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AI太空竞赛?英伟达H100刚上天,谷歌Project Suncatcher也要将TPU送上天
机器之心· 2025-11-05 00:18
Core Insights - Google has launched Project Suncatcher, a space-based scalable AI infrastructure system designed to utilize solar energy for AI applications, with the potential to harness energy that exceeds human electricity production by 100 trillion times [8][11][29] - The project aims to deploy a constellation of satellites equipped with Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) and free-space optical communication links to enhance machine learning capabilities in space [7][9][10] Project Overview - Project Suncatcher is a significant exploration initiative that envisions a satellite constellation powered by solar energy, aimed at expanding the computational scale of machine learning in space [7][8] - The first satellite launch is scheduled for early 2027, in collaboration with Planet, to test the feasibility of the proposed system [3][29] Technical Challenges - The project faces several engineering challenges, including thermal management, high-bandwidth inter-satellite communication, and system reliability in orbit [28][29] - Achieving data center-scale inter-satellite links is crucial, requiring connections that support tens of terabits per second [13][14] - The satellites will operate in a dawn-dusk sun-synchronous low Earth orbit to maximize solar energy collection [13][21] TPU Radiation Tolerance - Google's Trillium TPU has undergone radiation testing, demonstrating resilience to total ionizing dose (TID) and single-event effects (SEEs), making it suitable for space applications [21][22] Economic Viability - Historical data suggests that launch costs for satellite systems may decrease to below $200 per kilogram by the mid-2030s, making space-based data centers economically feasible [23][24] - The operational costs of space-based data centers could become comparable to terrestrial counterparts in terms of energy costs [24] Future Directions - The initial analysis indicates that the core concept of space-based machine learning computing is not hindered by fundamental physics or insurmountable economic barriers [28] - The next milestone involves launching two prototype satellites to validate Google's models and TPU hardware in space [29][30]
让AI生成视频「又长又快」:Rolling Forcing实现分钟级实时生成
机器之心· 2025-11-05 00:18
Core Insights - The article discusses a breakthrough in real-time long video generation through a new method called Rolling Forcing, developed by researchers from Nanyang Technological University and Tencent ARC Lab [2][4][12]. Group 1: Challenges in Real-Time Video Generation - Real-time long video generation faces a "impossible triangle" dilemma, where high quality, consistency, and real-time performance are difficult to achieve simultaneously [8]. - The core challenges include the need for sequential frame generation with low latency, the difficulty in eliminating error accumulation while maintaining consistency, and the limitations of self-regressive frame generation methods [10][11]. Group 2: Rolling Forcing Methodology - Rolling Forcing introduces a "sliding window" approach that allows for parallel processing of frames within a window, enabling real-time generation while correcting errors as they occur [12][14]. - The method incorporates three key innovations: 1. A sliding window for joint denoising, optimizing multiple frames simultaneously [14]. 2. An Attention Sink mechanism to ensure long-term consistency by caching initial frames as global anchors [14]. 3. An efficient training algorithm that uses self-generated historical frames to simulate real inference scenarios [14]. Group 3: Experimental Results - Rolling Forcing demonstrates significant improvements over existing methods, achieving a generation speed of 16 frames per second (fps) while maintaining low error accumulation [17][20]. - In qualitative comparisons, Rolling Forcing maintains high fidelity in long video generation, avoiding issues like color drift and detail degradation that affect other models [20][21]. Group 4: Future Directions - Future research may focus on optimizing memory mechanisms for better retention of key information, improving training efficiency to reduce computational costs, and minimizing interaction delays for applications requiring ultra-low latency [25].
