Buy' rating, anticipating strong Q3 results and higher guidance due to surging AI-related demand, implying a potential 13% upside from the current stock value of around $195 [1] - Nvidia's Q3 revenue is projected to reach $57 billion, exceeding Wall Street's forecast of about $55 billion, with Q4 sales expected at roughly $62 billion, topping the $61 billion consensus, driven by strong GPU shipments [3] - Nvidia reportedly delivered six million GPU units, indicating persistent demand from hyperscale data centers [3] Group 2 - Rising global AI capital expenditures could lift Nvidia's earnings per share by 2% to 8% between fiscal years 2026 and 2028, with a revised forecast valuing Nvidia at 30x its calendar year 2026 earnings per share estimate of $7.24 [4] - Wolfe Research projects around $300 billion in revenue from Nvidia's Blackwell and Rubin chips by 2026, about 20% above earlier forecasts, with expected earnings per share of around $8 for 2026 [5] - A potential reintroduction of a China-focused GPU could further boost sales, with data center revenue possibly exceeding forecasts by up to $85 billion [6] Group 3 - Bank of America reiterated its 'Buy' rating, highlighting Nvidia's $500 billion in data center orders for 2025–26 as evidence of sustained AI demand [6] - Current skepticism around AI spending and U.S. restrictions on China is argued to be overstated and largely irrelevant to Nvidia's near- and medium-term financial performance [7]
Nvidia to pay dividends on December 26; Here's how much 100 NVDA shares will earn
Finbold· 2025-11-10 14:36
Group 1 - Nvidia is scheduled to pay a quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 on December 26, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of December 4, 2025 [1][2] - The forward annual yield based on the current stock price of $188.15 is 0.021%, with a forward payout ratio of 0.60% [2] - Investors holding 100 shares will receive $1 this quarter, totaling $4 for the year if the dividend rate remains unchanged [3] Group 2 - Nvidia's stock is up 36% year-to-date and is currently trading at $188.15, with potential to reach $250 in the coming weeks [4] - The company expects $54 billion in revenue for the upcoming quarter, representing a 54% year-over-year increase, with gross margins projected at 73.3% (GAAP) and 73.5% (non-GAAP) [6] - Operating expenses are forecasted at $5.9 billion (GAAP) and $4.2 billion (non-GAAP), with adjusted earnings per share expected to be $1.25, up from $0.81 last year [6] Group 3 - The upcoming Q3 earnings report on November 19 is critical for Nvidia's stock performance and could influence the broader industry amid discussions about the artificial intelligence sector [7][8] - Concerns about a potential market bubble exist, highlighted by a bearish bet placed on Nvidia by investor Michael Burry, valued at $187 million [7]
Moody's top economist pokes holes into sustainability of AI stock rally
Finbold· 2025-11-10 11:14
Core Insights - Concerns have been raised regarding the long-term sustainability of the AI stock rally, with warnings that the economic momentum driven by rising tech valuations may not be enduring [1][5] - The recent economic expansion is significantly linked to the "wealth effect," where increased household wealth from rising equity markets boosts consumer spending [2][3] - Affluent Americans, whose stock portfolios have increased due to the AI boom, are major contributors to this spending trend [3][4] Economic Impact - The "wealth effect" has contributed nearly 0.5 percentage points to real GDP growth over the past year, accounting for about 25% of total economic expansion [2] - Household wealth is currently approximately eight times after-tax income, exceeding the historical average of 5.5 times from post-World War II to the financial crisis [4] Risks and Market Dynamics - The rapid increase in household net worth relative to income levels raises questions about the sustainability of this growth [4] - Potential risks to future growth are highlighted if stock market gains, especially in AI sectors, begin to decline, amid concerns of a possible bubble [5] - Despite these risks, companies like Nvidia and Palantir continue to perform strongly, even as questions about their high valuations remain [5]
Nvidia stock flashes ‘biggest green flag'; $250 next?
Finbold· 2025-11-10 08:47
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock is showing strong performance ahead of its Q3 earnings release, with potential to reach its record high of $250 despite a recent drop to $188 [1][2]. Stock Performance - Nvidia's stock price has increased from approximately $46 per share in 2023 to around $188, while its valuation multiple has decreased from 158x to 50x earnings, indicating a sustainable bull market [2][4]. - The pattern of rising stock price alongside contracting valuation multiples suggests that Nvidia's earnings growth is outpacing stock price appreciation, driven by fundamental performance rather than speculation [4]. Q3 Earnings Outlook - Nvidia anticipates $54 billion in revenue for Q3, representing a 54% year-over-year increase, with gross margins projected at 73.3% (GAAP) and 73.5% (non-GAAP) [5]. - Operating expenses are expected to be $5.9 billion (GAAP) and $4.2 billion (non-GAAP), with analysts predicting adjusted EPS of $1.25, up from $0.81 last year [6]. Market Sentiment - Despite the positive outlook, some market participants express caution, including investor Michael Burry, who has warned of a potential bubble and has placed bearish put options on Nvidia shares [8].