Jinko Solar(688223)

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壹快评| “光伏春晚”落幕,产能出清前夜,三大现象值得警惕
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 07:14
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry must remain vigilant against potential technological devaluation and over-investment due to new technology spillover, as well as the risk of low-price competition being replicated in the energy storage sector [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The SNEC Shanghai Photovoltaic Exhibition showcased a significant number of companies presenting perovskite tandem cells/components and BC technology, indicating a trend towards embracing new technologies [2]. - Major companies like LONGi Green Energy, GCL-Poly, JinkoSolar, and others are investing heavily in upgrading their production lines, with costs reaching tens of millions of yuan per GW to maintain competitiveness [3]. - The exhibition saw a notable increase in foreign participation, with approximately 500,000 attendees, reflecting a growing international interest in the photovoltaic sector [5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The industry is experiencing a shift where the low-price competition model from the photovoltaic sector is being adopted in the energy storage market, leading to a significant drop in profit margins [4]. - The energy storage market is witnessing a trend of price reductions, with some products priced below $120 per KWh, which has decreased profit margins from 40% to 20-30% [4]. - Despite a perceived recovery in the market, the industry is still on the brink of capacity clearance, with production rates in the downstream component sector dropping below 50% [6]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - Regulatory bodies are actively seeking solutions to mitigate "involutionary competition" within the photovoltaic industry, indicating a proactive approach to industry challenges [6].
光伏三季度“减产令”升级!“反内卷”呼声再加大,低费率的光伏龙头ETF(516290)跌1.49%,光伏产业出清走到哪里了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 10:27
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese photovoltaic (PV) industry is facing a critical supply-side reform, with expectations of production cuts and stricter policies to curb below-cost sales, aiming to improve industry profitability and stability [3][4][5]. Industry Summary - A significant decline was observed in the A-share market on June 19, with a total trading volume of 1.28 trillion yuan and over 4,600 stocks falling [1]. - The photovoltaic sector, particularly low-fee ETFs, experienced a downturn, with the leading ETF (516290) dropping by 1.49% [1][6]. - Major companies in the PV sector, such as 阳光电源 (Sungrow Power), 德业股份 (Deye), and 晶澳科技 (JA Solar), reported declines exceeding 3% in their stock prices [6]. Production and Policy Changes - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association held a meeting focusing on "production limits to maintain prices," indicating a projected reduction in operating rates by 10%-15% in Q3 [2][3]. - A third-party audit group will conduct comprehensive audits to identify evidence of below-cost sales, with various measures planned against non-compliant companies [2][3]. Technological Advancements - The industry is witnessing a push for supply-side reform, with leading companies advocating for market-driven consolidation and technological upgrades to phase out outdated capacities [4][5]. - New technologies, such as TOPCon and perovskite, are gaining attention, with several companies showcasing advancements in efficiency and production capabilities at the SNEC conference [5]. Market Outlook - The PV sector is expected to experience a fundamental recovery, with signs of a potential turning point in market sentiment as production cuts and technological advancements take effect [7]. - The low-fee photovoltaic ETF (516290) is highlighted as a favorable investment option, with management fees significantly lower than the market average [7].
晶科能源谈“活起来”:650W组件产能占比越大,利润拐点到来越早
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-18 03:48
晶科能源CTO金浩、副总裁钱晶(从左至右) 出品 | 搜狐财经 作者 | 王泽红 "过去的180天,行业中的每个人都在问怎么"活下去",过去的8天,给我的启示是我们该思考怎么"活起来",寻找自己的节奏。" 2025 SNEC展前夕,晶科能 源董事长李仙德在官微如此致辞道。 自2024年遭遇凛冬时刻后,光伏行业寒冬还在延续,多家头部企业业绩承压,光储巨头晶科能源(688223.SH)也未能例外,从今年一季度数据看,也面临 营收与利润承压局面。 如何应对规模与利润平衡的挑战,已成为光伏企业的一道必答题,在2025 SNEC展前一天,搜狐财经等媒体对话晶科能源CTO金浩、副总裁钱晶,深度畅聊 了晶科能源"活起来"的背后逻辑。 "晶科今年的聚焦点非常明确,就是优化产能升级,加速高效产能的释放,而不是新增产能。" 钱晶强调到。 据钱晶所讲,对于产能的新增,无论是国内还是海外,晶科能源均非常谨慎。她认为,除技术之外,全球化能力是光储企业的第二支柱竞争力,海外布局是 一定要走的路,哪怕走的很艰难,而且越早经验教训积累的越多,企业的韧性就会越强。 按照此前披露的销售目标,晶科能源2025年组件出货预计在85-100GW。据钱 ...
