Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Spot gold prices have shown strong performance, reaching $3920 per ounce on October 6, with a daily increase of 0.35%, marking a new historical high [1] - Goldman Sachs indicates that due to strong interest from private investors, gold prices have further upside potential, possibly exceeding their expectations [1][3] - The influx of funds into gold ETFs has been unexpectedly strong, surpassing previous model predictions, indicating a renewed investor interest in gold assets [1][3] Group 2: Economic Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve reflect the economic pressures facing the U.S., which is expected to support gold price increases [2] - Historical data shows that during 10 past rate-cutting cycles since 1980, gold prices rose in 7 instances, highlighting gold's stability as a safe-haven asset [2] - The complex global geopolitical landscape has increased the investment value of gold, with rising demand for gold as a safe haven during turbulent times [2] Group 3: Central Bank and Gold Reserves - Central banks are diversifying their foreign reserves, with gold's status rising; since the Russia-Ukraine conflict, gold's share in central bank reserves has increased, surpassing the euro [2] - As of August 2025, the People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for 10 consecutive months, with gold reserves accounting for 7.64% of total foreign reserves, a historical high [2] Group 4: Company Performance in the Gold Sector - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 167.71 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.50%, with net profit exceeding 23.29 billion yuan, up over 50% [4] - Shandong Gold achieved a revenue of 56.77 billion yuan, a 24.01% increase year-on-year, with net profit soaring by 102.98% to 2.81 billion yuan [5] - Lingbao Gold's revenue reached 7.79 billion yuan, an 82.02% increase, with net profit up 335.28% to 664 million yuan [6]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold stocks follows a significant drop in gold prices, influenced by cautious signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate policies [1] Group 1: Gold Stock Performance - Gold stocks experienced a widespread decline, with notable drops including Jihai Resources down 4.52% to 1.9 HKD, China Silver Group down 4.35% to 0.66 HKD, Chifeng Jilong Gold down 3.32% to 31.44 HKD, and Lingbao Gold down 2.4% to 19.93 HKD [1][1][1] Group 2: Gold Price Fluctuations - On October 2, gold prices saw a sharp decline, falling below 3820 USD/ounce after reaching a peak of 3896 USD/ounce, marking a drop of approximately 80 USD within the day [1][1][1] - Current spot gold prices are fluctuating around 3850 USD/ounce [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve Signals - Federal Reserve officials, including Logan, indicated a cautious approach towards interest rate policies, suggesting a slight increase in unemployment rates but not to a concerning level [1][1] - The officials emphasized the need for caution in avoiding premature rate cuts, stating that decisions will be based on available information rather than solely on official unemployment data [1][1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices rose collectively, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 1.61%, the National Enterprises Index by 1.77%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index by 3.36% due to rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [1] - Chip stocks experienced significant gains, with SMIC (00981.HK) up 12.7%, ChipMOS Technologies (02166.HK) up 10.71%, and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) up 7.12% [1] - The AI investment surge is driving demand for semiconductor storage, supported by domestic wafer fabrication expansion plans [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Gold and precious metals stocks saw substantial increases, with Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) rising 15.13% and Zijin Mining (02899.HK) up 3.99%, driven by lower-than-expected U.S. employment data and heightened gold price expectations [2] - The automotive supply chain, including lithium battery and electric vehicle stocks, performed well, with Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) up 12.93% and BYD Electronics (00285.HK) up 6.63% [2] - Biopharmaceuticals, innovative drugs, and medical outsourcing sectors also showed strong performance [3] Group 3: Underperforming Sectors - The real estate sector declined, with companies like Oceanwide Holdings (03377.HK) down 4.38% and China Resources Land (01109.HK) down 3.42% [3] - Consumer sectors, including film, aviation, education, dairy products, sports goods, and luxury goods, faced pressure and showed weakness [4]

| 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | | 本公司普通股股本中之内資股，每股面值人民幣 0.20元 | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 181,397,058 RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 36,279,411.6 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 181,397,058 RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 36,279,411.6 | 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 257,395,211 證券代號 (如上市) 03330 說明 本公司普通股股本中之H股，每股面值人民幣 0.20元 法定/註冊股份數目 面值 法定/註冊 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong gold sector has seen a significant rally, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the U.S. government shutdown and escalating geopolitical tensions [1][7][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese Silver Group led the gains with a rise of over 30%, followed by Zijin Gold International with an increase of over 13%, and Tongguan Gold up by over 11% [1][2]. - Other companies such as Lingbao Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zijin Mining also experienced notable increases in their stock prices [1][2]. Group 2: Gold Price Trends - COMEX gold futures showed a slight pullback but remained above the critical level of $3,890 [2]. - Spot gold maintained a high level around $3,868, providing strong support for related stocks [4]. Group 3: Drivers of Demand - The core reason for the sector's rise is the increased demand for safe-haven assets, triggered by the U.S. government shutdown, which is the first political deadlock in nearly seven years [7][8]. - The shutdown has led to significant economic uncertainty, with the U.S. Labor Department halting data collection and publication, affecting key economic indicators [8]. Group 4: Geopolitical Factors - Escalating geopolitical conflicts, particularly the recent military actions by Russia against Ukraine, have further heightened market risk aversion [9]. - The potential for further conflict in Europe has contributed to the attractiveness of gold as a hedge against political risk [9]. Group 5: Future Gold Price Predictions - Central bank gold purchases are a significant factor supporting rising gold prices, with global official gold reserves increasing by 166 tons in Q2 [10]. - Predictions indicate that gold prices could reach $4,200 per ounce by mid-2026, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets [10][11].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong precious metals sector experienced a significant increase, with all stocks rising [1] - China Silver Group (00815.HK) saw a rise of 22.6%, reaching HKD 0.66 per share [1] - Zijin Gold International (02259.HK) increased by 12%, trading at HKD 136 per share [1] - Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) rose by 8.02%, priced at HKD 19.93 per share [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) experienced a 6.27% increase, with shares at HKD 2.88 [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) rose by 6.18%, trading at HKD 32.3 per share [1]

