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Here's how much MicroStrategy stock is down since Bitcoin's last all-time high
Finbold· 2026-01-02 13:45
Core Viewpoint - Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, closely correlated with the downturn in Bitcoin prices, highlighting the volatility and risks associated with its investment strategy in digital assets [1][2][4]. Stock Performance - Since October 6, 2025, MSTR shares have fallen from $360 to $151.86, representing a nearly 58% decrease in less than three months [2]. - The current market capitalization of Strategy is approximately $47.2 billion, reflecting a loss of around $53 billion [3]. - MSTR stock is trading at its 52-week lows and would rank as the sixth worst-performing stock in the S&P 500 if it were included, with a 47.5% decline in 2025 [6][10]. Bitcoin Holdings - Despite the stock decline, Strategy still holds approximately $60 billion worth of Bitcoin, indicating that the company is trading at about 21% below the value of its Bitcoin holdings [3]. - Even if Bitcoin prices were to drop to $75,000, the Bitcoin portfolio would still be valued at roughly $50 billion, with no collateral-backed Bitcoin debt [7]. Strategic Implications - The decline in MSTR shares illustrates the relationship between Bitcoin and the company's market performance, particularly given the aggressive Bitcoin investment strategy promoted by executive chairman Michael J. Saylor [4]. - The volatility in the interplay between Bitcoin and premium valuation may prompt similar companies to reconsider their approaches to digital assets and balance sheets [5].
Is Nvidia stock a buy in 2026?
Finbold· 2026-01-02 10:04
Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment - Nvidia's stock has shown remarkable success, with a significant rally starting in late 2022, and is still considered a strong buy as 2026 approaches [1] - Wall Street analysts predict an average stock price increase of 40.91% over the next 12 months, with recent ratings uniformly positive, forecasting rallies between 26% and 60.86% [2][3] - The least optimistic forecast from UBS suggests a rise to $235 from a closing price of $186.50, while the most bullish forecast from Cantor Fitzgerald anticipates a price of $300 [3] Group 2: Catalysts for Growth - A key catalyst for Nvidia's growth is the expected resumption of chip exports to China in February, which is anticipated to boost investor confidence despite uncertainties regarding market conditions [4] - Nvidia's technological advancements, particularly the upcoming Rubin (R100) architecture, are expected to further enhance its competitive edge in the semiconductor market [5] Group 3: Competitive Pressures and Market Dynamics - Concerns exist regarding the rapid arrival of new architectures, which may lead to obsolescence of existing hardware, as well as the circular nature of AI investment deals [6] - Rising competition from major technology firms like Amazon, which are developing custom chips, poses a threat to Nvidia's market position, especially given the high price of its products [7] - Despite strong performance in 2025, where Nvidia shares rose 34.84% from $138.31 to $186.50, the company faces challenges as data center operators may seek cheaper alternatives [8][9]
Trading expert predicts when Amazon (AMZN) is going to hit $300
Finbold· 2025-12-31 13:26
Core Viewpoint - Amazon is gaining popularity among retail investors due to its cloud computing initiatives and is considered a strong buy opportunity as it approaches a decade-low valuation [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Amazon's earnings per share (EPS) have increased by 36% year-over-year (YOY) [2][3] - Revenue has risen by 13% YOY, while profit margins have improved by 38% over the same period [2][3] Stock Predictions - Analyst Mike Investing believes Amazon stock could reach $300, with a target range of $250–$260 by April 2026 and a potential all-time high of $330–$350 in 2026 [5] - As of December 31, 2025, Amazon shares were trading at $232.45, indicating a nearly 13% upside by the end of Q1 2026 and a total upside potential of approximately 35% for the 2026 cycle [6] Analyst Recommendations - Amazon is one of the stocks with the most 'Buy' recommendations for 2026, with a price target of $296.12, suggesting an upside potential of 27.35% from current levels based on 45 analyst opinions [9]
The best IPO stocks to watch in 2026
Finbold· 2025-12-31 11:24
Group 1: IPO Market Overview - More than 200 companies have gone public this year, with expectations for significant IPOs in 2026, indicating a landmark year for the equities market [1] - Finbold has identified two key IPO stocks to watch in 2026, namely SpaceX and OpenAI [1] Group 2: SpaceX - Elon Musk confirmed on December 10, 2025, that a SpaceX stock IPO is forthcoming, which is anticipated to be a major market event [2] - SpaceX is the leading space-launch provider, generating billions in revenue, with a valuation speculated to be upwards of $1.5 trillion [3] - The company's long-term potential includes exploring profitable industries in space, such as data centers in orbit [4] - The IPO is expected to be one of the largest public offerings in history, positioning SpaceX as one of the most valuable companies globally [5] Group 3: OpenAI - CEO Sam Altman's actions are closely monitored for signs of a potential OpenAI stock IPO, with recent developments suggesting a possible move towards it [6] - OpenAI is reportedly seeking to raise $100 billion in funding, which would elevate its valuation to $830 billion and enhance its competitive position in the AI market [7] - There is a possibility that private funding could delay the IPO, as there is no immediate pressure to go public [8] - The competition with Anthropic, projected to reach $70 billion in revenue by 2028, may influence OpenAI's decision regarding an IPO [9][10] Group 4: Conclusion on IPO Stocks - Both SpaceX and OpenAI are leaders in commercial space and artificial intelligence, respectively, making them pivotal players in the upcoming IPO market [11] - As both companies approach significant milestones, investor sentiment is improving, making them promising IPO stocks to watch in 2026 [12]