晶科能源副总裁钱晶:当务之急是加速升级既有产线,沙特项目正推进中
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-18 02:09
Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on optimizing production capacity and upgrading its solar module lines, particularly with the introduction of the Tiger NEO 3.0 modules, which are expected to enhance efficiency and power output compared to previous generations [1][3][4]. Production Capacity and Upgrades - The upgrade cost for the new 3.0 module production line is estimated to be between 60 million to 70 million CNY per GW [1][3]. - By the end of this year, 40% to 50% of the company's solar module production capacity is expected to be upgraded to 640W to 650W, with the Tiger NEO 3.0 modules accounting for approximately 20% of this capacity [3][4]. - The Tiger NEO 3.0 modules can achieve a maximum power of 670W, with an efficiency of 24.8% and a bifacial rate of 85%, making them suitable for high-temperature and high-irradiance markets [3][4]. Market Position and Sales - The company anticipates a 10% premium on the pricing of the new high-power TOPCon products compared to previous models, with an expected price increase of 0.5 to 1 cent per watt [3]. - In 2024, the company achieved a solar module shipment of 92.87 GW, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.28%, with N-type modules making up 88% of the total shipments [5]. - The company has established partnerships with several overseas firms for the Tiger NEO 3.0 modules, marking the beginning of mass production and delivery [4]. Future Outlook - The company aims to increase the production capacity of the Tiger NEO 3.0 modules to 50% or more by next year [4]. - The energy storage business is also maturing, with a target of 6 GWh in system shipments for 2025, following over 1 GWh in shipments in 2024 [5]. - The ongoing supply-side reforms in the industry are expected to facilitate a more orderly market environment as some cross-industry solar companies exit competition [5].
新疆产业链白皮书:光伏篇:战略引领,产业腾飞
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-16 08:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the photovoltaic industry in Xinjiang, suggesting a "Buy" rating for investments in the sector. Core Insights - Xinjiang possesses unique advantages in solar energy resources, land availability, and supportive policies, facilitating the rapid development of a complete photovoltaic industry chain [2][3][4]. - The current phase of upstream overcapacity suggests a strategic focus on midstream high-efficiency manufacturing segments, which are expected to recover in valuation as construction accelerates [3][4]. - The "East Data West Computing" initiative and the expansion of green data centers in the region are expected to enhance local energy consumption and alleviate transmission bottlenecks, improving the economic viability of photovoltaic projects [3][4]. - The dual security value of energy and industry highlights Xinjiang's strategic importance in national clean energy initiatives, enhancing the resilience of China's renewable supply chain [3][4]. Summary by Sections Introduction - The global energy transition is accelerating, with a shift from fossil fuels to clean energy becoming irreversible. Photovoltaic power is a key player in this transition due to its zero carbon emissions and renewable nature [5][6]. Resource Endowment and Advantages of Xinjiang's Photovoltaic Industry - Xinjiang has abundant solar resources, with annual sunshine hours significantly exceeding the national average, making it a prime location for large-scale photovoltaic projects [7][9]. - The region's vast, flat, and largely unutilized land provides ideal conditions for the installation of photovoltaic systems, reducing development costs [13][14]. - Strong government policies at both national and local levels support the growth of the photovoltaic industry, ensuring resource optimization and sustainable development [16][17]. Current Development Status of Xinjiang's Photovoltaic Industry - Xinjiang is a major base for industrial silicon and polysilicon production, with significant contributions to national output [20][24]. - The midstream sector has seen advancements in the manufacturing of key components, such as monocrystalline silicon rods and photovoltaic modules, although capacity still lags behind demand [30][34]. - Large-scale photovoltaic projects have been established, with total installed capacity exceeding 56.66 million kilowatts, marking Xinjiang as a leader in clean energy production [38][40]. Key Companies and Projects - Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the polysilicon market, with a production capacity of 305,000 tons, positioning it among the top tier in the industry [46][49]. - New Special Energy Co., Ltd. focuses on polysilicon production and has expanded its capacity to 300,000 tons per year, while also exploring various operational models for renewable energy projects [57][59]. - Hoshine Silicon Industry Co., Ltd. is developing an integrated industrial park to enhance efficiency across the photovoltaic supply chain, contributing to the region's competitive edge [66].
