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农林牧渔行业研究报告:猪价淡季支撑强,布局周期反转
Nanjing Securities· 2024-04-07 16:00
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" as the expected index growth relative to the CSI 300 index is projected to exceed 10% within the next six months [45]. Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig farming sector is experiencing a price increase driven by secondary fattening, although supply remains ample and consumer demand is weak, leading to a forecast of fluctuating prices in the short term [39][41]. - The white feather chicken sector is expected to see a cyclical reversal due to supply contraction and the recovery of pig prices, with recommendations for industry leaders that have full supply chain advantages [41]. - The seed industry is poised to benefit from the commercialization of genetically modified corn and soybeans, with companies that have strong technology reserves expected to lead [41]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming Data - The average price of pigs is reported at 15.04 CNY/kg, with a month-on-month increase of 1.62% [5][13]. - The total pig output in 2023 was 726 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 3.81% [5]. - The average price of piglets is 45.28 CNY/kg, reflecting a significant month-on-month increase of 16.50% [13]. - The report highlights that the current breeding sector valuation is at a historical low, suggesting potential investment opportunities in companies with clear output growth and strong performance capabilities, such as Wen's Food Group and Muyuan Foods [5][41]. White Feather Chicken Data - The average price of white feather chickens is 7.72 CNY/kg, showing a week-on-week decrease of 0.64% [7][13]. - The report notes an expansion of losses in white feather chicken farming, with a loss of 2.83 CNY per bird [7]. - Recommendations are made for industry leaders like Shennong Development, which have advantages in the entire supply chain and are leading the domestic replacement of chicken breeds [41]. Agricultural Products Data - The average price of corn is reported at 2.59 CNY/kg, with no change month-on-month but a year-on-year decrease of 13.09% [13]. - The average price of wheat is 2,759.39 CNY/ton, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1.29% [13]. - The report emphasizes the potential for companies in the seed industry to benefit from the first licenses for genetically modified crops, suggesting a focus on companies with strong genetic technology reserves [41].
北交所日报:指数连涨三日,成交萎缩创年内新低
Nanjing Securities· 2024-04-07 16:00
2024 年 4 月 1 日 指数连涨三日,成交萎缩创年内新低 | --- | --- | --- | |--------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ...
家用电器行业研究报告:4月空调排产持续高增,内外销均维持高景气
Nanjing Securities· 2024-04-07 16:00
南南南京京京证证证券券券股股股份 份份有有有限限限公公公司司司 2024年3月29日 NNNAAANNNJJJIIINNNGGG SSSEEECCCUUURRRIIITTTIIIEEESSS CCCOOO...LLLTTTDDD 行业研究报告 家用电器(801110) 4 月空调排产持续高增,内外销均维持高景气 行业评级: 推荐 内容提要 近一年该行业相对沪深 300 走势 AWE展现家电智能化最新成果,产品与场景不断融合。AWE2024全面展示 了家电与消费电子产业的创新成果,其中最主要的技术特征是智能化。 单品智能化加速渗透,同时叠加场景智能化融合,呈现出AI技术与物联 网技术的应用落地。随着生成式大模型如ChatGPT、Sora等颠覆式创新, 家电产业结合AI、算力算法、通讯技术将不断完善,迎来AI为家电赋能 的主动智能时代。 洗地机行业实施以价换量策略,行业价格将持续下探。洗地机自2020 年起已连续三年保持着高增长态势,2024年洗地机的市场规模有望赶超 扫地机器人,成为清洁电器赛道第一大细分品类。自2023年起,洗地机 厂商为了抢夺市场份额,产品价格一路下探。2024年,洗地机市场将正 ...
北交所日报:指数低开低走收跌,锂电产业链个股走强
Nanjing Securities· 2024-04-06 16:00
请务必阅读正文之后的重要法律声明 7 公司地址:中国·南京市江东中路 389 号 邮编:210019 公司总机:86-025-83367888 公司网址:www.njzq.com.cn 客服热线:95386 风险提示 资本市场大幅波动,北交所政策执行不及预期。 请务必阅读正文之后的重要法律声明 8 公司地址:中国·南京市江东中路 389 号 邮编:210019 公司总机:86-025-83367888 公司网址:www.njzq.com.cn 客服热线:95386 北交所日报 2023 年 4 月 2 日 北交所日报 2023 年 4 月 2 日 免责声明 本报告仅供南京证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")客户使用。本公司不因接收 人收到本报告而视其为客户。 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及 完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、评估及预测仅反映报告发布当日的观点和判 断。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。 同时,本报告所指的证券或投资标的的价格、价值及投资收入可能会波动。本公司不保证 本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本 ...
