Key Points - The top three companies with net inflows of southbound funds are Alibaba-W (09988) with 4.234 billion, Ping An of China (02318) with 844 million, and Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) with 480 million [1] - The top three companies with net outflows of southbound funds are Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with -1.733 billion, Meituan-W (03690) with -852 million, and Kangfang Biologics (09926) with -462 million [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Tehai International (09658) leads with 62.75%, followed by Yancoal Australia (03668) with 51.59%, and Yimeng Biologics-B (09606) with 51.01% [1] - The companies with the highest net outflow ratios are GX China (03040) at -100.00%, Kangji Medical (09997) at -60.98%, and China International Marine Containers (02039) at -48.45% [1] Top 10 Net Inflows - Alibaba-W (09988) had a net inflow of 4.234 billion, representing a 16.56% increase in closing price to 141.900 [2] - Ping An of China (02318) saw a net inflow of 844 million, with a 24.06% increase in closing price to 57.200 [2] - Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) recorded a net inflow of 480 million, with a 6.20% increase in closing price to 5.715 [2] Top 10 Net Outflows - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) experienced a net outflow of -1.733 billion, with a -17.96% decrease in closing price to 56.200 [2] - Meituan-W (03690) had a net outflow of -852 million, with a -5.77% decrease in closing price to 99.650 [2] - Kangfang Biologics (09926) faced a net outflow of -462 million, with a -15.64% decrease in closing price to 140.100 [2] Net Inflow Ratios - Tehai International (09658) had a net inflow ratio of 62.75% with a net inflow of 7.0962 million, closing at 14.980 [3] - Yancoal Australia (03668) recorded a net inflow ratio of 51.59% with a net inflow of 28.6046 million, closing at 27.620 [3] - Yimeng Biologics-B (09606) had a net inflow ratio of 51.01% with a net inflow of 194 million, closing at 406.400 [3] Net Outflow Ratios - GX China (03040) had a net outflow ratio of -100.00% with a net outflow of -11.4 thousand, closing at 38.140 [3] - Kangji Medical (09997) recorded a net outflow ratio of -60.98% with a net outflow of -20.9363 million, closing at 8.850 [3] - China International Marine Containers (02039) had a net outflow ratio of -48.45% with a net outflow of -16.1516 million, closing at 8.020 [3]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The global pharmaceutical industry is facing a "patent cliff," with over 40% of revenues affected for many multinational companies, creating opportunities for Chinese innovative drug companies to introduce their assets [1][3][4] - The Chinese innovative drug sector is experiencing a diverse globalization path, including overseas expansion, business development, and joint ventures, with significant collaboration with regions like Europe, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East [1][5] Company Performance - **Hengrui Medicine**: Achieved a revenue growth of 15.88% and a net profit growth of 29.67% in the first half of the year, with expectations for further performance improvement in the second half [1][7] - **Kangfang Biotech**: Reported a revenue increase of 49.20% in the first half of the year, with promising data from its API12 presented at WCLC and ongoing global clinical trials for AK104 [1][8] Market Dynamics - The innovative drug sector showed healthy performance in the first half of the year, with significant contributions from products entering the medical insurance list, enhancing profit margins for companies like Kangfang Biotech, Hengrui Medicine, and others [1][6] - The domestic CRO (Contract Research Organization) industry is entering a new phase after adjustments, with a recovery in overseas demand and a clear trend of Chinese innovative drugs moving into late-stage clinical trials [3][10][11] Future Trends and Drivers - The core driving force for Chinese innovative drugs going global is their breakthrough global competitiveness, particularly in next-generation immunotherapy and antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) [2][12] - The domestic CRO industry is expected to benefit from sustained global innovation demand, increased R&D spending, and the internationalization of Chinese innovative drugs [12] Geopolitical Impact - Geopolitical factors have influenced the Chinese CRO industry, with concerns arising from U.S. regulations, but these have been alleviated over time as companies enhance their core capabilities and expand overseas [13] Notable Companies and Products - **Innovative Products**: - **Sinda's PD-L1 monoclonal antibody**: Demonstrated promising survival data for patients with solid tumors, indicating a broad international market potential [19] - **Gree Pharmaceutical's GLP-1 drugs**: Showed favorable clinical data with significant market potential due to expected weight loss effects [20][21] - **Leading CDMO Companies**: Companies like WuXi AppTec reported a 21% revenue growth and a 102% increase in net profit, benefiting from the