截至发稿，闫冬累计任职时间6年319天，现任基金资产总规模217.96亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 456.3%， 任职期间最差基金回报-42.07%。 数据显示，鹏华基金旗下1只基金重仓晶科能源。鹏华科创板新能源ETF（588830）四季度增持330.13 万股，持有股数1290.54万股，占基金净值比例为6.3%，位居第一大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取 约438.78万元。 鹏华科创板新能源ETF（588830）成立日期2024年7月31日，最新规模11.55亿。今年以来收益16.42%， 同类排名426/5551；近一年收益59.88%，同类排名877/4285；成立以来收益70.22%。 鹏华科创板新能源ETF（588830）基金经理为闫冬。 1月29日，晶科能源涨5.12%，截至发稿，报6.98元/股，成交11.06亿元，换手率1.64%，总市值698.36亿 元。 资料显示，晶科能源股份有限公司位于上海市闵行区申长路1466弄1号晶科中心，成立日期2006年12月 13日，上市日期2022年1月26日，公司主营业务涉及太阳能光伏组件、电池片、硅片的研发、生产和销 售以及光伏技术的应用和产业化,并以 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the commercial aerospace industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the coming months [1]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry is expected to undergo a significant transformation by 2026, driven by advancements in launch capabilities and the successful deployment of domestic rockets, which will remove previous constraints on industry growth [8][9]. - The competition in commercial aerospace is fundamentally a "land grab" for space sovereignty and resource allocation, emphasizing the need for increased launch frequency to secure China's position in low Earth orbit [10]. - The report highlights the strategic importance of commercial aerospace in national defense and resource acquisition, particularly in the context of lunar resources like Helium-3, which could reshape global energy dynamics [12]. - Key catalysts for the industry include domestic policy support and capital market developments, with significant IPOs expected from leading aerospace companies in 2026 [13][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Why has the domestic commercial aerospace industry reached a qualitative change? - The industry has transitioned from a limited payload capacity to a robust launch capability, marked by the successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket, which signifies a shift from speculative themes to a narrative driven by operational capacity [8]. 2. How to understand the importance of commercial aerospace? - The scarcity of low Earth orbit resources has made the commercial aerospace race a critical national strategy, with the need to enhance launch frequency to secure space assets and maintain competitive advantages [10][11]. 3. What subsequent catalysts are worth paying attention to in commercial aerospace? 3.1. Domestic: Accelerated release of policy and capital dividends - The report anticipates significant policy support and capital market activity, with major aerospace companies expected to enter the IPO market in 2026, reflecting the strategic importance of the sector [13]. 3.2. International: Clear policy framework and tight planning timeline - The U.S. has shifted from a public to a private ownership model for space resources, establishing a legal framework that encourages commercial investment in space resource development [15][16]. 4. Investment Recommendations 4.1. SpaceX Concept - Companies that could potentially enter the SpaceX supply chain are highlighted, indicating a strong future in commercial aerospace [17]. 4.2. Rocket Sector: "Many Stars, Few Rockets" Expected to Breakthrough - The report suggests that advancements in large-capacity reusable rocket technology will lead to significant changes and valuation adjustments in the sector [19]. 4.3. Satellite Sector: Certainty in Implementation - The urgency to secure low Earth orbit resources is driving domestic satellite constellations from planning to large-scale deployment [20]. 4.4. Space Computing and Space Photovoltaics: Next-Generation Core Tracks - The report identifies space computing and space photovoltaics as critical future sectors, emphasizing their role in supporting lunar economies and global intelligence ecosystems [22].

