股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 國聯民生證券股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月8日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01456 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 442,640,000 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 442,640,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 442,640,000 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 442,640,000 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tian Di Online (002995.SZ) reported a decline in revenue and increased net losses for the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year, indicating ongoing financial challenges for the company [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved operating revenue of 6.54 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 9.86% year-on-year [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -334.36 million yuan, worsening from -223.79 million yuan in the same period last year, reflecting a decline of 49.41% [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -341.52 million yuan, compared to -233.02 million yuan in the previous year, marking a decrease of 46.57% [1][2]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 2.44 million yuan, a significant improvement from -85.96 million yuan in the same period last year, representing a change of 102.84% [1][2]. 2024 Financial Overview - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 1.34 billion yuan, down 27.49% from 1.84 billion yuan in 2023 [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was -675.44 million yuan, a decline of 158.76% from -261.03 million yuan in 2023 [3]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -674.43 million yuan, compared to -446.43 million yuan in the previous year, indicating a decrease of 51.07% [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was -127.92 million yuan, a significant decline from 63.52 million yuan in 2023, reflecting a change of -301.40% [3]. Company Background - Tian Di Online was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on August 5, 2020, with an initial public offering of 16.17 million shares, representing 25% of the total shares post-issuance, at a price of 33.84 yuan per share [3]. - The total amount raised during the IPO was 547.19 million yuan, with a net amount of 480.95 million yuan intended for various projects including integrated marketing services and research and development [4].

Core Viewpoint - The securities industry is experiencing a severe "price war" in the margin financing and securities lending business, with average financing rates plummeting from a historical high of 8.35% to a range of 5%-5.5%, and some brokers offering rates below 4%, which is approaching their comprehensive funding cost line. Despite this, the overall scale of margin financing is steadily increasing, highlighting a significant disconnect between volume growth and price reduction, representing a typical symptom of the industry's transformation pains [1][2]. Group 1: Current Challenges - The financing rates in the securities industry are on a downward trend, with rates expected to continue decreasing from 8.35% in 2015 to 5%-5.5% by 2024, and some firms offering rates below 4% to high-net-worth clients, intensifying competition [2][3]. - The price war is rooted in structural contradictions and homogeneous competition, with 150 securities firms in the market, leading to fierce resource competition and forcing firms to rely on price cuts to gain market share [3]. - The mismatch between the growth in margin financing balance, which reached 18,505 billion with a year-on-year increase of 24.95%, and the revenue from financing interest, which only grew by 10%, indicates the limitations of the price war [3]. Group 2: Negative Impacts - The price war is hindering industry innovation, as firms are focusing resources on traditional business lines rather than exploring new models, which limits their ability to meet the diverse needs of the real economy [4][5]. - The competitive environment has led to a degradation of service capabilities, with the value of professional services being underestimated and talent retention becoming increasingly difficult due to declining profit margins [6]. - The adverse effects of the price war may result in a misallocation of social economic resources, undermining the financial sector's ability to serve the real economy effectively [7]. Group 3: Systemic Risks - The low financing rate environment is likely to amplify market volatility, as high leverage can lead to forced liquidations during market downturns, negatively impacting liquidity [8]. - The interconnectedness of risks among financial institutions is heightened, as difficulties in short-term financing can lead to asset sell-offs by securities firms, triggering broader market declines [8]. Group 4: Policy and Structural Solutions - The central government has initiated a series of anti-involution policies to regulate market order, emphasizing the need for industry self-discipline and the prevention of "involutionary" competition [11][12]. - A shift in development philosophy is necessary, moving from a focus on scale to value creation, with a comprehensive evaluation system that prioritizes long-term indicators such as customer satisfaction and innovation investment [13]. - Establishing a multi-tiered competitive system based on professional capabilities is essential, allowing firms to transition from price competition to value creation [14]. Group 5: Technological and Regulatory Enhancements - Digital transformation is crucial for reconstructing the business value chain, with firms deploying AI systems and enhancing risk management through big data [15]. - Regulatory guidance and industry self-discipline must work in tandem to establish a healthy market ecosystem, including reasonable interest rate determination and the prohibition of malicious competition [16]. Conclusion - To overcome the challenges posed by the "involutionary" competition in the securities industry, a balance between market efficiency and industry order is required, alongside a strategic focus on long-term value creation [17].