Top Wall Street analyst picks 5 AI stocks for 2026
Finbold· 2025-12-30 15:46
Core Viewpoint - Artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to be the dominant investment theme in global markets by 2025, with a shift in focus towards companies that can leverage AI for sustained revenue growth as 2026 approaches [1][2] Group 1: Companies Benefiting from AI Adoption - Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is anticipated to be a primary beneficiary as enterprises expand AI workloads in cloud environments, with Azure's growth trajectory expected to strengthen [3] - Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) is included due to rising expectations that AI will significantly enhance its ecosystem, leading to new revenue streams and deeper user engagement [5] - Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is positioned as an AI-driven growth story, with advancements in autonomous systems and robotics expected to influence market valuation [6] - Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) has emerged as a strong performer in enterprise AI adoption, with demand for its platforms driving a significant re-rating [8] - CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) is highlighted as cybersecurity spending increasingly intersects with AI, with a growing demand for AI-enhanced security solutions [10][13] Group 2: Stock Performance - Microsoft shares were trading at $487, having rallied over 15% year-to-date [3] - Apple shares were trading at $272, with an 11% year-to-date gain [5] - Tesla shares traded at $460, reflecting a 21% year-to-date increase [6] - Palantir shares surged to $183, marking a 143% increase [8] - CrowdStrike shares were trading at $475, having rallied over 36% [10]
2 luxury goods stocks to buy in 2026
Finbold· 2025-12-30 14:50
Industry Overview - The global luxury sector has faced challenges in 2025 due to uneven consumer demand, currency volatility, and a slowdown in key markets like China [1] - Signs of stabilization are emerging as analysts expect easing financial conditions and renewed spending by high-net-worth consumers heading into 2026 [1] Company Analysis: LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton - LVMH is the world's largest luxury conglomerate, benefiting from a dominant market position and broad exposure across various segments including fashion, leather goods, jewelry, cosmetics, and wines and spirits [2] - The company's diversified structure allows it to offset weaknesses in one segment with strengths in another, maintaining robust margins through brand equity and pricing power [2] - Analysts expect the fashion and leather goods division to remain a key earnings driver, supported by global demand and continued investment in brands [3] - LVMH's exposure to multiple regions, including the United States, Europe, and Asia, enhances its ability to navigate uneven economic conditions [3] Company Analysis: Compagnie Financière Richemont - Compagnie Financière Richemont is viewed as an attractive luxury stock for 2026, with a strong focus on high-end jewelry and watches [6] - Brands like Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels are benefiting from resilient demand, as jewelry has historically performed better during economic slowdowns [7] - Richemont is enhancing its operational efficiency and digital capabilities, which could support margins as sales recover [8] - Recent upgrades from major banks indicate growing confidence in Richemont's positioning to capture a recovery in luxury spending while maintaining its premium brand status [8] Conclusion - As macroeconomic pressures ease and consumer confidence improves, both LVMH and Richemont appear well-positioned to benefit from a renewed upturn in high-end demand [11]
Is Nvidia stock still a millionaire maker?
Finbold· 2025-12-30 13:50
Core Insights - Nvidia has experienced a remarkable growth of nearly 23,000% over the past decade, primarily driven by its focus on artificial intelligence (AI) [1][2] - The company is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory, potentially enabling investors to build substantial portfolios over the long term [2] Nvidia's Success Factors - Nvidia's chips are dominant in AI model training and are essential for real-world applications, despite competition from Alphabet's Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) [3] - The company is expanding into various sectors such as healthcare, automotive, and telecommunications, developing AI platforms for specific industry applications like autonomous driving [4] - Nvidia's growth is supported by high-profile partnerships, including a recent deal with Groq, which is expected to enhance growth through a licensing agreement for inference technology [5][6] Competitive Landscape - Traditional competitors like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) are aggressively entering the AI chip market, while companies like Amazon are gaining popularity among retail investors [8] - Concerns exist regarding Nvidia's ability to maintain its market position against these competitors, particularly if alternative data center models gain traction [9] Financial Performance and Market Sentiment - Approximately 90% of Nvidia's second-quarter revenue is linked to AI infrastructure demand, indicating a strong reliance on this sector [10] - The company's innovative capabilities and strong market position may allow it to capitalize on emerging trends, with 97% of investors rating NVDA shares as a 'Buy' [10] - Nvidia's potential for long-term growth remains significant, contingent on its commitment to innovation as emphasized by CEO Jensen Huang [11]
Can Google stock make you a millionaire in a year?