经历过集体亏损至暗时刻的中国光伏，能否因马斯克的太空光伏计划开启新的产业叙事？ 太空光伏，正在改写中国光伏企业的"价值锚点"。作为全球光伏制造的主导力量，中国企业正成为马斯克太空能源蓝图中，不可回避的 供应链核心。 近日，A股市场掀起一轮"太空光伏"热潮，光伏板块整体仍在持续升温，延续强势行情。1月26日，润泽新能盘中触及20%涨停板并保持 封板状态，拓日新能、亚玛顿、协鑫集成、明阳智能等涨停。到1月28日，盘面开始分化，但光伏胶膜、BIPV等细分方向仍延续上涨趋 势。 这次引爆行情的直接触发点来自1月22日的达沃斯论坛：马斯克在会上公开表示，SpaceX与特斯拉正联手在美国建设年产能达200GW的 光伏生产基地，预计三年内投产，主要用于地面数据中心和太空AI卫星供电。根据估算，200GW的规划规模接近美国全国电力需求的四 分之一，如此宏大的规划，使得"太空光伏"这一原本偏研究层面的概念，被推向商业化叙事的前台。 一家光伏技术公司炎和科技创始人冯凡表示：" 当下资本市场对太空光伏的高预期并不异常，因为资本通常在技术萌芽期就介入，而不 是等成熟后再关注。AI和商业航天就是典型例子"。 市场的亢奋情绪背后，是昙花 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a deep reform to combat internal competition, with regulatory measures and policy adjustments reflecting a commitment to high-quality development. However, many companies are still facing significant losses, indicating that this battle is not a short-term fix but a necessary step to resolve structural issues within the industry [2][5]. Industry Performance - Major companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. and LONGi Green Energy are projected to incur substantial losses in 2025, with estimated net losses of 9 to 10 billion yuan and 6 to 6.5 billion yuan respectively. Other companies such as JA Solar, JinkoSolar, and Trina Solar are also expected to report significant losses, highlighting the severe challenges faced by the industry [2][3]. - The average gross margin for the entire industry is only 3.64%, with many companies trapped in a cycle of "production equals loss" due to oversupply and rising raw material costs [3][4]. Causes of Losses - The industry's performance crisis is primarily attributed to excessive homogenous production capacity and fierce price competition, compounded by soaring raw material costs. The supply of silicon materials is projected to exceed global demand by more than double over the next three years, leading to a significant imbalance [3][4]. - The price of silver, a key material in photovoltaic cells, has surged by 231% in 2025, pushing companies to adopt cost-cutting measures at the expense of technological innovation and quality [4][5]. Recommendations for Improvement - Companies must shift their focus from price competition to technological innovation and quality improvement, investing in advanced battery technologies such as TOPCon, BC, and ABC to enhance efficiency and reduce costs [4][6]. - The industry needs to establish self-regulatory standards to combat unfair competition practices, such as selling below cost and misrepresenting product capabilities, while promoting collaboration among companies to consolidate resources [4][6]. Government Role - Government policies and regulatory actions are crucial for supporting the industry's reform efforts. A unified and clear policy direction is necessary to stabilize market expectations and foster industry consensus [5][6]. - Regulatory bodies should enhance oversight on low-price dumping and set higher energy consumption and environmental standards for mature production stages, while also optimizing bidding rules to prioritize technology and quality over price [5][6]. Future Outlook - The photovoltaic industry is at a critical juncture, with the potential for recovery as companies begin to reduce losses and improve profitability. Analysts suggest that the industry may see a turning point in profitability by early 2026 [6][7]. - A collaborative effort between companies and government is essential to ensure that innovation becomes the cornerstone of industry development, allowing China to transition from a manufacturing hub to a center of innovation in the global energy transformation [7].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry in A-shares is facing significant losses, with many leading companies projecting substantial pre-loss figures for 2025 due to a challenging operating environment and supply-demand imbalances [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - Major PV companies are expected to report significant pre-loss figures for 2025, including Tongwei Co. with a projected loss of 9 to 10 billion yuan, LONGi Green Energy with 6 to 6.5 billion yuan, and JinkoSolar with 5.9 to 6.9 billion yuan [2]. - The overall operating environment remains difficult, with many companies experiencing nine consecutive quarters of losses since Q4 2023, driven by price declines and insufficient end-demand [3]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The PV module prices are under pressure due to "involutionary competition" and a lack of terminal demand, with market transaction prices around 0.6 yuan per watt expected in mid-2025 [3]. - The industry is witnessing a supply surplus, with production rates declining across various segments, while core material prices, such as silver, continue to rise [3]. Group 3: Recovery Efforts and Future Goals - Some companies are beginning to emerge from the loss cycle, with LONGi Green Energy projecting a maximum reduction in losses of 30.38% and Aiko Solar up to 77.44% compared to 2024 [4]. - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association noted a 16.9% year-on-year decline in revenue for the main industry chain in the first three quarters of 2025, but an improvement in gross margins to 3.64% [4]. - Several leading PV companies have set profit targets for 2026, with Trina Solar aiming for a net profit of no less than 200 million yuan and LONGi Green Energy targeting positive net profits in subsequent years [5].

