晨会纪要（R3） 晨会纪要 2026 年 01 月 22 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 4116.94 | 0.08 | | 深证成指 | 14255.12 | 0.70 | | 创业板指 | 3295.52 | 0.54 | | 科创 50 | 1535.39 | 3.53 | | 北证 50 | 1519.75 | 0.14 | | 沪深 300 | 4723.07 | 0.09 | 一、财信研究观点 【债券研究】债券市场综述 二、重要财经资讯 【财经要闻】市场监管总局发布 2025 年综合整治"内卷式"竞争十大典 型案例 【财经要闻】财政部发布《关于全面推行财政电子票据跨省报销工作的 通知》 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 -5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 2025-01 2025-04 2025-07 2025-10 上证指数 沪深300 | 黄红卫 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号:S0530519010001 | | | huanghongwei@hnchasing.c ...

证券研究报告 行业点评（R3）- 其他电源设备Ⅱ 星环聚能完成开年最大核聚变融资，核聚变产业化 进程加速 投资要点： 风险提示：核电安全事故风险，可控核聚变发展不及预期。 相关报告 1 电力设备行业点评：Meta 签署核能供电协议， 看好核电发展 2026-01-16 2 电力设备行业点评：商业航天海上平台基建先 行，拥有码头和成熟海工经验的海工企业有望受 益 2026-01-14 % 1M 3M 12M 其他电源设备 Ⅱ 18.07 17.97 60.50 沪深 300 3.39 4.07 23.33 -8% 12% 32% 52% 72% 2025-01 2025-04 2025-07 2025-10 2026-01 其他电源设备Ⅱ 沪深300 袁玮志 分析师 执业证书编号:S0530522050002 yuanweizhi@hnchasing.com 3 电力设备行业点评：全球首台 30 兆瓦纯氢燃 气轮机实现纯氢发电，看好国产氢能装备和燃气 轮机发展 2026-01-06 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明 2026 年 01 月 21 日 评级 领先大市 评级变动： 维持 行业涨跌幅比较 事件：星环聚能完 ...

证券研究报告 行业点评（R3）- 无重点股票 其他电源设备Ⅱ 星环聚能完成开年最大核聚变融资，核聚变产业化 进程加速 投资要点： 风险提示：核电安全事故风险，可控核聚变发展不及预期。 2026 年 01 月 21 日 评级 领先大市 评级变动： 维持 行业涨跌幅比较 袁玮志 分析师 执业证书编号:S0530522050002 yuanweizhi@hnchasing.com 相关报告 1 电力设备行业点评：Meta 签署核能供电协议， 看好核电发展 2026-01-16 2 电力设备行业点评：商业航天海上平台基建先 行，拥有码头和成熟海工经验的海工企业有望受 益 2026-01-14 3 电力设备行业点评：全球首台 30 兆瓦纯氢燃 气轮机实现纯氢发电，看好国产氢能装备和燃气 轮机发展 2026-01-06 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明 % 1M 3M 12M 其他电源设备 Ⅱ 18.07 17.97 60.50 沪深 300 3.39 4.07 23.33 -8% 12% 32% 52% 72% 2025-01 2025-04 2025-07 2025-10 2026-01 其他电源设备Ⅱ 沪深300 | ...