ADC industry and overseas expansion [3][14] Conclusion - The Chinese innovative drug sector is poised for growth, driven by strong performance metrics, a favorable global market environment, and strategic international collaborations. The ongoing developments in clinical trials and product launches are expected to further enhance the competitive landscape for these companies [1][9][22][23][24]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) due to smooth commercialization progress and further updates on HARMONi data [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.412 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.75%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -570 million RMB [7]. - The commercialization of key products, namely Cadonilimab and Ivosidenib, has driven revenue growth, with product sales revenue increasing by 49.20% year-on-year [7]. - The HARMONi study presented at the WCLC 2025 conference showed improved overall survival (OS) data, with an OS hazard ratio (HR) of 0.78, indicating significant survival benefits [7]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 34.19 billion RMB, 55.98 billion RMB, and 85.77 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023, 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 4,526 million RMB, 2,124 million RMB, 3,419 million RMB, 5,598 million RMB, and 8,577 million RMB, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 440.3%, -53.1%, 61.0%, 63.7%, and 53.2% [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2,028.30 million RMB in 2023, -514.52 million RMB in 2024, -29.64 million RMB in 2025E, 586.11 million RMB in 2026E, and 1,485.85 million RMB in 2027E, with growth rates of 273.6%, -125.4%, 94.2%, 2077.2%, and 153.5% respectively [6]. - The company's reasonable equity value is estimated at 187.5 billion HKD, assuming a perpetual growth rate of 3% and a WACC of 7.06% [7].

Market Overview - On September 11, the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.43%, closing at 26,086.32 points, while southbound funds through the Stock Connect recorded a net purchase of HKD 18.989 billion [1][3] - The total trading volume for the Stock Connect on September 11 was HKD 172.214 billion, with a net purchase of HKD 18.989 billion [1] Stock Performance - In the Shanghai Stock Connect, the total trading volume was HKD 103.737 billion, with a net purchase of HKD 8.073 billion [1] - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, the total trading volume was HKD 68.477 billion, with a net purchase of HKD 10.916 billion [1] Active Stocks - The most actively traded stock in the Shanghai Stock Connect was Alibaba-W, with a trading volume of HKD 80.75 billion and a net purchase of HKD 29.46 billion, closing up by 0.35% [1][2] - Meituan-W had the highest net sell amount of HKD 9.36 billion, closing down by 5.06% [1][2] - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Alibaba-W also led with a trading volume of HKD 43.575 billion and a net purchase of HKD 7.835 billion [2] - The top net purchase stock was Innovent Biologics, with a net purchase of HKD 0.847 billion, despite closing down by 2.51% [2] Summary of Key Stocks | Stock Code | Stock Name | Trading Volume (HKD million) | Net Purchase (HKD million) | Daily Change (%) | |------------|------------------|------------------------------|----------------------------|-------------------| | 09988 | Alibaba-W | 807.48 | 294.62 | 0.35 | | 03690 | Meituan-W | 618.38 | -93.59 | -5.06 | | 00981 | SMIC | 491.04 | 41.75 | 4.97 | | 01801 | Innovent Biologics| 253.79 | 84.73 | -2.51 | | 00700 | Tencent Holdings | 263.33 | -92.26 | -0.63 | [2]

Market Overview - On September 11, the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.43% with a total southbound trading volume of HKD 172.21 billion, including buy transactions of HKD 95.60 billion and sell transactions of HKD 76.61 billion, resulting in a net buy of HKD 18.99 billion [1] Southbound Trading Activity - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) had a total trading volume of HKD 68.48 billion, with buy transactions of HKD 39.70 billion and sell transactions of HKD 28.78 billion, leading to a net buy of HKD 10.92 billion [1] - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shanghai) had a total trading volume of HKD 103.74 billion, with buy transactions of HKD 55.91 billion and sell transactions of HKD 47.83 billion, resulting in a net buy of HKD 8.07 billion [1] Active Stocks - Alibaba-W was the most actively traded stock with a total trading volume of HKD 124.32 billion and a net buy of HKD 37.30 billion, closing with a price increase of 0.35% [1][2] - Other notable stocks included Meituan-W and SMIC, with trading volumes of HKD 84.52 billion and HKD 80.43 billion, respectively [1] - Tencent Holdings had the highest net sell amount of HKD 11.51 billion, closing down by 0.63% [1][2] Continuous Net Buying and Selling - Alibaba-W and SMIC were the only two stocks with continuous net buying for more than three days, with Alibaba-W having a total net buy of HKD 371.43 billion over 15 days and SMIC with HKD 15.76 billion over 3 days [2] - Stocks with continuous net selling included Kangfang Biotech, Tencent Holdings, and Meituan-W, with total net sell amounts of HKD 17.48 billion, HKD 14.61 billion, and HKD 10.28 billion, respectively [2]

