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财信证券晨会纪要
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-08 00:31
证券研究报告 此报告仅供内部客户参考 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 多,短期业绩承压 此报告仅供内部客户参考 -2- 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 晨会聚焦摘要: 【市场策略】市场全天震荡调整,三大指数涨跌不一 叶彬(S0530523080001) 此报告仅供内部客户参考 -3- 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 关注估值与业绩的匹配性。5-6 月份权益市场可适当提高风险偏好,关注以下板块: (1)TMT 板块。一方面,当前下全球处于人工智能产业浪潮期,预计将催生新的产业链及商业模式;另一方 面,中国正处于关键科技领域突破、实现产业链自主可控的关键时期,科技行业将迎来快速发展。TMT 板块可重点 关注算力端的光模块、软件端的计算机、应用端的传媒。 (2)新质生产力。《政府工作报告》强调"大力推进现代化产业体系建设,加快发展新质生产力",叠加《推动 大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新行动方案》落地,可关注工业母机、机器人、低空经济等方向。 (3)出口产业链。从高频数据来看,美国补库存将对第二季度出口形成重要支撑,可关注家电、纺织服装等出 口产业链方向。 (4)资源板块。在外需改善、美联储降息、供给收紧下,有 ...
淡季收入略低于预期,成本下行带来利润超预期
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 12:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company's Q1 2024 revenue was slightly below expectations at 540 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23.58%. However, net profit exceeded expectations, reaching 74 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 87.73% [5] - The decline in raw material costs has positively impacted profitability, with government subsidies of 16.93 million yuan contributing to the better-than-expected performance [5] - The company is focusing on three new products aimed at creating new growth points, while also benefiting from the ongoing reduction in raw material costs and scale effects [7][9] Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 30.02% in Q1 2024, an increase of 4.04 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 13.80%, up 4.90 percentage points year-on-year [7] - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 2.718 billion yuan, 3.374 billion yuan, and 4.038 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.61%, 24.15%, and 19.66% [9] - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 297 million yuan, 365 million yuan, and 421 million yuan, with growth rates of 41.73%, 22.86%, and 15.36% [9] Product and Market Analysis - The core product categories show strong performance, with fish products generating 340 million yuan (63% of revenue) and poultry products contributing 118 million yuan (22% of revenue) [6] - The company has successfully expanded its offline channels, with offline revenue growth exceeding 30%, while online sales have stabilized due to adjustments in pricing and cost management [6] - The company has completed coverage of 100 clients and 20,000 stores in the snack specialty channel, with Q1 revenue from this channel growing over 100% year-on-year [6]
高基数下业绩稳健增长,盈利水平相对稳定
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 12:00
证券研究报告 公司点评 益丰药房(603939.SH) 医药生物| 医药商业 高基数下业绩稳健增长 ,盈利水平相对稳定 2024年 05月 06日 预测指标 2022A 202 3A 2024E 2025E 2026E 评级 买入 主营收入(亿元) 198.86 225.88 275.02 337.82 408.70 归母净利润(亿元) 12.66 14. 12 17.49 21.18 25.31 评级变动 维持 每股收益(元) 1.25 1.40 1.73 2.10 2.50 交易数据 每股净资产(元) 8.47 9.70 11.11 12.81 14.85 当前价格(元) 45.40 P/E 36.25 32.49 26.23 21.66 18.13 52周价格区间(元) 31.10-52.29 P/B 5.36 4.68 4.09 3.54 3.06 总市值(百万) 45880.40 资料来源:Wind,财信证券 流通市值(百万) 45768.50 总股本(万股) 101058.00 投资要点: 流通股(万股) 100811.70  事件:公司发布2023年年度报告及 2024年一季度报告。 涨跌幅比 ...
