Market Overview - Crypto market experienced a brutal sell-off, wiping out weeks of gains [1] - A catastrophic liquidation cascade occurred, with over $17 billion in leveraged positions forcibly closed in a single 24-hour period, $16 billion of which were long positions [5] - Triple witching crypto options expiry, with over $175 billion in Bitcoin options and $55 billion in ETH options matured, contributed to immense volatility [6] - Bitcoin repeatedly failed to break the $118 thousand resistance level, signaling exhaustion to traders [7] - September has historically been a brutal month for crypto, with BTC posting negative returns in eight of the last 12 Septembers, averaging a monthly loss of 377% [10] Federal Reserve Impact - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points [7] - Fed Chair Jerome Pal's hawkish tone, framing the rate cut as a "risk management cut," led to a sell the news reaction [8] - The Fed's dot plot still shows a median projection of two more 25 basis point cuts before the end of 2025 [18] Q4 Outlook - The bull case for a strong Q4 is built on the institutional tsunami, the Fed's liquidity pipeline, and historical momentum [15] - Spot Bitcoin ETFs have global assets under management hitting $1795 billion by mid 2025 [16] - Bloomberg analysts are giving spot ETFs for assets like Salana, XRP, and Litecoin a 75 to 90% chance of approval before the end of the year [16] - October has historically been one of Bitcoin's strongest months, with an average return of nearly 23% [19] Risks - The market remains overleveraged [21] - Lingering recession fears and weak global economic data could create a risk-off environment [22] - For Bitcoin, the zone between $14 thousand and $17 thousand is a critical support level [22]

What do you get when you buy a cryptocurrency. Well, believe it or not, but it's the same thing you get when you buy a stock. Allow me to explain.Once upon a time, shares in a company were traded using physical notes. Each of these physical notes had a unique serial number. Obviously, these shares would come from the company that issued them.And this company would keep track of who had which share. And it would do this based on the unique serial number as well as the personal information of the person who p ...

Guy, you're looking pretty different today. Something's changed. >> Yes.>> You look a lot younger. >> Yes, I do look a lot younger. Younger, fresher.Yes. Uh, no. I was um I was trying to trim my beard over the weekend and the guard wasn't set very well, so I ended up all patchy, so I had to basically shave it off and start again.>> The price was kind of meh. And another really good uh Darth Maul candle. My my personal trademark of a um TA candle.>> You're you're really going to force this this terminology i ...

Bitcoin battles with the $120K resistance as the Fed delivers its first rate cut of 2025. Meanwhile, airdrop season is heating up with Metamask, Base, and OpenSea in the spotlight, and altcoins from LINK to SUI eye potential new all-time highs. This week’s livestream dives into the charts, market catalysts, and the narratives driving crypto forward. KEY TOPICS COVERED: - Bitcoin technical analysis: Impact of the Fed rate cut, support/resistance at $117K–$120K, and correlation with S&P 500 all-time highs - A ...

Market Analysis & Potential - Altcoins are experiencing a resurgence, with Solana (Soul) leading the way, potentially mirroring previous crypto cycles [1] - Solana is witnessing increased tokenized Real World Asset (RWA) activity, placing it among the top 10 RWA blockchains with over $500 million TVL (Total Value Locked) [7] - Institutional interest in Solana is growing, evidenced by partnerships like Bullish for stablecoin initiatives and accumulation of Soul by Solana Treasury companies [16][13] - A spot Solana ETF has nearly $300 million in assets under management within 2 months, suggesting strong potential for standard spot ETFs [14] - Solana's potential to flip XRP and become the third-largest crypto could drive Soul's price closer to $600-$700 [35][36] Technical Developments & Adoption - Solana's ecosystem roadmap focuses on Application Controlled Execution (ACE) to enhance transaction modularity and support TradFi use cases [39] - The Alpenlow upgrade aims to reduce Solana's block finality time from 400 milliseconds to 150 milliseconds, improving transaction speed [40] - Solana is focusing on mobile devices, with the Seeker phone potentially driving adoption through airdrops and crypto features [41][43][44] Challenges & Competition - Onchain activity reveals a decline in active wallets on Solana since the start of 2025, diverging from price increases [28] - Solana faces competition from new blockchains launched by companies like Circle and potentially PayPal, especially in the institutional space [21][22][52] - The risk of outages could rise with future upgrades like Alpenlow, potentially impacting institutional adoption if technical issues arise [48][49] Price Prediction - Soul is up around 35% since May [24] - Soul could rally to $350-$375 if it breaks above a long-term resistance of around $250, while a crash could bring Soul down to as low as $125 [32][33] - In the longer term, Soul could rally to around $500 [33]

Everyone knows the story of Michael Sailor and now Tom Lee who've accumulated billions of dollars in Bitcoin and Ethereum through digital asset treasury companies. But what if I told you a new more aggressive chapter is being written right now. A silent invasion where corporate treasuries are moving beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum and accumulating massive positions in altcoins like Salana, Suie, and even Worldcoin.This isn't about diversification. It's a highstakes gamble that could either trigger the next para ...