晶科能源钱晶:下半年是光伏出清的关键节点,需加快优化产能升级
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-06-14 11:46
Core Viewpoint - In a market characterized by oversupply and intensified competition, photovoltaic companies are accelerating technological upgrades to escape homogeneous competition. JinkoSolar has introduced its new Tiger Neo 3.0 module, which boasts a production power of 670W and several advantages, including high bifaciality, low degradation, and excellent low-light response [2][4]. Company Strategy - JinkoSolar aims to optimize capacity upgrades this year, targeting an annual production capacity of over 40-50GW by year-end [2]. - The company plans to increase the proportion of its N-type technology capacity, with a goal for 20% of its products to achieve a power output of 650-670W and 40% to exceed 640W [4]. - JinkoSolar has set a shipment target of 85-100GW for the year and has a high level of order visibility, particularly in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific regions [5]. Globalization Efforts - JinkoSolar emphasizes its global capabilities, having established production bases in Southeast Asia and the U.S., and is planning a joint venture factory in Saudi Arabia [5][6]. - The company reported that nearly 57.8% of its component shipments and 68.6% of its sales revenue came from overseas in 2024 [6]. - JinkoSolar is implementing a Globalization 2.0 strategy, focusing on exporting technology, experience, and talent, alongside products and capacity [6]. Technological Advancements - The company’s TOPCon technology has achieved a mass production efficiency of 26.5%, with potential to reach over 32.5% in the future through advancements [6]. - JinkoSolar's CTO anticipates that TOPCon technology will dominate the evolution of photovoltaic technology in the coming years, with efficiency improvements expected to reach over 28% within three years [6].
效率不断突破 钙钛矿光伏电池产业化提速
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-13 21:23
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing intensified competition, with technological innovation and cost reduction becoming the main themes for development. Perovskite solar cells are seen as a crucial technology to break through the efficiency bottleneck of traditional photovoltaics, with significant investments from major companies in this area [1][3]. Industry Developments - Perovskite solar cells have advantages such as high photoelectric conversion efficiency, adjustable bandgap, and substantial cost reduction potential. The theoretical maximum efficiency for single-junction perovskite cells is 33%, while perovskite tandem cells could exceed 40% [1]. - Major companies like Longi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, GCL-Poly, and Trina Solar are actively investing in the research and development of perovskite-silicon tandem cells, transitioning from experimental to pilot production lines [1][2]. Company Strategies - Longi Green Energy has proposed a "dual-wheel drive" strategy focusing on innovation and collaboration, with significant investments in cutting-edge fields such as perovskite technology [2]. - Trina Solar anticipates that perovskite-silicon tandem cell technology will become mainstream, with expected efficiency improvements of 4 percentage points over current crystalline silicon cells [2]. - JinkoSolar is leveraging AI technology to accelerate the development of tandem cells, achieving an experimental efficiency of 34.22% for perovskite-silicon tandem cells [2]. Investment and Funding - Maiwei Co., a leading photovoltaic equipment manufacturer, plans to raise 1.967 billion yuan through convertible bonds for the industrialization of perovskite tandem solar cell equipment, reflecting the growing investment demand in this sector [3]. - GCL-Poly has initiated a 10 billion yuan perovskite industry fund and a 3 billion yuan perovskite equipment fund, indicating a comprehensive approach to commercializing perovskite technology [3]. Commercialization Outlook - Despite existing challenges in mass production, such as stability and cost reduction, there is a consensus that perovskite technology is the future of photovoltaics. Companies are accelerating the industrialization process through various models [3][4]. - The integration of perovskite with silicon cells is seen as a key development, with potential efficiency improvements of 50% and cost reductions of 20% compared to traditional components [4]. Policy Support - The Chinese government has introduced multiple policies to support the development of the perovskite solar cell industry, emphasizing the need to master new generation high-efficiency and low-cost photovoltaic technologies [5]. - The ongoing collaboration between leading companies and research institutions is expected to further enhance the commercialization prospects of perovskite solar cells [5].
