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Why Lockheed Martin (LMT) stock is crashing
Finbold· 2025-06-11 15:10
Group 1 - Lockheed Martin's stock dropped nearly 6% to $448.70, extending weekly losses to over 7% due to concerns over the F-35 fighter jet program's future momentum [1][3] - The U.S. Air Force plans to cut its F-35 jet orders from 48 to just 24 jets in the upcoming fiscal year, as reported in a Department of Defense procurement document [3][4] - The proposed budget allocates $3.5 billion for the F-35 aircraft, a decrease from previous levels, and includes cuts to the Navy's F-35 carrier variant and the Marine Corps [4] Group 2 - Production of the F-35 has been slowed by delays in a key technology upgrade, with CFO Evan Scott indicating a finalized contract is expected in the second half of the year [5] - Lockheed Martin had previously projected two major contracts, with one anticipated in the first half of 2024 and another by the end of 2025 [5] - The defense sector is preparing for potential budget cuts under the Trump administration, with the Pentagon planning to reduce military spending by 8% over the next five years [6]
Robotaxi launch will be ‘X-mas morning for Tesla bears,' says Wall Street analyst
Finbold· 2025-06-11 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's upcoming robotaxi service launch has raised skepticism among analysts, particularly regarding the readiness of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, which could negatively impact the company's stock performance [1][2][5]. Group 1: Robotaxi Launch Concerns - Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced a tentative launch date for the robotaxi service on June 22, which may shift to June 28 due to safety concerns [1][2]. - Analyst Gordon Johnson expressed doubts about the FSD technology's readiness, suggesting that the launch could be detrimental to Tesla's stock, labeling it an "ideal day for bears" [2][5]. - Johnson's concerns are supported by data indicating that Tesla's autonomous system is involved in a crash every 244 to 492 miles, with independent research suggesting failures as frequent as every 13 miles [3][4]. Group 2: Implications for Tesla's Stock - Johnson argues that delaying the robotaxi launch could benefit Tesla shareholders by maintaining high valuations for a business model that he believes is not yet viable [4][5]. - A public launch could expose ongoing shortcomings in the FSD technology, potentially leading to a decline in the hype surrounding it [5][6]. - Despite the skepticism, TSLA shares opened trading up 2.5% at $334, with a nearly 5% increase over the past week, partly influenced by Musk's changing relationship with former President Trump [6][9]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish outlook on Tesla, with a price target of $410, suggesting that the recent public spat between Musk and Trump may have been a strategic move [9].
This BlacRock penny stock has rallied 40% in a week
Finbold· 2025-06-11 12:21
Core Viewpoint - Plug Power has experienced increased investor confidence, particularly following a significant investment from BlackRock and positive developments in its business partnerships [1][4]. Group 1: Investment and Stock Performance - BlackRock disclosed a stake in Plug Power, holding just under 80 million shares valued at $107.5 million, indicating confidence in the company's long-term potential [1]. - As of the latest trading session, PLUG shares closed at $1.28, reflecting a 4.9% increase for the day and a 42% gain over the past month, although the stock is down 45% year-to-date [2]. - Wall Street analysts have set an average 12-month price target of $1.45 for PLUG, suggesting a 13% upside from current levels, with varying opinions among analysts [7]. Group 2: Business Developments - Plug Power is expanding its partnership with Allied Green Ammonia to supply hydrogen electrolyzer technology for a $5.5 billion green chemical facility in Uzbekistan, enhancing its role in global clean energy infrastructure [4]. - The company reported a first-quarter loss of $0.21 per share on revenue of $133.67 million, but sales of its GenEco electrolyzers surged 575% year-over-year [5][6]. - Looking ahead, Plug Power projects second-quarter revenue between $140 million and $180 million, exceeding analyst estimates [6]. Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - Among 20 analysts covering Plug Power, 12 rate it a 'Hold,' four recommend a 'Buy,' and another four suggest 'Sell,' reflecting mixed sentiment in the market [7]. - The most bullish analyst projects the stock could reach $3.50, representing over a 170% increase from its current price, while the most bearish projection estimates it at $0.50 [9].