Has the Federal Reserve just fired the starting gun for the next major leg up in the crypto market. Uh, with one single decision, they may have unlocked a wave of liquidity that could send Bitcoin to prices that seemed unimaginable just a few months ago. But what if I also told you that buried deep within that same decision are the seeds of a potential market crash.a scenario that could invalidate the entire bullc case and send risk assets spiraling. My name is Nick and if you hold crypto, you can't miss th ...

Market Trend Analysis - BTC's upward trend is crucial for other cryptocurrencies to rally; conversely, a downward trend in BTC often leads to a decline in other cryptocurrencies [1] - Candle body size indicates trend strength: larger bodies suggest a stronger trend, regardless of direction [2] - Candle wick size indicates buying or selling pressure: large wicks at the top suggest selling pressure, potentially leading to lower prices, while large wicks at the bottom suggest buying pressure, potentially leading to higher prices [3] - Barely visible candles (almost no wick and no body) suggest a potential trend reversal, regardless of the current direction [4] Technical Indicators - Predominantly body candles with minimal wicks indicate a strong trend [2] - Predominantly wick candles with minimal body indicate a weak trend [3] - Green candles getting smaller may indicate a potential price decline [4] - Red candles getting smaller may indicate a potential price rally [4]

Trend Identification and Momentum - The 200-day moving average is a key indicator for identifying momentum in crypto markets, with price above indicating bullish control and price below indicating bearish control [4] - A potential buying opportunity arises when a crypto asset, after being below the 200-day moving average for weeks or months, closes a full day above it, especially when accompanied by a fundamental catalyst like a product launch or user growth [5][7] - Stablecoin supply growth is a powerful indicator; expanding supply during a 200-day reclaim increases confidence in the move's sustainability [8] - It's crucial to ignore the 200-day moving average when fundamentals, such as significant supply unlocks or team departures, contradict the technical signals [9] Identifying Market Tops and Bottoms - The PI cycle top, a combination of the 111-day and 350-day moving averages on BTC, serves as an alarm for potential market tops when the fast line crosses above the slow line [17] - The MVRV z-score (zed score) uses on-chain data to determine if BTC is over or underpriced compared to the average cost basis of holders; a high score indicates unrealized profit and potential tops, while a low score suggests market bottoms [20][21] - The zed score's behavior may differ from previous cycles due to the influence of large buyers like ETFs and digital asset treasuries, which are re-anchoring supply at higher prices [24] - The zed score is expected to be more reliable as a bottom signal due to the potential for long liquidity wipeouts and liquidations of smaller crypto treasuries during a harsh bear market [27][29] Trading Sideways Markets - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is useful in sideways markets; look for bounces when price is near support and RSI is low (30-40 or lower), and exits when price is near resistance and RSI is high (60-70 or higher) [42] - Bollinger Bands, which expand with rising volatility and tighten when the market is calm, can be combined with RSI for trading sideways markets; sell when RSI is over 70 and price tags the upper band, and vice versa [44] Market Fundamentals - Ethereum funds saw inflows of nearly $4 billion, indicating a clear allocation preference from large buyers [34] - The total stablecoin market cap is above $280 billion, providing fresh capital for price action [34] - September will see $45 billion unlocked across the altcoin spectrum, so it's better to focus on tokens that don't have heavy unlock schedules in their immediate future [35]

Overview - Pump.fun experienced a dramatic comeback, reclaiming 90% market dominance after losing 80% to a competitor [1] - The platform generated over $19 million for its creators in a single week, leading to a multi-billion dollar valuation of its native token [1] Business Model & Revenue - Project Ascend, launched on September 3rd, introduced a dynamic fee model where creator fees are tied to token market cap, resulting in $1.3 million in creator fees within 12 hours and over $19 million within a week [1] - Daily platform revenue reached a new all-time high of over $3 million [1] - From August 28th to September 3rd, the platform spent almost $12.2 million on token repurchases, representing 98.23% of its weekly revenue, reducing circulating supply by 5.36% [1] - To date, the buyback program has spent nearly $72 million buying back pump tokens [1] Risks & Challenges - Pump.fun faces a consolidated class action lawsuit seeking $5.5 billion in damages, alleging operation as an unlicensed casino and facilitating the sale of unregistered securities [3][4] - A former employee exploited administrative privileges to steal around $1.9 million worth of SOL [5] - The platform faces ongoing challenges in content moderation, balancing creativity with preventing harmful content [6][7] - The aggressive buyback program, consuming 98% of weekly revenue, is not a sustainable long-term strategy [7] Content & Community - Live streaming, relaunched in April 2025 with enhanced moderation, is a key feature, with examples like Bagwork earning over $168,000 in 4 days [1] - The platform supports content creators through initiatives like the based house and cause-driven streaming, such as Feed the People [1] Market Impact - Pump's price surged over 60% in a single week, pushing its market cap over $3.1 billion [1] - The platform has launched over 6 million tokens, but some estimates suggest over 95% show indicators of fraud [10][11]