化工"双碳" 政策擎双碳，化工领方向 glmszqdatemark [Table_Author] 分析师 许隽逸 执业证书： S0590524060003 邮箱： xujy@glms.com.cn 分析师 张玮航 执业证书： S0590524090003 邮箱： whzhang@glms.com.cn 分析师 陈律楼 执业证书： S0590524080002 | 邮箱： | llchen@glms.com.cn | | --- | --- | | 分析师 | 刘天其 | | 执业证书： S0590525120013 | | | 邮箱： | liutianqi@glms.com.cn | | 分析师 | 黄楷 | | 执业证书： S0590522090001 | | | 邮箱： | huangk@glms.com.cn | | 分析师 | 赵嘉卉 | | 执业证书： S0590525080001 | | | 邮箱： | jhzhao@glms.com.cn | | 研究助理 | 陈康迪 | | 执业证书： S0590124070044 | | | 邮箱： | chenkd@glms.com.cn | 相对走势 ...

# 影响：1政策持续推动PVC无汞催化剂替代，而无汞化改造需高额一次性资本开支，部分中小及高成本产能缺 乏资金实力完成改造，或将被迫退出市场，倒逼行业供应端收缩，进 政策加码PVC无汞化，或带来落后产能出清打开盈利修复空间【中泰建材&化工|孙颖团队】 # 事件： 生态环境部在添汞产品及用汞聚氨酯工艺管控公告答记者问上，明确表明各部门将协同加快PVC行业无 汞化转型，聚焦无汞催化剂研发攻关。 政策加码PVC无汞化，或带来落后产能出清打开盈利修复空间【中泰建材&化工|孙颖团队】 # 事件： 生态环境部在添汞产品及用汞聚氨酯工艺管控公告答记者问上，明确表明各部门将协同加快PVC行业无 汞化转型，聚焦无汞催化剂研发攻关。 # 相关标的： 中泰化学（260万吨）、新疆天业（134万吨）、 君正集团（80万吨）、氯碱化工（48万吨）、嘉化 能源（30万吨）、三友化工（52.5万吨）、凯立新材（PVC无汞催化剂龙头）。 # 影响：1政策持续推动PVC无汞催化剂替代，而无汞化改造需高额一次性资本开支，部分中小及高成本产能缺 乏资金实力完成改造，或将被迫退出市场，倒逼行业供应端收缩，进而优化整体供需格局、缓解过剩压力，促进 行 ...

【开源化工】氯碱行业推荐更新：水俣公约限制、氯碱行业亏损加剧、高能耗限制，多重因素加快氯碱落后产能 退出，行业迎来历史性新变化-0128 事件： 生态环境部强调要加快推动聚氯乙烯行业无汞化转型 据生态环境部1月26日消息，生态环境部固体废物与化学品司有关负责同志就《关于发布含汞电池等12种添汞产品 和使用含汞催化剂生产聚氨酯工艺管控要求的公告》答记者问时表示，我国将聚焦无汞催化剂研发攻关等关键环 节，加快推动聚氯乙 【开源化工】氯碱行业推荐更新：水俣公约限制、氯碱行业亏损加剧、高能耗限制，多重因素加快氯碱落后产能 退出，行业迎来历史性新变化-0128 事件： 生态环境部强调要加快推动聚氯乙烯行业无汞化转型 据生态环境部1月26日消息，生态环境部固体废物与化学品司有关负责同志就《关于发布含汞电池等12种添汞产品 和使用含汞催化剂生产聚氨酯工艺管控要求的公告》答记者问时表示，我国将聚焦无汞催化剂研发攻关等关键环 节，加快推动聚氯乙烯行业无汞化转型。 解读：水俣公约限制、氯碱行业亏损加剧、高能耗限制，多重因素加快氯碱落后产能退出，行业迎来历史性新变 化 1.什么是《关于汞的水俣公约》（以下简称《公约》）？ 《公约》 ...