隆基绿能分析称，2025年，光伏行业供需错配、低价内卷式竞争持续，开工率维持低位，同时国内电力 市场化改革不断深入，海外贸易壁垒持续加剧，导致了光伏企业经营环境严峻复杂。 不过，随着"反内卷"的持续深入，部分光伏企业正走出亏损"泥潭"——相较2024年，隆基绿能最高预计 减亏30.38%、爱旭股份最高减亏77.44%。 中国光伏行业协会名誉理事长王勃华此前公开指出，2025年前三季度，光伏主产业链环节营业收入同比 下降16.9%，但毛利率持续改善至3.64%，其中第三季度达5.61%，同时产能无序扩张得到有效控制。 此外，值得一提的是，虽然光伏行业整体仍深陷亏损的寒冬，多家光伏龙头近期在股权激励等方案中制 定了2026年利润转正的目标。 "预亏"成为各光伏企业2025年业绩预告单的关键词。 随着2025年业绩预告的陆续披露，A股光伏上市企业的经营状况已经逐步明晰。整体来看，第一财经记 者注意到，因受经营环境和行业供需影响，多数光伏企业仍延续亏损状态。 "预亏"成为各家业绩预告单的关键词。以出货量领先的头部企业为例，2025年，通威股份 （600438.SH）预亏90亿元至100亿元；隆基绿能（601012.S ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the latest developments in energy storage projects from leading companies such as CATL, BYD, EVE Energy, Haibo Sichuang, Trina Storage, and Jinko Solar, with a total scale exceeding 2.4 GWh [2] Group 1: CATL - CATL's Sivrihisar project in Turkey, with a capacity of 49.2 MWp solar and 34.1 MWh storage, is the first hybrid asset approved under the DGES framework in Turkey [4][6] - The project utilizes CATL's EnerC series liquid-cooled battery system, enhancing safety and cycle life while maintaining stable charging and discharging efficiency in Turkey's arid climate [6] Group 2: BYD - BYD has successfully implemented a 100 MW/200 MWh energy storage station in Hezhou, marking the city's first centralized shared energy storage facility [7] - Additionally, BYD partnered with ContourGlobal to establish a 500 MWh standalone battery energy storage system in Bulgaria, which is one of the largest independent storage projects in Eastern Europe [9] - BYD has delivered over 500 energy storage projects globally, covering more than 110 countries and regions [9] Group 3: EVE Energy - EVE Energy has launched a 628 Ah energy storage battery technology at the Guangzhou Baiyun comprehensive energy storage demonstration project [10] - The 628 Ah battery, named "Mr. Big," features a capacity of 2 kWh and a cycle life exceeding 12,000 times, with a strategic collaboration with the National New Energy Storage Innovation Center [12] Group 4: Haibo Sichuang - Haibo Sichuang's 343 MWh emergency power storage project for coal mines utilizes advanced liquid-cooled storage systems designed for harsh environments [13][14] - The project aims to ensure stable operation under extreme conditions and provide emergency power