Core Insights - On September 11, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), Meituan-W (03690), and SMIC (00981) were the top three stocks by trading volume in the southbound trading of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 8.075 billion, 6.184 billion, and 4.910 billion respectively [1] - In the southbound trading of the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Innovent Biologics (01801) led the trading volume, with amounts of 4.357 billion, 3.132 billion, and 2.538 billion respectively [1] Southbound Trading Highlights - **Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect:** - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 8.075 billion, net buying of 2.946 billion - Meituan-W (03690): Trading amount of 6.184 billion, net selling of 0.936 billion - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 4.910 billion, net buying of 0.417 billion - Other notable companies include Kangfang Biologics (09926) with a trading amount of 2.797 billion and net selling of 0.755 billion, and Tencent Holdings (00700) with a trading amount of 2.633 billion and net selling of 0.923 billion [2] - **Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect:** - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 4.357 billion, net buying of 0.784 billion - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 3.132 billion, net buying of 0.515 billion - Innovent Biologics (01801): Trading amount of 2.538 billion, net buying of 0.847 billion - Other significant companies include Kangfang Biologics (09926) with a trading amount of 2.418 billion and net buying of 0.365 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) with a trading amount of 2.268 billion and net buying of 0.839 billion [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights the net inflow and outflow of capital in the Hong Kong stock market, with specific focus on the top companies experiencing significant changes in capital flow [1][2]. Group 1: Net Inflow - Alibaba-W (09988) leads with a net inflow of 5.14 billion, representing a 25.60% increase in capital [2]. - Horizon Robotics-W (09660) follows with a net inflow of 1.375 billion, showing a 24.13% increase [2]. - Tencent Holdings (00700) has a net inflow of 1.076 billion, with an 8.04% increase [2]. - Other notable companies with significant inflows include BYD Company (01211) with 1.031 billion and WuXi Biologics (02269) with 542 million [2]. Group 2: Net Outflow - Pop Mart (09992) experiences the highest net outflow at -649 million, reflecting a -6.94% decrease [2]. - Kuaishou-W (01024) has a net outflow of -581 million, with a -13.67% decrease [2]. - Meitu Inc. (01357) sees a net outflow of -472 million, indicating a -24.59% decrease [2]. - Other companies with significant outflows include Xiaomi Group-W (01810) at -368 million and China Merchants Bank (03968) at -227 million [2]. Group 3: Net Inflow Ratio - The top net inflow ratio is held by Wisdom Hong Kong 100 (02825) at 100.00%, with a total inflow of 5.924 billion [3]. - Sinopec Kantons Holdings (00934) follows with a net inflow ratio of 72.10%, totaling 6.5044 million [3]. - Kunlun Energy (00135) has a net inflow ratio of 63.22%, with an inflow of 5.6388 million [3]. Group 4: Net Outflow Ratio - iFlytek Medical Technology (02506) leads in net outflow ratio at -48.28%, with an outflow of -13.4085 million [3]. - VTECH Holdings (00303) has a net outflow ratio of -45.83%, totaling -15.8089 million [3]. - NetDragon (00777) follows with a net outflow ratio of -45.72%, with an outflow of -41.1797 million [3].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a soft trend, with the Hang Seng Index (HSI) maintaining fluctuations and overall market sentiment being cautious [1] - The pharmaceutical sector exhibited mixed performance, with Kangfang Biopharma (09926) being a notable focus, closing at 140.1 HKD, down 1.68% for the day, with a trading volume of 29.57 billion HKD [1] Company Insights - Kangfang Biopharma's core product, AK112, is expected to release follow-up clinical data at the end of the month during an international medical conference, which has garnered market attention regarding its potential in cancer treatment [1] - The stock has experienced significant short-term volatility, with a 5-day price fluctuation of 21.6% [1] Technical Analysis - Technical indicators suggest a "buy" signal with a strength of 10, while multiple moving averages indicate a "strong buy" signal [3] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at a relatively low level of 35, with several oscillators showing neutral signals, but some indicators indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bottoming phase with a 57% probability of price increase [3] Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level for Kangfang Biopharma is at 128.3 HKD, with a second support level at 109.6 HKD [5] - The