Group 1 - Gold stocks experienced a significant rise, with China Silver Group up 24.53%, Zijin Mining up 14.18%, Lingbao Gold up 8.02%, Tongguan Gold up 6.27%, and Chifeng Jilong Gold up 6.18% [1] - On October 1, international gold prices hit a new record, with London gold approaching $3900 per ounce and COMEX gold also surpassing $3900 per ounce [1] - The U.S. ADP employment report indicated a decrease of 32,000 jobs in the private sector for September 2025, significantly below the expected increase of 50,000 jobs, leading to a 99% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October [1] Group 2 - Everbright Securities noted that if the U.S. government shuts down, economic data will cease publication, complicating Federal Reserve decision-making, which may lead to a more gradual rate cut path, favoring gold over U.S. stocks and bonds [2] - Goldman Sachs projected that by mid-2026, international gold prices could soar to $4000 per ounce, potentially reaching $4500 in extreme scenarios [2] - Goldman Sachs also stated that if the independence of the Federal Reserve is compromised and investors shift a small portion of their holdings from U.S. Treasuries to gold bars, gold prices could rise to around $5000 per ounce [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a collective rise in gold stocks, with Zijin Mining International up over 8%, China Silver Group up over 7%, and Tongguan Gold up over 4% [1] - International gold prices continued to strengthen, reaching a peak of $3,895, setting a new historical high [1] Group 2 - Zijin Mining International reported a price increase of 8.54%, with a latest price of 130.900 and a total market capitalization of 343.48 billion, reflecting an 82.85% year-to-date increase [2] - China Silver Group experienced a 7.55% rise, with a latest price of 0.570 and a total market capitalization of 14.13 billion, marking a 141.53% year-to-date increase [2] - Tongguan Gold saw a 4.80% increase, with a latest price of 2.840 and a total market capitalization of 124.89 billion, showing a remarkable 494.14% year-to-date increase [2] - China Gold International had a 3.53% rise, with a latest price of 143.700 and a total market capitalization of 569.65 billion, reflecting a 255.88% year-to-date increase [2] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining increased by 3.35%, with a latest price of 31.440 and a total market capitalization of 597.49 billion, showing a 132.11% year-to-date increase [2] - Lingbao Gold Company saw a 3.09% increase, with a latest price of 19.020 and a total market capitalization of 244.78 billion, reflecting a 619.60% year-to-date increase [2] - Shandong Gold experienced a 2.60% rise, with a latest price of 37.900 and a total market capitalization of 174.716 billion, marking a 210.48% year-to-date increase [2] - Zhaojin Mining Industry had a 1.41% increase, with a latest price of 31.700 and a total market capitalization of 112.294 billion, reflecting a 190.68% year-to-date increase [2] - Jinhai Resources saw a slight increase of 0.53%, with a latest price of 1.890 and a total market capitalization of 3.78 billion, marking a 127.71% year-to-date increase [2]

Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks continued their recent upward trend as of September 30, with significant price increases observed [1] - Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) saw a remarkable rise of 58.54%, reaching HKD 113.5 [1] - Datang Gold (08299.HK) increased by 10.42%, trading at HKD 0.53 [1] - Zijin Mining (02899.HK) experienced a gain of 2.67%, priced at HKD 33.02 [1] - Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) rose by 1.52%, with a current price of HKD 18.68 [1]

智通财经APP获悉，黄金股盘初延续近期涨势，截至发稿，紫金黄金国际(02259)涨58.54%，报113.5港 元；大唐黄金(08299)涨10.42%，报0.53港元；紫金矿业(02899)涨2.67%，报33.02港元；灵宝黄金 (03330)涨1.52%，报18.68港元。 消息面上，受美国降息预期、对美国政府可能停摆的担忧以及地缘政治紧张局势升级影响，国际金价屡 创新高。今早，现货黄金突破3840美元/盎司，COMEX黄金期货同样走高，冲破3870美元/盎司，日内 涨0.5%。中信期货指，节日期间重点关注美国非农数据和PMI数据的披露，以及美国两党财政法案僵持 下，美国政府关门引起的数据延迟发布的风险。 此外，9月25日，紫金黄金国际正式在港股上市，该公司由紫金矿业分拆而来，在南美洲、大洋洲、中 亚和非洲等黄金资源富集区拥有8座黄金矿山的权益。东北证券认为，分拆上市后，公司黄金板块将获 得资本市场价值重估，带动紫金矿业整体估值上修。 ...