（文章来源：证券时报网） 近日，君正集团(601216.SH)董事长乔振宇在参加中国共产党内蒙古自治区第十一届委员会第十一次全 体会议暨全区经济工作会议上表示，自治区党委"1571"工作部署为企业扎根内蒙古、服务国家战略指明 了路径。君正集团将把会议精神转化为实干行动，聚焦新能源、新材料等核心业务，通过延链、补链、 强链推动产业升级；坚持创新引领，持续加大研发投入，整合产学研资源推动成果转化，为新质生产力 发展注入核心动能；积极响应"生态优先绿色发展"要求，大力推进节能降碳改造，助力筑牢我国北方重 要生态安全屏障；积极对接全国统一大市场，优化供给、做优增量，为奋力书写中国式现代化内蒙古新 篇章贡献力量。 ...

Summary of Junzheng Group Conference Call Company Overview - Junzheng Group operates primarily in the energy chemical and chemical logistics sectors, being a leading player in the domestic calcium carbide and chlor-alkali industries with capacities of 2.4 million tons for calcium carbide, 800,000 tons for PVC, and 550,000 tons for caustic soda [4][5] - The company has also established a new industrial chain including 3 million tons of coking capacity, 550,000 tons of methanol, 300,000 tons of BDO, and 120,000 tons of PTMEG [4] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2026, Junzheng Group reported revenues of 12.6 billion yuan, with the energy chemical segment contributing 9.3 billion yuan and the chemical logistics segment contributing 3.4 billion yuan [2][5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.92 billion yuan, with 1.5 billion yuan from the energy chemical segment and slightly over 400 million yuan from the logistics segment [2][5] - The company has a strong dividend policy, having distributed a total of 14.5 billion yuan in dividends over 14 years, representing 45.7% of net profit [3][16] Cost Advantages - Junzheng Group benefits from significant cost advantages due to self-generated electricity, with 1,185 MW from thermal power and 450 MW from solar power, generating 9.1 billion kWh annually [2][6] - The depreciation costs for major production facilities have been completed, providing a cost advantage of over 100 yuan per ton of product [2][6] Industry Dynamics - New capacity for calcium carbide, PVC, and caustic soda is limited due to policy restrictions, with expected annual growth in PVC demand driven by strong export growth, particularly from India [2][8] - The chlor-alkali supply-demand situation is expected to improve, aided by a potential increase in real estate demand in the U.S. due to interest rate cuts [2][8] Environmental Policies - The dual carbon goals are impacting high-energy-consuming products like calcium carbide, with signs of production cuts in the BDO industry [9][10] - The trend towards mercury-free production in PVC is gaining traction, with Junzheng Group testing mercury-free catalysts since 2022, although this requires capital investment and may increase production costs [12][14] Future Investments - Junzheng Group signed a framework agreement for wind-solar hydrogen production with an initial investment of approximately 2.5 billion yuan [2][16] - The logistics segment plans to invest no more than 6.4 billion yuan to build 20 chemical tankers, expected to be completed between 2026 and 2027 [2][16] Market Outlook - The profitability of the industry is currently under pressure, with many PVC companies reporting losses as of November, although there are signs of price recovery in the commodity market [17]

Market Overview - The A-share market continues to show strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a 13-day winning streak, reaching a new 10-year high, and total trading volume of 2.83 trillion yuan [1][2] - Over 4,100 stocks rose, with 143 stocks hitting the daily limit up, indicating a broad market rally [1] Financial Sector - The financial sector experienced a significant surge, with major stocks like Huayin Securities and Huashan Securities hitting the daily limit up [1] - The Financial Technology ETF (159851) rose by 4.45%, marking its eighth consecutive day of gains, with a net subscription of 181 million units [1] - The top broker ETF (512000) surged by 4.07%, achieving the largest single-day increase since October 2025, with a trading volume of 3.393 billion yuan, a 146% increase from the previous day [1][2] Commodity Sector - The non-ferrous metals and chemical sectors also saw strong performance, with Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum reaching historical highs [1] - The Non-Ferrous Metals ETF (159876) rose over 4%, achieving a new listing high, with a net subscription of 39 million units [1][7] - The Chemical ETF (516020) increased by 3.38%, reaching a new high since September 2022, with over 350 million yuan in net inflows over the past five days [1][13] Aerospace and Defense Sector - The commercial aerospace sector saw a surge in stock prices, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] - The General Aviation ETF (159231) rose by 3.69%, achieving a new listing high, with a net subscription of 21 million units [1] Future Outlook - Huatai Securities expresses optimism for the spring market, suggesting that the technical model indicates a recovery phase for major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index entering a bullish zone [1] - The report recommends focusing on growth styles and themes related to domestic demand improvement as key investment strategies [1][6]

