Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on the electricity and natural gas sectors, highlighting stable revenue mechanisms and growth potential in consumption and pricing [1][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a refined capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and ensure fair compensation for various power sources [4][6]. - It notes that natural gas consumption is expected to grow, supported by favorable weather conditions and improved economic indicators, despite short-term price fluctuations [10][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity: Improved Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for electricity generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new power system [4]. - The new mechanism aims to ensure that different types of power generation, including coal, gas, and new energy sources, receive fair compensation based on their peak supply capabilities [6][7]. - The report highlights that the refined pricing structure will lead to more predictable revenue for power generation companies, reducing volatility in earnings [7]. 2. Natural Gas: Continued Growth in Consumption - The report indicates that the apparent consumption of natural gas in China is projected to grow by 0.1% in 2025, with December consumption reaching 38.57 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [29]. - It notes that the recent cold weather has supported high natural gas prices, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $7.18/mmBtu, while European prices remain elevated due to low inventory levels and geopolitical tensions [10][12]. - The report suggests that the natural gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved pricing mechanisms, leading to a recovery in profitability for city gas companies [31]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For coal-fired power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their stable revenue sources [8]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are highlighted for their potential to improve profit margins through reduced capital expenditures [8]. - In the nuclear sector, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested for their growth potential as new units are approved [8]. - The report also recommends focusing on integrated natural gas companies like ENN Energy and China Gas Holdings, which are expected to benefit from lower costs and increased sales [31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment due to policy improvements and market dynamics [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent improvements in the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, which aims to stabilize revenue and enhance the profitability of various power sources [6][10]. - It notes a slight increase in natural gas consumption in 2025, with a projected growth of 0.1% year-on-year, indicating a stable demand outlook for the gas sector [32]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Capacity Pricing Mechanism Improvement - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued a notification to enhance the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, addressing mismatches in supply and demand within the new energy system [6]. - The new mechanism introduces differentiated pricing for various types of regulatory power sources, ensuring that their capacity value is adequately compensated [7]. - A unified compensation standard for peak capacity across different power sources is established, promoting rational investment and resource allocation in the power sector [8][10]. 2. Gas Sector: Continued Growth in Natural Gas Consumption - Natural gas consumption in China is expected to reach 385.7 billion cubic meters by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [32]. - The report emphasizes the impact of cold weather on gas prices, with global prices remaining high, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, which supports the profitability of gas companies [13][19]. - The report suggests that the gas sector will benefit from a combination of lower costs and improved demand, particularly for city gas companies, with recommendations for several key players in the market [34]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report notes that the public utility, power, gas, and environmental sectors underperformed relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of January 24 to January 30, 2026 [36]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - As of the end of 2025, the total installed power generation capacity in China reached 3.89 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with significant growth in solar and wind power installations [43]. - The report includes various company announcements, highlighting performance forecasts and operational updates from key players in the energy sector [44].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the utility sector, particularly for coal-fired power operators, with a recommendation to focus on quality transformation operators such as Huaneng International, Datang Power, Guodian Power, Huadian International, China Power, China Resources Power, and Funiu Co., Ltd. [7] Core Insights - The report highlights the importance of the capacity compensation mechanism in addressing the long-standing issue of fixed cost recovery in the coal-fired power sector. The implementation of a reliable capacity compensation mechanism is expected to resolve the dual pricing system between long-term contracts and spot market prices, leading to a more balanced electricity market. [2][5][7] - The report anticipates that by 2026, the national capacity supply-demand ratio will reach 84%-96%, with capacity prices ranging from 276 to 316 RMB/year·kW. This is expected to alleviate the downward pressure on long-term contract prices significantly. [7] - The report emphasizes that the introduction of the capacity compensation mechanism will decouple the fixed cost recovery from long-term contract pricing, thus allowing coal-fired power to return to being a public utility. [7] Summary by Sections Introduction - The report discusses the recent announcement by the National Development and Reform Commission regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism, which aims to unify various types of regulatory power sources under a new reform initiative. [18] Importance of Capacity Compensation Mechanism - The capacity price is designed to compensate for fixed costs associated with power plants, which include capital costs, fixed operating and maintenance costs, and taxes. This mechanism is crucial for ensuring that power companies can recover their fixed costs effectively. [21][22] International Examples and Domestic Innovations - The report references the PJM capacity market mechanism in the U.S. and the innovative capacity compensation mechanism trialed in Gansu Province, which aims to achieve near-full recovery of fixed costs. [6] Breaking the Profitability Dilemma - The report concludes that if the reliable capacity compensation mechanism is implemented nationwide, it will significantly reduce the profitability challenges faced by coal-fired power plants under the current dual pricing system. [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the public utility sector [6] Core Insights - The commercial model of the power sector is continuously transforming, with a reduced reliance on annual long-term contracts for electricity and prices. The sector is shifting towards mid-to-long-term markets, spot markets, and capacity markets, indicating a comprehensive push for marketization [19][3] - The capacity price mechanism is being refined, with the aim to optimize the electricity market and ensure fair compensation reflecting the contributions of different power plants to peak demand [15][3] - The report highlights the importance of capacity market development, with current subsidies in Gansu and Yunnan reaching 330 RMB/kW·year, which helps offset the decline in electricity prices [19][3] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The SW public utility sector index fell by 1.66% this week, ranking 16th among 31 SW sectors. In comparison, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.08%, while the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.44% and 1.62%, respectively [33][33] - Within sub-sectors, thermal power decreased by 2.78%, hydropower increased by 0.3%, while solar and wind power fell by 4.53% and 2.49%, respectively [33][33] Price Updates - Domestic and imported thermal coal prices have rebounded slightly, with domestic Qinhuangdao port 5500 kcal thermal coal rising by 4 RMB/ton, remaining below 700 RMB/ton. Imported coal prices also saw a slight increase [12][12] - The average clearing price for electricity in Shanxi and Guangdong has significantly increased due to cold weather, while the monthly agent purchase electricity costs are trending upwards due to rising capacity prices and the entry of renewable energy into the settlement cycle [13][12] Key Events - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a notice to improve the capacity price mechanism for power generation, which includes optimizing compensation for coal and gas power generation [3][15] - Recent policy changes include relaxing the annual long-term contract signing ratio for coal-fired power companies and the cancellation of time-of-use electricity pricing in multiple regions [3][15] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on national thermal power operators such as Huaneng International and Guodian Power, which are expected to maintain stable cash dividends. The profitability of thermal power is anticipated to gradually detach from coal cost dependency, shifting towards multiple influencing factors [19][3] - For long-term stable investment needs, the report recommends attention to companies like Yangtze Power, State Power Investment Corporation, and China National Nuclear Power [19][3]

