截至1月20日，近十家光伏龙头企业陆续发布了2025年业绩预告。从已公布数据看，光伏行业遭遇财务 寒冬，全产业链陷入亏损困局。 通威股份（600438）预亏超100亿元，隆基绿能（601012）预亏超60亿元，晶澳科技（002459）、爱旭 股份（600732）、天合光能、晶科能源、钧达股份（002865）、大全能源、时创能源业陆续公布了业绩 预亏公告…… "2025年，随着136号文落地，政策驱动了需求前置，引发前5个月的抢装潮，导致光伏出货量激增，仅5 月单月新增装机就达到92.92GW，创下历史新高。在政府干预与行业自律的背景下，光伏行业在一定程 度上控制了无序发展，但仍然难掩产能过剩、行业竞争激烈以及盈利能力差的局面。" 万创投行研究院 院长段志强在接受《国际金融报》记者采访时分析称。 他表示，更严峻的局面在今年，从2026年4月1日起，光伏产品出口将不再享受增值税退税，这直接增加 了成本压力。对于行业来说，像是投放一颗重磅炸弹，预计生存博弈将更加激烈。 通威股份表示，报告期内，光伏新增装机规模总体维持同比增长，但下半年增速明显放缓，行业阶段性 供应过剩问题尚未缓解，产业链各环节开工率下行，白银等部分 ...

证券代码：600732 股票简称：爱旭股份 编号：临 2026－003 近日，上海爱旭新能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）签署的担保合同 情况如下： 上海爱旭新能源股份有限公司 关于为子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 担保对象 被担保人名称 珠海富山爱旭太阳能科技有限公司 （以下简称"珠海爱旭"）、天津爱 旭太阳能科技有限公司（以下简称 "天津爱旭"） 本次担保金额 1.00 亿元 实际为其提供的担保余额 118.58 亿元（含本次） 是否在前期预计额度内 是 □否 □不适用：_________ 本次担保是否有反担保 □是 否 □不适用：_________ 累计担保情况 | 对外担保逾期的累计金额（万元） | 0.00 | | --- | --- | | 截至本公告日上市公司及其控股 子公司对外担保总额（亿元） | 242.21 | | 对外担保总额占上市公司最近一 期经审计净资产的比例（%） | 681.46 | | 特别风险提示 产 | 对外担 ...

爱旭股份公告称，公司近日与农行相关支行签署《补充协议》，增加珠海斗门支行为债权人；与中行天 津北辰支行签署《最高额保证合同》，为天津爱旭提供1亿元连带责任保证担保。截至公告日，公司为 子公司累计提供担保242.21亿元，占最近一期经审计净资产的681.46%，实际债务余额140.78亿元，无 逾期担保。公司2025年度对外担保额度上限为362亿元，此次担保在授权额度内，无需再提交审议。 ...

1月20日，爱旭股份跌5.07%，截至发稿，报13.30元/股，成交5.81亿元，换手率2.36%，总市值281.59亿 元。 资料显示，上海爱旭新能源股份有限公司位于浙江省义乌市苏溪镇好派路699号，成立日期1996年8月12 日，上市日期1996年8月16日，公司主营业务涉及太阳能电池的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成 为：太阳能组件74.44%，太阳能电池片18.58%，受托加工5.63%，技术咨询服务0.69%，其他(补 充)0.65%，智慧能源业务0.00%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 杨腾累计任职时间4年54天，现任基金资产总规模27.53亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报40.8%， 任职期间 最差基金回报-36.85%。 李宜璇累计任职时间8年29天，现任基金资产总规模97.22亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报122.96%， 任职 期间最差基金回报-36.17%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑：小浪快报 数据显示，银华基金旗下1只基金重仓爱旭 ...

1月20日，爱旭股份盘中下跌2.07%，截至09:55，报13.72元/股，成交1.17亿元，换手率0.47%，总市值 290.49亿元。 截至9月30日，爱旭股份股东户数7.07万，较上期减少9.57%；人均流通股22418股，较上期增加 10.58%。2025年1月-9月，爱旭股份实现营业收入115.97亿元，同比增长46.86%；归母净利润-5.32亿 元，同比增长81.20%。 分红方面，爱旭股份A股上市后累计派现9.21亿元。近三年，累计派现7.15亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，爱旭股份十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股3676.02万股，相比上期增加373.30万股。景顺长城新能源产业股票A类（011328）位居第 四大流通股东，持股2621.96万股，相比上期增加675.92万股。光伏ETF（515790）位居第九大流通股 东，持股1396.10万股，相比上期增加120.34万股。汇丰晋信研究精选混合（014423）位居第十大流通股 东，持股1193.88万股，为新进股东。广发高端制造股票A（004997）、景顺长城研究精选股票A （000688）、 ...