2 semiconductor ETFs to buy and hold forever
Finbold· 2025-06-11 11:07
Group 1 - The semiconductor sector is experiencing a resurgence, with stocks like Nvidia rallying as part of a broader recovery in early 2024 [1] - Recent optimism in the sector is attributed to the conclusion of key trade negotiations between the United States and China, potentially easing restrictions on semiconductor exports [1] - Investors are looking at exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as a timely opportunity to gain exposure to the semiconductor industry, particularly in relation to artificial intelligence [2] Group 2 - The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) tracks the ICE Semiconductor Index and includes major U.S.-listed chipmakers such as Nvidia, Broadcom, and AMD, offering a balanced blend of growth and stability [2][3] - Year-to-date, SOXX has gained nearly 5%, closing at $227.32 [3] - The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) provides targeted exposure to global semiconductor leaders, including Nvidia, TSMC, and ASML, appealing to growth-oriented investors [4][6] - As of the latest trading session, SMH is priced at $262.07, up nearly 2% in the last 24 hours and more than 7% year-to-date [6] - Both ETFs are well-positioned to capitalize on evolving demands in the AI-driven semiconductor space due to their diverse nature [7]
Palantir insider sales intensify; Is PLTR stock in trouble?
Finbold· 2025-06-11 09:28
Core Insights - Insiders at Palantir are selling shares despite the stock's rise due to lucrative government contracts, raising concerns about confidence in the company's future [1][4][5] Insider Transactions - Shyam Sankar, CTO of Palantir, sold 405,000 shares on June 10, valued at approximately $53.49 million based on an average price of $132.07 per share [1][2] - Other executives, including director Alexander Moore, have also sold significant amounts of stock, with Moore selling 80,000 shares for about $9.6 million on June 6 and previously 20,000 shares for $1.68 million on April 1 [3][4] - In late May, executives sold over $124 million in stock, including $50 million by CEO Alex Karp and $43 million by Executive VP Stephen Andrew [4] Company Performance and Valuation - Palantir has secured significant government contracts, including a $1.3 billion extension of its Project Maven contract with the U.S. Department of Defense, indicating strong growth fundamentals [6] - The stock has increased by 76% year-to-date, closing at $132, up 0.57% on the last trading day [6] - Despite the growth, analysts express caution regarding the high valuation of Palantir, with a consensus predicting a 23% decline in stock price over the next 12 months, targeting $101 [8]
Tesla stock jumps as Musk apologizes to Trump
Finbold· 2025-06-11 09:25
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock is experiencing a positive trend, influenced by Elon Musk's public apology to President Trump and the anticipated launch of its autonomous vehicle fleet on June 22 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Tesla stock is currently trading at $334.67, reflecting an increase of $8.58 from the previous close of $326.09 [2] - The stock saw a significant jump of 5.67% after being officially listed as an autonomous vehicle operator in Austin, Texas [4] - Despite recent gains, Tesla's stock is down 14% year-to-date due to challenges in the electric vehicle market, project delays, and political controversies [6] Group 2: Autonomous Vehicle Developments - The launch of Tesla's autonomous vehicle service is expected to begin around June 22, although safety concerns may delay this timeline [4][6] - Tesla's listing as an autonomous vehicle operator places it alongside competitors like Waymo, but Tesla's units are significantly cheaper, costing around $30,000 compared to Waymo's $150,000 to $200,000 [5] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Challenges - Investors are hopeful that the upcoming robotaxi launch could revitalize Tesla's growth prospects [6] - There remains skepticism regarding safety, regulatory issues, and public sentiment towards autonomous technology and Elon Musk [6]
Banking giant says Trump v. Musk spat ‘likely planned strategy,' updates TSLA target
Finbold· 2025-06-10 18:13
Core Viewpoint - The recent public conflict between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump is perceived as a strategic move rather than a spontaneous dispute, with implications for Tesla's market performance and brand perception [1][3]. Group 1: Market Impact - The clash between Musk and Trump led to a significant 14% drop in Tesla shares, resulting in a loss of $150 billion in market value within a single day [1]. - Following the initial turmoil, Tesla's stock rebounded, trading at $320.07, reflecting an increase of nearly 4% [2]. Group 2: Analyst Perspectives - Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish outlook on Tesla, reaffirming it as their 'top pick' in the U.S. auto sector and raising the price target from $400 to $410 while keeping an 'Overweight' rating [2][4]. - The firm believes the feud will not have long-term repercussions on Tesla's performance and highlights the upcoming robotaxi launch in Austin as a significant catalyst for growth [4]. Group 3: Strategic Considerations - Analysts from Morgan Stanley suggest that Musk's public engagement with political issues is a calculated strategy aimed at garnering attention and achieving specific goals [3]. - The firm's analysis indicates that Tesla is well-positioned in the fields of artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, and energy, making it a unique player in the market [3]. Group 4: Diverging Opinions - While Morgan Stanley remains optimistic, other analysts, such as Baird's Ben Kallo, have downgraded Tesla from 'Outperform' to 'Neutral', citing concerns over the aggressive timeline for the robotaxi rollout and setting a price target of $320 [6].