江西“首富”李仙德,财富缩水超235亿
创业家· 2025-06-13 10:04
以下文章来源于侃见财经 ,作者侃见财经 侃见财经 . 看见不一样的财经! 光伏行业分化,已成大趋势。 来源:侃见财经 今年一季度如果说哪家光伏巨头的表现最让外界大跌眼镜,那么晶科能源一定"榜上有名"。 据财报显示,一季度晶科能源实现营收138.4亿,同比下滑40.03%,环比下降33.13%;实现 净利润-13.9亿,同比下滑218.2%,环比下降24.52%。相较于同样以组件作为主营业务的隆 基绿能,今年一季度分别实现营收和净利润136.5亿和-14.36亿,营收和净利润增速分别 为-22.75%和38.89%,虽然今年一季度隆基绿能没有走出亏损泥潭,但从净利润增速来看, 跟去年同期相比隆基绿能的亏损程度正在收窄。 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 本报告期比上 年同期增减变 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 动幅度(%) | | 营业收入 | 13,842,855,175.60 | 23,083,671,879.45 | -40.03 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润 | -1,389,713,611.93 | 1,175,724,471.33 | -218 ...
晶科能源:发布白皮书,TigerNeo组件降本增效显著
He Xun Wang· 2025-06-13 07:17
Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar has released a white paper showcasing the cost-reduction advantages of TOPCon technology, emphasizing its efficiency improvements and cost-saving potential in high-temperature and high-irradiation environments [1] Group 1: Technology and Cost Efficiency - The TOPCon technology enhances power generation efficiency and reduces costs through material minimization [1] - In desert-like high-temperature and high-irradiation environments, the TigerNeo module can reduce system initial investment and operational costs, lowering overall LCOE [1] - The white paper indicates that in such environments, the BOS cost per watt for the TigerNeo module decreases by 0.048 yuan, and the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for a 100MW power plant using this module drops by 4.73% [1] Group 2: Performance Metrics - The TigerNeo bifacial module has a bifaciality rate of 85%, surpassing the 55-65% of P-type BC modules [1] - The back-side generation contributes to a 3-5% increase in energy output over the module's lifecycle, enhancing system IRR [1] - The first-year degradation rate is less than 1%, ensuring stable output, and the TigerNeo 3.0 module has a power output of 670W [1] Group 3: Operational Cost Reduction - The white paper notes that the TigerNeo module's innovative design and structural optimization lead to reduced maintenance frequency in desert and tidal flat areas [1] - In high operational cost regions like the Middle East and North Africa, annual maintenance expenses for power plants are expected to decrease by 5-10%, further enhancing LCOE advantages [1] Group 4: Future Efficiency Potential - The current mass production efficiency of Jinko's TOPCon cells is 26.5%, with potential to achieve theoretical efficiencies above 32.5% through the integration of technologies like hidden busbars, providing further room for LCOE reduction [1] - JinkoSolar's Vice President, Qian Jing, stated that the essence of competition in the photovoltaic industry is cost, which relies on technology [1] - The company is accelerating the iteration of high-efficiency production capacity, with TOPCon modules increasing from 640W to 670W, and expects that by mid-next year, 50% of its production capacity will exceed 650W [1]
晶科能源再为TOPCon举旗 披露Tiger Neo组件度电成本优化路径
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 06:20
6月13日消息,在SNEC PV+第十八届(2025)国际太阳能光伏和智慧能源&储能及电池技术与装备(上 海)大会暨展览会期间,晶科能源联合多家权威机构共同发布《TOPCon技术及Tiger Neo 3.0商业方案 白皮书》。《白皮书》指出,TOPCon技术在提高发电效率的同时,也通过材料减量化、系统结构优化 等路径实现显著降本。在高温、高辐照地区,Tiger Neo组件凭借更优的温度系数、更高的双面率及更 低的衰减率,可有效压缩系统初始投资与运营期间的运维成本,从而降低整体LCOE(度电成本)。 晶科能源副总裁钱晶表示,光伏行业竞争的本质就是成本,降低成本除了规模降本增效以外,一定是靠 技术来实现的。今年晶科能源一个非常重要的工作就是高效产能的替换迭代要加速,主要是TOPCon组 件从640W到670W的加速,预计到明年中期,晶科50%产能将在650W以上。(刘丽丽) 责任编辑:杨赐 《白皮书》还提及,通过边框的创新设计与防积灰结构优化,Tiger Neo组件在沙漠及滩涂地区的维护 频次明显下降,预计在中东、北非等运维成本较高区域,电站年运维支出可下降5%-10%,进一步增强 其LCOE优势。 关于TOPC ...