晨会纪要（R3） 晨会纪要 2026 年 01 月 21 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 4113.65 | -0.01 | | 深证成指 | 14155.63 | -0.97 | | 创业板指 | 3277.98 | -1.79 | | 科创 50 | 1482.99 | -1.58 | | 北证 50 | 1517.60 | -2.00 | | 沪深 300 | 4718.88 | -0.33 | 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 -6% 4% 14% 24% 34% 2025-01 2025-04 2025-07 2025-10 上证指数 沪深300 | 黄红卫 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号:S0530519010001 | | | huanghongwei@hnchasing.com | | | 周舒鹏 | 研究助理 | zhoushupeng@hnchasing.com 晨会聚焦 | 一、财信研究观点 | | --- | | 【市场策略】科创方向调整，周期风格活跃 | | 【 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Synchronize with the Market" [3][7]. Core Viewpoints - The 2026 national subsidy policy for home appliances has been launched, with a focus on promoting low-carbon and smart products, while optimizing product structure [7]. - The subsidy scope has been reduced from 12 categories to 6, including refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, computers, and water heaters, with a subsidy of 15% on the selling price for energy-efficient products [7]. - The report highlights the rising costs of raw materials, particularly copper, which has increased by 39.18% year-on-year, prompting the industry to invest in aluminum applications for air conditioning [7]. - The robot vacuum cleaner industry continues to innovate, with a focus on deep cleaning capabilities, despite a decline in overall sales volume [7]. - The report suggests that the continuation of national subsidies will bolster consumer confidence, and leading players in the market are better positioned to pass on cost increases to consumers [7]. Summary by Sections - **Investment Highlights**: The national subsidy policy is expected to enhance the effectiveness of consumer incentives, with a focus on energy-efficient products [7]. - **Market Trends**: The report notes a significant increase in the sales of roller brush models, which have gained a market share of 41.20%, indicating a consumer preference for deep cleaning solutions [7]. - **Technological Developments**: Innovations in aluminum applications for air conditioning are being explored to mitigate the impact of rising copper prices, with industry leaders collaborating on standards and practices [7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Synchronize with the market" and the rating has been maintained [3][7]. Core Viewpoints - The 2026 national subsidy program for home appliances has been launched, with a focus on promoting low-carbon smart products and upgrading product structures. The subsidy scope has been optimized from 12 categories to 6, including refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, air conditioners, computers, and water heaters. The subsidy standard has been adjusted to provide a 15% subsidy for level 1 energy efficiency products, with a maximum subsidy of 1,500 yuan per product [7]. - The home appliance industry is increasing investment in aluminum application technology for air conditioning to address rising raw material costs, particularly copper prices, which have increased by 39.18% year-on-year [7]. - The robotic vacuum cleaner industry continues to innovate around embodied intelligence, with a focus on deep cleaning capabilities. Sales of roller brush models have increased by over 300% year-on-year, capturing 41.20% of the market share, as they effectively address consumer demands for deep cleaning [7]. - The continuation of national subsidies is expected to bolster consumer confidence in domestic demand. Major players in the industry are better positioned to pass on cost increases to consumers, and advancements in aluminum application technology are anticipated to alleviate cost pressures on companies [7]. Summary by Sections - **Investment Rating**: The industry is rated as "Synchronize with the market" [3]. - **National Subsidy Program**: The 2026 national subsidy program has been detailed, focusing on fewer product categories and specific subsidy standards [7]. - **Raw Material Costs**: The industry is responding to rising copper prices by investing in alternative materials like aluminum for air conditioning [7]. - **Robotic Vacuum Cleaners**: Innovations in the robotic vacuum cleaner sector are driven by the need for deep cleaning, with significant sales growth in roller brush models [7]. - **Consumer Confidence**: The national subsidy program is expected to enhance consumer confidence, with leading companies likely to manage cost pressures effectively [7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In line with the market" and the rating has been maintained [2][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the profitability pressure in the photovoltaic equipment sector remains significant, but there are signs of operational improvement [3][8]. - The commercial aerospace industry is experiencing a trend that is expected to benefit space photovoltaic technologies, driven by increased satellite launches and technological advancements [5][7]. - The report emphasizes the potential for new photovoltaic technologies, such as HJT and perovskite solar cells, to gain traction in the commercial aerospace sector [8]. Summary by Sections - **Industry Performance**: The photovoltaic equipment sector has shown a 12.22% increase over 1 month, 14.66% over 3 months, and 44.01% over 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index [6]. - **Commercial Aerospace Developments**: China has submitted applications for 203,000 satellites, marking the largest frequency and orbital resource application to date, which is expected to activate the entire satellite manufacturing, launching, and operation industry chain [7]. - **Investment Recommendations**: The report suggests focusing on equipment manufacturers, material suppliers, and producers with strong technological reserves in the context of accelerating commercialization in the aerospace industry [8].