Can Lucid make you a millionaire? Here's what ChatGPT says
Finbold· 2025-06-10 16:46
Core Viewpoint - OpenAI's ChatGPT suggests that Lucid Motors (NASDAQ: LCID) has the potential to make investors millionaires, but with significant risks involved [3][10]. Company Overview - Lucid Motors is currently valued at approximately $7 billion and has seen its stock price drop over 26% year to date, trading at $2.22 [1][3]. - The company is expanding its product line beyond the luxury Air sedan with the upcoming Gravity SUV and plans to introduce a more affordable SUV priced under $50,000 to capture a larger market share [4]. Financial Performance - In Q1, Lucid reported a net loss of $731 million, an increase from $685 million the previous year, while delivering 3,109 vehicles and generating $235 million in revenue, reflecting a 36% year-over-year increase [6]. - The company aims to more than double its production to 20,000 vehicles by 2025, up from 9,000 last year [7]. Investment Potential - ChatGPT indicates that early-stage investors could see "multi-bagger" returns, potentially multiplying their investment five, ten, or even twenty times [3]. - The backing from the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF), which has invested billions and supported the establishment of a manufacturing plant in Saudi Arabia, is a significant factor in Lucid's growth strategy [5]. Risks and Challenges - Lucid is experiencing rapid cash burn, with projections indicating substantial outflows in the coming years and negative gross margins, meaning losses on every vehicle sold [6]. - Potential dilution of shares is a concern as the company may need to raise additional capital to sustain operations [8]. - Leadership changes, particularly the unexpected resignation of CEO Peter Rawlinson, have raised red flags among investors [8]. - Future macroeconomic and political changes, such as alterations to EV subsidies or tariffs, could adversely affect Lucid's costs and demand [9].
Nvidia-backed stock crashes after Wall Street's extreme bearish report
Finbold· 2025-06-10 14:16
Core Viewpoint - CoreWeave's stock experienced a significant decline following a negative analyst report from D.A. Davidson, which raised concerns about the company's financial fundamentals and outlook [1][4]. Stock Performance - As of the report, CoreWeave's shares were trading at $150.49, down 7% for the day, after a remarkable increase of approximately 160% over the past month [1][3]. Analyst Rating and Price Target - D.A. Davidson reiterated an 'Underperform' rating for CoreWeave, setting a price target of $36, indicating a potential 76% decrease from the current share price [4][5]. Financial Concerns - The analyst report criticized CoreWeave's financing structure, highlighting a projected $590 million in additional borrowing costs that could negate any cash generated for shareholders [6][8]. - Concerns were raised about the long-term value of CoreWeave's AI infrastructure, particularly regarding the depreciation of GPUs and the potential economic unviability of data center investments [7][8]. Market Dynamics - The report noted that while AI enthusiasm may temporarily support CoreWeave's business model, the overall financial reality of the company is misaligned with its recent stock surge [5][8].
Analyst severely downgrades McDonald's stock price target
Finbold· 2025-06-10 09:47
He also flagged that the stock's valuation is elevated, with shares currently trading at 25.1x 2025 earnings. Margin expansion potential looks limited, Luyckx added: "Valuation is near historical peaks, and margin expansion from general and administrative leverage in the near term looks limited." His revised $260 price target corresponds to a more conservative 22.1x P/E multiple. The downgrade comes as McDonald's faces a challenging consumer environment, particularly in its core U.S. market, where high pric ...