智联全球产业 赋能美好生活 北京时间11月18日12点，随着南航CZ2582货机航班满载智利车厘子平稳降落在上海浦东国际机场，南航物流全新开通的上海浦东直飞圣地亚哥货机航线 圆满完成首航任务。作为南航首条南美货机直航航线，该航线同时也是目前中国大陆最长的货机直航航线，标志着南航国际化战略布局在南美市场取得突 破性进展。 01 南航冷链启航 在上海市海关、民航局、机场等单位的支持和指导下，该航线将联动圣地亚哥与上海两大枢纽，构建"空运+分拨"的综合物流服务体系，推动贸易合作从 单一商品运输，向仓储管理、区域配送、供应链金融等高附加值服务领域拓展，为本土企业参与中智双边贸易降低门槛、搭建平台，也为中智在绿色能 源、数字经济等新兴领域的国际合作筑牢物流支撑，进一步畅通中外经贸循环。 01 为中外合作注入新动能 智驱产业新变革 值得关注的是，南航物流于2025年10月正式运营南航冷链物流公司，该航线是其打造的首条车厘子专机航线。针对近年来持续升温的国际生鲜贸易需求， 南航冷链以"生态共建者"的定位，依托南航广泛覆盖全球航空网络，打造"物流+贸易+产业"三位一体生态闭环，重构全球生鲜价值链。 "未来南航将持续加密国际货 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - Crude oil freight rates initially declined but then increased, with a divergence in container shipping rates on long-distance routes. The China Import Crude Oil Composite Index (CTFI) rose to 2231.96 points, up 9.5% from November 6 [2][13] - Volant Aviation completed a multi-hundred million yuan Series B financing round, and the C919 aircraft made its debut at the Dubai Airshow [2][15] - Jitu Express reported over 100 million packages on "Double Eleven," marking a 9% year-on-year increase, with an average daily package volume of 94.59 million during the peak season [2][23] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates fluctuated, with the CTFI at 2231.96 points, a 9.5% increase from November 6. The VLCC market is optimistic about future rates due to tight vessel availability [2][13] - Volant Aviation's Series B financing was led by Huaying Capital, with existing shareholders also increasing their investments. The C919 aircraft is set to showcase its capabilities at the 2025 Dubai Airshow [2][15] - Jitu Express achieved a record-breaking package volume during "Double Eleven," with a total of 1.3938 billion packages collected nationwide from October 21 to November 11, reflecting a 17.8% increase in daily average volume [2][25] High-Frequency Dynamic Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year. The Shanghai outbound air freight price index was 5356.00 points, down 2.5% year-on-year [27][28] - Domestic freight flights increased by 0.32% year-on-year, while international flights rose by 11.12% [28] - The SCFI index reported a decrease of 2.92% week-on-week, while the CCFI index increased by 3.39% week-on-week [35] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing industrial products export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping Specialized, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [4] - Attention to the transportation demand increase driven by the construction of hydropower stations in the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream [4] - Investment opportunities in the low-altitude economy, with a recommendation for CITIC Offshore Helicopter [4] - Recommendations for highway and railway sectors, including Gansu Expressway and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway [4] - Opportunities in the cruise and ferry sectors, recommending Bohai Ferry and Straits Shares [4] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities, recommending SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda [4] - Investment opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending China National Aviation, Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [4]. Core Views - The transportation sector has shown a cumulative increase of 1.83% from November 10 to November 15, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which decreased by 1.08% [14][15]. - The recovery rates for domestic and international passenger traffic in major airlines and airports have significantly improved compared to 2019 levels, indicating a positive trend in the aviation sector [24][32]. - The shipping and logistics sectors are experiencing mixed performance, with container shipping indices showing a decline year-on-year, while oil and product tanker indices have increased significantly [36][47]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance Overview - The transportation industry ranked 13th among 31 sectors with a cumulative increase of 1.83% during the week [14]. - Sub-sectors such as ports (+7.44%) and airports (+5.28%) performed particularly well, while cross-border logistics (-1.37%) and road freight (-0.68%) faced declines [15][23]. Aviation and Airports - Major airlines in China have seen recovery rates for domestic Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) in September 2025 reach as high as 176.49% compared to the same month in 2019 [24]. - Key airports like Baiyun, Shanghai, and Capital have also shown strong recovery in passenger throughput, with rates of 125.22% and 115.87% for international traffic [32]. Shipping and Ports - The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) has decreased by 35.55% year-on-year, while the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) has shown a 23.97% decline [36]. - The CCFI for the East America route reported a decrease of 18.31% year-on-year, while the Mediterranean route saw a decline of 28.56% [36]. Road and Rail - Rail passenger turnover increased by 0.4% year-on-year, while freight volume rose by 4.24% [61]. - Road passenger traffic decreased by 3.82%, but freight volume increased by 5.20% [67]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector achieved a revenue of 127.37 billion yuan in September 2025, marking a 7.20% increase year-on-year [10]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards smaller packages driven by e-commerce, with a notable increase in business volume [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on airlines such as China National Aviation (601111.SH), Southern Airlines (600029.SH), and logistics companies like Huamao Logistics (603128.SH) for potential investment opportunities [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Huamao Logistics (603128) [1] Core Views - The company reported a decline in net profit for Q3 2025, with a net profit of 0.8 billion, down 53% year-on-year, primarily due to increased investments in overseas capabilities during the cultivation period, which has put short-term pressure on profits [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 137.2 billion, a decrease of 4.8% year-on-year, with Q3 revenue at 49.5 billion, down 14.9% year-on-year but up 3.