震荡股市中的AI交易员:DeepSeek从从容容游刃有余? 港大开源一周8k星标走红
机器之心· 2025-11-04 08:52
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of six AI trading models during a turbulent market period in October 2025, highlighting their different strategies and outcomes in a real trading environment [2][9]. Group 1: AI Trading Experiment Overview - The AI-Trader project, led by Professor Huang Chao's team at the University of Hong Kong, began real trading tests amidst market volatility [3][4]. - The project received significant attention, garnering nearly 8,000 stars on GitHub within a week, indicating strong community interest in AI-driven trading technologies [4]. - Each of the six AI models started with $10,000 and operated independently in the Nasdaq 100 market, adhering to strict rules without external assistance [5][6]. Group 2: Performance of AI Models - The performance of the AI models varied significantly, with DeepSeek-Chat-V3.1 achieving the highest return of +13.89%, followed by MiniMax-M2 at +10.72% [7]. - In contrast, Gemini-2.5-Flash recorded a loss of -0.54%, illustrating the impact of trading strategies on performance [7]. - The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) only increased by +2.30% during the same period, highlighting the relative success of the AI models [7]. Group 3: Key Strategies and Insights - DeepSeek-Chat-V3.1 utilized a contrarian strategy, increasing positions in NVDA and MSFT during market panic, which proved effective with a return of +13.89% [14]. - MiniMax-M2 maintained a balanced portfolio with low turnover, resulting in a stable return of +10.72%, demonstrating the importance of consistency in high-volatility environments [15][16]. - Claude-3.7-Sonnet focused on long-term holdings, achieving a return of +7.12%, reflecting a classic value investment approach [17]. Group 4: Behavioral Finance Insights - The experiment served as a behavioral finance study, emphasizing the significance of trading discipline and market patience in achieving successful outcomes [10][11]. - The findings revealed that excessive trading and emotional decision-making can lead to poor performance, as seen with Gemini-2.5-Flash's high trading frequency and negative returns [22][24]. - The results suggest that effective investment decisions stem from managing uncertainty rather than attempting to predict market movements perfectly [31]. Group 5: Implications for AI in Finance - The success of the Chinese-developed models, DeepSeek and MiniMax, indicates a shift in AI capabilities from conversational skills to practical task execution in complex financial scenarios [32]. - The article posits that financial trading provides an ideal environment for validating AI decision-making capabilities, with potential applications extending to supply chain optimization and urban management [33]. - Future developments will require further validation in areas such as regulatory compliance and risk management to ensure stability in real-world applications [34].
多模态大模型理解物理工具吗?PhysToolBench提出了衡量多模态大模型对物理工具理解的基准
机器之心· 2025-11-04 08:52
Core Insights - The article discusses the development of PhysToolBench, a benchmark designed to evaluate the understanding of physical tools by multimodal large models, highlighting the need for these models to improve their capabilities in recognizing, understanding, and creating tools [2][22]. Summary by Sections PhysToolBench Introduction - PhysToolBench categorizes the understanding of physical tools into three levels: recognizing tools, understanding tools, and creating tools [2][5]. - The benchmark includes over 1000 image-text pairs where models must identify the appropriate tool for a given task based on visual input [5]. Evaluation Criteria - The evaluation covers 32 of the latest multimodal large models, including proprietary, open-source, and embodied intelligence-specific models [7]. - The assessment is structured into three difficulty levels: Easy (Tool Recognition), Medium (Tool Understanding), and Hard (Tool Creation) [8][6]. Model Performance - The top-performing model, GPT-5, scored 62.15% overall, but many models scored below 50% in higher difficulty levels, indicating a significant gap compared to human performance [13]. - Proprietary models generally outperformed open-source models, with larger models showing better capabilities [13]. Specific Findings - Models struggled with recognizing and understanding tools, particularly in identifying whether tools were usable, leading to potential safety risks [18]. - The research indicates that reasoning capabilities, especially visual-centric reasoning, are crucial for effectively using physical tools [19][22]. Future Directions - The findings suggest that improving the understanding, application, and creation of complex physical tools is essential for advancing towards general intelligence in AI [22]. - The article encourages further exploration and development in this area, providing links to relevant papers, code, and datasets for interested parties [23].
首届AI交易大赛落幕,6个AI炒币2周:Qwen、DeepSeek赚钱,GPT-5血亏6000刀
机器之心· 2025-11-04 08:52