Economic Overview - In 2025, China's GDP reached 1401879 billion yuan, growing by 5% year-on-year, with quarterly growth rates of 5.4%, 5.2%, 4.8%, and 4.5% respectively [2] - The industrial added value increased by 5.9%, while the service sector grew by 5.4%. Retail sales totaled 501202 billion yuan, up by 3.7% [2] - Fixed asset investment decreased by 3.8%, with a notable decline in real estate investment [3] Trade and Investment - Canada has reduced the import tax on Chinese electric vehicles to 6.1%, allowing an annual quota of 49,000 vehicles, which is a significant policy shift aimed at filling market gaps [4][5] - The adjustment in tariffs is expected to enhance the competitiveness of Chinese electric vehicles in the Canadian market, which has seen a decline in sales due to high costs and tariffs [5] Real Estate Market - In December 2025, new home prices in first-tier cities fell by 0.3%, with a notable increase in Shanghai, while overall new home sales area decreased by 8.7% year-on-year [6] - The real estate market is still in a bottoming phase, with a significant reduction in new supply and ongoing inventory pressure [7] Mobile Phone Industry - Several smartphone manufacturers, including Xiaomi and OPPO, have lowered their annual shipment forecasts due to rising storage costs, with reductions exceeding 20% for some brands [8] - The impact of rising storage prices is uneven across manufacturers, with larger firms like Apple and Samsung less affected [9] Solar Industry - Nine leading solar companies, including LONGi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., have announced expected losses for 2025, with Tongwei projecting a loss of 90 to 100 billion yuan [10] - The solar industry is facing significant challenges, including high inventory levels and price competition, leading to a prolonged period of losses [11] Wealth Disparity - The global wealth of billionaires reached a record 18.3 trillion USD in 2025, with a 16% increase in total wealth, highlighting a growing wealth gap amid stagnant poverty reduction efforts [12][13] - The AI sector's growth has significantly contributed to the increase in billionaire wealth, while ordinary residents face declining purchasing power due to inflation [13] Space Tourism - A startup has announced the opening of reservations for the world's first lunar hotel, aiming to begin operations by 2032, although the feasibility of such a project remains uncertain [14][15]

转自：成都日报锦观 亏损规模其次的是TCL中环。作为光伏硅片龙头，主产业链的产品价格在低位调整且传导不足，导致预 计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利润亏损82亿元至96亿元。对于业绩亏损的原因，公司分析表示，报 告期内，光伏新增装机量保持增长，但整体供需仍持续失衡，公司经营继续承压。 隆基绿能预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净亏损为60亿元到65亿元。公司提到，去年四季度银浆、硅 料成本大幅上涨，显著推升了硅片、电池及组件产品成本，使得企业经营进一步承压。 银浆是太阳能电池板的关键材料，而白银价格在过去一年里已翻了逾三倍。据研究显示，这意味着太阳 能板中白银的使用成本现已占面板总成本的29%，远高于2023年的3.4%和去年的14%。 对此，部分组件制造商已将价格上调，以反映白银成本的增加。此外，行业也积极通过技术调整来化解 白银价格上涨的压力，加速用铜等更廉价材料替代白银的计划来做出应对。例如隆基绿能称，报告期内 公司已完成贱金属替代银浆技术中试完成，开始规模化产能建设。 成都日报锦观新闻记者 刘泰山 白银价格再创新高 光伏行业成本攀升 国际黄金和白银价格19日均创历史新高。伦敦现货黄金价格一度涨破每盎 ...

Core Insights - The cost of silver paste in photovoltaic (PV) modules has surged from 3.4% of total costs in 2023 to 29% currently, making it the largest cost component, surpassing silicon materials [1][3] - The rising silver prices have forced PV manufacturers to increase prices and accelerate plans to replace silver with cheaper materials like copper, with an expected 17% reduction in silver usage this year [1][7] Group 1: Cost Impact - A rise of 1000 yuan per kilogram in silver price increases the cost of solar cells by 0.01 yuan per watt, which is critical for the already thin profit margins in the PV industry [2] - The current silver consumption for TOPCon cells is approximately 10-13 mg/W, and if silver prices remain high, the cost from silver paste alone could reach 0.1-0.13 yuan per watt [3] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Chinese module manufacturers have raised prices by 1.4% to 3.8%, with mainstream 500W modules now priced around 400 yuan (approximately 57 USD) [3] - Leading companies like Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar have recently increased their shipping prices, citing rising raw material costs [3] Group 3: Industry Challenges - Mid-tier companies are facing more severe challenges compared to leading firms, with some forced to halt production due to cash flow issues, financing difficulties, and inventory buildup [4][5] - A notable example includes a battery manufacturer in Hunan that ceased operations, stating there are currently no alternative solutions [6] Group 4: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The surge in silver prices is attributed to a supply-demand imbalance, with industrial demand, including solar energy, accounting for 65% of total silver demand [6] - The silver usage in the PV industry represents over 15% of global silver production, with a projected supply-demand gap of 5,000 tons by 2025 [6] Group 5: Material Substitution Efforts - Companies like Longi Green Energy are accelerating the replacement of silver with cheaper metals, with predictions that the PV industry could reduce silver usage by 17% this year [7] - Some technological routes have the potential to lower silver content to 25%, theoretically achieving a 90% reduction [7] Group 6: Risks of Substitution - The aggressive substitution strategy carries significant risks, as the stability of copper is inferior to silver, leading to potential long-term liabilities for manufacturers if panels fail before the warranty period [8] - Current substitution methods face challenges such as unstable printing of paste and suboptimal yield rates [8]

