证券研究报告 汽车智能化11月投资策略 Robotaxi迈入新阶段，继续看好智能化主线！ 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199793 2025年11月10日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 ◼ Q4智能化能起来吗？ ➢ 我们认为市场Q4会重新重视智能化的投资机会！1）自2023年AI行情以来，每一轮AI行情后期市场都会扩散至 智能化。因为智能化本质是AI在物理世界的重要应用，甚至我们认为应该是未来3-5年超预期的应用！从智能 体角度看，AI智能车已经达到了L4级能力（以Robotaxi/van为例）。2）Q4智能化催化剂不断！特斯拉V14版 本发布加速Robotaxi对外运营能力、小鹏11月科技日发布2026年Robotaxi量产计划更多细节、小马Q4计划新 增投放第七代无人车约500台且四季度有望毛利转正、文远继续加速出海进度、地平线HSD于11月正式上市等 等。2026年我们预计核心玩家均加速入局L4，是Robotaxi大年。 ◼ 和去年Q4的异同点？ ➢ 相同点都在于AI扩散，但不同点 ...

公司名稱: 福壽園國際集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01448 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | | 上月底結存 | | | 20,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.01 USD | | 200,000,000 | | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 20,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.01 USD | | 200,000,000 | | ...

Core Insights - Fushouyuan, a major player in the funeral industry, reported its first loss since going public, with a revenue decline of 44.5% and a net loss of 261 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [2][10] - The company's previous business model, characterized by high-priced burial plots and strong profitability, is now under scrutiny as it faces significant challenges [2][10] Historical Context - Founded in 1994, Fushouyuan was one of the first compliant private funeral service providers in China, rapidly expanding its operations across 19 provinces and over 40 cities [4] - After its successful IPO in 2013, the company maintained impressive financial performance, with gross margins consistently above 92%, peaking at 92.8% [4][6] Business Model and Profitability - The majority of Fushouyuan's profits came from its core business of operating burial plots, which are priced based on market demand rather than government regulations [6] - The average price of a burial plot increased from 111,000 yuan in 2021 to 119,400 yuan in 2023, with customized options reaching up to 500,000 yuan [6][10] Current Challenges - In the first half of 2025, the average price of burial plots plummeted nearly 50% to 63,400 yuan, with sales volume decreasing by 6.7% [10] - The decline in sales is attributed to three major trends: a shift towards more rational consumer spending due to economic pressures, changing societal attitudes towards funeral expenses, and increased regulatory scrutiny aimed at reducing excessive profits in the funeral industry [10][15] Societal and Regulatory Changes - The concept of "thick nurturing and thin burial" is gaining traction, with more individuals prioritizing care for the elderly during their lifetime over extravagant funeral expenses [12][13] - Recent policy proposals from the Ministry of Civil Affairs emphasize the need for non-profit operations in the funeral sector, signaling a shift away from profit-driven models [15][17] Industry Outlook - The losses experienced by Fushouyuan reflect broader changes within the funeral industry, indicating a need for a balance between commercial operations and public service [17] - The company must explore new directions for sustainable operations while maintaining service accessibility and adapting to evolving consumer preferences [17]

Core Viewpoint - The recent "Autumn Charity Eco-Burial" event at Liaoning Guanyin Mountain Fushou Garden successfully combined innovative memorial methods with ecological burial practices, creating a warm emotional space for supporters of eco-burials [1][5]. Group 1: Event Highlights - The event commenced with soothing music and included a ceremony where the deputy general manager of Liaoning Guanyin Mountain Fushou Garden presented "Public Welfare Practitioner" certificates to family representatives, honoring their support for green funerals [3]. - The memorial segment featured rituals such as "fragrant offerings" and "tea offerings," conveying deep respect for the deceased [3]. - Innovative forms like "digital memorials" and "cloud-based remembrance" were utilized, leveraging technology to provide families with unique emotional comfort [3]. Group 2: Future Directions - The charity eco-burial event integrated ecological concepts, humanistic care, and modern technology, offering families a platform for emotional support while promoting a new trend in green funerals [5]. - A representative from Liaoning Guanyin Mountain Fushou Garden indicated that the organization will continue to explore new paths in funeral services, aiming to return life to nature in a more meaningful way and contribute to ecological civilization [5].

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 福壽園國際集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01448 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | 20,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.01 | USD | | 200,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | 20,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.01 | USD | | 200,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： USD ...

福壽園國際集團有限公司 於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司 ) (股份代號: 1448) 通 知 信 函 各位非登記股東 （附註 1 ） ： 福壽園國際集團有限公司（「本公司」） – 2025 中期報告（「本次公司通訊文件」）之發佈通知 本公司的本次公司通訊文件備有中、英文版本，並已上載於香港聯合交易所有限公司（「 香港交易所」）網站 （www.hkexnews.hk）及本公司網站（www.fsygroup.com），歡迎瀏覽。 閣下若因任何理由以致在收取或接收載於本公司網 址上的本次公司通訊文件出現困難， 閣下可將要求（註明 閣下的姓名、地址及要求）以電郵方式發送到本公司之電郵地 址 fsy.ecom@computershare.com.hk 或以書面方式郵寄致本公司的香港股份過戶登記處（「股份過戶處」）香港中央證券登記有 限公司，地址為香港灣仔皇后大道東 183 號合和中心 17M 樓。本公司將於接到 閣下通知後，盡快向 閣下免費發送有關本 次公司通訊文件的印刷本。 以電子方式發布公司通訊之安排 若 閣下希望收取公司通訊之印刷版，請填妥本函附上之回條並交回股份過戶處，地址為香港灣仔皇后大道東 183 號合和 中 ...