Core Insights - The first Nof1 AI model trading competition concluded with unexpected results, showcasing the investment capabilities of AI models in cryptocurrency trading [1][5][9] Group 1: Competition Overview - The competition was designed as a benchmark test for AI investment capabilities, referred to as the "Turing Test of the cryptocurrency world," initiated by Nof1.ai from October 17 to November 3, 2025 [1] - Six AI models participated, including DeepSeek Chat V3.1, Grok 4, Gemini 2.5 Pro, GPT-5, Qwen3 Max, and Claude Sonnet 4.5, representing the latest technology from both Chinese and American suppliers [1][3] - Each model started with $10,000 in initial capital and traded autonomously on Hyperliquid, focusing on six popular cryptocurrencies: BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, DOGE, and XRP [3][4] Group 2: Trading Performance - Qwen3 Max ranked first with a return of 22.3%, total profit of $2,232, and a win rate of 30.2% over 43 trades [5][7] - DeepSeek Chat V3.1 secured second place with a return of 4.89%, total profit of $489.08, and a win rate of 24.4% over 41 trades [5][7] - The remaining models, including Claude Sonnet 4.5, Grok 4, Gemini 2.5 Pro, and GPT-5, experienced significant losses, with returns of -30.81%, -45.3%, -56.71%, and -62.66% respectively [6][15] Group 3: Model Characteristics - Qwen3 Max exhibited an aggressive trading strategy with a high return and significant trading frequency, while maintaining a Sharpe ratio of 0.273 [13] - DeepSeek Chat V3.1 demonstrated a more conservative approach with a higher Sharpe ratio of 0.359, indicating better risk management [13] - In contrast, models like Gemini 2.5 Pro and GPT-5 showed poor performance due to excessive trading and lack of effective market judgment, reflected in their negative Sharpe ratios of -0.566 and -0.525 respectively [15][16] Group 4: Market Implications - The competition has garnered significant attention, with industry leaders commenting on the potential impact of AI trading strategies on market dynamics [9][11] - There is speculation that widespread use of similar AI models could influence market behavior, potentially driving prices up through collective demand [10][11]
英伟达帮你省钱,让大模型推理「短而精」,速度快5倍
机器之心· 2025-11-04 04:22
Core Insights - The article discusses the challenges and advancements in reasoning models, particularly focusing on the balance between reasoning length and accuracy [2][3] - It highlights the introduction of DLER, a new reinforcement learning method that significantly reduces reasoning length while maintaining accuracy [7][10] Group 1: DLER Methodology - DLER addresses the issues arising from length penalties in reinforcement learning training, proposing a simple yet effective training recipe [7] - The DLER model achieves a reduction in reasoning length by over 70% while keeping accuracy intact, with DLER-Qwen-R1-7B using an average of 3230 tokens to reach 55.6% accuracy on the AIME-24 benchmark [7][10] Group 2: Key Findings - DLER is effective not only for small models but also for large models, introducing magnitude-selective weight merging to mitigate performance drops during fine-tuning [12] - The research indicates that improving reasoning efficiency relies more on the choice of optimization algorithms rather than the complexity of penalty designs [15] Group 3: Future Implications - The findings suggest a shift in the approach to reasoning models, emphasizing smarter and more efficient thinking rather than merely extending reasoning chains [14] - DLER is positioned as a critical technology for the practical deployment of reasoning models, enhancing their speed and utility [14]
刚刚,AI视频的天花板被掀翻!测完SkyReels后飘了:我亦有成为专业导演的潜质
机器之心· 2025-11-04 03:45
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid evolution of AI video generation, highlighting the launch of Kunlun Wanwei's new platform, SkyReels, which aims to provide a comprehensive, low-threshold multi-modal AI video creation experience for creators [1][74]. Group 1: SkyReels Overview - SkyReels is a one-stop, zero-threshold multi-modal AI video creation platform that integrates various AI tools and models into a single creative space [2][8]. - The platform features an infinite canvas that allows users to interactively create content using top global AI models, enabling real-time effects and creative flexibility [9][10]. - SkyReels V3, the newly released multi-modal video generation model, has undergone comprehensive optimization for image, audio, and video capabilities [2][60]. Group 2: Features and Functionalities - The platform includes various creative modes such as infinite canvas, digital human narration, multi-template generation, and agent functionalities, catering to diverse creator needs [2][17]. - Users can easily generate videos by simply dragging images onto the canvas and inputting basic requirements, showcasing the platform's user-friendly design [12][28]. - The Super Agent feature allows users to brainstorm and generate content collaboratively, enhancing the creative process [16][17]. Group 3: Performance and Quality - SkyReels V3 has achieved significant advancements in video generation quality, including improved consistency between subjects and backgrounds, as well as enhanced instruction-following capabilities [60][62]. - The platform supports single-shot multi-character dialogues, allowing for natural and fluid conversations in generated videos [63][52]. - SkyReels V3 has been validated through various benchmark tests, demonstrating superior performance compared to other models in the industry [62][64]. Group 4: Market Position and Future Outlook - Kunlun Wanwei has positioned itself as a leader in the AI video generation sector, continuously enhancing its product offerings and expanding its ecosystem [74]. - The company reported a revenue of 5.8 billion yuan in the first three quarters of the year, reflecting a 52% year-on-year growth, driven by its multi-modal integration strategy [74]. - The launch of SkyReels is expected to further solidify Kunlun Wanwei's position in the global AI video market and accelerate the vision of making professional video creation accessible to everyone [74].