食品饮料:1-2月社零略超预期 预制菜行业进一步规范
Nanjing Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" [2] Core Viewpoints - In January and February 2024, China's retail sales slightly exceeded expectations, with a total retail sales amount of 81,307 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%. The retail sales of consumer goods excluding automobiles reached 74,194 billion yuan, growing by 5.2%. Notably, the catering revenue was 9,481 billion yuan, up by 12.5%, and the retail sales of tobacco and alcohol reached 1,265 billion yuan, increasing by 13.7% [5][15] - The white liquor industry reported a total production of 6.29 million kiloliters in 2023, a year-on-year decrease of 5.1%, while sales revenue and profit totaled 7,563 billion yuan and 2,328 billion yuan, respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.7% and 7.5% [5][15] - The pre-prepared dishes industry is undergoing further regulation, with six departments jointly issuing guidelines to clarify the scope of pre-prepared dishes and ensure food safety standards [5][17] Summary by Sections Retail Sales Performance - The total retail sales in January and February 2024 were 81,307 billion yuan, with a 5.5% year-on-year growth. Excluding automobiles, the growth was 5.2%. Catering and tobacco/alcohol sectors showed strong growth, with increases of 12.5% and 13.7%, respectively [5][15] White Liquor Industry Insights - The white liquor sector demonstrated stability during the Spring Festival, with leading brands showing resilience. The market has a renewed recognition of the certainty surrounding these top brands, and their valuations remain at historically low levels [5][15][17] Pre-prepared Dishes Regulation - The issuance of guidelines by six government departments aims to standardize the pre-prepared dishes industry, which is expected to benefit leading companies in the sector by enhancing their market share [5][17] Investment Recommendations - It is suggested to pay attention to leading brands such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, Jianshiyuan, and others, as they are expected to perform well in the current market environment [5][17]
社会服务行业周报:关注职业教育及出行链机会
Nanjing Securities· 2024-03-28 16:00
南南南京京京证证证券券券股股股份份份有有有限限限公公公司司司 2024年03月25日 NNNAAANNNJJJIIINNNGGG SSSEEECCCUUURRRIIITTTIIIEEESSS CCCOOO...LLLTTTDDD 行业研究报告 社会服务(801210) 社会服务行业[周T报ab:le关_M注a职in业In教fo育]及出行链机会 [Table_IndustryInfo] 行业评级: 推荐 近一年该行业相对沪深 300 走势 本周行情回顾:上周(20240318-20240322)沪深300下跌0.09%,社 会服务行业指数上涨2.60%,行业跑赢沪深300指数2.69个百分点, 在申万31个一级行业中排名第6。涨幅排名前五的行业为:传媒、农 林牧渔、综合、通信、计算机。子板块方面,上周社会服务行业各子板 块(申万二级行业)涨跌幅由高到低分别为:教育(+5.66%)、专业服 务(+3.02%)、体育Ⅱ(+1.79%)、旅游及景区(+1.63%)、酒店餐饮 (+0.15%)。本周个股涨幅前三名分别为(不包含北交所):东方时尚、 分析师声明: 作者具有中国证券业协会授予的证券投资 谱尼测试、美吉姆 ...
资讯周报(第729)期:【策略周视点】:市场冲高回落震荡偏强,仍有整固关注强势补涨
Nanjing Securities· 2024-03-24 16:00
南京证券股份有限公司 NANJING SECURITIES CO.LTD 2024 年 03 月 15 日 【策略周视点】:市场冲高回落震荡偏强,仍有整固关注强势补涨 周五,两市因前一交易日小幅调整早盘低开,并且此后指数一路震荡走低,创业板指跌幅一度逼近 2%, 沪指相对稳健,部分高股息板块及大盘成长股回调带领指数走低,午后市场短暂下探后,跌幅开始逐步收 窄,多头持续发力,买入有色、通信等板块,主要股指持续上行并翻红,且此后基本维持红盘震荡。截至 收盘,沪指上涨 0.54%,报 3054.64 点;深成指上涨 0.60%,报 9612.75 点;创业板指上涨 0.06%,报 1884.09 点;科创 50 指数上涨 0.47%,报 808.67 点;北证 50 指数上涨 3.42%,报 892.73 点。申万一级行业中, 有色、环保及通信板块涨幅居前;煤炭、家电及电力设备板块跌幅居前。 周度表现来看,主要宽基指数均录得上涨,创业板指及中证 1000 等成长及中小盘风格指数涨幅靠前, 上证 50 涨幅垫底。申万一级行业中,多数行业录得上涨,汽车、食品饮料、有色板块涨幅居前,煤炭、石 油石化、家电、银行等板块跌幅 ...
