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SCHQ Proves More Affordable Than TLT for Bond Investors
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 20:56
Core Viewpoint - The Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF (SCHQ) offers a lower expense ratio and gentler drawdowns compared to the iShares 20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), making it an attractive option for fixed income investors seeking long-dated U.S. government debt exposure [1][4]. Cost Comparison - SCHQ has an expense ratio of 0.03%, significantly lower than TLT's 0.15% [3][4]. - SCHQ provides a slightly higher dividend yield of 4.6% compared to TLT's 4.4% [3]. - The assets under management (AUM) for TLT is $45.2 billion, while SCHQ has $902.5 million [3]. Performance & Risk Analysis - Over the past five years, SCHQ has a max drawdown of -40.88%, which is less severe than TLT's -43.70% [5]. - A $1,000 investment in SCHQ would have grown to $599, compared to $573 for TLT over the same period [5]. - SCHQ exhibits lower volatility with a beta of 0.52, while TLT has a beta of 2.34, indicating greater price volatility relative to the S&P 500 [3]. Portfolio Composition - SCHQ tracks the long-term U.S. Treasury bond market with a portfolio of 98 holdings, providing more diversification than TLT, which holds only 45 positions [6][7]. - Both funds exclusively invest in U.S. Treasury bonds, avoiding corporate or non-Treasury exposure, but TLT's concentration in fewer holdings may increase risk [7]. Market Outlook - Following two Federal Reserve rate cuts in Q4 2026, interest rates may continue to decline, potentially increasing demand for bonds as investors seek to lock in higher yields [9]. - While SCHQ is currently viewed as the better option due to its performance and lower volatility, TLT could outperform if interest rates decline further [10].
CHECK Capital Makes a Big Bet on Sirius XM (SIRI) With a Purchase of 822,000 Shares Worth $17.7 Million
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 20:53
Core Insights - Sirius XM is a leading provider of satellite radio and audio entertainment services in the U.S., leveraging a subscription-driven business model complemented by advertising and licensing to generate consistent revenue streams [6] Company Overview - Sirius XM reported a total revenue of $8.56 billion and a net income of $805 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - The company has a dividend yield of 4.91% and its stock price was $22.60 as of February 5, 2026 [4] - The subscriber base stood at 31.3 million at the end of 2025, which is a decline compared to the end of 2021 [7][10] Financial Performance - The company's free cash flow increased by 37% to $1.24 billion in 2025, indicating a recovery after a dip in 2024 [10] - Approximately 29.3% of free cash flow was utilized to meet dividend obligations in 2025, suggesting sufficient cash generation to potentially reduce outstanding shares and increase dividend payouts [11] Investment Activity - CHECK Capital Management increased its stake in Sirius XM by 821,657 shares during the fourth quarter of 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $17.66 million [2] - Following this transaction, Sirius XM represented 1.68% of CHECK Capital's $3.44 billion reportable U.S. equity assets [8] - Despite the increase in stake, Sirius XM is not among CHECK Capital's top five holdings, ranking as the seventh-largest stock in their portfolio [7]
This $4 Stock Could Be Your Ticket to Millionaire Status
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 20:35
Core Insights - The article discusses the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) in drug development, highlighting Recursion Pharmaceuticals as a leader in this space [1][2]. Company Overview - Recursion Pharmaceuticals utilizes its platform, Recursion OS, which processes 65 petabytes of chemical and biological data to virtually test drugs [2]. - The company is currently advancing eight drugs in its developmental pipeline, with half already in clinical trials involving real patients [5]. Financial Projections - Analysts project Recursion's revenue to increase from an anticipated $62 million last year to $83 million this year, with a target of $163 million by 2028 as R&D milestone payments from partners are expected to rise [6]. - The current market capitalization of Recursion Pharmaceuticals is $2.1 billion, with a current stock price of $3.98 [7]. Industry Context - The AI-powered drug development industry is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 30% from now until 2034, indicating significant market potential for companies like Recursion [9].