自营业务拖累业绩,与民生证券整合迈入实质性阶段
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 12:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][7] Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in Q1 2024 revenue, down 74.44% year-on-year, with a net loss of 2.19 billion yuan, primarily due to losses in proprietary trading [5][6] - The integration with Minsheng Securities has entered a substantial phase, which is expected to enhance the company's competitive position in the market [6][7] - The company is projected to improve its profitability over the next three years, with expected net profits of 8.39 billion yuan, 9.87 billion yuan, and 10.42 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 25.01%, 17.64%, and 5.63% [7][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.73 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year decline [5] - The company's total assets increased by 7% to 932.32 billion yuan by the end of Q1 2024, attributed to a leverage increase to 4.70x [6] - The financial investment scale reached 539.65 billion yuan, an increase of 8.56% compared to the end of 2023 [6] Business Segments - The net income from brokerage, investment banking, and asset management for Q1 2024 was 1.08 billion yuan, 0.78 billion yuan, and 1.43 billion yuan respectively, with asset management showing a significant increase of 346.88% due to the acquisition of Guolian Fund [6] - Proprietary trading and interest income both turned negative, with losses of 1.50 billion yuan and 0.27 billion yuan respectively [6] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the integration with Minsheng Securities will enhance the company's scale and competitive metrics, potentially improving its ranking in the industry by over 10 positions [6][7] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-book ratio of 1.9-2.1, with a target price range of 12.48 yuan to 13.80 yuan [7]
2023年年报及2024年一季报点评:业绩稳健增长,全线产品拥抱AI
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 08:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [9][10]. Core Views - The company achieved steady growth in its annual performance, with a revenue of 1.481 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 86 million yuan, up 108.96% year-on-year [19]. - The gross margin for the year was 94.77%, slightly down by 0.70 percentage points, attributed to a significant increase in AI server costs. The net profit margin improved by 1.86 percentage points to 7.31% [19]. - The company has increased its R&D investment, with the expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D being 48.81%, 11.16%, and 27.18%, respectively, showing a decrease in all three categories year-on-year [19]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.806 billion yuan, 2.197 billion yuan, and 2.665 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.94%, 21.67%, and 21.31% [10][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 119 million yuan, 150 million yuan, and 187 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 38.34%, 25.39%, and 25.01% [10][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.87 yuan, 1.09 yuan, and 1.36 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [10][11]. Recent Performance - In the first quarter of 2023, the company reported a revenue of 358 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.90% year-on-year, and a net profit of approximately 25.65 million yuan, up 22.99% year-on-year [5]. - The company has launched the "Wondershare Tianmu" multimedia model, integrating nearly a hundred audio and video capabilities, with plans to continuously incorporate AIGC capabilities into its product line [20].
2024年一季报点评:自营、投行、经纪拖累一季度业绩,出售AssetMark有望增厚未来业绩
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 08:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huatai Securities [2] Core Views - The first quarter performance of Huatai Securities was impacted by declines in proprietary trading, investment banking, and brokerage services, while asset management showed growth [5][7] - The sale of AssetMark is expected to enhance future performance, with an estimated gain of approximately $795.73 million if the transaction is completed by the end of 2024 [7][8] - The company aims to leverage technology and digital transformation to drive growth in wealth management and institutional services [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, Huatai Securities reported operating revenue of 6.105 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 32.11%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.291 billion yuan, down 29.39% [5] - The breakdown of Q1 revenue sources showed significant declines in proprietary trading (-58.90%) and investment banking (-26.06%), while asset management grew by 10.16% [5][6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) for Q1 was 1.37%, an increase of 0.49 percentage points year-on-year [5] Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for Huatai Securities are as follows: - 2024E: 37.959 billion yuan - 2025E: 39.657 billion yuan - 2026E: 42.267 billion yuan [9] - Net profit projections are: - 2024E: 13.277 billion yuan - 2025E: 14.977 billion yuan - 2026E: 16.166 billion yuan [9] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on a strategic transformation towards quantitative trading in fixed income, currencies, and commodities (FICC) and enhancing its digital capabilities [5][8] - The sale of AssetMark is part of a broader strategy to optimize asset allocation and maximize shareholder returns [7][8]
计算机行业点评:北美云厂商24年资本支出指引维持乐观,AI算力建设持续加速
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 06:00
证券研究报告 行业点评 计算机 北美云厂商 24 年资本支出指引维持乐观,AI 算力 建设持续加速 计算机行业点评 2024年 05月05日 2023A 2024E 2025E 重点股票 评级 EPS(元) PE(倍) EPS(元) PE(倍) EPS(元) PE(倍) 评级 同步大市 海光信息 0.54 145.83 0.72 109.77 1.04 76.55 增持 评级变动: 维持 浪潮信息 1.21 33.78 1.43 28.61 1.71 23.87 增持 资料来源:iFinD,财信证券 行业涨跌幅比较 投资要点: 计算机 沪深300  北美四大云厂商陆续发布24Q1的财报,合计资本支出同比大幅增加, 19% 对于 24 年全年的资本支出指引均维持乐观预期。Meta、Microsoft、 -1% Google和Amazon 24Q1的资本支出合计446亿元左右,同比增长36%, 环比增长3%。 -21%  Meta:24Q1资本支出为 67亿美元,同比增长-2%,环比增长-15%。 -41% 2023/05 2023/08 2023/11 2024/02 公司对于24年全年的资本支出指引从 2 ...