策略周报:A股估值全景变化(数据截至3月15日)
Nanjing Securities· 2024-03-21 16:00
Market Overview - The market attempted to break the sideways consolidation pattern, with an upward breakout at the beginning of the week, followed by slight adjustments in subsequent trading days. However, most adjustments were met with firm buying support, allowing the overall index to rise. The Shenzhen market indices recorded gains again [4] - Northbound capital continued to flow in, with two days of net inflows exceeding 10 billion. Southbound capital also maintained a net inflow trend. Global market performances varied, with US indices rebounding after previous declines, while European indices showed stronger upward trends, with Germany and France reaching historical highs [4] Valuation Changes - The overall A-share PE valuation increased from 13.68x on March 8 to 13.75x on March 15. Excluding banks and oil & gas, the PE rose from 18.93x to 19.14x, and the ChiNext PE valuation increased from 28.31x to 29.51x. The PB valuation for all A-shares rose from 1.379x to 1.390x during the same period [35][50] - The report indicates that the consumer style saw the largest increase in valuation, rising by 3.48%, while the stable style experienced the largest decline of 3.15% [17][37] Sector Performance - Among the CITIC first-level industries, the automotive and consumer services sectors recorded the highest gains, while coal and oil & gas sectors saw the largest declines. The automotive sector rose by 5.01%, and consumer services by 4.62% [4][34] - The report highlights that the basic chemical, light manufacturing, consumer services, and pharmaceutical sectors moved up one valuation tier, while steel, banking, and comprehensive finance sectors moved down one tier [25][51] Valuation Premiums - The valuation premium of the ChiNext relative to the main board increased from 2.45 on March 8 to 2.57 on March 15, which is below the average of 3.75 since the establishment of the ChiNext. The PB valuation premium also rose from 2.47 to 2.58, remaining below the average of 2.80 [29][39] Risk Premium Analysis - The A-share market risk premium ratio decreased from 2.355 on March 8 to 2.255 on March 15, indicating a rise in market risk appetite. The current premium level is above the mean of two standard deviations, suggesting a stronger risk preference but still in an extremely undervalued state [51][61]
食品饮料:春糖反馈略超预期 头部酒企展现韧性
Nanjing Securities· 2024-03-21 16:00
南南南京京京证证证券券券股股股份份 份有有有限限限公公公司司司 2024年03月18日 NNNAAANNNJJJIIINNNGGG SSSEEECCCUUURRR IIITTTIIIEEESSS CCCOOO...LLLTTTDDD 行业研究报告 食品饮料(801120) [Table_MainInfo] 春糖反馈略超预期 头部酒企展现韧性 行业评级: 推荐 [Table_IndustryInfo] 投资要点 近一年该行业相对沪深 300 走势 春糖反馈略超预期,头部酒企展现韧性。白酒方面,春糖调研反馈,春 节期间白酒消费总量呈现平稳态势,但结构分化加剧,高端和大众价格 带头部酒企展现较强韧性。今年春节白酒消费呈现以下特点:一是动销 更为密集,主要集中在节前一两周至春节期间,主要原因为今年春节涨 价预期较弱,消费者备货更加理性,同时,物流更加快捷便利也使得备 货周期有所缩短;二是行业进一步分化,份额进一步向名酒集中,消费 弱复苏背景下,名酒自点率较高,挤压中小酒企份额;三是消费者更加 分析师声明: 理性,更加看重性价比,消费者对于价格和品质的关注也使得大众价格 作者具有中国证券业协会授予的证券投资 咨询执 ...
传媒:GDC游戏开发者大会即将举办,持续关注AI应用端
Nanjing Securities· 2024-03-21 16:00
南南南京京京证证证券券券股股股份份 份有有有限限限公公公司司司 2024年03月18日 NNNAAANNNJJJIIINNNGGG SSSEEECCCUUURRRIIITTTIIIEEESSS CCCOOO...LLLTTTDDD 行业研究报告 传媒(801760) [Table_MainInfo ]G DC 游戏开发者大会即将举办,持续关注 AI 应用端 行业评级: 推荐 ➢ 市场行情回顾:本周申万传媒板块指数上涨 2.73%,沪深 300 指数下 [Table_IndustryInfo] 近一年该行业相对沪深 300 走势 跌 0.29%,相对收益 3.02%,板块表现强于大盘;涨幅前三的行业分 别是汽车(6.61%)、轻工制造(5.58%)、有色金属(5.28%)。本周游 戏板块上涨 4.42%,广告营销板块上涨 2.96%,数字媒体板块上涨 2.39%,影视院线板块上涨 2.90%;出版板块上涨 0.10%,电视广播板 块上涨3.75%。 ➢ GDC 游戏开发者大会即将举办,持续关注 AI 应用端。2024 年 3 月 18 日,为期 5 天的全球游戏开发者大会(GDC)在旧金山启幕,本次大会 将以A ...