Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - In Q2 2025, global gold demand increased by 102 tons to 1079 tons, with gold ETF demand rising by 178 tons to 171 tons [1][2] - Total gold supply in Q2 2025 grew by 3% year-on-year, reaching 1249 tons, primarily due to record-high mining output of 909 tons [1][15] - Investment demand for gold surged by 78% year-on-year to 477.2 tons, driven largely by significant inflows into gold ETFs [4][38] Supply Summary - Q2 2025 gold supply reached 1249 tons, a 3% increase year-on-year, with mining output at a record 909 tons [1][15] - Gold recycling in Q2 2025 rose by 4% to 347 tons, maintaining a steady supply despite fluctuations in gold prices [23][25] Demand Summary - Total gold demand in Q2 2025 was 1079 tons, a 10% increase year-on-year but a 17% decrease quarter-on-quarter [2][29] - Jewelry demand fell by 14% year-on-year to 341 tons, marking the lowest level since Q3 2020 [3][31] - Investment demand for gold bars and coins grew by 11% year-on-year to 307 tons, indicating strong investor interest [7][42] - Central bank demand for gold remained robust at 166.5 tons, despite a 21% year-on-year decline [8][50] Jewelry Demand Insights - Q2 2025 saw a 20% year-on-year decline in gold jewelry demand in China, totaling 69 tons, reflecting ongoing economic challenges [3][33] - In India, gold jewelry consumption decreased by 17% to 89 tons, with the first half of 2025 showing the second-lowest demand since 2000 [3][34] Investment Demand Insights - Gold ETF holdings increased by 170 tons in Q2 2025, contrasting with a decrease of 7 tons in the same period last year [4][41] - North American gold ETFs saw a significant increase of 73 tons, while Asian ETFs also reported strong demand [4][41] Central Bank Demand Insights - Central banks collectively purchased 166.5 tons of gold in Q2 2025, a decrease from previous quarters but still above historical averages [8][50] - Poland emerged as the largest buyer, adding 19 tons to its reserves, despite a reduction from earlier purchases [52][51] Industrial Demand Insights - Industrial gold demand slightly decreased by 2% year-on-year to 79 tons, influenced by ongoing trade uncertainties and rising gold prices [9][56] - Demand for gold in electronics fell by 2% to 66 tons, with challenges stemming from tariffs and export restrictions [9][57]

Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks opened lower but closed higher, with all three major indices ending in the green. The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.92% to 24,733.45 points, with a total turnover of HKD 234.68 billion [1] - The overall upward trend in Hong Kong stocks is considered healthy, shifting from previous risk-averse sentiment to improvements in fundamentals and positive policy expectations [1] Blue Chip Performance - New Oriental-S (02057) led blue-chip stocks, rising by 6.49% to HKD 36.58, contributing 2.7 points to the Hang Seng Index. Its revenue for the fourth fiscal quarter grew by 9.4% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [2] - Other notable blue-chip performances included Zhongsheng Holdings (00881) up 5.59%, Lenovo Group (00992) up 4.95%, while Xinyi Glass (00868) fell by 5.87% [2] Sector Highlights - Gold stocks performed strongly due to lower-than-expected U.S. non-farm payroll data, with Shandong Gold (01787) rising by 10.7% and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) up 8.89% [3] - Semiconductor stocks also saw significant gains, with Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) up 8.69% and Shanghai Fudan (01385) up 5.66% [4] Stablecoin Sector - The stablecoin sector continued to decline, with Yunfeng Financial (00376) down 6.91% and Guotai Junan International (01788) down 6.48%. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority's new regulations on stablecoins are expected to delay the issuance of licenses until early 2026 [5][6] Notable Stock Movements - InnoCare Pharma (02577) surged by 30.47% after announcing a partnership with NVIDIA to promote a new power architecture for AI data centers [7] - Huajian Medical (01931) rose by 20.7% following a strategic cooperation agreement with BGI [8] - China Resources Medical (01515) fell by 15.58% due to a profit warning, expecting a decline of 20% to 25% in profit for the upcoming six months [9]

Group 1: Market Performance - Dongyue Group (00189) saw a rise of over 1%, with expectations for increased refrigerant demand as the new cooling season begins, despite a seasonal decline in August [1] - Hong Kong's banking stocks experienced a rally, with Agricultural Bank (01288) up over 2%, and other banks like ICBC (01398) and China Merchants Bank (03968) also gaining over 1%. The overall asset quality of listed banks remains stable, and profit growth is expected to continue [1] - In the gold sector, Lingbao Gold (03330) rose over 3%, with other companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold (06693) and Shandong Gold (01787) also seeing significant gains, driven by lower-than-expected U.S. job growth data which increased interest in gold [3] Group 2: Company Announcements - InnoCare (02577) surged over 8% after being named the only Chinese chip company in NVIDIA's 800VDC power architecture collaboration, indicating a significant partnership in AI data centers [2] - Derun Shipping (02510) announced a profit forecast of approximately $180 million to $200 million for the six months ending June 30, 2025, representing a 220% to 255% increase compared to the previous year [2] - China Eastern Education (00667) reported an expected profit increase of no less than 45% for the first half of the year, driven by a 7% increase in new student registrations and effective cost control [3] Group 3: Financial Results - Amazon (AMZN.US) reported second-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations, with AWS revenue growing 17% year-over-year, but the third-quarter profit guidance fell short of market expectations [5] - Coinbase (COIN.US) saw a 16.7% drop after reporting second-quarter revenue of $1.5 billion, which was below analyst expectations, despite a significant profit increase due to investments [5] - Moderna (MRNA.US) experienced a decline of over 10% due to delays in vaccine shipments, leading to a downward revision of its revenue forecast for 2025 [7]