Echo45 Advisors Bets Big on the Harbor Commodity All-Weather Strategy ETF With a 127,000 Share Purchase
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 20:19
Core Viewpoint - The Harbor Commodity All-Weather Strategy ETF (HGER) provides diversified exposure to commodities, focusing on inflation-sensitive assets and dynamically adjusting gold weighting to optimize returns in inflationary conditions [6]. Fund Activity - Echo45 Advisors LLC reported a new position in HGER, acquiring 127,402 shares valued at approximately $3.16 million for the fiscal fourth quarter ending December 31, 2025 [2]. - This acquisition represents 1.8% of Echo45 Advisors' reportable assets under management as of December 31, 2025 [8]. ETF Overview - As of February 5, 2026, HGER's share price was $26.50, with a 1-year total return of 21.5%, outperforming the S&P 500 by 9.35 percentage points [8]. - The ETF offers a dividend yield of 6.54% [4]. Investment Strategy - The fund targets efficient diversification across at least 15 of the 24 most liquid commodity futures, with a focus on inflation sensitivity and economic significance [9]. - The strategy includes a dynamic gold weighting based on a proprietary scarcity debasement indicator, with quarterly rebalancing [9]. Performance Metrics - Over the past year, including dividends, HGER has produced a total return of 22.8%, and a total return of 46.1% over the past three years [10]. - Gold constitutes 40.9% of the ETF's total holdings, which may pose risks for conservative investors [11].
AMD Shares Slide Despite Strong Growth. Is It Time to Buy the Stock on the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 20:14
Core Insights - AMD reported strong revenue growth for Q4 2025, with a year-over-year increase of 34% to $10.27 billion, but the stock fell due to high investor expectations following a significant price increase over the past year [1][6] - The company provided solid guidance for 2026, anticipating Q1 revenue growth of 32% year-over-year to approximately $9.8 billion [6] Revenue Breakdown - AMD's data center revenue surged 39% year-over-year to $5.4 billion, driven by record CPU sales and increased GPU deployments, with eight of the ten largest AI companies utilizing its GPUs [4] - The client and gaming segments saw revenue increase by 37% to $3.9 billion, with client revenue rising 34% to $3.1 billion and gaming revenue jumping 50% to $843 million [5] - The embedded segment experienced a modest revenue increase of 3% to $950 million, with expectations for growth in 2026 [5] Market Dynamics - Sales of $390 million in GPUs to China contributed to AMD's Q4 results, but future sales to China are uncertain, with only $100 million forecasted for Q1 [2] - AMD's gross margin improved to 54%, up 300 basis points from the previous year, aided by the reversal of a write-down on MI308 chips for China [6] Valuation and Outlook - AMD's stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 32 based on 2026 estimates, with a PEG ratio of 0.2, indicating potential undervaluation [9] - The company is expected to start delivering GPUs to OpenAI in the second half of 2026, reinforcing its position as a leading data center CPU provider [8]
Want $1,000 in Annual Passive Income? Here's How Much to Invest in This High-Yield Energy Stock
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 19:45
Core Viewpoint - Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) is a strong income-generating investment with a current yield of 6.3%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's yield of 1.1% [1] Financial Performance - The company has increased its distribution for 27 consecutive years, indicating a strong commitment to returning value to investors [1] - The most recent quarterly distribution payment was set at $0.55 per unit, reflecting a 2.8% increase year-over-year [4] - In 2025, Enterprise Products Partners generated $7.9 billion in operational distributable cash flow, covering its distribution by 1.7 times and allowing for $3.2 billion in retained cash for reinvestment [7] Investment Requirements - To generate $1,000 in annual passive income, an investment of approximately $15,900 is needed at the current unit price of around $35, compared to over $87,700 required for an S&P 500 index fund [5] Growth Initiatives - The company invested $5 billion in expansion initiatives last year, including $4.4 billion on growth capital projects and $632 million on acquisitions, supported by a strong balance sheet [8] - Enterprise Products Partners plans to invest between $2.5 billion and $2.9 billion in growth capital projects this year and between $2 billion and $2.5 billion in 2027, which is expected to enhance free cash flow [9] Financial Stability - The company maintains a low leverage ratio of 3.3 times, contributing to its top-tier credit rating of A-, making it the only pipeline company with such a rating [8] - The strong financial profile allows the company to continue increasing its distribution and repurchasing common units, further strengthening its balance sheet [10]
AT&T Plans to Return $45 Billion to Shareholders. Is the Stock a Buy for 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 18:45
Core Viewpoint - AT&T is positioned to return $45 billion to investors between 2026 and 2028, following a significant dividend cut and a focus on debt reduction after the WarnerMedia spinoff [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - AT&T cut its dividend by nearly 50% in 2022 to strengthen its balance sheet, resulting in a lower total debt and reduced leverage over four years [3]. - In 2025, AT&T returned $12 billion through dividends and stock buybacks, with plans to increase this to $45 billion over the next three years [4]. Stock Valuation - Following the announcement of the $45 billion return plan, AT&T's stock price increased by 15% in five days, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment [5]. - Current valuation metrics show that AT&T's price-to-sales and price-to-book-value ratios are above their five-year averages, suggesting the stock may be considered expensive [6]. Investment Appeal - The current 4% dividend yield is attractive, but the lack of dividend growth may deter dividend investors, as similar yields are available from companies with a history of dividend increases [8]. - Growth investors may find AT&T less appealing, as the company is not primarily a growth story despite plans for investment in fiber optic cables [9].