first resistance level is at 155.9 HKD, and if this level is surpassed, the second resistance level at 170.6 HKD may be challenged [5] - The current stock price of 140.1 HKD is positioned between the support and first resistance levels, making stability and movement towards the resistance level crucial for future trends [5] Investment Products - For investors optimistic about a rebound, the Huatai call warrant (18380) is recommended, offering a leverage of 3 times with an exercise price of 158.98 HKD, noted for its low premium and implied volatility [5][6] - The Bank of China call warrant (18157) is also worth considering, with a lower leverage of 2.6 times and a similar exercise price, but it has the highest implied volatility among similar products [6] - In terms of bull certificates, UBS's bull certificate (53839) has a high leverage of 4.6 times with a redemption price of 120 HKD, while JPMorgan's bull certificate (55333) offers an even higher leverage of 5.2 times with a redemption price of 124 HKD, suitable for investors confident in a short-term rebound [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong capital market is experiencing a significant recovery in 2025, with IPO financing reaching 132.9 billion HKD, a 50% increase compared to the entire year of 2024 [3]. Industry Financing Overview - The top three industries in terms of financing scale are Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Healthcare, with the Healthcare sector raising 37 billion HKD [4]. - Notably, four of the top ten refinancing projects in 2025 are focused on innovative drugs, collectively raising 19.9 billion HKD, highlighting the sector's attractiveness [4]. Company-Specific Highlights - WuXi AppTec raised 7.7 billion HKD through a placement at a price of 104.27 HKD per share, marking the largest medical project financing of the year and the third largest overall [6]. - The company reported a 20.6% increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, with net profit soaring by 95% [6]. - In contrast, the company had a substantial cash reserve of 17.5 billion HKD, raising questions about the necessity of this financing [6]. Capital Movements in "WuXi System" - The "WuXi System" has been active in capital movements, with significant share reductions and financing activities among its subsidiaries, indicating a tightly linked capital network [7]. - WuXi AppTec reduced its stake in WuXi Biologics twice in early 2025, totaling 3.73 billion HKD, while also engaging in various financing activities [7][8]. Other Notable Financing Activities - Innovent Biologics raised 4.3 billion HKD at a low discount of 4.9%, with a remarkable 46% revenue growth and a 302% increase in net profit [9]. - However, significant shareholder reductions by Temasek and Eli Lilly raised concerns about the company's long-term value despite its strong performance [10]. - CanSino Biologics raised 3.97 billion HKD with a low discount, but the simultaneous cash-out by executives raised sensitivity around the company's financial health [11]. - Hansoh Pharmaceutical raised 3.92 billion HKD with a unique underwriting model, indicating confidence in the financing despite potential market challenges [12].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong capital market is experiencing a significant recovery in 2025, with IPO financing reaching 132.9 billion HKD, a 50% increase compared to the entire year of 2024 [3] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the first eight months of 2025, the IPO financing scale in Hong Kong reached 132.9 billion HKD, marking a four-year high [3] - The secondary market for Hong Kong stocks has shown even stronger performance, with fundraising reaching 190.5 billion HKD, which is 3.8 times higher than the total for 2024 [3] - The average fundraising scale per project in the secondary market is 1.1 billion HKD, contributing significantly to the market's activity [3] Group 2: Industry Financing - The top three industries in terms of financing scale are Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Healthcare, with the Healthcare sector raising 37 billion HKD [4] - Notably, four out of the top ten refinancing projects in 2025 are related to innovative drugs, collectively raising 19.9 billion HKD [4] Group 3: Company-Specific Financing Activities - WuXi AppTec led the medical sector with a 77 billion HKD fundraising through a lightning placement, marking the largest medical project financing of the year [6] - The company reported a 20.6% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 20.8 billion HKD, and a 95% increase in net profit [6] - Innovent Biologics raised 43.1 billion HKD with a 4.9% discount, benefiting from a 46% increase in revenue and a 302% surge in net profit [9] - Kangfang Biologics raised 39.7 billion HKD at a 4.75% discount, despite being the only company in the healthcare sector to report a decline in net profit for two consecutive reporting periods [11] - Hansoh Pharmaceutical raised 39.2 billion HKD with a 6.5% discount, utilizing a firm underwriting model to ensure full subscription of shares [12]