证券研究报告 公用环保 发电侧容量电价新规基本符合预期 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 01 日│中国内地 动态点评 2026 年 1 月 30 日，国家发改委、国家能源局发布《关于完善发电侧容量电 价机制的通知》（发改价格〔2026〕114 号），各类电源容量电价机制完善 情况基本符合预期；抽蓄抽水、电网侧独立新型储能充电时视作用户，缴纳 上网环节线损费用和系统运行费用（全国平均约 1.6 和 6.1 分/千瓦时），充 放电量损耗需按照单一电量制用户缴纳输配电价（全国平均约 0.178 元/千 瓦时），此前各省执行情况不一，该要求一定程度或减少抽蓄和新型储能电 量收益。总体而言，容量电价机制的进一步完善有望提升调节电源的固定收 入占比，盈利稳定性有望提升，推荐火电龙头华能国际 AH/国电电力/华润 电力等、抽蓄运营龙头南网储能和装机增长潜力大的长江电力/湖北能源等。 煤电容量电价如期提升至不低于 165 元/千瓦，决定权下放至地方 "114 号文"提出：1）将通过容量电价回收煤电机组固定成本的比例提升 至不低于 50%，与 2023 年 11 月 8 日国家发改委、国家能源局发布的《关 于建立煤电容量电价机 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the power generation sector, including Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and China Power Investment, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [2]. Core Insights - The report discusses the recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism for power generation, aimed at addressing the challenges of the new energy transition and ensuring the development of regulating power sources [1]. - The notification highlights the need for a balanced approach to "new energy consumption, power security, and regulating power source profitability," which is crucial for the construction of a new power system [1]. - The report emphasizes the differentiated optimization of capacity pricing for four types of regulating power sources, including independent new energy storage and pumped storage, to ensure fair competition and adequate compensation for capacity [1]. Summary by Sections Capacity Price Mechanism - The notification introduces a differentiated capacity pricing mechanism for various regulating power sources, allowing local authorities to set prices based on factors such as coal power capacity standards and peak contribution [1]. - The policy aims to ensure that the capacity value of regulating power sources is adequately recognized and compensated, addressing previous issues of insufficient cost coverage [1]. Unified Compensation Mechanism - A key breakthrough in the notification is the establishment of a reliable capacity compensation mechanism that standardizes compensation across different types of power generation units, promoting rational investment and resource allocation [1]. - This mechanism aims to avoid inefficient resource allocation by linking compensation to the actual contribution of each unit to the power system [1]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies for investment based on their integrated operations and stable profit potential, including Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and China Huaneng [1]. - It also highlights the potential for hydropower companies to benefit from increased output and stable dividends, recommending companies like Yangtze Power and State Power Investment [1].