( 於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司 ) 福壽園國際集團有限公司 如果本公司沒有收到 閣下的有效電子郵件地址，直至股份過戶處收到 閣下有效的電子郵件地址前， 閣下將(i)無法收到 任何有關發佈公司通訊的通知；及(ii)需要主動查看本公司網站和披露易網站以留意公司通訊的發佈。 (股份代號: 1448) 通 知 信 函 各位登記股東： 福壽園國際集團有限公司（「本公司」） – 2025 中期報告（「本次公司通訊文件」）之發佈通知 本公司的本次公司通訊文件備有中、英文版本，並已上載於香港聯合交易所有限公司（「 香港交易所」）網站 （www.hkexnews.hk）及本公司網站（www.fsygroup.com），歡迎瀏覽。 閣下若因任何理由以致在收取或接收載於本公司網 址上的本次公司通訊文件出現困難， 閣下可將要求（註明 閣下的姓名、地址及要求）以電郵方式發送到本公司之電郵地 址 fsy.ecom@computershare.com.hk 或以書面方式郵寄致本公司的香港股份過戶登記處（「股份過戶處」）香港中央證券登記有 限公司，地址為香港灣仔皇后大道東 183 號合和中心 17M 樓。本公司將於接到 閣下通知後，盡快向 ...

Financial Performance - For the six months ending June 30, 2025, the company recorded revenue of RMB 610.9 million, with a loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 261.4 million[13]. - Total revenue for the period reached RMB 610.9 million, a decrease of approximately 44.5% compared to the same period last year[43]. - Revenue decreased by RMB 489.1 million or 44.5%, from RMB 1,100.0 million in the same period last year to RMB 610.9 million[44]. - Cemetery services accounted for 78.1% of total revenue, generating RMB 477.4 million, down from RMB 906.1 million or 82.4% in the previous year[44]. - The company reported a segment loss of RMB 229,249,000 for the six months ended June 30, 2025, compared to a profit of RMB 512,237,000 in the same period of 2024[142]. - The company reported a net loss attributable to owners of RMB 5,920,055 thousand for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to a loss of RMB 263,873 thousand for the year ended December 31, 2024[129]. - The company incurred a loss before tax of RMB 232,370 thousand for the six months ended June 30, 2025, compared to a profit of RMB 542,737 thousand for the same period in 2024[132]. - The total comprehensive loss for the six months ended June 30, 2025, was RMB 264,287,000, compared to total comprehensive income of RMB 363,135,000 for the same period in 2024[123]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The board proposed an interim dividend of HKD 0.07 per share, reflecting the company's stable and sustainable dividend policy[13]. - The interim dividend declared for the six months ended June 30, 2025, is HKD 0.07 per share, an increase from HKD 0.0638 per share in the same period of 2024[113]. - The company paid dividends of RMB 600,133 thousand during the reporting period[129]. Corporate Social Responsibility and Recognition - The company was recognized as a "Responsible Brand of the Year" at the 14th Public Welfare Festival, highlighting its commitment to corporate social responsibility[14]. - The company actively participates in public welfare projects, including support for organ donation awareness activities, demonstrating its social responsibility[17]. - The company has received recognition for its contributions to public welfare and brand development, including awards for responsibility and excellence in media[42]. Market and Industry Trends - The urbanization rate in China is projected to reach 67.0% by the end of 2024, an increase of 0.84 percentage points from 2023, with over 10 million rural residents moving to urban areas annually[23]. - By the end of 2024, the population aged 60 and above is expected to reach 310.31 million, accounting for 22.0% of the total population, an increase of 1,334 million from 2023[23]. - The cremation rate in China reached 58.8% in 2021, with 5.966 million bodies cremated, indicating a growing demand for funeral services[23]. Technological Innovation and Digital Transformation - The company has developed a digital life service system, incorporating features like digital memorial halls and AI remembrance, enhancing service quality[16]. - In April 2024, the company launched innovative services including life aesthetics products and virtual community plans, promoting digital transformation in the funeral industry[16]. - The company is actively promoting the integration of technology and digital transformation in funeral services to enhance service quality and customer experience[30]. - The company aims to transform from a funeral service provider to a life technology service provider, focusing on high-quality life services and technological memorial services[96]. Operational Efficiency and Cost Management - Operating expenses increased by RMB 252.3 million or 42.9%, primarily due to asset impairment and bad debt provisions totaling RMB 206.0 million[62]. - Employee costs decreased by RMB 75.3 million or 29.5%, attributed to a decline in sales revenue from cemetery and funeral services[62]. - Material and supply consumption decreased by approximately RMB 22.1 million or 28.6%, mainly due to a reduction in sales volume of cemetery and funeral services[63]. - Marketing and sales channel costs decreased by RMB 3.7 million or 17.9%, driven by a decline in service sales and tighter control over marketing expenses[65]. Future Outlook and Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to actively expand and integrate resources in the highly fragmented Chinese funeral industry to increase market share[94]. - The company is exploring potential acquisitions to enhance its service offerings, with a focus on companies in the same industry[192]. - New product development initiatives are expected to launch by Q3 2024, aiming to capture an additional 5% market share[189]. - Future guidance indicates a projected revenue growth of 12% for the next quarter, with an expected total of HKD 560 million[191]. Financial Position and Assets - As of June 30, 2025, the company's cash and cash equivalents amounted to RMB 1,622.7 million, down from RMB 2,056.6 million as of December 31, 2024[79]. - Non-current assets as of June 30, 2025, amounted to RMB 4,390,160,000, a decrease from RMB 4,624,213,000 as of December 31, 2024[126]. - Current assets as of June 30, 2025, were RMB 2,848,119,000, down from RMB 3,556,984,000 as of December 31, 2024[126]. - Total equity as of June 30, 2025, was RMB 4,865,631,000, down from RMB 6,155,828,000 as of December 31, 2024[127]. Employee and Management Information - As of June 30, 2025, the company has 1,998 full-time employees, down from 2,198 as of December 31, 2024[89]. - The remuneration for directors was RMB 4,440,000 for the six months ended June 30, 2025, compared to RMB 4,320,000 for the same period in 2024[186]. - The total remuneration for directors and key management personnel was RMB 4,451,000 for the six months ended June 30, 2025, down from RMB 5,414,000 in the previous year[186].