Market Strategy - The market experienced a volume contraction rebound, with the electric grid equipment sector showing strength [6][7] - The overall market saw a slight increase, with the Wind All A Index rising by 0.41% to 6798.66 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.29% to 4114 points [6][7] - The electric grid equipment sector is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by a projected fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan by the State Grid Corporation during the 14th Five-Year Plan, representing a 40% increase from the previous plan [7][8] Economic Indicators - In 2025, China's total retail sales of consumer goods reached 501.202 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [14] - Fixed asset investment in China decreased by 3.8% year-on-year in 2025, totaling 485.186 billion yuan [16] - The GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2025 was reported at 4.5% year-on-year, with an annual GDP of 14,018.79 billion yuan, reflecting a 5.0% increase [18] Industry Dynamics - In 2025, the national pig slaughter volume reached 720 million heads, with a total pork production of 5.938 million tons, marking a 4.1% increase [31] - The milk production in China for 2025 was 4.091 million tons, showing a slight growth of 0.3% compared to the previous year [33] - The commercial housing loan down payment ratio has been adjusted to a minimum of 30% [36] Company Updates - Victory Technology announced an expected net profit of 4.16 billion to 4.56 billion yuan for 2025, with a fourth-quarter net profit median of 1.115 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 186.03% [38] - XGIMI Technology disclosed a development notification from a well-known domestic automotive manufacturer, indicating its subsidiary will supply in-car projection products [41] - OCO Group projected a net profit of 96 million to 110 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.53% to 91.96% [46]

Market Strategy - The expectation of a "slow bull" market is rising, focusing on performance fundamentals [5][10] - The A-share market shows a mixed performance with the overall index down by 0.17%, while the hard technology sector, represented by the Sci-Tech 50 index, increased by 1.35% [7][10] - Regulatory measures are being implemented to ensure a stable market environment, emphasizing rational and steady market operations [9][10] Company Dynamics - Sunshine Nuohong (688621.SH) expects a net profit growth of 7.69% to 29.23% for 2025, driven by intellectual property licensing and high-margin revenue sources [24] - Guolian Minsheng (601456.SH) anticipates a staggering net profit increase of approximately 406% for 2025, attributed to the acquisition of Minsheng Securities and the integration of its operations [26][27] - Southwest Securities (600369.SH) projects a net profit growth of 47% to 57% for 2025, benefiting from a recovering capital market and strong performance in wealth management and investment banking [28][29] - Muyuan Foods (002714.SZ) forecasts a decline in net profit by 12.20% to 17.79% for 2025, impacted by lower pork prices despite improved management practices [30][31] - Hangcha Group (603298.SH) expects a net profit increase of 4.52% to 14.48% for 2025, with a focus on expanding overseas revenue and optimizing product structure [32][33] Economic Dynamics - Oukeyi (688308.SH) anticipates a significant net profit increase of 67.53% to 91.96% for 2025, driven by the growth in high-end manufacturing and rising prices of raw materials [36][37] - The Hunan provincial government has introduced measures to ensure a stable economic start in 2026, focusing on consumption, project construction, and industrial efficiency [39][40]

Group 1 - The market is showing signs of strengthening, with increased thematic speculation and some sectors and stocks becoming "locally overheated," prompting regulatory measures to enhance counter-cyclical adjustments [4][7] - The A-share market has strong upward momentum due to factors such as increased household savings entering the market, improved performance from "anti-involution" efforts, and a new wave of technological industrial revolution [4][7] - The report maintains a "short-term trend-following" strategy, emphasizing the importance of focusing on performance fundamentals while being cautious of irrational speculation risks [4][7] Group 2 - Investment opportunities are identified in sectors driven by industrial trends such as semiconductor equipment, domestic AI computing, and humanoid robots [4][7] - Price-driven sectors such as storage chips, consumer electronics, non-ferrous metals, and chemicals are highlighted as potential areas for investment [4][7] - New consumption directions supported by favorable policies, including health, cultural tourism, sports, beauty care, IP economy, pet economy, and cultural entertainment, are recommended for attention [4][7] Group 3 - The report notes that the China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasizes timely counter-cyclical adjustments and strict enforcement against excessive speculation to promote stable market operations [4][7] - The People's Bank of China has introduced eight policy measures to support economic structural transformation, including lowering interest rates on various structural monetary policy tools [8][9] - December's social financing data exceeded expectations, with new social financing of 22,075 billion yuan, although the structure still requires optimization [10] Group 4 - December's import and export data showed positive performance, with exports increasing by 6.6% year-on-year, driven by seasonal demand and global AI investment trends [11] - The report indicates that there is a potential "rush to export" in the first quarter of 2026 due to adjustments in export tax rebate policies, although this may partially preempt demand in the second quarter [11] Group 5 - The report highlights the importance of monitoring employment performance and the independence of the Federal Reserve as key factors influencing the Fed's interest rate path [12][13] - The report concludes that recent counter-cyclical measures have laid a solid foundation for stable market performance moving forward, with a focus on sectors such as non-ferrous metals and technology growth [4][7]