盈利能力大幅提升,新项目持续导入
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 05:00
2024 年 05 月 06 日 评级 买入 | --- | --- | |-----------------------|-------------------| | 评级变动 交易数据 | 维持 | | 当前价格(元) | 19 . 77 | | 52 周价格区间(元) | 12 . 48 - 20 . 00 | | 总市值(百万) | 16259 . 50 | | 流通市值(百万) | 15294 . 20 | | 总股本(万股) | 82243 . 30 | | 流通股(万股) | 77360 . 70 | | | | 涨跌幅比较 -12% 8% 28% 48% 68% 银轮股份 汽车零部件 2023-05 2023-08 2023-11 2024-02 2024-05 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------|-------|-------|-------| | % | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 银轮股份 | 9.11 | 31.80 | 46.99 | | 汽车零部件 | 2.46 | 15.10 | 12.85 | 杨甫 分析师 执业证书编号:S0 ...
外部因素扰动+新开及并购店较多,短期业绩承压
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 05:00
| --- | --- | |-------------------------------|-----------------| | | | | 2024 年 05 月 03 日 | | | 评级 | 买入 | | 交易数据 | 评级变动 维持 | | 当前价格(元) | 47.74 | | 52 周价格区间(元) | 44.19-85.80 | | 总市值(百万) | 6151.25 | | 流通市值(百万) | 5587.49 | | 总股本(万股) | 12884.90 | | 流通股(万股) | 11704.10 | | | | 涨跌幅比较 -28% -18% -8% 2% 12% 健之佳 医药商业 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------|---------|---------|---------|---------| | 2023-04 | 2023-07 | 2023-10 | 2024-01 | 2024-04 | | % | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 健之佳 | | 7.31 | -2.89 | -22.26 | | 医药商业 | ...
业绩暂时性承压,期待多品牌协同发力驱动增长
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 05:00
证券研究报告 公司点评 贝泰妮(300957.SZ) 美容护理| 化妆品 业绩暂时性承压,期待多品牌协同发力驱动增长 2024年 04月 30日 预测指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 评级 买入 主营收入(百万元) 5,013.87 5,522.17 6,703.38 7,838.81 9,016.98 评级变动 维持 归母净利润(百万元) 1,051.23 756.80 1,212.31 1,325.77 1,489.18 交易数据 每股收益(元) 2.48 1.79 2.86 3.13 3.52 当前价格(元) 57.16 每股净资产(元) 13.11 13.84 16.11 18.60 21.39 52周价格区间(元) 54.58-112.93 P/E 23.03 31.99 19.97 18.26 16.26 总市值(百万) 24213.00 P/B 4.36 4.13 3.55 3.07 2.67 流通市值(百万) 24213.00 资料来源:iFinD,财信证券 总股本(万股) 42360.00 流通股(万股) 42360.00 投资要点:  业绩概览:1)202 ...