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电力设备行业投资策略周报:亚非拉需求拉动光储高增,用电量景气
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-24 08:22
● 我资评级:未好(维持) 衰逝 12 月市场表现 茶一先 分析师 SAC 证书编号:S0160522110002 zhangyc02@ctsec.com 相关报考 1. 《降息预期拉动电新成长股,稳定成 长 改 升 》 2024-07-17 2. 《电力设备与新能源 2024Hl 业绩前 聴》 2024-07-10 3. 《 绿 电 种 电 网 设 备 维 续 维 养 》 2024-07-08 电力设备 / 行业投资策略周报 / 2024.07.24 亚非拉嘉永拉动光储高增、 周 知 参 ■ 证券研究报告 ❖ 光伏:产业链各环节除辅材价格下降以外,其余各环节价格基本维稳,产 业链各环节价格上涨还需等待宽永回升。TCL 中环及晶科能源相结同 PIF、 Vision Industries 签署殷东协议,成立合资公司,在沙特建设大型海外光伏 项目。中核汇能公布组件集中采购项目入围名学。关注相关标的阳光电源、 中信博、稳业股份。 � 电力设备:有所调整,亲气度不改。国内 1-6 月电网建设设资 2540 亿元,同 增 21.6%;6 月半月度投资领 837 亿元,同增 27.98%,环增 76.6%。海外宽来 持续 ...
化工行业周报:维生素D3价格大涨,碳酸锂价格持续下跌
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-23 10:02
基础化工 / 行业投资资格周报 / 2024.07.23 ● 投资评级:未好(维持) 菜近 12 月市场表现 分析师 毕 各晖 SAC 证书编号:S0160522070001 bich@ctsec.com 特予金 分析师 SAC 证书编号:S0160524070002 meiyx@ctsec.com ... 相关报考 1. 《化工行业周报》 2024-07-16 2. 《化工行业周报》 2024-07-09 3. 《生物柴油行业专题报告》 2024- 07-08 维生素 D3 价格大涨,碳酸蛋价格特续下跌 ■ 证券研究报告 ... 本周行情: 本周市场综合指数整体上行, 上证綜指报收 2982.31, 本周上涨 0.37%,深证指数本周上涨 0.56%,A 股指数上涨 0.37%;共中化工板块下跌 1.87%。 .. 化工公司行情: 本周承構前五的股票为: 戏乐股份(+33.47%)、佳先股份 (+24.88%)、择丰股份(+24.31%)、扬帆新材(+17.46%)、饥美特气(+15.37%)。 本周美橘前五的股票为:条为科技(-13.96%)、巨化股份(-13.73%)、铁稿科 技(-13.49%)、运翔 ...
建筑装饰行业点评报告:从三中全会看建筑业发展新方向
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-23 05:22
漆筑表饰 / 行业点评报告 / 2024.07.23 从三中全会看建筑业发展 新 ● 投资平级:未好(维持) 菜近 12 月市场表现 � 毕 各晖 分析师 SAC 证书编号:S0160522070001 bich@ctsec.com 刘斐然 分析师 SAC 证书编号:S0160522120003 liufr@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《6 月获又基建效线,聚焦条气泰道 及高殷总板块》 2024-07-21 2. 《哪些转债可能受益城中村改造落 地》 2024-07-19 3. 《建筑业录气扬点尚寄等待,资金到 径是前操》 2024-07-14 技术现场 ■ 证券所究报告 事件: 第二十届三中全会审议通过《中共中央关于进一步全面深化改革、推 进中国式现代化的决定》, 新华社受权发布全文。《决定》指出委"构建新型基 础设范规划和标准体系,健全新型基础设范敲合利用机制,推进传统基础设范 数字化改造。" 委"健全劳动、资本、土地、知识、技术、管理、数据等生产委 素由市场评价贡献、技贡献决定报酬的机制。" 卖 "深化综合交通运输体系改 辛,发展通用航空积低空经济。" 卖 "增加地方自主财力,拓展地方税源,连 ...
淡季需求未见好转,产业链有待修复
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-22 02:02
Group 1: Cement Market Analysis - In mid-July, the domestic cement market demand remained weak due to tight market funds and adverse weather conditions, with average shipment rates of key regional cement enterprises staying low[4] - Cement prices have been fluctuating downwards due to weak demand, rising inventory, and unstable enterprise sentiment, leading to price pressures[5] - The Yangtze River Delta region's cement companies plan to reduce production by approximately 30% over 10 days in July and August to stabilize prices[23] Group 2: New Materials Insights - The average market price of carbon fiber is stable at 91.25 yuan/kg, with weak raw material prices and insufficient cost support impacting factory profit levels[8] - The glass fiber market is experiencing low trading activity, with prices for coarse yarn remaining stable while fine yarn prices are also steady[81] - The photovoltaic glass market is facing weak demand, with manufacturers maintaining high inventory levels and cautious pricing strategies due to low profit margins[79] Group 3: Real Estate and Construction Trends - In the first half of 2024, national real estate development investment decreased by 10.1% year-on-year, with new housing sales area down by 19.0%[59] - The government is expected to implement measures to stabilize the market, which may lead to a gradual recovery in construction material demand[61] - The focus on risk prevention in real estate was highlighted in the recent policy discussions, emphasizing the need for coordinated development strategies[21]
三中全会的改革走向:于无声处听惊雷
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-22 00:22
(16)完善国家战略规划体系和政策统筹协调机制。 围绕实施国家发展规划、重大战略促进财政、货币、产业、价格、就业等政策协 同发力,优化各类增量资源配置和存量结构调整。探索实行国家宏观资产负债表 管理。把经济政策和非经济性政策都纳入宏观政策取向一致性评估。健全预期管 理机制。健全支撑高质量发展的统计指标核算体系,加强新经济新领域纳统覆盖。 加强产业活动单位统计基础建设,优化总部和分支机构统计办法,逐步推广经营 主体活动发生地统计。健全国际宏观政策协调机制。 (17)深化财税体制改革。 (预算是财税制度的核心,对于预算方面的改革:一是全口径的预算管理,把依 托行政权力、政府信用、国有资源资产获取的收入全部纳入进来,事实上是着力 拓展收入的来源;二是对预算分配权的集中统一;三是对提供公共服务要强化绩 效评价,避免资源的浪费。) 谨请参阅尾页重要声明及财通证券股票和行业评级标准 17 (税收制度的改革主要围绕两个方面:一是适应经济转型的背景,研究和新业态 适应的税收制度,避免税收负担在不同行业之间的不公平;二是健全直接税体系, 特别是针对资本和财产所得的征收。) (我们在制造业代表的商品贸易领域,已经占据优势,《决定 ...