Group 1 - In 2024, China's death toll exceeded the birth rate by 1.39 million, leading to a significant decline in the domestic funeral industry, which was previously considered a stable business [1][3] - Fushouyuan, known as the "first stock" in the funeral industry, reported a net loss of 261 million yuan in the first half of the year, marking its first loss since its listing in 2013 [1][3] - Major funeral companies in China experienced a 19.3% drop in total revenue, indicating a broader trend of declining profitability in the industry despite increasing death rates [1][3] Group 2 - The global funeral service market is projected to exceed $93 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate of over 5%, highlighting the potential for international expansion [4] - China plays a significant role in the global funeral supply chain, with 90% of coffins sold in Japan sourced from China, particularly from Caoxian County [4][6] - Caoxian's coffin production benefits from low costs and high demand, with an annual export of over 1 million coffins, making it a dominant player in the Japanese market [6][10] Group 3 - The tombstone industry in Huian, Fujian, dominates the Japanese market, accounting for 90% of its market share, with an annual output value exceeding 2 billion yuan [10][11] - Huian's success is attributed to its abundant granite resources and efficient shipping routes, allowing for competitive pricing compared to local Japanese products [12][10] - The demand for affordable and high-quality tombstones has increased in Japan due to local production challenges, further benefiting Huian's market position [11][12] Group 4 - The paper money and paper offerings industry in Mibeizhuang, Hebei, controls 90% of the global market, with an annual output value exceeding 2 billion yuan [17][19] - Mibeizhuang has adapted its products for international markets, creating versions of paper money in foreign currencies, which has increased their appeal [19][23] - The rise of social media has popularized these products, transforming them into cultural symbols beyond traditional funeral practices [26][29] Group 5 - The Chinese funeral industry is facing challenges in international markets, particularly in Japan, where changing demographics and funeral practices are reducing demand for traditional products [32][33] - In Europe and the U.S., logistical challenges and cultural differences complicate market entry, with high shipping costs and a preference for comprehensive service over product pricing [33][35] - The U.S. market is particularly difficult due to its fragmented nature, with a majority of funeral homes being family-owned and a high concentration of market share among a few large companies [35][33] Group 6 - The pet funeral service market is emerging as a new opportunity, with significant growth projected, as companies begin to offer pet coffins and related services [38][39] - Innovations in eco-friendly funeral products, such as biodegradable paper money and sustainable coffin materials, are gaining traction in response to environmental concerns [41][43] - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) models are being adopted to bypass traditional distribution channels, allowing for greater market penetration and brand control [46][47]

Core Viewpoint - The funeral industry, particularly represented by Fushouyuan, is experiencing a significant downturn, with average grave prices halving to 63,400 yuan, indicating the end of a highly profitable era in the sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Fushouyuan's average grave sales price has dropped by 47.5% year-on-year, marking a substantial decline in revenue [1] - The company reported its first loss since going public in its mid-2025 report, highlighting a drastic shift in financial performance [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The once lucrative funeral industry, characterized by high profit margins (over 80% at one point), is now facing challenges as both grave and land sales decline [1] - The average price of graves, which previously exceeded 100,000 yuan for less than half a square meter, has significantly decreased, reflecting changing market dynamics [1]