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Should You Invest $500 in Oklo Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 20:48
Core Insights - Oklo experienced a significant increase in stock value in 2025, with shares rising approximately 480% from $10,000 to about $58,000, before declining to around $23,850 by the end of the year [1][2] - The company is viewed as a potential investment opportunity, with a hypothetical $500 investment today potentially growing to about $1,690 if it replicates a 238% increase similar to 2025 [2] Company Overview - Oklo is recognized as a pioneer in advanced nuclear technology, particularly in developing microreactors aimed at meeting the energy demands of data centers and AI [4] - The company has a market capitalization of $12 billion, with current stock prices fluctuating between $72.13 and $77.92 [5][6] Government Support and Development - Oklo has received backing from the U.S. government, benefiting from pro-nuclear policies and is currently constructing its first Aurora powerhouse at the Idaho National Laboratory, which is expected to demonstrate criticality by July 4, 2026 [6] Regulatory Challenges - A key challenge for Oklo is obtaining approval from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) to build and operate reactors commercially, which is essential for generating revenue [7] - Until regulatory approval is secured, the company's revenue generation capabilities will remain limited, and investors may face a prolonged wait for returns [7] Investment Considerations - Oklo is characterized as a speculative investment in the future of energy, with recommendations for long-term investors to consider a $500 investment, while more conservative investors might explore nuclear energy ETFs for diversified exposure [9]
The First Energy Stock I Plan to Buy in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 20:35
Core Viewpoint - Enterprise Products Partners is expected to significantly increase cash returns to investors in 2026, following a period of substantial capital investment and infrastructure development in the energy sector [1][10]. Group 1: Capital Investment and Infrastructure Development - In 2022, Enterprise Products Partners initiated a major capital investment cycle to enhance infrastructure supporting production in the Permian and Haynesville basins, including the Bahia NGL Pipeline and Neches River Terminal [4]. - The company invested $4.5 billion in 2025, a significant increase from $1.6 billion in 2022, enabling the launch of $6 billion in growth capital projects [5]. - Capital spending is projected to decrease to between $2.2 billion and $2.5 billion in 2026, allowing for the completion of several projects, including the Neches River Terminal and two new gas processing plants [7]. Group 2: Cash Flow and Financial Flexibility - The completion of expansion projects in late 2025 is expected to generate substantial incremental cash flow for Enterprise Products Partners in 2026 [9]. - A reduction in capital spending will free up an additional $2 billion in cash, contributing to a significant surplus cash position [10]. - The company has increased its unit repurchase capacity from $2 billion to $5 billion, with $3.6 billion remaining available, indicating a potential increase in buyback rates in 2026 [12]. Group 3: Distribution and Growth Potential - Enterprise Products Partners has a history of increasing its distribution, having raised payments for 27 consecutive years, and is positioned to grow payouts at an accelerated rate in 2026 [11]. - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low leverage ratio of 3.3 times and strong bond ratings, providing the flexibility to pursue acquisitions and further expansion projects [13]. - Future acquisitions and organic growth initiatives are expected to enhance earnings visibility and overall value for investors [13].
2,400 Stocks or 315 Value Picks: Is SCHB or VTV a Better Fit for Your Portfolio?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 20:04
Core Insights - The Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF (SCHB) provides broader market coverage, while the Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) focuses on value stocks with higher income potential [1][2] Cost & Size Comparison - SCHB has an expense ratio of 0.03% and assets under management (AUM) of $38.0 billion, while VTV has a slightly higher expense ratio of 0.04% and AUM of $215.5 billion [3][10] - The one-year return for SCHB is 11.9%, compared to VTV's 10.2%, and SCHB has a dividend yield of 1.1% versus VTV's 2.0% [3][4] Performance & Risk Metrics - Over the past five years, SCHB experienced a maximum drawdown of 25.36%, while VTV's maximum drawdown was 17.04% [5] - An investment of $1,000 in SCHB would have grown to $1,779, while the same investment in VTV would have grown to $1,646 over five years [5] Holdings & Sector Exposure - VTV holds approximately 315 stocks, with significant allocations in financial services (25%), healthcare (15%), and industrials (13%), featuring top positions like JPMorgan Chase and Berkshire Hathaway [6] - SCHB, on the other hand, leans heavily into technology (34%), financial services (14%), and consumer cyclicals (11%), with major holdings including Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft [7] Investment Strategy Implications - SCHB offers a comprehensive approach to market exposure, capturing around 2,400 companies across various market caps, making it suitable for investors seeking broad market representation [8][9] - VTV's strategy is more selective, focusing on large-cap value stocks, which may appeal to income-focused investors looking for higher dividends [11]