日前，国联民生（601456）证券发布《关于投资银行业务整合及客户与业务迁移的公告》，宣告由全资 子公司国联民生证券承销保荐有限公司承继原民生证券投资银行业务并作为后续投资银行业务开展主 体，原民生证券在沪深北交易所和全国股转系统的240余单在审、待发行、挂牌、持续督导项目，以及 所有其他在辅导、债券承销、受托管理、财务顾问等项目，由国联民生承销保荐公司承继权利义务并提 供相关服务。 整合工作无缝对接，效果良好 稳步推进优势互补，强强联合未来可期 不难看出的是，国联民生证券高度重视并稳步推进投行业务这一优势业务的整合工作。4月下旬，其投 行子公司完成更名，由原来的"华英证券"变为"国联民生承销保荐"，注册地也在今年3月由江苏省无锡 市迁至上海市。 在管理团队配置方面，国联民生承销保荐在强强联合的基础上更是凸显战略发展考量，原国联证券研究 所所长徐春出任国联民生承销保荐董事长，其卓越的投研资历有助于从策略端精确指引投行业务发展方 向以高度契合国家及行业发展趋势；原民生证券投行事业部总裁张明举出任国联民生承销保荐公司总 裁，执掌国联民生承销保荐公司具体投行业务，其资深的投行实务经历有助于从执行端切实把控投行业 务 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the growth level of the industry is expected to exceed that of the CSI 300 index over the next six months [3][38]. Core Views - The A-share margin trading balance has reached a new high of 2.44 trillion yuan, reflecting a robust demand in the margin trading market. The financing balance accounts for 2.54% of the circulating market value, and the financing buy-in amount represents 11.80% of the A-share trading volume [2]. - The current PB valuation of the brokerage sector is 1.42 times, which is near the 40th percentile of 2020, indicating a historical low [1]. - Regulatory encouragement for industry consolidation is evident, with mergers and acquisitions seen as effective means for brokerages to achieve external growth and enhance competitiveness [3][6]. Summary by Sections Brokerage Weekly Data Tracking - The average daily trading volume for A-shares was 23,132 billion yuan, down 8.13% week-on-week, with a daily turnover rate of 3.78%, a decrease of 0.48 percentage points [11]. - As of September 26, 2025, the total equity financing scale reached 876.615 billion yuan, with IPOs contributing 75 billion yuan and additional financing at 757.9 billion yuan [13]. Insurance Weekly Data Tracking - The total insurance premium income for July 2025 was 42,085.29 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.75%. The life insurance sector accounted for 33,202.78 billion yuan, up 7.53% year-on-year [27]. - The insurance sector is seeing a surge in new product launches, with 993 life insurance products and 652 annuity products introduced this year, indicating a shift towards more competitive offerings [7]. Industry Dynamics - Recent announcements from regulatory bodies support the development of bond repurchase business for foreign investors, enhancing the attractiveness of RMB-denominated bonds [31]. - Measures to foster the growth of digital economy innovation enterprises have been introduced, aiming to accelerate the listing and financing of high-quality companies in this sector [32].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Chinese brokerage stocks in the Hong Kong market have surged significantly, driven by the central bank's announcement of a more accommodative monetary policy [1] - Huatai Securities saw a nearly 18% increase, while Citic Securities and GF Securities rose over 14% [1][2] - Other notable gains include Dongfang Securities and Zhongzhou Securities, both up over 12%, and China Galaxy, CICC, Guolian Minsheng, and Xingsheng International, all rising over 10% [1][2] Group 2 - The central bank's meeting emphasized the need to implement a moderately accommodative monetary policy, encouraging financial institutions to increase credit supply [1] - The policy aims to effectively utilize securities, fund, and insurance company swap facilities, as well as stock repurchase and refinancing [1]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report from Guolian Minsheng Securities indicates that the domestic sales of air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines are expected to grow by +5%, -1%, and remain flat year-on-year in Q3 2025, respectively, showing a decrease compared to Q2 [1] - The online retail sales of robotic vacuum cleaners are projected to increase by +73% year-on-year in July-August 2025, driven by provincial subsidies and the introduction of new products [3] - The overall performance of the white goods sector is expected to show steady growth in domestic sales, while external sales are showing marginal improvement, particularly for leading brands like Haier [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The average selling prices for air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines in July-August 2025 are expected to change by -1%, +1%, and +2% year-on-year, indicating a stable pricing environment [1] - The global market for robotic vacuum cleaners is experiencing significant growth, attributed to the combination of high-end Chinese brands lowering prices and consumers upgrading their products [3] - The TV market is seeing a decline in sales, with internal and external volumes down by -7% and -6% year-on-year, but there is an improvement in product structure with a rise in high-end MiniLED products [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The resilience of leading brands is expected to exceed expectations, with a projected return to mid-single-digit growth rates after short-term fluctuations [5] - The cleaning appliance sector is anticipated to achieve high double-digit revenue growth in Q3 2025, supported by the performance of leading companies like Roborock and Ecovacs [3] - The overall valuation of the sector has declined to near historical lows, with expectations for improved shareholder returns and increased dividend rates [5] Group 4: Recommended Stocks - The report recommends continued investment in white goods companies such as Haier Smart Home, Midea Group, Hisense Home Appliances, and Gree Electric, as well as black goods company Hisense Visual and cleaning appliance companies Roborock and Ecovacs [6]