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 01 日 容量电价引导调节电源投资 精准定 价平稳收益 看好 ——《关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知》（发改价格 〔2026〕114 号）的点评 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - ⚫ 国家发展改革委、国家能源局联合印发《关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知》（发改价格〔2026〕 114 号，以下简称《通知》）。 ⚫ 应对新能源转型痛点，破解调节性电源发展瓶颈。本次容量电价机制完善的底层动因，源于新型电力系统 转型中的 "供需错配" 与现行机制的 "适配不足"。一方面，我国新能源已成 ...

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：600863证券简称：内蒙华电公告编号：临2026-006 债券代码：240364债券简称：23蒙电Y2 内蒙古蒙电华能热电股份有限公司 2025年销售量完成情况公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 根据上海证券交易所《上市公司自律监管指引第3号一一行业信息披露》要求，现将内蒙古蒙电华能热 电股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025年度主要经营数据公告如下： 一、电力 2.近期，公司全资子公司内蒙古北联电辉腾能源有限公司建设的察右中旗灵改配置新能源项目中全部15 万千瓦光伏已陆续并网发电。 3.上述数据为公司内部统计数据，可能与相关期间定期报告披露数据存在一定差异。 4.尾数差由四舍五入原因造成。 二、煤炭 公司2025年度煤炭产销量数据表： ■ 三、说明 2025年，公司发电量完成582.19亿千瓦时，较上年同期公告数据下降0.73%，较追溯调整后的上年同期 数据下降8.38%。公司上网电量完成540.75亿千瓦时，较上年同期公告数据下降0.41%， ...

2025年，受煤矿采区间生产接续影响，公司煤炭产量实现1,349.35万吨，同比减少6.58%。受煤价结算 价格下降及煤炭热值阶段性下降的综合影响，公司煤炭外销价格完成300.65元/吨（不含税），同比减 少101.56元/吨（不含税），同比下降25.25%，煤炭外销量实现588.80万吨，同比减少19.12%。 格隆汇1月30日丨内蒙华电(600863.SH)公布，2025年，公司发电量完成582.19亿千瓦时，较上年同期公 告数据下降0.73%，较追溯调整后的上年同期数据下降8.38%。公司上网电量完成540.75亿千瓦时，较上 年同期公告数据下降0.41%，较追溯调整后的上年同期数据下降8.32%。2025年公司全年发电量及上网 电量下降的主要原因为新能源装机容量持续增加，公司火电机组利用小时下降。市场化交易电量完成 527.61亿千瓦时，占上网电量比例为97.57%。公司平均售电单价完成333.10元/千千瓦时（不含税），较 上年同期公告数据下降0.97%，较追溯调整后的上年同期数据下降0.94%。 ...

证券代码：600863 证券简称：内蒙华电 公告编号：临 2026-006 债券代码：240364 债券简称：23 蒙电 Y2 内蒙古蒙电华能热电股份有限公司 2025 年销售量完成情况公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 根据上海证券交易所《上市公司自律监管指引第3号——行业信 息披露》要求，现将内蒙古蒙电华能热电股份有限公司（以下简称"公 司"）2025年度主要经营数据公告如下： 一、电力 | | 内蒙古聚达发电有限 责任公司 | 火电 | 53.83 | 58.58 | -8.11% | 49.17 | 53.73 | -8.49% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 内蒙古蒙达发电有限 | | | | | | | | | | 责任公司 | 火电 | 60.79 | 72.74 | -16.43% | 56.08 | 67.16 | -16.50% | | | 兴和县察尔湖海润生 态光伏发电有限公司 | 光伏 | 0. ...