工具行业专题：周期共振，成长可期 20260226 摘要 工具行业的市场空间与细分结构如何，区域分布对行业经营特征意味着什么？ 工具市场规模达千亿美元级别，增速与 GDP 相关，稳态下保持中个位数 增长。美国是最大单一市场，重点公司在美洲市场营收占比普遍超 60%，行业对美国市场敞口较高。 美国地产周期与工具需求高度相关。当前房贷利率高企，成屋销售筑底， 但随降息推进，地产景气有望修复，进而驱动工具需求释放。预计 26 年美联储有望降息，地产周期复苏可期。 工具行业下游以线下渠道为主，受渠道商库存周期影响。24 年下半年渠 道去库已进入尾声，25 年渠道库存增速平稳，库销比企稳回落。预计 26 年有望迎来地产周期与渠道库存周期共振的复苏阶段。 创科实业已成为全球工具龙头，泉峰控股和巨星科技分别在 OPE 和手工 具品类位列全球第二，市场份额持续提升。各公司通过"内生+外延" 实现规模扩张，龙头企业更早完成 OBM 转型。 锂电化是行业趋势，电动工具渗透率已达 70%-80%，OPE 渗透率较低， 提升空间大。锂电化推动竞争要素转向电池平台通用化，创科实业和泉 峰控股在电池平台布局上具有先发优势。 Q&A 当前 ...

| 股份代號: | 00669 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 創科實業有限公司 | | 日期 (日 / 月 / 年): | 24/01/2026 - 24/02/2026 | 格隆汇2月24日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年2月20日，创科实业(00669.HK)获The Capital Group Companies, Inc.在场内以每股均价119.3245港 元增持190.17万股，涉资约2.27亿港元。 增持后，The Capital Group Companies, Inc.最新持股数目为110,733,930股，持股比例由5.95%上升至6.05%。 | 表格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關事件的日期相 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 股份數目 | | | | (請參閱上述 * 註 有投票權股(日/月/年) 樓 | | | | | | | 份自分比 | | CS20260224E00004 | T ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，2月20日，The Capital Group Companies, Inc.增持创科实 业(00669)190.1705万股，每股作价119.3245港元，总金额约为2.27亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为 1.11亿股，最新持股比例为6.05%。 ...

香港联交所最新资料显示，2月20日，The Capital Group Companies,Inc.增持创科实业(00669)190.1705万 股，每股作价119.3245港元，总金额约为2.27亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约为1.11亿股，最新持股比 例为6.05%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，创科实业(00669)盘中涨超5%，截至发稿，涨3.84%，报124.3港元，成交额9.12亿港 元。 小摩此前发布研报称，电动工具行业正重新步入增长轨道，推动因素包括供应链及库存调整正常化、利 率周期更有利，以及公司自身的催化剂。针对创科实业，该行预期Milwaukee品牌收入增长将重新加 速，因总市场规模快速扩张。同时，在退出沃尔玛的HART品牌后，公司将重新聚焦消费业务，尤其是 家得宝的Ryobi品牌。 消息面上，美国最高法院宣布特朗普政府实施多项关税无效。随后特朗普将全球关税提高至15%，为期 150天。花旗认为，这项裁决对大多数中国出口商而言总体上属于利好消息，因为其美国客户现需支付 更高对等关税，并不是根据第122条款额外征收的15%关税，故在美国销售业务占更高的公司应该受益 更多。该行较看好创科实业。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Smoore International (00669.HK) experienced a significant decline in its stock price, dropping nearly 5% in the afternoon trading session [1] - As of the time of reporting, the stock price was down 3.79%, trading at HKD 12.18 [1] - The trading volume for the stock reached HKD 210 million [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Smoore International (00669) has experienced a decline of nearly 5%, currently trading at HKD 12.18, with a transaction volume of HKD 210 million, following the announcement from the National Tobacco Monopoly Administration regarding new regulations on the e-cigarette industry [1] Group 1: Regulatory Impact - The National Tobacco Monopoly Administration issued a notice to implement e-cigarette industry policies aimed at further promoting supply-demand balance [1] - The notice emphasizes the need to regulate corporate investment behavior, prohibiting new project investments and restricting capacity increases for relocated or resumed projects [1] - The administration aims to strengthen e-cigarette capacity regulation, promoting supply-side structural reforms based on market demand and ensuring fair and orderly management of production capacity [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The policy intends to establish annual production targets within the approved capacity limits, addressing and preventing risks associated with market disorderly competition [1] - The approach will involve a coordinated effort between effective market mechanisms and proactive government actions to maintain market equilibrium [1]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from the National Tobacco Monopoly Administration regarding the electronic cigarette industry has led to a decline in the stock price of Smoore International, indicating market concerns over regulatory impacts on the industry [1] Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The National Tobacco Monopoly Administration issued a notice to implement electronic cigarette industry policies aimed at further promoting supply-demand balance [1] - The notice emphasizes the need to regulate corporate investment behavior, prohibiting new project investments and restricting capacity increases for relocated or resumed projects [1] - The policy aims to strengthen capacity regulation in the electronic cigarette sector, focusing on market demand to guide supply-side structural reforms [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The administration plans to manage annual production scales within the approved capacity limits, setting annual production and sales targets for companies [1] - The approach is designed to mitigate and prevent risks associated with disorderly market competition [1] - The policy highlights the importance of balancing effective market mechanisms with proactive government involvement [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citic Lyon has upgraded the weighting of the Hong Kong market to overweight by 20%, citing reduced correlation with the Chinese market and allowing for differentiated allocation [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong IPO market is expected to surpass its performance in 2025, with total IPO and placement fundraising amounting to $82.3 billion last year [1] - The Hong Kong property market has recorded its first annual increase since 2021, which is anticipated to boost the stock market [1] Group 2: Earnings and Valuation - Earnings forecasts for Hong Kong companies are projected to turn positive starting July 2025, ranking second in the Asia-Pacific region after Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan [1] - The valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is attractive relative to regional peers, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.7 times, slightly below the 35-year average of 17.2 times [1] - The Hong Kong market is the furthest from its historical highs, indicating potential for catch-up [1] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - Preferred stocks include WH Group (00288), AIA (01299), Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388), Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016), CK Hutchison Holdings (00001), Techtronic Industries (00669), and Galaxy Entertainment Group (00027), all rated as "outperform" [1] - WH Group is highlighted as a stock with "high confidence" by the firm [1]

Group 1 - AIA Group (81299), JD Health (86618), and JD Group (89618) have the highest short-selling ratios at 100.00% each [1][2] - Alibaba (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and Xiaomi Group (01810) lead in short-selling amounts, with HKD 1.557 billion, HKD 1.404 billion, and HKD 1.183 billion respectively [1][2] - Zhaojin Mining (01818), OSL Group (00863), and Prada (01913) have the highest deviation values at 44.29%, 35.21%, and 34.72% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The top ten short-selling ratios include AIA Group (81299) at 100.00%, JD Health (86618) at 100.00%, and JD Group (89618) at 100.00% [2] - The top ten short-selling amounts show Alibaba (09988) leading with HKD 1.557 billion, followed by Tencent Holdings (00700) with HKD 1.404 billion [2] - The top ten deviation values highlight Zhaojin Mining (01818) with a deviation of 44.29%, indicating significant short-selling activity compared to its historical average [2][3]