Will the Nasdaq 100 ETF Triple Your Money in the Next 10 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 20:00
Core Viewpoint - The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) has historically performed well, with the potential to triple investors' money over the next decade, requiring an average annual return of 11.6% [1][15] Performance History - Over the past decade, QQQ has delivered an average annual return of just over 20%, despite significant drawdowns during the COVID pandemic in 2020 and again in 2022 [2] Future Potential - The future performance of the Nasdaq-100 will depend on several factors, including the ongoing AI revolution, which is expected to impact various sectors significantly [3][5] - The long-term growth potential of AI and quantum computing is substantial, but much of this potential may already be reflected in current stock prices, potentially limiting future returns [6] AI and Technology Investment - Major tech companies have committed significant resources to AI infrastructure, with initial returns being positive, but the ultimate return on investment remains uncertain [7] - The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks (Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Tesla) constitute approximately 44% of QQQ's portfolio, making the ETF's performance heavily reliant on these companies [9][10] Valuation Concerns - Current valuations are high, with the S&P 500 trading at about 22 times forward earnings and the "Magnificent Seven" at 29 times, near record highs [12] - Higher starting valuations typically lead to more modest future returns, although strong earnings growth can sustain high stock prices [13] Earnings Growth Outlook - The potential for the AI revolution suggests that Nasdaq-100 components may maintain above-average valuations for some time, allowing for a long-term investment horizon to weather market fluctuations [14] - The ability of major tech companies to continue generating strong earnings growth is crucial for achieving the necessary returns over the next decade [15]
The Ultimate Dividend ETF Face-Off: SCHD's High Yield vs. NOBL's Dividend Growth
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 19:48
Core Insights - The article compares two popular ETFs, ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD), focusing on their methodologies, cost structures, and sector allocations to help investors choose the right fit for dividend-focused investments [2][3]. Cost and Size Comparison - NOBL has an expense ratio of 0.35% and assets under management (AUM) of $11.3 billion, while SCHD has a significantly lower expense ratio of 0.06% and AUM of $72.5 billion [4][5]. - The one-year total return for NOBL is 6.8%, compared to 4.3% for SCHD, and the dividend yield for NOBL is 2.2%, while SCHD offers a higher yield of 3.8% [4][10]. Performance and Risk Metrics - Over a five-year period, NOBL experienced a maximum drawdown of 17.91%, while SCHD had a slightly lower drawdown of 16.82%. The growth of a $1,000 investment over five years is $1,308 for NOBL and $1,298 for SCHD [6]. Portfolio Composition - SCHD tracks 102 large U.S. dividend stocks, with significant allocations in energy (19.3%), consumer staples (18.5%), and healthcare (16.1%). Key holdings include Bristol Myers Squibb, Merck & Co, and ConocoPhillips [7]. - NOBL focuses on 70 S&P 500 companies with at least 25 consecutive years of dividend growth, with major sector allocations in industrials (22.4%), consumer defensive (22%), and financial services (12.4%). Top positions include Albemarle, Cardinal Health, and C.H. Robinson Worldwide [8]. Investment Implications - SCHD is highlighted for its higher yield and lower costs, making it attractive for income-oriented investors, while NOBL is noted for its focus on dividend growth and stability, appealing to those seeking reliable income from established companies [10][11].
Don't Buy UnitedHealth Group Stock Before Jan. 27
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 19:23
Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group is experiencing a challenging period, with its stock down approximately 34% year-to-date, but it remains a prominent player in the health insurance sector [1][2]. Group 1: Current Business Situation - UnitedHealth is undergoing a transition, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 17, making it relatively cheap after its recent decline [2]. - The company suspended its profit forecast in May 2025 due to rising costs from increased doctor visits and surgeries, leading to higher-than-expected insurance claims [5]. - The upcoming financial report on January 27 is crucial for clarifying the company's profitability and long-term growth prospects [6][4]. Group 2: Key Financial Metrics to Watch - Investors should focus on the 2026 financial guidance, particularly projections for earnings per share (EPS), medical care ratio (MCR), and operating margin [7]. - The adjusted EPS for 2025 is projected to be at least $16.25, and any 2026 projection slightly above this figure should be approached with caution [8]. - The MCR ideally should be in the mid-80% range, while a good operating margin benchmark is around 4%, although achieving this may require price increases that could attract scrutiny [10]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - It is advised not to purchase UnitedHealth shares before the January 27 report, but if the results are favorable, the current valuation may present a significant opportunity for long-term investors [11].