Finbold· 2025-12-30 12:30
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet, Google's parent company, is experiencing renewed investor interest due to a strong rebound driven by artificial intelligence, with the stock rallying about 77% over the past six months and over 60% year-to-date [1][2]. Company Fundamentals - Alphabet generates more than $300 billion in annual revenue with operating margins above 25%, and earnings per share exceed $10, placing the stock at a forward price-to-earnings ratio in the low-to-mid 20s [3]. - The company has free cash flow exceeding $80 billion annually, which supports ongoing investments, acquisitions, and stock buybacks [3]. Growth Drivers - AI is identified as the main growth engine for Alphabet, with Gemini AI integrated across various platforms, enhancing AI-driven advertising and enterprise demand [4]. - Google Cloud has become profitable, boasting an estimated $155 billion backlog and revenue growth that exceeds the company's average, positioning it as a key long-term earnings driver [4]. Investment Strategy - Alphabet is increasing infrastructure spending, focusing on data centers, custom AI chips, and energy capacity to meet rising AI demand, with a notable $4.75 billion power deal emphasizing long-term scalability and cost control [5]. - While these investments may pressure margins in the short term, they are expected to strengthen Alphabet's competitive position in AI and cloud computing [5]. Stock Performance and Investment Potential - A $100,000 investment in Alphabet would require a tenfold rise to approximately $3,000 per share to turn into $1 million, which implies an unrealistic near $30 trillion valuation for a mega-cap company [7]. - A more realistic scenario suggests annual gains of 25% to 40% if AI revenue accelerates and cloud margins expand, potentially growing a $250,000 investment to about $350,000 [8]. - Achieving $1 million in a year is feasible only for investors with larger positions, such as a $750,000 investment needing a gain of roughly 33% [8].
$1,000 invested in Tesla stock at the start of 2025 returned
Finbold· 2025-12-30 11:06
Core Insights - Tesla's stock has shown a year-to-date gain of 21.2%, closing at $459.64 on December 29, 2025, compared to approximately $379 at the beginning of the year [1][4] - A $1,000 investment at the start of 2025 would have appreciated to about $1,214 by year-end, reflecting a gain of approximately $214 [2] - The stock's performance in 2025 was characterized by early volatility followed by a strong rebound, driven by reassessment of demand trends and margin stabilization [4] Supply Chain and Cost Concerns - A significant reduction in the supply agreement value with South Korean battery materials supplier L&F, from $2.9 billion to just over $7 million, has raised concerns about battery supply risks [6][7] - China's new licensing rules on silver exports have introduced additional cost concerns, as silver is a critical input for Tesla's automotive electronics and solar components [8] Future Outlook - Tesla's 2025 performance indicates a combination of long-term upside potential and ongoing near-term volatility, with price movements likely to be influenced by supply-chain developments and input costs as 2026 begins [9]
Insiders dumped over $1 billion Nvidia shares in 2025
Finbold· 2025-12-29 12:18
Core Insights - Nvidia insiders sold over $1 billion worth of company stock in 2025, capitalizing on the company's strong performance driven by advancements in artificial intelligence [1] - The stock price increased by over 52% year-to-date, reaching $190 at the last market close [1] - Insider ownership stands at approximately 4.17%, with 15 insiders selling shares and no purchases reported, totaling around $1.7 billion in insider sales over the past 12 months [2] Insider Selling Activity - Chief Executive Jensen Huang was the largest and most consistent seller, executing multiple sales under pre-arranged trading plans [2] - In July, Huang sold over 205,000 shares worth about $36 million, followed by a sale of approximately 225,000 shares valued at nearly $40 million in September [4] - Other board members also sold shares, including director Harvey Jones, who sold around 250,000 shares for about $44 million in September [4] Market Capitalization and Demand - Nvidia's market capitalization exceeded $4 trillion, driven by high demand for data-center GPUs used in generative AI [5] - Revenue growth and margins have significantly outpaced much of the semiconductor industry, supporting premium valuations [6] Investor Sentiment and Market Impact - The lack of insider buying alongside significant selling may affect investor sentiment, potentially leading to increased volatility [7] - Large insider sales could weigh on confidence if Nvidia's growth trajectory shows signs of slowing [7]