1月18日晚，隆基绿能(601012.SH)发布公告称，预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净亏损为60亿元到65亿元。预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东 的扣除非经常性损益的净亏损为68亿元到74亿元。 隆基绿能称，2025年光伏行业供需错配、低价内卷式竞争持续，开工率维持低位，同时国内电力市场化改革不断深入，海外贸易壁垒持续加剧，光伏企业经 营环境严峻复杂。四季度银浆、硅料成本大幅上涨，显著推升了硅片、电池及组件产品成本，企业经营进一步承压。受制于产品价格持续低迷和成本压力， 2025年度公司经营业绩仍然亏损。 多家光伏龙头企业日前陆续发布2025年业绩预告，其中5家企业合计预亏在289亿元-328亿元。 同日，通威股份(600438.SH)发布业绩预告，预计2025年度公司实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润亏损90亿元至100亿元。预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司 所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润亏损也约为90亿元至100亿元。 通威股份表示，报告期内，光伏新增装机规模总体维持同比增长，但下半年明显放缓，行业阶段性供应过剩问题尚未缓解，产业链各环节开工率下行，白银 等部分核心原材料价格持续上涨， ...

Industry Overview - The electrical equipment index (10679) increased by 0.79%, outperforming the market during the week of January 12-16. Lithium batteries rose by 1.5%, new energy vehicles by 1.29%, and photovoltaics by 0.87%. However, wind power, power generation equipment, and nuclear power saw declines of 4.74%, 4.15%, and 2.09% respectively [1][2] - The top five gainers in the sector included Huaguang Co., Yihua Tong, Sanbian Technology, Hezhong Technology, and Baobian Electric. The top five losers were Xiangrikui, Yijing Photovoltaic, Goldwind Technology, Baosheng Co., and Aerospace Machinery [2] Storage Sector - The Ukrainian Prime Minister ordered an acceleration in the import of electricity and additional power equipment. Four departments are strengthening government investment funds towards storage and new energy industries [3] - Jiangxi's virtual power plant is expected to have a regulation capacity exceeding 1GW by 2027, with several pilot projects being implemented [3] - Trina Storage signed a large contract in Latin America, solidifying its position among the top five storage solution providers in the region [3] Electric Vehicle Market - In December, electric vehicle sales reached 1.71 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 28%. Exports accounted for 2.58 million units, up 103% year-on-year [3] - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reported a decline in new energy passenger vehicle retail sales in January 2026, with a year-on-year decrease of 38% [3] Company Insights - Keda Technology expects a net profit of 600-660 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 52.21%-67.43% [4] - Zhenyu Technology anticipates a net profit of 500-550 million yuan for 2025, with a projected increase of 96.9%-116.6% [4] - Rongbai Technology expects a net profit of approximately 30 million yuan in Q4 2025, but a full-year loss of 190-150 million yuan [4] - TCL Zhonghuan plans to invest in a new energy project and has signed a cooperation framework agreement [5] Investment Strategy - The storage sector is expected to see over 60% growth in 2026, driven by strong demand and supply constraints. The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act is anticipated to boost installations [6] - The lithium battery sector is projected to recover in March 2026, with a forecasted 5-10% growth in domestic sales [6] - The wind power sector is expected to see significant growth, with domestic offshore wind capacity projected to exceed 8GW by 2025 [6] Investment Recommendations - Companies such as CATL, Sungrow Power, and Sanyuan Electric are highlighted as strong investment opportunities due to their leadership in their respective sectors [7][8] - The report emphasizes the potential of companies involved in solid-state batteries, energy storage, and electric vehicle components, suggesting a favorable outlook for these sectors [7][8]