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Is Apple stock a buy after massive jump in China iPhone dominance?
Finbold· 2026-01-20 09:23
The technology giant Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) recently unveiled strong figures in China for the part of its business that originally made the company a household name: smartphones.Specifically, Apple’s iPhone shipments to the People’s Republic jumped 28% during the holiday quarter, putting it in the top spot in the market. Similarly, the blue-chip firm’s market share in China jumped to 21.8% in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2025, marking a notable increase from 16.8% once year earlier.The strong result in the worl ...
Economics professor warns ‘we definitely have a bubble in the stock market'
Finbold· 2026-01-19 15:42
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is shifting towards easier monetary policy due to political pressure, which may lead to sustained high prices and inflated asset bubbles [1][3]. Monetary Policy Changes - The Federal Reserve has halted quantitative tightening and is expanding its balance sheet, planning to purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills, indicating a move towards monetizing the deficit [3]. - The consumer price index (CPI) remains at 2.7%, above the Fed's target of 2%, suggesting that inflation is not being effectively controlled [2][3]. Inflation and Asset Bubbles - Monetizing government debt is expected to increase the money supply, leading to higher inflation and asset bubbles, particularly in commodities and the stock market [4][3]. - Predictions indicate that looser monetary conditions will continue to drive up prices of hard assets, with gold, silver, platinum, and copper reaching record highs [7]. Banking Sector Implications - Upcoming regulatory changes will enhance commercial banks' lending capacity, allowing for greater credit expansion and accelerating money growth [5]. Political Influence - The shift in monetary policy is perceived as being influenced by the Trump administration, with expectations that this loosening will persist [6].
Oracle to pay dividends on January 23; Here's how much 100 ORCL shares will earn
Finbold· 2026-01-19 11:40
Core Viewpoint - Oracle is set to distribute a quarterly dividend of $0.5 per share on January 23, 2026, maintaining its commitment to a consistent dividend policy [1][2]. Dividend Payment Details - Investors holding 100 shares of Oracle will earn $50 in dividend income this quarter, leading to a total yearly dividend of $200 if payouts remain consistent [2]. - The current quarterly dividend of $0.5 is unchanged from the previous payment on October 23, 2025, indicating stability in Oracle's dividend strategy [2][4]. Yearly Comparison - The projected full-year total dividend reflects a slight increase compared to the previous year, as the first quarter dividend in 2025 was $0.40 [3]. Dividend Metrics - Oracle maintains a conservative forward payout ratio of 18.72% and a dividend yield of 1.05%, which is slightly below the sector average of 1.37% [5]. - The company's shares typically recover their price within approximately 9.2 days after going ex-dividend, indicating a relatively quick rebound [5]. Dividend Growth - Oracle has increased its dividend for one consecutive year, demonstrating a commitment to a progressive payout policy [6]. - Although the yield is not among the highest in the market, the low payout ratio suggests potential for future increases if earnings momentum continues [6].
Nvidia to pay 2026's first dividend on this date; Here's how much 100 NVDA shares will earn
Finbold· 2026-01-18 13:22
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is set to initiate its 2026 dividend schedule with a quarterly payout of $0.01 per share, maintaining its long-standing quarterly dividend policy [1][2]. Dividend Data - The upcoming dividend payment is estimated at $0.01 per share, unchanged from the previous payout in December 2025 [2][4]. - The forward annual dividend stands at $0.04 per share, resulting in a forward yield of approximately 0.02% [2]. - The payout ratio is notably low at around 0.40%, indicating a strong focus on reinvestment and growth rather than income distribution [2][6]. Stock Data - As of January 16, 2026, Nvidia shares are trading at approximately $186.23, with a market capitalization of $4.55 trillion [2][3]. - The average price recovery time after the ex-dividend date is about 2.5 days, suggesting that the price effects related to dividends are typically short-lived [6]. Comparison with Industry - Nvidia's dividend yield is significantly lower than the technology sector average of approximately 1.37%, reinforcing its classification as a growth-focused stock rather than a dividend stock [7]. - The company's strategy aligns with market expectations, emphasizing heavy investments in artificial intelligence, data center expansion, and next-generation chip platforms as key drivers of shareholder value [7][8].