社会服务行业投资策略周报:关注三季度景气赛道
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-21 08:02
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------|--------|--------------------|--------|--------|--------|-------------|--------|--------------------|--------|--------|--------|--------| | 图 77. | | 老凤祥估值变化趋势 | | | | 图 78. | | 周大生估值变化趋势 | | | | | | | 老凤祥 | | 均值 | +1sd | | | 周大生 | | 均值 | | +1sd | -1sd | | 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 | | | | | | 25 20 15 10 | | | | | | | | 4 2 | | | | | | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 2018-1 | 2019-1 | 2020-1 | 2021-1 | 2022-1 | 2023-1 | 0 20 ...
A股策略专题报告:成长继续领跑
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-21 08:02
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建筑建材转债梳理报告系列(二):哪些转债可能受益城中村改造落地
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-19 14:22
建筑表饰 / 行业专题报告 / 2024.07.19 哪些转债可能受益城中村改造 ● 投资评级:未好(维持) 衰逝 12 月市场表现 � 毕 春 晖 分析师 SAC 证书编号:S0160522070001 bich@ctsec.com 地 关报告 1. 《建筑业录气桥点尚高等待,资金到 位是前提》 2024-07-14 2. 《"丰路云"试点城市落地,建设框 紫不断充善》 2024-07-07 3. 《24H1 海外工程相对亲气,H2 国内 高未支逆好特》 2024-06-30 建筑建材转债梳理报告系列 画 证券所究报告 技术网络 华阳国际:工程谈计彪头,推动数字化特型。公司始终致力于发展成为 以设计和研发为龙头,以装配式走筑构 BIM 为核心技术的全产业链布局的设 计科技企业。公司在城市更新领域深耕 16 年,组建了城市更新业务的专业部 门,是城市更新制度、设计协作制度的深度参与者。公司设计业务布局全 国,不断积累客户资源,装配式建筑业务的不断突破带动新签订单回暖向 好。以设计+科技为发展主线,华阳 BIM 研发持续投入,构建专业的 BIM 正 向设计能力。 ◇ ฉ漢集团: 责金坤厚美文发展基础,成本优势位 ...
思摩尔国际:VuseAlto烟草口味获批,合作有望提速
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-19 08:02
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The FDA recently approved seven electronic cigarette products for sale in the U.S. market, all under the Vuse Alto brand, including six tobacco-flavored products and one electronic cigarette device [2] - The approval of Vuse tobacco-flavored products is significant as it indicates the FDA's recognition of their reduced harm potential compared to traditional cigarettes, suggesting that the benefits of switching to these products may outweigh the risks to youth [2] - The company is expected to benefit from its strong partnership with BAT, which has already seen multiple products approved under the PMTA process, positioning the company to capture a larger market share as regulatory scrutiny increases [2] - The company is diversifying its business across various sectors, including electronic vaporization, heated non-combustion, and medical vaporization, and has returned to positive profit growth with a net profit of 310 million yuan in Q1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [2] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.8 billion, 2.08 billion, and 2.47 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 27, 23, and 20 times [3] - Revenue is expected to grow from 12.19 billion yuan in 2024 to 15.33 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [4] - The company's net profit margin is projected to improve from 14.73% in 2023 to 16.08% in 2026, indicating enhanced profitability [6]
香飘飘:战略层面厘清,战术层面推进,静待成效显现
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-07-18 04:02
| --- | --- | |------------------------|------------| | | | | 基本数据 | 2024-07-17 | | 收盘价 ( 元 ) | 12.14 | | 流通股本 ( 亿股 ) | 4.11 | | 每股净资产 ( 元 ) | 8.23 | | 总股本 ( 亿股 ) | 4.11 | | 最近 12 月市场表现 | | 分析师 吴文德 SAC 证书编号:S0160523090004 wuwd01@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《果茶战略初见成效,策略梳理谋定 长远》 2024-07-11 2. 《销售稳中有增,步入旺季,盈利弹 性有望加速释放》 2024-04-19 3. 《业绩表现超预期,冲泡稳健即饮高 增》 2024-04-19 ❖ 三个核心品类进行战略梳理和重新定位,为长期奠定坚实基础。战术方 面,公司仍处在探索和积累阶段,如何用最有效的方式将品牌定位和消费者建 立联系,将是三季度和接下来工作的重心,这些工作也将在 Q3 的广宣、流量 曝光上陆续展开。而在渠道建设上,量贩系统、山姆会员店、自动贩卖机等在 24Q2 得到丰富,餐饮也成立了单独 ...