VTI vs. SPY: Which Popular Broad Market ETF Is the Best Choice for Investors Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 18:17
Core Insights - The article compares two popular U.S. equity ETFs: the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), highlighting their differences in cost, diversification, and holdings [1][2] Cost and Size Comparison - SPY has an expense ratio of 0.09%, while VTI is more affordable at 0.03%, making it appealing for cost-conscious investors [3] - As of February 5, 2026, SPY's one-year return is 13.13% compared to VTI's 12.43%, and SPY has an AUM of $709 billion versus VTI's $571 billion [3] Performance and Risk Comparison - Over the past five years, SPY has a maximum drawdown of -24.50%, while VTI's is -25.36%, indicating slightly better risk management for SPY [4] - A $1,000 investment in SPY would have grown to $1,764 over five years, compared to $1,656 for VTI, suggesting stronger cumulative growth for SPY [4] Holdings and Diversification - VTI holds approximately 3,600 stocks across all market capitalizations, with significant allocations in technology (33%), financial services (13%), and consumer cyclical (10%) [5] - SPY focuses on the S&P 500, with a heavier weighting in technology (34%), financial services (13%), and communication services (11%) [6] Implications for Investors - SPY's focus on large-cap stocks may reduce volatility, as larger companies tend to be more stable during economic downturns [8] - VTI's broad diversification across the entire stock market can help manage volatility, providing a buffer against poor performance in specific sectors [9] - Both ETFs have shown similar total returns over one and five years, with SPY slightly outperforming VTI in both periods [10]
Can USA Rare Earth Stock Beat the Market?​
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 18:15
Core Viewpoint - USA Rare Earth has experienced significant volatility since its market debut, with a share price increase of approximately 141% since its public trading began, despite a recent decline of about 33% from its all-time high last October [1][2]. Company Performance - The current market capitalization of USA Rare Earth is around $3.5 billion, but the company has not yet recorded any revenue [4]. - The stock price recently increased due to the announcement of contracts for new mineral refining operations in France, with a planned production capacity of 3,750 metric tons per year [5]. - The French government is supporting the company with a credit covering up to 45% of equipment costs and reimbursement of up to €130 million in real estate costs [5]. Government Support and Funding - USA Rare Earth has received a non-binding letter of intent for $1.6 billion in funding from the U.S. Commerce Department and partners, indicating government interest in the company [8]. - The U.S. government is also taking a stake in USA Rare Earth, reflecting a strategic move to enhance domestic rare-earth mineral sourcing capabilities [8]. Market Outlook - The company is positioned for potential growth due to increasing demand for mineral processing and magnet production, although it remains a speculative investment [4][9]. - Despite the risks associated with being in a pre-revenue state, the long-term potential for USA Rare Earth to outperform the market remains [10].
Is Brinker Stock a Buy or Sell After Its CFO Sold 5,000 Shares?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-07 17:53
Core Insights - Brinker International's CFO Michaela M. Ware sold 5,000 shares at a weighted average price of $162.40, totaling approximately $812,000, which represents a 17.74% reduction in her direct ownership stake [1][2][9] Company Overview - Brinker International operates casual dining restaurants, primarily under the Chili's and Maggiano's brands, generating revenue through food and beverage sales [7][8] - The company reported a revenue of $5.7 billion and a net income of $454.1 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - As of February 5, 2026, the company's stock price was $160.64, with a 1-year price change of 0.63% [4] Recent Performance - Fiscal Q2 sales reached $1.5 billion, an increase from $1.4 billion the previous year, with Chili's restaurants achieving 19 consecutive quarters of same-store sales growth, including a 9% increase in Q2 [10] - Following strong performance, Brinker raised its fiscal 2026 full-year guidance to a range of $5.76 billion to $5.83 billion, up from the previous forecast of $5.6 billion to $5.7 billion [10] Market Position - Brinker International is a leading operator in the casual dining segment, leveraging a dual approach of company-owned and franchised locations to maximize market reach and operational flexibility [8] - The company's price-to-earnings ratio is currently 17, which is lower than it was a year ago, indicating a potential buying opportunity for investors [11]