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Tesla Just Delivered Very Bad News for Investors
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 10:06
Core Viewpoint - Tesla stock is currently overvalued as investors speculate on future products like the Cybercab and Optimus, despite significant short-term challenges in its EV business [1][3]. Group 1: Current Financial Performance - Tesla's EV business accounts for 75% of its total revenue, but it experienced the largest sales decline in company history in 2025, with total deliveries dropping by 8.5% to 1.63 million vehicles [2][6]. - The company delivered 418,227 EVs in Q4 2025, falling short of Wall Street's expectations, marking a significant downturn in performance [6][17]. - Tesla's market share in Europe decreased from 2.4% to 1.7% in 2025 as consumers opted for lower-cost alternatives, such as BYD's Dolphin Surf EV priced at $26,900 [7]. Group 2: Future Product Prospects - The Cybercab and Optimus are projected to be several years away from mass commercialization, with the Cybercab expected to enter production by the end of 2026 [10][11]. - The Cybercab could generate a new revenue stream estimated at $756 billion annually by 2029, contingent on the approval of Tesla's full self-driving software [11][12]. - Optimus is anticipated to become Tesla's most successful product, with a potential revenue of $10 trillion by 2040, although mass production is not expected until late 2026 [13][14]. Group 3: Valuation Concerns - Tesla's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 292, significantly higher than other tech companies valued over $1 trillion, indicating a potential overvaluation [15]. - The upcoming fourth-quarter results are expected to reflect a sharp decline in profits due to weak EV sales, which may further inflate the P/E ratio [17][18].
Nvidia Has 91% of Its Portfolio Invested in 2 Brilliant Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 10:06
Core Insights - Nvidia has significant equity stakes in CoreWeave and Arm Holdings, with 91% of its equity portfolio allocated to these two AI stocks as of September 2025 [2] - CoreWeave accounts for 86% of Nvidia's portfolio, focusing on cloud computing services tailored for AI and compute-intensive workloads [4][2] - Arm Holdings represents 5% of Nvidia's portfolio, specializing in CPU design and licensing intellectual property for custom chip development [10][2] CoreWeave Overview - CoreWeave's data centers are purpose-built for AI, outperforming traditional data centers in handling power, memory, and heat generated by GPUs [4] - The company has achieved record-breaking results in MLPerf benchmarks, ranking it as the best AI cloud provider, surpassing major competitors like Amazon and Microsoft [5][6] - In Q3, CoreWeave reported a 134% revenue increase to $1.4 billion and a 121% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $838 million, with a revenue backlog growing 271% to $55.6 billion [7] - CoreWeave's stock trades at 7.7 times sales, with projected revenue growth of 82% annually through 2027, and a median target price of $125 per share indicating a 58% upside from its current price of $79 [8] Arm Holdings Overview - Arm's CPUs are known for their power efficiency, holding a 99% market share in smartphone chips and gaining market share in data centers due to cost-effective AI solutions [11][13] - The company has a compelling business model by licensing its architecture, attracting major clients like Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft [12] - Arm's adjusted earnings grew 30% in the last quarter, with expectations for a 23% annual increase through March 2027, despite a high current valuation of 68 times earnings [14] - Analysts project a median target price of $180 per share for Arm, suggesting a 57% upside from its current price of $115 [15]
2 Under-the-Radar Stocks That Can Easily 10X by 2036
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 10:00
These are young disruptors with huge opportunities.With three years of double-digit percentage market gains behind us, investors are wondering whether 2026 can be another strong year.For now, the signs are that it can. The S&P 500 ended the year with a gain of more than 16%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 climbed about 20%. That signals confidence in growth stocks.But investors should never get too caught up in the short term. Whether this year, next year, or at some point, the market will decline. Investors ...
Investing $50,000 in Each of These 5 Stocks Could Make You Over $20,600 in Passive Income in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 09:44
These five stocks are passive income machines.Want a great idea for a New Year's resolution? Generate more passive income this year. As is the case with most New Year's resolutions, though, this one is easier said than done.However, it's not extremely difficult if you have a significant amount of cash to invest. You'll also require good places to put that cash, but that's the easy part. Investing $50,000 in each of these five stocks could make you over $20,600 in passive income in 2026. 1. Ares CapitalAres ...
3 Top Dow Jones Dividend Stocks to Buy for Passive Income in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 09:37
These high-quality, high-yielding dividend stocks are ideal for those seeking sustainable dividend income.The Dow Jones Industrial Average features 30 of the country's most prominent companies. Many of these blue chip stocks pay dividends. Their high quality makes them ideal options for investors seeking to generate sustainable passive income. Three of the Dow Jones' top dividend stocks are Chevron (CVX +5.10%), Coca-Cola (KO 1.71%), and Verizon (VZ 0.72%). They pay higher-yielding and steadily rising divid ...
Could Buying the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF in 2026 Make You a Millionaire?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 09:11
The magic of compounding can turn steady annual returns of 10% or less into life-changing wealth over the long term.Investors who are looking for a highly diversified exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2026 might want to consider the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI +0.75%). It tracks the performance of the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index, which invests in all 3,498 companies listed on American stock exchanges, so it's basically an entire portfolio all on its own. That means it offers exposure to powerhouse art ...