Core Viewpoint - Guolian Minsheng (601456) actively responds to the "Eight Policies for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board" and "Six Policies for Mergers and Acquisitions," seizing opportunities in IPOs and mergers and acquisitions through a series of pragmatic measures and strategic layouts in the capital market [1] Group 1: IPO Strategy - The company is deepening the segmentation of the investment banking industry, focusing on key industries supported by national strategies to enhance service competitiveness for niche industry companies [1] - There is an emphasis on understanding and uncovering the investment value of enterprises to supply high-quality investment targets to the capital market [1] Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions - A dedicated department has been established, along with a company-wide platform for integrating merger opportunities, to systematically compile and organize various merger resources and business opportunities [1] - The aim is to achieve efficient information flow and sharing within the organization [1] Group 3: Focus on Unprofitable Enterprises - The company plans to construct a new value assessment system for project selection and evaluation, shifting focus from traditional profit indicators to a deep exploration of "hard technology" attributes and long-term development potential [1] - There is a commitment to thoroughly analyze the technological barriers and commercialization paths of enterprises, using detailed data to substantiate growth logic while repeatedly verifying and clarifying risks to avoid the entry of "pseudo-technology" companies into the market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board is transforming the investment banking ecosystem, presenting greater challenges and higher requirements for business systems and professionals in the industry [2] Group 1: Investment Banking Transformation - Under the deepening of the registration system, the role of investment banks is shifting from "channel intermediaries" to "value partners," focusing on issuer positioning, project selection standards, and pricing system maturity as core issues of industry transformation [2] - Investment banks need to enhance three capabilities: value discovery and project selection, comprehensive service capability throughout the lifecycle, and pricing and sales capability in a new model of issuance pricing [2] Group 2: Future Plans - The company plans to continue focusing on "industrial investment banking" and "technology investment banking" as dual core positions, aiming to deepen regional and industry expertise while enhancing its value in serving technological innovation [2]

Core Viewpoint - The merger between Xiangcai Co. and Dazhihui marks a significant advancement in the integration of the securities and fintech sectors, highlighting the shift towards strategic synergy through various paths such as regional complementarity and technological integration [2][3]. Group 1: Merger Details - Xiangcai Co. plans to absorb Dazhihui through a share swap and raise 8 billion yuan, focusing on the fintech sector [3]. - Post-merger, the surviving company will expand its services to include domestic and international securities information services, big data, and data engineering services [3]. - The raised funds will be allocated to projects such as financial modeling, digital securities construction, big data engineering, and integrated wealth management [3]. Group 2: Market Context - The pace of mergers and acquisitions in the brokerage industry has accelerated, with recent approvals for major transactions such as Guosen Securities acquiring Wanhua Securities and Western Securities completing the acquisition of Guorong Securities [5]. - The integration of Guolian Minsheng is also progressing, with the migration of Minsheng Securities' investment banking projects to Guolian Minsheng Securities [5]. Group 3: Strategic Paths of Integration - The current mergers reflect a shift from simple scale expansion to a more diversified and precise approach, categorized into three main paths: cross-regional expansion, strengthening regional market control, and enhancing specific business capabilities [6]. - For instance, the merger of Western Securities and Guorong Securities exemplifies effective regional complementarity, enhancing competitive strength through combined resources and market presence [6]. - The integration of Minsheng Securities into Guolian Minsheng has helped establish a comprehensive securities financial holding group structure, showcasing the benefits of combining distinct business strengths [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The long-term success of the merged entities will require time to evaluate, but integration is seen as a necessary step for high-quality development in the brokerage industry [7]. - The demand for differentiation among smaller brokerages and the ambition of leading firms to become international investment banks are expected to drive further mergers, leading to a reshaping of the competitive landscape in China's securities industry [7].