基础化工 基础化工 2026 年 01 月 28 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 58% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 《降碳趋势下龙头企业有望充分受 益，氯化钾市场格局稳中偏强—行业 周报》-2026.1.25 《农药出口退税率取消或下调，行业 反内卷持续深化—农药行业点评报 告》-2026.1.17 水俣公约等多重因素加快氯碱落后产能退出，行业有 望迎来历史性新变化 ——行业点评报告 | 金益腾（分析师） | 宋梓荣（分析师） | | --- | --- | | jinyiteng@kysec.cn | songzirong@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520020002 | 证书编号：S0790525070002 | 事件：生态环境部强调要加快推动聚氯乙烯行业无汞化转型 据生态环境部 1 月 26 日消息，生态环境部固体废物与化学品司有关负责同志就 《关于发布含汞电池等 12 种添汞产品和使用含汞催化剂生产聚氨酯工艺管控要 求的公告》答记者问时表示，我国将聚焦无汞催化剂 ...

Core Viewpoint - The successful delivery of the "SC DIAMOND" marks a significant milestone in the collaboration between Junzheng Shipping and Wuchang Shipbuilding, enhancing Junzheng Shipping's position in the global liquid chemical transportation market [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - Junzheng Group's subsidiary, Junzheng Shipping, has entered a new phase of cooperation with Wuchang Shipbuilding, focusing on the construction of a fleet of 10 stainless steel chemical tankers, which will optimize the fleet structure and expand its market share [2][3]. - The "SC DIAMOND" is the first of the series of 10 vessels, equipped with advanced environmental protection and energy-saving systems, meeting the latest green shipping standards [2][3]. - Junzheng Group has established a global logistics network for liquid chemicals, controlling a fleet of 1.0881 million tons and 43,515 tanks, with joint operations of 166,500 cubic meters of storage tanks and two 50,000-ton chemical terminals by June 30, 2025 [1]. Group 2: Industry Context - The global trade of chemical products is on the rise, and the demand for green shipping is becoming increasingly stringent, positioning Junzheng Group to enhance its market standing in high-end liquid chemical logistics [4]. - Junzheng Shipping is recognized as a leading player in the liquid chemical shipping sector, having successfully transported hazardous liquids such as TDI, MDI, and PO, and is committed to optimizing fleet structure and operational management [2][3].

基础化工 基础化工 2026 年 01 月 28 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 58% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 《降碳趋势下龙头企业有望充分受 益，氯化钾市场格局稳中偏强—行业 周报》-2026.1.25 《涤纶长丝行业新一轮减产开启，草 铵膦供需向好、价格上涨—行业周报》 -2026.1.18 《农药出口退税率取消或下调，行业 反内卷持续深化—农药行业点评报 告》-2026.1.17 水俣公约等多重因素加快氯碱落后产能退出，行业有 望迎来历史性新变化 ——行业点评报告 | 金益腾（分析师） | 宋梓荣（分析师） | | --- | --- | | jinyiteng@kysec.cn | songzirong@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520020002 | 证书编号：S0790525070002 | 事件：生态环境部强调要加快推动聚氯乙烯行业无汞化转型 据生态环境部 1 月 26 日消息，生态环境部固体废物与化学品司有关负责同志就 《关于发布含汞电池等 12 种 ...

本报讯(记者马宇薇)在"双碳"目标与全球产业链重构的双重驱动下，中国民营企业正加速向科技创新要 动力、向绿色转型要空间。 1月27日，《证券日报》记者从内蒙古君正能源化工集团股份有限公司(以下简称"君正集团 （601216）")获悉，该公司正以创新工作室为核心载体，构建起"技术攻坚、人才集聚、生态共荣"的全 链条创新体系，让技术创新成为驱动企业高质量发展的第一引擎，为传统化工产业转型升级注入强劲动 能。 创新是君正集团立足市场、持续发展的核心密码，该公司通过顶层设计搭建起覆盖全产业链的创新平台 矩阵。目前，君正集团已建成1个内蒙古自治区级、3个乌海市级职工创新工作室，与2个内蒙古自治区 级企业研究开发中心、1个内蒙古自治区级企业技术中心高效联动、优势互补，形成多层级、全方位的 创新生态；公司打造"双轮驱动"机制，实现内部创新活力激发与外部智力资源引入的有机结合，持续激 活企业创新内生动力。 绿色发展理念始终贯穿君正集团产业实践全过程。君正集团在清洁能源与产业布局上持续向绿而行。一 方面完成落后产能置换升级，新建绿色低碳可降解塑料循环产业链、450MW光伏发电项目，布局风光 制氢一体化项目，构建起高效清洁、循环 ...