本文源自智通财经网 消息面上，美国劳工部统计局最新公布的数据显示，美国7月非农新增就业岗位7.3万个，远低于市场预 期的11万个，同时5月、6月的新增就业岗位总数被大幅下调，较之前公布的水平合计减少了25.8万个， 修正后，分别仅有1.4万人和1.9万人。8月1日，受7月非农就业数据大幅不及预期影响，降息预期升温， 金价直线飙升，COMEX黄金期货价格一举突破3400美元。 华源证券指出，中期来看，"特朗普2.0"主线中的关税和减税交易或在后续趋向平稳，"降息交易"将为 黄金价格上涨提供较强动能，上周五非农低于预期后更是直接大涨40美元，抹去此前全部跌幅并收于 3363美元/盎司，下半年我们预计美国货币政策变化将接力财政政策为黄金价格提供支撑，建议关注阶 段性配置机会。长期来看，"降息交易"+"特朗普2.0"双主线将在2025年持续催化，保护主义+大国博弈 背景下，央行增储将对金价形成强有力底部支撑，金价上行动能充足。 智通财经获悉， 黄金股集体走高，截至发稿，灵宝黄金(03330)涨7.36%，报10.8港元；赤峰黄金(06693) 涨6.29%，报24.5港元；山东黄金(01787)涨5.19%，报25. ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold stocks have strengthened, with Lingbao Gold rising nearly 7% following disappointing U.S. non-farm payroll data, which is expected to support gold prices through changes in U.S. monetary policy [1] Company Performance - Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) increased by 6.76% [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06639.HK) rose by 5.77% [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) saw a rise of 5.46% [1] Market Context - The U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 73,000 jobs in July, with significant downward revisions to the previous two months' data [1] - Institutions anticipate that changes in U.S. monetary policy will complement fiscal policy, providing support for gold prices [1] - There is a recommendation to pay attention to phase-based allocation opportunities in the gold sector [1]

Group 1 - Gold stocks collectively rose, with Lingbao Gold increasing by 7.36% to HKD 10.8, Chifeng Gold up 6.29% to HKD 24.5, Shandong Gold rising 5.19% to HKD 25.56, and Zhaojin Mining up 4.72% to HKD 20.4 [1] - The U.S. Labor Department reported that 73,000 non-farm jobs were added in July, significantly below the market expectation of 110,000, with May and June's job additions revised down by a total of 258,000 [1] - Following the disappointing non-farm employment data, interest rate cut expectations increased, leading to a surge in gold prices, with COMEX gold futures breaking through USD 3,400 [1] Group 2 - Huayuan Securities indicated that the "Trump 2.0" theme involving tariffs and tax cuts may stabilize in the medium term, while "rate cut trades" will provide strong momentum for gold price increases [2] - After the non-farm data fell short of expectations, gold prices surged by USD 40, erasing previous losses and closing at USD 3,363 per ounce [2] - The expectation is that changes in U.S. monetary policy will support gold prices in the second half of the year, with a dual catalyst of "rate cut trades" and "Trump 2.0" continuing to drive gold prices until 2025 [2]

第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 257,395,211 FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | | 本公司普通股股本中之内資股，每股面值人民幣 0.20元 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 181,397,058 | RMB | 0.2 | RMB | | 36,279,411.6 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 181,39 ...

智通财经获悉，黄金股早盘全线下挫，截至发稿，潼关黄金(00340)跌9.18%，报1.78港元；紫金矿业 (02899)跌5.16%，报21.15港元；灵宝黄金(03330)跌4.89%，报10.12港元；赤峰黄金(06693)跌4.23%，报 22.65港元；山东黄金(01787)跌3.75%，报24.4港元。 本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，隔夜现货黄金大跌超1.5%，失守3280美元/盎司。当地时间7月30日，美国联邦储备委员会结 束为期两天的货币政策会议，宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.50%之间不变。鲍威尔在 最新一轮货币政策会议后的新闻发布会上表示，美联储尚未就9月利率做出任何决定。鲍威尔表示，他 们"将在下次议息会议前夕参考有关经济的信息"。 现在就断言美联储是否会像金融市场预期的那样在9 月下调联邦基金利率还为时过早。 ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks are experiencing a decline, with Tongguan Gold falling over 8% for six consecutive days, and other companies like Zijin Mining, Lingbao Gold, Shandong Gold, and China Silver Group dropping over 4% [1] - The night session saw spot gold prices drop, briefly falling below $3,270 per ounce, with a nearly 2% decline during trading [3] - Chinese investors are shifting funds from gold ETFs to domestic stocks, with a record net outflow of approximately 3.2 billion yuan from four major domestic gold ETFs in July [3] Group 2 - The outflow of funds is primarily driven by individual investors, as gold has been trading within a narrow range, leading to decreased enthusiasm for gold investments [3] - Morgan Stanley indicates that the key to gold price increases lies in ETF inflows, which depend on the Federal Reserve meeting interest rate cut expectations and pushing down U.S. real yields [3] - In an optimistic scenario, gold prices are projected to reach a target of $3,675 per ounce by the end of the year, with expectations of hitting $4,000 per ounce by early next year [3]

截至发稿， 潼关黄金(00340.HK)跌8.67%、 紫金矿业(02899.HK)跌4.26%、 灵宝黄金(03330.HK)跌 4.14%。消息方面，当地时间7月30日，美国联邦储备委员会结束为期两天的 货币政策会议，宣布将联 邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.50%之间不变。 ...