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross profit for the first three quarters of 2025 was 12.8 billion, down 18.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 9.4%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [1] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2024A is 17,525 million, with a projected decline of 0.6% in 2025E, followed by growth of 9.1% in 2026E and 7.9% in 2027E [2] - The net profit forecast for 2024A is 539 million, with a significant projected decline of 27.0% in 2025E, followed by a recovery to 15.0% growth in 2026E and 14.8% in 2027E [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.41 in 2024A, decreasing to 0.30 in 2025E, and then gradually increasing to 0.35 in 2026E and 0.40 in 2027E [2] Business Development - The company is actively expanding its overseas logistics network, having established new overseas companies in countries such as Indonesia, Uzbekistan, and Saudi Arabia, in line with the "Belt and Road" initiative [6] - As of June 2025, the company has over 90 self-owned overseas points, covering major ports and core logistics cities across six continents, with more than 40 self-operated overseas warehouses totaling 800,000 square meters [6] - The company is enhancing its comprehensive logistics services, extending international air transport capabilities to overseas terminals and opening new shipping routes in East Africa, the Middle East, and Indonesia [6] Investment Suggestion - The report forecasts net profits of 3.9 billion, 4.5 billion, and 5.2 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.30, 0.35, and 0.40, and PE ratios of 21, 18, and 16 respectively [6] - The target price is set at 7.6 yuan, representing a 22% upside from the current price of 6.24 yuan, maintaining the "Recommendation" rating [2][6]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Huamao Logistics (603128) has shown fluctuations in trading volume and capital flow, with a notable decline in revenue and profit in recent quarterly reports, indicating potential challenges in the logistics sector [1][3]. Financial Performance - As of November 11, 2025, Huamao Logistics closed at 6.24 yuan, with a slight increase of 0.32% and a trading volume of 205,000 hands, resulting in a total transaction amount of 128 million yuan [1]. - In the third quarter of 2025, the company reported a main operating revenue of 4.948 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 79.03 million yuan, down 53.33% year-on-year [3]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the main operating revenue was 13.72 billion yuan, a decline of 4.84%, and the net profit was 307 million yuan, down 35.07% year-on-year [3]. Capital Flow Analysis - On November 11, 2025, the net outflow of main funds was 10.90 million yuan, accounting for 8.54% of the total transaction amount, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 12.63 million yuan, representing 9.88% of the total [1][2]. - Over the past five days, the stock has experienced varying levels of capital flow, with significant net outflows from main and speculative funds on several days [2]. Industry Comparison - Huamao Logistics has a total market value of 8.168 billion yuan, which is below the industry average of 17.511 billion yuan, ranking 22nd out of 54 companies in the logistics sector [3]. - The company's net profit margin stands at 2.38%, significantly lower than the industry average of 4.8%, placing it 30th in the industry ranking [3]. Analyst Ratings - In the last 90 days, three institutions have provided ratings for Huamao Logistics, with one buy rating and two hold ratings, and the average target price set at 6.8 yuan [4].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongyin Securities indicates that Huamao Logistics experienced a significant decline in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 35.07% to 307 million yuan, and a 53.33% drop in Q3 net profit to 79 million yuan. However, the company is expected to benefit from its internationalization and overseas warehouse strategies, maintaining an "overweight" rating [1]. Group 1 - Huamao Logistics' net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 was 307 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 35.07% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company's net profit was 79 million yuan, down 53.33% year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas warehouse construction and international layout, which may improve its operating environment following the U.S.