Group 1 - The chemical sector continues to show strong performance, with the Chemical ETF (516020) experiencing a maximum intraday increase of 3.83% and closing up 3.38% [1][8] - Key stocks in the sector include Junzheng Group, which surged by 9.48%, and other notable performers such as Xingfa Group and Hengli Petrochemical, both rising over 8% [1][8] - The basic chemical sector attracted significant capital inflow, with a net inflow of 12.4 billion yuan on the day, ranking second among 30 CITIC primary industries [11][12] Group 2 - The Chemical ETF (516020) has seen a total net subscription of 352 million yuan over the past five trading days, indicating strong investor interest [3][9] - PVC futures contracts rose over 3% in a single day, with a cumulative increase of over 15% since mid-December [10] - Analysts predict that by 2026, the petrochemical industry will undergo a supply-side clearing, leading to a recovery in demand for specific segments like PX and PTA [10] Group 3 - The valuation of the chemical sector remains reasonable, with the Chemical ETF's underlying index price-to-book ratio at 2.65, positioned at the 52.45 percentile over the past decade [10] - The chemical industry is currently at a cyclical bottom, with potential for recovery driven by demand stimulation policies and ongoing export growth [12] - The Chemical ETF (516020) provides an efficient way to invest in the sector, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks, allowing investors to capitalize on strong market trends [12]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.50% on January 6, with 30 industries experiencing gains, led by non-ferrous metals and non-bank financials, which increased by 4.26% and 3.73% respectively [1] - The basic chemical industry ranked third in terms of daily gains [1] - The communication industry saw the largest decline, dropping by 0.77% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital flow showed a net outflow of 1.033 billion yuan across both markets, with 17 industries experiencing net inflows [1] - The non-bank financial sector had the highest net inflow of 6.961 billion yuan, coinciding with its 3.73% increase [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector followed with a net inflow of 5.885 billion yuan and a daily increase of 4.26% [1] - Conversely, 14 industries faced net outflows, with the communication sector leading at a net outflow of 10.507 billion yuan, followed by the media sector with 4.144 billion yuan [1] Basic Chemical Industry Performance - The basic chemical industry increased by 3.12% with a net inflow of 0.954 billion yuan, comprising 408 stocks, of which 314 rose and 82 fell [2] - Notably, 18 stocks hit the daily limit up, while 205 stocks experienced net inflows, with 10 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 0.1 billion yuan [2] - The top three stocks by net inflow were Junzheng Group (0.419 billion yuan), Wanhua Chemical (0.307 billion yuan), and Zhongtai Chemical (0.205 billion yuan) [2] Top Gainers in Basic Chemical Industry - Junzheng Group: +9.48%, turnover rate 4.89%, net inflow 41.861 million yuan [3] - Wanhua Chemical: +7.27%, turnover rate 1.87%, net inflow 30.681 million yuan [3] - Zhongtai Chemical: +9.94%, turnover rate 4.15%, net inflow 20.513 million yuan [3] Top Losers in Basic Chemical Industry - Yilong Shares: +4.49%, turnover rate 4.05%, net outflow -46.719 million yuan [4] - Dongcai Technology: -2.86%, turnover rate 9.07%, net outflow -38.330 million yuan [4] - Guofeng New Materials: +1.62%, turnover rate 23.78%, net outflow -18.762 million yuan [4]