RWX vs. HAUZ: Which International Real Estate ETF Is the Better Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 18:37
Core Insights - RWX and HAUZ provide different approaches to international real estate exposure, with RWX having a higher expense ratio and fewer holdings compared to HAUZ, which offers lower fees and higher yields [1][2] Cost and Size Comparison - HAUZ has an expense ratio of 0.10%, significantly lower than RWX's 0.59%, which is six times higher [3][4] - HAUZ's one-year return is 22.7%, while RWX's is 26.9%, indicating RWX's better short-term performance [3] - HAUZ offers a dividend yield of 3.91%, compared to RWX's 3.36% [3] Performance and Risk Analysis - Over five years, HAUZ experienced a maximum drawdown of -34.5%, while RWX had a slightly higher drawdown of -35.9% [5] - A $1,000 investment in HAUZ would have grown to $1,056 over five years, compared to $1,014 for RWX, indicating HAUZ's superior long-term performance [5][8] Portfolio Composition - RWX tracks the Dow Jones Global ex-U.S. Select Real Estate Securities Index with 120 holdings, focusing on major companies like Mitsui Fudosan Co. [6] - HAUZ has a broader portfolio with 408 holdings, including significant positions in Goodman Group and Mitsubishi Estate Company, appealing for diversification [7] Historical Performance - Since 2013, HAUZ has achieved an annual total return growth of 3.3%, while RWX's growth was only 1.4% [8] - HAUZ's better performance is attributed to its lower expense ratio and higher dividend yield, alongside a smaller five-year drawdown [8] Investment Considerations - Both ETFs have overlapping holdings, with five of the top ten positions being the same, but HAUZ is favored for its cost efficiency and broader diversification [9] - Investors should be aware of the geographical focus, with both funds having significant allocations to Japanese REITs and other countries like Australia and the U.K. [9]
2 AI Stocks to Buy in January and Hold for 20 Years
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 17:45
Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the next major technological shift, comparable to the internet, presenting a generational investment opportunity with potential operating efficiencies worth up to $40 trillion for the global economy [1][2]. Nvidia - Nvidia has emerged as a leading stock for capitalizing on the AI trend, with its high-end graphics processing units (GPUs) being essential for cloud infrastructure providers [4]. - The company's data center revenue increased by 66% year over year, reaching $51 billion, reflecting a shift from traditional computing to accelerated computing reliant on GPUs [5]. - Capital spending on AI infrastructure is projected to grow from $600 billion in 2026 to at least $3 trillion by 2030, indicating significant growth potential for Nvidia [6]. - Nvidia's innovation pace has accelerated, with plans to launch new GPU architectures annually, including the Vera Rubin chips in 2026, which promise substantial performance improvements [8]. - The company reported net profits of $99 billion on $187 billion in revenue over the last four quarters, showcasing its financial strength [9]. - Analysts forecast a 37% annualized earnings growth for Nvidia over the next few years, suggesting strong returns for shareholders [10]. Alphabet - Alphabet has delivered strong market-beating returns over the past decade, primarily driven by growth in advertising through Google Search and YouTube, with a stock increase of 700% [11]. - The company is expected to see further returns as demand for AI and cloud computing rises, with its cloud segment revenue increasing by 34% year over year [15]. - Alphabet's Gemini AI model is integrated into its services, contributing to a significant increase in Google Search usage and achieving over 650 million monthly active users [15][16]. - The company surpassed $100 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time, supported by diverse revenue streams from online advertising, subscription services, and cloud services [16]. - Alphabet plans to spend over $91 billion on capital expenditures in 2025, with a significant increase expected in 2026, funded by an operating cash flow of $151 billion over the last four quarters [17].
The Secret to Royal Caribbean's Growth in 2026 and Beyond
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 17:07
Core Insights - Royal Caribbean Cruises has demonstrated exemplary returns for shareholders over the past five years, distinguishing itself in a challenging industry [1] - The company has ambitious plans to sustain its growth momentum and has been selected as the first stock in a new investment portfolio for 2026 [2] Strategy and Financial Goals - Royal Caribbean's strategy focuses on moderate capacity growth, yield growth, and disciplined cost control to enhance shareholder value [4] - The company aims for an average annual growth rate of 20% in earnings per share from now until 2027, while maintaining a high investment-grade bond rating to control financing costs [5] Fleet Expansion and New Destinations - The company is launching an ambitious schedule of new cruise ships, including the Star of the Seas and Celebrity Xcel in 2025, and several others through 2028, catering to a diverse range of travelers [6][8] - Royal Caribbean plans to expand its exclusive destination resorts, adding new locations such as Royal Beach Club resorts in the Bahamas and Mexico, and properties in Chile for expeditions to Antarctica [8] Investment Appeal - The strong business execution of Royal Caribbean, particularly its successful strategy prior to the pandemic, positions the company favorably for future growth [11]
Why a $1.6 Million Trim Didn't Knock This $16 Million China Logistics Bet Off Course
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-04 16:46
Company Overview - Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. operates as a leading digital freight platform in China, utilizing technology to efficiently connect shippers and truckers, providing a competitive advantage in the logistics sector [5] - The company generates revenue primarily through transaction fees, value-added services, and technology development for shippers and truckers in China [8] - Full Truck Alliance's revenue for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $1.71 billion, with a net income of $588.99 million and a dividend yield of 1.7% [4] Recent Performance - In the third quarter, Full Truck Alliance reported revenue of approximately $472 million, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, driven by a 39% surge in transaction services [10] - Fulfilled orders increased by over 22%, and average monthly active users (MAUs) for shippers rose nearly 18%, indicating strong engagement and scale advantages [10] - Despite revenue growth, net income declined by 18% year-over-year due to higher operating costs and increased investment in technology [11] Investment Position - Highlander Partners reduced its position in Full Truck Alliance by 260,000 shares, decreasing exposure by $1.65 million, leaving a total of 1.23 million shares valued at $15.93 million as of September 30 [2][3] - Full Truck Alliance still represents 5.56% of Highlander's 13F assets under management (AUM), making it the fifth-largest holding [3] - The stock price of Full Truck Alliance was $11.25, showing a 4% increase over the past year, but underperforming compared to the S&P 500, which rose by about 17% in the same period [3]