-China trade negotiations [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, Huamao Logistics established new overseas companies in Indonesia, Uzbekistan, and Saudi Arabia, actively participating in the "Belt and Road" initiative [1] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had over 90 self-owned overseas locations, covering major ports and key logistics cities across six continents [1] - The company has developed comprehensive logistics service capabilities in key regions such as Southeast Asia, Central and South America, and Africa, making it one of the domestic logistics firms with the most extensive overseas network [1] Group 3 - Current investments in overseas warehouses and air transport channels are expected to gradually translate into long-term competitiveness and market share for the company [1] - Following the meeting between the U.S. and Chinese leaders on October 30, some consensus was reached on economic and trade issues, which may lead to an improved operating environment for the company's U.S. business [1] - The company's profitability is anticipated to recover in the future as a result of these developments [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company experienced a decline in revenue and profit in the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of RMB 13.72 billion, down 4.84% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 307 million, down 35.07% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was RMB 4.95 billion, down 14.95% year-on-year, and net profit was RMB 79 million, down 53.33% year-on-year. The report remains optimistic about the company's internationalization and overseas warehouse strategy [3][8] - The decline in profit is attributed to increased costs from air freight and ongoing investments in overseas warehouses. These investments, while pressuring short-term profits, reflect the company's strategic intent to expand its international network and enhance global service capabilities [8][5] - The company is expected to continue its overseas warehouse construction and international layout, with potential improvements in the operating environment following U.S.-China trade negotiations. The company has established over 90 self-owned overseas sites, covering major ports and logistics nodes across six continents [8][3] Financial Summary - For the years 2025-2027, the company’s projected net profits are RMB 402 million, RMB 452 million, and RMB 513 million, reflecting a year-on-year change of -25.4%, +12.3%, and +13.6% respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be RMB 0.31, RMB 0.35, and RMB 0.39, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 20.1, 17.9, and 15.8 [5][7] - The company’s revenue is projected to slightly increase from RMB 17.65 billion in 2025 to RMB 19.91 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 0.7%, 5.9%, and 6.5% for the respective years [7][10]

Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - Crude oil freight rates have decreased, and long-distance shipping rates have also declined. The China Import Crude Oil Composite Index (CTFI) reported 2037.91 points on November 6, down 16.0% from October 30. The VLCC market is seeing a gradual entry of cargoes for late November, with a balanced supply of available vessels [3][14] - The Yufeng Future M1 aircraft has received over 2 billion yuan in orders, with 200 units ordered from domestic and international clients. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has added the Chinese yuan as a settlement currency, expected to be operational by December 2025 [3][16][17] - China Post and COSCO Shipping have signed a strategic cooperation agreement, and ZTO Express has launched four new logistics hubs to enhance service efficiency during peak seasons [3][24][25] Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - **Air Cargo**: The Baltic Air Freight Index has increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year. The Shanghai outbound air freight price index was 5366.00 points, down 2.3% year-on-year but up 7.1% month-on-month [26] - **Shipping Ports**: The SCFI index reported 1495.10 points, down 3.59% week-on-week and down 35.88% year-on-year. The CCFI index was 1058.17 points, up 3.60% week-on-week but down 23.78% year-on-year [36] - **Express Logistics**: In September 2025, express delivery volume increased by 12.70% year-on-year, with revenue rising by 7.20%. Cumulative express delivery volume for the first nine months of 2025 reached 1450.8 billion pieces, up 17.20% year-on-year [48] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics. Attention is also drawn to Eastern Airlines Logistics and China Foreign Trade [5] - Opportunities in low-altitude economy investments are highlighted, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Investment opportunities in the highway and railway sectors are suggested, recommending Ganyue Expressway, Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway, and others [5] - The report also suggests investment opportunities in the cruise and ferry sectors, recommending Bohai Ferry and Straits Shares [5]

关于控股股东增持股份进展暨权益变动触及 1%刻度 的提示性公告 中国物流集团资本管理有限公司保证向本公司提供的信息真实、准确、 完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 证券代码：603128 证券简称：华贸物流 公告编号：2025-024 港中旅华贸国际物流股份有限公司 二、 权益变动触及 1%刻度的基本情况 本公司董事会及全体董事保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息 一致。 一、 信息披露义务人及其一致行动人的基本信息 1.身份类别 | | ☑控股股东/实际控制人及其一致行动人 | | --- | --- | | | □其他 5%以上大股东及其一致行动人 | | 投资者及其一致行动人的身份 | □合并口径第一大股东及其一致行动人（仅适用 | | | 于无控股股东、实际控制人） | | | □其他______________（请注明） | | 2.信息披露义务人信息 | | --- | | 信息披露义务人名称 | | 投资者身份 | 统一社会信用代码 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中国物流集团资本管 | □ | 控股股东/实控人 | 91110106MACEK4RG4N ☑ ...

Core Viewpoint - Huamao Logistics (603128.SH) announced that Capital Management Co., Ltd. has increased its shareholding in the company through centralized bidding transactions on November 5, 2025, acquiring 2.5757 million shares [1] Summary by Category - **Shareholding Increase** - Capital Management Co., Ltd. has acquired a total of 2.5757 million shares of Huamao Logistics [1]