沪指1月6日上涨1.50%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有30个，涨幅居前的行业为有色金属、非银金 融，涨幅分别为4.26%、3.73%。基础化工行业位居今日涨幅榜第三。跌幅居前的行业为通信，跌幅分 别为0.77%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出10.33亿元，今日有17个行业主力资金净流入，非银金融行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨3.73%，全天净流入资金69.61亿元，其次是有色金属行业，日 涨幅为4.26%，净流入资金为58.85亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有14个，通信行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金105.07亿元，其次 是传媒行业，净流出资金为41.44亿元，净流出资金较多的还有机械设备、医药生物、电力设备等行 业。 基础化工行业今日上涨3.12%，全天主力资金净流入9.54亿元，该行业所属的个股共408只，今日上涨的 有314只，涨停的有18只；下跌的有82只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有205 只，其中，净流入资金超亿元的有10只，净流入资金居首的是君正集团，今日净流入资金4.19亿元，紧 随其后的是万华化学、中泰化学，净流入资金分别为3.07亿元 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - The chemical raw materials sector increased by 4.98% compared to the previous trading day, with Xinjiang Tianye leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4083.67, up 1.5%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14022.55, up 1.4% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Xinjiang Tianye (600075) closed at 5.47, up 10.06%, with a trading volume of 722,600 shares and a transaction value of 385 million [1] - Hydrogen Alkali Chemical (600618) closed at 13.18, up 10.02%, with a trading volume of 190,100 shares and a transaction value of 248 million [1] - Weiyuan Co. (600955) closed at 17.93, up 10.00%, with a trading volume of 129,500 shares and a transaction value of 228 million [1] - New Jinlu (000510) closed at 13.34, up 9.98%, with a trading volume of 740,700 shares and a transaction value of 953 million [1] - Binhu Chemical (601678) closed at 4.75, up 9.95%, with a trading volume of 1,181,400 shares and a transaction value of 544 million [1] Group 3: Capital Flow Analysis - The chemical raw materials sector saw a net inflow of 1.1 billion in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 462 million [2] - The main funds' net inflow for Junzheng Group (601216) was 367 million, accounting for 17.04% of its trading volume [3] - New Jinlu (000510) had a main funds' net inflow of 185 million, representing 19.37% of its trading volume [3]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector is experiencing a significant rally, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing strong performance and individual stocks within the sector also seeing substantial gains [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The chemical ETF (516020) opened with a rise and maintained high volatility, reaching a maximum intraday increase of 3.83% and closing up by 3.15% [1]. - Key stocks in the sector, such as Hengli Petrochemical, surged over 8%, while others like Xingfa Group, Kaisa Bio, and Junzheng Group increased by more than 7% [1]. - The basic chemical sector attracted significant capital, with a net inflow of 12.4 billion yuan on the day, ranking second among 30 major sectors [3]. Group 2: Price Movements and Profit Expectations - In late December, the price of paraxylene (PX) rose significantly, with futures increasing by over 800 yuan/ton and spot prices up by approximately 340 yuan/ton [3]. - The rise in PX prices is expected to enhance profit expectations for refining companies, leading to a bullish sentiment in the stock market [3]. - Major changes among leading companies during a period of industry downturn may present opportunities for recovery [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - China Galaxy Securities forecasts a negative growth in capital expenditure for the chemical industry in 2024, with supply-side contraction expected due to the "anti-involution" trend and the acceleration of the elimination of outdated capacity [3]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes expanding domestic demand, which, combined with the onset of a U.S. interest rate cut cycle, is anticipated to open up demand for chemical products [3]. - A dual bottom in supply and demand is expected to be established, with strong policy catalysts potentially leading to a cyclical upturn in the chemical industry by 2026, marking a transition from valuation recovery to earnings growth [3]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investors may consider the chemical ETF (516020) for efficient exposure to the sector, as it tracks the CSI sub-industry index and covers various segments of the chemical industry [4]. - Nearly 50% of the ETF's holdings are concentrated in large-cap leading stocks, such as Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Industry, providing opportunities for strong performance [4]. - The remaining 50% of the ETF's holdings include leading stocks in segments like phosphate fertilizers, fluorine chemicals, and nitrogen fertilizers, allowing for comprehensive investment in the chemical sector [4].

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector is experiencing significant gains, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a price increase of 3.15% as of the latest report, following a peak increase of 3.83% during the trading session [1][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - The chemical ETF (516020) opened with a strong upward trend and has maintained high volatility, reflecting the overall positive performance of the chemical sector [1][7]. - Key stocks in the sector, such as Hengli Petrochemical, surged over 8%, while others like Xingfa Group, Kasei Biotech, and Junzheng Group saw increases exceeding 7% [1][7]. Group 2: Capital Inflows - The basic chemical sector attracted substantial capital, with a net inflow of 12.469 billion yuan on the day, ranking second among 30 major sectors [9][10]. - Over the past 60 days, the basic chemical sector has accumulated a total net inflow of 236.9 billion yuan, placing it third among the 30 major sectors [9][10]. Group 3: Price Movements and Market Sentiment - In late December, the price of paraxylene (PX) increased significantly, with futures rising over 800 yuan per ton and spot prices up approximately 340 yuan per ton [10]. - Analysts from Dongfang Securities noted that the price increase of PX, a key product in integrated refining projects, has led to improved profit expectations for refining companies, thereby stimulating stock market activity [10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - China Galaxy Securities predicts a negative growth in capital expenditure for the chemical industry in 2024, with supply expected to contract due to the "anti-involution" trend and the accelerated elimination of outdated overseas capacities [11]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes expanding domestic demand, which, combined with the onset of a U.S. interest rate cut cycle, is expected to open up demand space for chemical products [11]. - The firm anticipates that the chemical industry may reach a cyclical turning point by 2026, transitioning from valuation recovery to earnings growth, referred to as a "Davis double play" [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the chemical industry is experiencing a recovery phase from a cyclical bottom, with chemical product price indices expected to stabilize and improve profitability as downstream companies replenish inventory [2] - The China Chemical Industry Association and the Phosphate Fertilizer Association held a meeting to ensure the supply of sulfuric acid resources for phosphate fertilizer production, stabilizing agricultural supply for the spring farming season [1] - Wanhua Chemical has continuously raised global prices for core products such as MDI and TDI since December 2025, in line with international giants like BASF and Dow, driven by industry-wide maintenance and rising raw material costs [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index account for 45.31% of the index, with major companies including Wanhua Chemical, Salt Lake Industry, and Hengli Petrochemical [2] - The chemical industry is seeing new growth engines from emerging applications in AI, OLED, and robotics, with semiconductor materials expanding due to demand from computing power [2] - The chemical ETF managed by Harvest (159129) closely tracks the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index, focusing on the new economic cycle amid the "anti-involution" backdrop [2][3]