| 601001 | 晋控煤业 | -3.20 | 1.15 | -821.43 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603113 | 金能科技 | -3.06 | 2.14 | -808.77 | | 600117 | 西宁特钢 | -2.33 | 0.91 | -808.08 | | 600180 | 瑞茂通 | -1.61 | 1.61 | -633.76 | | 601225 | 陕西煤业 | -2.65 | 0.55 | -609.66 | | 000552 | 甘肃能化 | -2.46 | 1.84 | -593.07 | | 601101 | 昊华能源 | -2.44 | 0.96 | -567.01 | | 001286 | 陕西能源 | -1.51 | 1.28 | -556.15 | | 600348 | 华阳股份 | -1.28 | 1.71 | -492.85 | | 002535 | 林州重机 | -0.97 | 2.86 | -488.80 | | 600740 | 山西焦化 | -3.38 | 1.13 | -486.85 | | 002691 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The document discusses the potential increase in electricity prices for the calcium carbide and caustic soda industries in Shaanxi, China. This adjustment is viewed as a pilot policy for supply-side reform in high-energy-consuming industries during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1]. Core Insights and Arguments - The market interpretation of the electricity price adjustment has evolved, indicating that the implications extend beyond Shaanxi and are seen as part of a broader trend in supply-side reforms for high-energy industries [1]. - The logic of eliminating outdated production capacity driven by policy is being validated at the industry bottom, suggesting a significant shift in the market dynamics [1]. - Leading companies with cost advantages, such as those owning self-built power plants, are expected to achieve a revaluation of their worth as the industry landscape is reshaped [1]. Important but Overlooked Content - Specific companies to watch include Junzheng Group and Jiahua Energy, which possess self-built power plants or ethylene production processes, giving them a relative advantage amid potential cost increases [1].

Group 1 - A-shares showed mixed performance on January 19, with the Shanghai Composite Index performing strongly while the ChiNext Index experienced a pullback, and total trading volume in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing reached 2.73 trillion yuan, a significant decrease of 324.3 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][23] - The commercial aerospace sector received significant news with the successful validation of crewed spacecraft landing buffer technology, leading to a rise in the General Aviation ETF Huabao (159231) by 2.2% [1][10] - The chemical sector is entering an upward cycle as large-scale chemical products are at a dual turning point of capacity and inventory, with the Chemical ETF (516020) surging by 3.06%, reaching its highest closing price since August 2022 [1][5][30] Group 2 - The AI sector continues to attract substantial investment, with the ChiNext AI ETF Huabao (159363) seeing a net subscription of 322 million units on January 19, following a total of 1.679 billion yuan in net inflows over the previous five days [2][24] - The focus on the domestic AI industry chain is evident, as the Science and Technology Innovation AI ETF Huabao (589520) also experienced net inflows totaling 156 million yuan over the same period [2][24] Group 3 - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's GDP for 2025 is projected to be 14,018.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5%, marking the successful completion of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [4][26] - Analysts suggest that the market's risk appetite may improve following the release of macroeconomic data, with potential incremental policies expected to be introduced [4][26] - The chemical sector has shown strong performance since 2025, with the Chemical ETF (516020) index rising by 52.03%, significantly outperforming major A-share indices [5][29] Group 4 - The price of refrigerants has surged, with R507 and R404 reaching 46,000-49,000 yuan/ton and 43,000-45,000 yuan/ton respectively, reflecting increased overseas demand and tightened domestic supply [8][30] - The chemical industry is expected to experience a recovery in profitability and valuation in 2026, driven by supply-demand rebalancing and new production capabilities in AI computing and advanced manufacturing [8][30] Group 5 - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a rebound, supported by strong policy backing and improving industry trends, with significant investments in satellite technology and related fields [14][15] - The profitability of leading companies in the commercial aerospace index has shown improvement, with expected growth in earnings for 2026 [15]