to critical loads in coal mines [14] Group 5: Trina Storage - Trina Storage has successfully delivered a 1.7 GWh energy storage project in the Asia-Pacific region, which is the company's largest overseas project to date [17] - The project employs Trina's Elementa 2 storage system, featuring AI bionic liquid cooling technology for stable operation across a wide temperature range [17] Group 6: Jinko Solar - Jinko Solar has completed a 10 MWh energy storage project in Handan, Hebei, utilizing two Blue Whale SunTera G2 liquid-cooled storage systems [19][21] - The project aims to reduce operational costs through peak-valley electricity price arbitrage and improve the reliability of power supply for local merchants [21] - Despite reporting significant losses, Jinko Solar emphasizes rapid growth in its energy storage business and the effectiveness of its solar-storage synergy [21]

国家知识产权局信息显示，浙江晶科能源有限公司取得一项名为"损伤深度检测方法、太阳能电池及其 生产线"的专利，授权公告号CN120992705B，申请日期为2025年10月。 天眼查资料显示，浙江晶科能源有限公司，成立于2006年，位于嘉兴市，是一家以从事电气机械和器材 制造业为主的企业。企业注册资本271434.298547万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，浙江晶科能源有 限公司共对外投资了9家企业，参与招投标项目97次，专利信息2673条，此外企业还拥有行政许可35 个。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 本文源自：市场资讯 作者：情报员 ...

企业作为市场主体，是反内卷的核心执行者，其自觉与努力决定着反内卷的实际成效，而当前全行业的 业绩困境，正是低价内卷叠加成本压力的集中恶果。2025年的光伏行业，鲜有企业能独善其身，从头部 龙头到细分领域玩家，业绩预亏成为行业常态，亏损规模与范围均创下历史新高—— 笔者认为，唯有企业筑牢自律自觉的根基，政府打出协同一致的政策组合拳，将反内卷坚持到底，才能 让光伏行业彻底走出低价厮杀的泥潭，回归技术创新与价值创造的核心赛道。 通威股份（600438.SH）预计2025年净亏损90亿~100亿元，隆基绿能（601012.SH）预亏60亿~65亿元， 两大龙头的巨亏直接折射出行业的严峻形势，其中隆基绿能明确提及四季度银浆、硅料成本大幅上涨进 一步推升了产品成本，加剧经营压力；晶澳科技（002459.SZ）、晶科能源（688223.SH）、天合光能 （688599.SH）归母净利润分别预亏45亿~48亿元、59亿~69亿元、超42亿元，组件赛道的价格战厮杀已 到白热化阶段，天合光能更坦言受硅料、银浆等原材料成本上涨影响，组件业务盈利能力同比下滑；硅 料龙头大全能源（688303.SH）持续亏损，虽三季度起硅料价格呈现恢 ...

转自：新华财经 紫金矿业"最赚钱" 周期股优势明显 数据显示，602家预计2025年实现盈利的公司中，紫金矿业以520亿元的预告净利上限居首，洛阳钼业以208亿元的预告净利上限紧随其后。 预告盈利规模前10位的上市公司还包括了立讯精密、牧原股份、药明康德、宝丰能源、上汽集团、盐湖股份、招商轮船和华友钴业。其中上汽集团预计净利 同比增长438%-558%，在10家公司中增速排名第一。而牧原股份预计同比净利下滑12.2%-17.79%，是10家公司中唯一一家预计净利出现下滑的公司。 从行业来看，盈利规模前10位公司中有3家有色金属行业公司，分别是紫金矿业、洛阳钼业和华友钴业，再加上化工行业的宝丰能源和盐湖股份，周期股占 比达到一半。 | 代码 名称 | | 净利下限(万元) 净利上限(万元) 增长下限 增长上限 | 浄利同比 浄利同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (%) | (%) | | 601899.SH 紫奈矿业 | 5,100,000.00 | 5,200,000.00 | 59.00 | 62.00 | | 603993.SH 洛阳钼亦 | 2 ...