字节Seed团队发布循环语言模型Ouro,在预训练阶段直接「思考」,Bengio署名
机器之心· 2025-11-04 03:45
Core Insights - The article discusses the introduction of Ouro, a new type of pre-trained model known as Looped Language Models (LoopLM), developed by ByteDance's Seed team in collaboration with several institutions. Ouro aims to enhance reasoning capabilities by integrating them directly into the pre-training phase rather than relying solely on post-training fine-tuning [1][6]. Group 1: Model Architecture and Design - Ouro employs iterative computation in latent space, utilizes an entropy regularization objective for learning deep distributions, and expands its training data to 7.7 trillion tokens, allowing for direct learning of reasoning capabilities during pre-training [1][6]. - The LoopLM architecture is inspired by the "universal Transformer" and features a stack of N shared weight layers that are applied multiple times in a forward pass, enabling dynamic computation within a fixed parameter budget [10]. - The architecture includes an adaptive computation mechanism with a learned "exit gate" that allows the model to terminate processing early for simpler inputs, thus optimizing computational resources [10][15]. Group 2: Performance and Efficiency - Ouro's models, with 1.4 billion and 2.6 billion parameters, achieve performance comparable to standard Transformers with 4 billion and 8 billion parameters, demonstrating a 2-3 times improvement in parameter efficiency [6][8]. - In advanced reasoning benchmark tests, the Ouro-Thinking series models perform on par with or exceed the performance of larger baseline models, showcasing their effectiveness in mathematical and scientific datasets [8]. Group 3: Training Process - The training process for Ouro is multi-staged, utilizing a total of 7.7 trillion tokens, starting with a general warm-up phase followed by an initial stable training phase using 3 trillion tokens [12][13]. - Both parameter variants (1.4B and 2.6B) undergo four subsequent training stages, including a second stable training phase, CT annealing, long context training, and mid-training, culminating in a specialized reasoning supervision fine-tuning phase for the Ouro-Thinking models [13][15]. - The training stability was enhanced by adjusting the number of loop steps from 8 to 4 to balance computational depth and stability [13].
ACM MM 2025 Oral | 新加坡国立大学提出FractalForensics,基于分形水印的主动深度伪造检测与定位
机器之心· 2025-11-04 03:45
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the development of FractalForensics, a novel method for active deepfake detection and localization using fractal watermarking, addressing existing challenges in deepfake detection and positioning [4][5][12]. Group 1: Introduction and Motivation - Recent years have seen a growing interest in active defenses against deepfakes, with existing methods like robust and semi-fragile watermarks showing limited effectiveness [4]. - The paper aims to tackle the issues of existing watermarking techniques, which struggle with robustness and the simultaneous detection and localization of forgeries [8]. Group 2: Methodology - FractalForensics introduces a watermarking approach that utilizes a matrix format instead of traditional watermark vectors, enhancing the capability for forgery localization [5]. - The watermark generation and encryption process is parameterized, allowing users to select values for various parameters, resulting in 144 different fractal variants [6][9]. - A chaotic encryption system is constructed based on fractal geometry, which enhances the security and variability of the watermark [7]. Group 3: Watermark Embedding and Extraction - The watermark embedding model is based on convolutional neural networks, employing an entry-to-patch strategy to embed watermarks into images without disrupting their integrity [10][11]. - The method ensures that modified areas in deepfake images lose the watermark, enabling both detection and localization of forgeries [11][18]. Group 4: Experimental Results - The proposed watermarking method demonstrates optimal robustness against common image processing techniques, maintaining high detection rates [13][14]. - In tests against various deepfake methods, FractalForensics shows reasonable vulnerability, allowing for effective detection and localization [15][16]. - The article presents comparative results indicating that FractalForensics achieves superior detection performance compared to state-of-the-art passive detection methods [17][18].
HF日趋榜一!真端到端模型AutoDeco终结手动调参解码
机器之心· 2025-11-04 03:13
大语言模型(LLM)的「炼丹师」们,或许都曾面临一个共同的困扰:为不同任务、不同模型手动调整解码超参数(如 temperature 和 top-p)。这个过程不仅耗时 耗力,而且一旦模型或任务发生变化,历史经验便瞬间失效,一切又得从头再来。 这种繁琐的试错过程,在许多研发团队的日常沟通中屡见不鲜,正如下图所展示的那样: 图 1 :研发人员手动调整解码参数的日常。 一个灵魂拷问随之而来: 为何不能让模型自己学会如何解码,从而实现真正的「端到端」? 事实上,各大模型厂商的 API 文档也印证了这一难题。以 DeepSeek 为例,其官方文档明确建议针对不同场景设置截然不同的 temperature 值,这使得单一的静态 参数设置显得捉襟见肘。 | 场景 | 温度 | | --- | --- | | 代码生成/数学解题 | 0.0 | | 数据抽取/分析 | 1.0 | | 通用对话 | 1.3 | | 翻译 | 1.3 | | 创意类写作/诗歌创作 | 1.5 | 图 2 :不同任务需要不同的解码参数,这使得静态设置难以应对复杂多变的现实需求。 近日, 由腾讯 AI Lab 的王琰研究员及其团队领衔,联合 香港中 ...