2 millionaire-maker stocks to buy in 2026
Finbold· 2026-01-18 10:36
Core Insights - The article highlights the potential of smaller companies to generate significant returns as they align with long-term technology and security trends, particularly in the context of mega-cap stocks dominating the market in 2026 [1] Company Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (UCTT) - Ultra Clean Holdings operates within the semiconductor supply chain, providing essential subsystems and services for advanced chip manufacturing [2] - The company reported revenue of $510 million and a non-GAAP net income of $12.9 million ($0.28 per share) in Q3 2025, indicating a return to profitability [4] - Rising demand for AI-driven semiconductors has renewed investor interest, pushing the stock to a 52-week high, supported by improved sentiment around chip capital spending [5] - The appointment of a new chief business officer in 2025 and insider share purchases earlier in the year have bolstered confidence in the company's growth trajectory [5] - Industry trends such as increased wafer production and advanced-node investment align with the demand for Ultra Clean's offerings, although risks include customer concentration and semiconductor cyclicality [6] Company Analysis: Evolv Technologies (EVLV) - Evolv Technologies focuses on AI-powered security screening systems that enhance public safety while maintaining efficiency in high-traffic venues [7] - The company reported revenue of $42.9 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a 57% year-over-year growth, with annual recurring revenue reaching $117.2 million, up 25% from the previous year [8] - Strong customer retention was demonstrated, with 92% of eligible education customers choosing to remain after a Federal Trade Commission review [8] - Evolv has expanded its deployments in major venues and increased adoption in school districts and healthcare systems, enhancing brand visibility and supporting revenue growth [9] - Financial flexibility has improved with a $75 million credit facility, aiding the transition to a subscription-based revenue model [9] - The company had $56.2 million in cash and marketable securities at the end of Q3 2025, providing a solid foundation for growth entering 2026 [10]
AI predicts Netflix stock price after Q4 earnings report
Finbold· 2026-01-17 13:57
Core Viewpoint - Netflix is expected to report strong year-over-year growth in revenue and profitability for Q4 2025, with Wall Street anticipating revenue of approximately $11.97 billion and earnings per share of around $0.55, indicating significant improvement from the previous year [1][2]. Subscriber Trends - Subscriber growth trends are mixed, with slower growth in the U.S. being offset by stronger international additions. Advertising revenue is also increasing but is still in the early stages of expansion [2]. Market Volatility - The stock has experienced volatility due to uncertainties surrounding Netflix's proposed acquisition of Warner Bros, with deal pricing, financing structure, and regulatory approvals being key concerns that overshadow the company's operational performance [3]. Stock Performance - As of the latest update, NFLX stock is trading at $88, having increased by about 2.5% over the past year [4]. Price Predictions - In a bullish scenario, if Netflix exceeds revenue and earnings expectations and provides clearer insights on the Warner Bros. deal, the stock could rebound sharply, potentially trading above $100, with estimates reaching up to $115 [6]. - In a base-case scenario, if results meet expectations without significant new clarity on the Warner Bros. acquisition, the stock is expected to see a modest upside, trading in the range of $90 to $97 [7]. - A cautious outcome, where Netflix misses earnings expectations or signals increased uncertainty regarding the Warner Bros. transaction, could lead to a sell-off, with stock prices retreating to a range of $75 to $82 [8]. - Overall, the most likely near-term trading range for Netflix stock post-earnings is projected to be between $90 and $102, assuming a modest earnings beat but no significant progress on the Warner Bros. acquisition [10].
Jefferies sets Nvidia stock price target at $275
Finbold· 2026-01-16 15:35
Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis raised the firm’s price target on Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) from $250 to $275 on Friday, January 16, reiterating a ‘Buy’ rating and citing confidence in the company’s roadmap unveiled at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) earlier this month. As Nvidia’s updated model extends to 2028, the price revision shows long-term confidence in its growth trajectory. What’s more, Curtis said Nvidia stock remains ‘pretty cheap,’ based on earnings estimates for calendar-year 2027. “NVDA remain ...