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Nvidia and Palantir Have Issued a $3.3 Billion Warning for Wall Street in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 09:06
The people who know Nvidia and Palantir best are speaking volumes with their actions.For only the third time in the S&P 500's existence, Wall Street's benchmark index has rallied at least 15% for three consecutive years. These outsize returns for Wall Street from 2023 through 2025 come courtesy of the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution.Empowering software and systems with the ability to make split-second decisions without the need for human oversight is a technological leap forward that can eventually ...
5 of the Safest Ultra-High-Yield Dividend Stocks You Can Confidently Buy for 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 08:51
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights five high-yield dividend stocks with yields ranging from 5.3% to 13.1%, which are positioned to provide significant income for investors in the upcoming year [1]. Group 1: Dividend Stocks Performance - Companies that consistently pay dividends tend to be profitable and provide a transparent long-term growth outlook, historically outperforming non-dividend stocks [2]. - A study by Hartford Funds and Ned Davis Research shows that dividend stocks have more than doubled the average annual return of non-payers (9.2% vs. 4.31%) over a 51-year period while being less volatile [3]. Group 2: Individual Stock Analysis - **Sirius XM Holdings**: Offers a yield of 5.27%, operates as a legal monopoly in satellite radio, and has a strong subscription-based revenue model [6][7][8]. The stock is valued at less than 7 times forward-year earnings, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [9]. - **Enterprise Products Partners**: Provides a yield of 6.78%, has increased its payout for 27 consecutive years, and operates a predictable cash flow model due to long-term fixed-fee contracts [10][11]. The stock is trading at less than 8 times forecast cash flow for 2026, presenting a value opportunity [13]. - **Realty Income**: Delivers a yield of 5.62%, pays dividends monthly, and has a strong track record of increasing payouts [15]. The company focuses on leasing to resilient businesses, and shares are valued at less than 13 times projected cash flow for 2026, offering a 19% discount to its historical average [16][18]. - **PennantPark Floating Rate Capital**: Features a yield of 13.09%, primarily invests in debt with a high weighted-average yield of 10.2% [20][21]. The company is trading at a 13% discount to its book value, indicating a potential value investment [23]. - **Pfizer**: Offers a yield of 6.83%, has seen a decline in share price, which has increased its dividend yield [25]. The company is expected to generate $62 billion in sales by 2025, with a strong oncology pipeline following its acquisition of Seagen [26][27]. Pfizer is valued at 8.4 times forward-year earnings, representing a 14% discount to its historical average [28].
Want More Social Security? 3 Moves to Make in 2026.
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 08:48
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of taking specific actions in 2026 to maximize Social Security benefits in retirement Group 1: Boosting Income - Increasing wages can significantly impact Social Security benefits, as the calculation is based on the top 35 years of earnings [3] - Higher wages can also facilitate contributions to retirement accounts like IRAs or 401(k)s, enhancing overall retirement savings [4] - Any taxable income, including gig or freelance work, contributes to future Social Security benefits [5] Group 2: Reviewing Earnings - Regularly reviewing the Social Security earnings statement is crucial to ensure accuracy, as underreported income can lead to reduced benefits [6] - Creating an account on the Social Security Administration's website allows individuals to check their earnings and estimated benefits [5] Group 3: Delaying Claims - Individuals aged 62 or older in 2026 can start receiving benefits, but delaying the claim can increase monthly benefits significantly [8] - Full retirement age is 67 for those born in 1960 or later, and delaying benefits past this age can yield an 8% increase per year until age 70 [8] - For example, delaying from age 67 to 70 could increase the average monthly benefit from approximately $2,000 to nearly $2,500 [9]
The S&P 500 Just Did Something for the 5th Time in 97 Years. Here's What History Says May Happen in 2026.
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-06 08:45
Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 has achieved significant gains over the past three years, raising questions about its future performance in 2026, with historical patterns showing mixed outcomes following similar streaks [3][10]. Historical Performance - The S&P 500 ended 2025 with a gain of 16.4%, following increases of 23.3% in 2024 and 24.2% in 2023, marking the fifth instance in 97 years where the index has delivered over 16% returns for three consecutive years [3]. - The first occurrence of the index rising by 16% or more for three consecutive years was from 1995 to 1997 during the dot-com boom, with subsequent notable streaks from 1996 to 1998 and 1997 to 1999 [4]. - The next streak of three consecutive years of 16% or more gains occurred two decades later, with returns of 28.9% in 2019, 16.3% in 2020, and 26.9% in 2021 [5]. Future Projections - Historical data shows a mixed record for the S&P 500 following three consecutive years of 16% or more gains, with notable increases in some instances, such as a 26.7% rise in 1998 and a 19.5% rise in 1999 [6]. - However, there have also been declines, such as a 10.1% drop in 2000 following the 1997-1999 streak, and a 19.4% decline in 2022 after the 2019-2021 gains due to rising interest rates [7][9]. - The outlook for 2026 remains uncertain, with potential for continued momentum driven by trends like artificial intelligence, but also risks associated with high valuations, as indicated by the S&P 500 Shiller CAPE ratio being at its highest level since 2000 [10][12]. Long-term Investment Strategy - A more reliable strategy for investors may be to focus on the S&P 500's historical performance over rolling 20-year periods, which has delivered positive total returns 100% of the time, suggesting a favorable outlook for long-term investors [14][15].