Best defense stocks to buy in 2026
Finbold· 2026-01-16 10:51
Industry Overview - The U.S. defense budget continues to increase, with the E.U. also planning a nearly $1 trillion remilitarization program, focusing on artificial intelligence (AI) and drones for military enhancement [1] Company Highlights Dassault Aviation (EPA: AM) - Dassault Aviation, known for the Rafale multirole fighter, has seen its stock rise by 52.94% over the last 12 months, trading at €312.60 ($362.89) as of January 16 [3] - The company is expected to benefit from the E.U.'s rearmament program and has invested $200 million in Harmattan AI to enhance capabilities in electronic warfare, drone interception, and surveillance [6] Howmet Aerospace (NYSE: HWM) - Howmet Aerospace has experienced significant growth, with its stock increasing by 82.81% over the past year, reaching $224.82 [8] - The company's strong performance is attributed to a 14% revenue growth in 2025 and a shift towards higher-margin aftermarkets and critical engine components [9] - The stock rally is expected to continue, especially if the U.S. military budget increases to $1.5 trillion as proposed [10] Mercury Systems (NASDAQ: MRCY) - Mercury Systems specializes in mission-critical processing technologies for defense and aerospace, with its stock rising by 40.99% since the start of 2026, reaching an all-time high of $102.94 [11] - The recent stock surge is driven by a $60 million contract for U.S. strategic and space weapons programs, utilizing Mercury's advanced data processing capabilities [13] - The company is likely to maintain its growth trajectory due to its long-standing government contracts and the duration of the new contract extending through 2031 [14]
Did China just kill Nvidia stock momentum for 2026?
Finbold· 2026-01-15 13:10
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock is experiencing a downturn in 2026, contrasting with the S&P 500's year-to-date increase, largely due to recent developments in China affecting its business prospects [1]. Group 1: Impact of China's Actions - China's customs authority has reportedly banned imports of Nvidia's H200 series chips, which could significantly impact Nvidia's revenue in 2026 [2][3]. - The Chinese government's directive suggests that domestic companies should only purchase Nvidia's products when absolutely necessary, indicating a potential challenge to Nvidia's market position [3][4]. - This situation may signal that Chinese companies are nearing parity with Nvidia, posing a threat to its dominance in the semiconductor market [6]. Group 2: Historical Context and Market Performance - Historically, changes in China's import policies have had limited effects on Nvidia's stock performance, as evidenced by a 35.91% increase in shares over the past year despite previous restrictions [7]. - The recent downturn in Nvidia's stock may also be attributed to the company's shift away from consumer chips, which has alienated a segment of its core audience, namely PC gamers [9]. - Despite the current challenges, Nvidia's long-term stock performance remains strong, with a 35.91% increase over the last 12 months and a remarkable 1,324% rise over the past five years [10]. Group 3: Future Prospects - Demand for Nvidia's previous Blackwell infrastructure is reportedly high, and there is strong interest in the upcoming Vera Rubin series, suggesting positive long-term prospects for the company [11].
Is Tesla stock a buy before January 28 earnings?
Finbold· 2026-01-15 11:25
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock performance may be significantly impacted by the upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report, scheduled for January 28, 2026, following a year of evading business-side issues [1] Group 1: Delivery Performance - Tesla's recent delivery report showed underperformance, with 418,227 cars shipped and 434,358 produced, falling short of the expected 426,000 for the quarter [2] - The company's expansion efforts in new markets have been mixed, exemplified by only 227 vehicle registrations in India throughout 2025 [2] Group 2: Leadership and Innovation Concerns - Concerns persist regarding Elon Musk's divided attention among multiple companies, which may affect Tesla's performance [3] - The trademark for Tesla's 'Cybercab' was suspended due to a late filing, allowing a French beverage company to secure it first [4] - Musk's history of overpromising on autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots continues, with both the 'Cybercab' and 'Optimus' android reportedly still years away from production [5] Group 3: Business Model Changes - A potential positive development for Tesla is the shift from a one-time purchase option for the self-driving system, priced at $9,000, to a subscription model at $99 per month starting February 14, 2026 [6] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - Wall Street's consensus on Tesla stock has shifted towards 'Hold' or 'Sell' ratings, with the average 12-month price target at $394.12, which is 10.26% below the latest close [7][9] - Despite various challenges, Tesla stock closed at $439.20 on January 14, 2026, representing a 104.99% increase from its 52-week low of $214.25, and has rallied 41% in the last six months [10][13]