风险提示：1.权益及固收市场环境转弱导致公司业绩出现下滑；2.股价短期波动风险；3.资本市场改革 的政策效果不及预期；4.超预期事件导致公司的盈利预测与实际经营业绩产生明显偏差 点评：1.受会计政策变更的影响，2025H 公司其他收入占比出现显著下降，经纪及投行业务净收入、利 息净收入、投资收益（含公允价值变动）占比出现提高。2.股基交易量增幅明显，持续推动机构经纪发 展，合并口径经纪业务手续费净收入同比+46.26%。3.股权、债权融资规模同步实现回升，合并口径投 行业务手续费净收入同比+73.02%。4.券商资管业务规模保持增长，合并口径资管业务手续费净收入同 比-47.89%。5.权益自营优化低波红利配置，固收自营取得稳健收益，合并口径投资收益（含公允价值 变动）同比+76.92%。6.两融余额小幅回落、市场份额维持高位，持续压降质押规模，合并口径利息净 收入同比-3.79%。 2025 年中报概况:国元证券2025 年上半年实现营业收入33.97 亿元，同比+41.60%；实现归母净利润 14.05 亿元，同比+40.44%；基本每股收益0.32 元，同比+39.13%；加权平均净资产收益率3.47% ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market's active trading has led to a collective positive performance among brokerage firms in their 2025 mid-year reports, with many reporting significant revenue and profit growth [2][3][12]. Group 1: Financial Performance - As of August 28, 2025, 14 listed brokerages have released their mid-year reports, primarily small and medium-sized firms [2]. - Among these, 10 brokerages, including Zheshang Securities, Dongwu Securities, and Guoyuan Securities, reported revenues exceeding 2 billion yuan, with net profits surpassing 1 billion yuan for six of them [2][4]. - Notably, Huaxi Securities experienced a net profit surge of 11 times, while Northeast Securities and Hualin Securities saw net profit growth of 2 times and over 1 time, respectively [2][7]. - In terms of revenue, Zheshang Securities, Dongwu Securities, and Guoyuan Securities achieved revenues of 6.107 billion yuan, 4.428 billion yuan, and 3.397 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 1.149 billion yuan, 1.932 billion yuan, and 1.405 billion yuan [5][6]. Group 2: Revenue and Profit Growth - All 14 listed brokerages reported a year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with Huaxi Securities, Northeast Securities, and Hualin Securities showing exceptional growth rates of 1195.02%, 225.90%, and 172.72%, respectively [7][8]. - Two brokerages reported a decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, while 12 brokerages achieved simultaneous growth in both metrics [9][10]. - The overall brokerage industry saw a significant increase in trading volume, with a 60.9% year-on-year rise, contributing to the revenue growth [12][14]. Group 3: Business Drivers - Brokerage and proprietary trading businesses emerged as the main drivers of revenue growth in the securities industry [13][14]. - Nine brokerages, including Huaxi Securities and Guoyuan Securities, reported a year-on-year increase in brokerage fee income exceeding 40% [14]. - Investment income also showed a positive trend, with several brokerages, including Dongwu Securities and Zheshang Securities, reporting over 100% growth in investment net income [16][19]. Group 4: Investment Banking and Asset Management - The investment banking sector showed signs of recovery, with 11 out of 14 brokerages reporting a year-on-year increase in investment banking fee income [20][21]. - However, asset management business has been a drag on performance, with only Dongwu Securities and Changcheng Securities reporting growth in asset management fee income [23][24]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The brokerage sector's investment value is gaining attention due to significant performance recovery, supported by favorable policies and capital influx [25]. - The industry is focusing on developing high-value-added businesses, particularly wealth management and institutional services, to enhance revenue stability and profitability [25].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market's active trading has led to a collective positive performance among brokerage firms in their 2025 mid-year reports, with many reporting significant revenue and profit growth [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - As of August 28, 2025, 14 listed brokerages have released their mid-year reports, primarily small and medium-sized firms [2]. - Ten brokerages, including Zheshang Securities, Dongwu Securities, and Guoyuan Securities, reported revenues exceeding 2 billion yuan, with six of them achieving net profits above 1 billion yuan [2][5]. - Twelve brokerages experienced both revenue and net profit growth compared to the same period last year, while two firms showed a decline in revenue but an increase in net profit [10][11]. - Notably, Huaxi Securities saw its net profit surge by 11 times, while Northeast Securities and Hualin Securities reported net profit increases of 2 times and over 1 time, respectively [2][9]. Group 2: Revenue and Profit Breakdown - The revenue and net profit figures for key brokerages in the first half of 2025 are as follows: - Zheshang Securities: Revenue 6.11 billion yuan, Net Profit 1.15 billion yuan [6][7]. - Dongwu Securities: Revenue 4.43 billion yuan, Net Profit 1.93 billion yuan [6][7]. - Guoyuan Securities: Revenue 3.40 billion yuan, Net Profit 1.40 billion yuan [6][7]. - Longcheng Securities and Huawan Securities both exceeded 2.8 billion yuan in revenue, with net profits of 1.39 billion yuan and 1.03 billion yuan, respectively [6][7]. - Four brokerages, including Xibu Securities and Dongxing Securities, reported revenues above 2 billion yuan but net profits below 900 million yuan [6][7]. Group 3: Business Drivers - The primary drivers of growth in the brokerage industry for the first half of 2025 were brokerage and proprietary trading businesses, with all 14 listed brokerages reporting a year-on-year increase in brokerage fee income [15][16]. - The stock trading volume increased by 60.9% year-on-year, contributing to the overall performance improvement [14]. - Brokerages like Huaxi Securities reported a 35.25% increase in brokerage and wealth management income, while investment income also saw significant growth [19][20]. Group 4: Investment and Asset Management - The investment business of brokerages generally showed growth, with only Northeast Securities and Hualin Securities reporting a decline in investment net income [17]. - Several brokerages, including Dongwu Securities and Zheshang Securities, reported investment net income growth exceeding 100% [18]. - However, the asset management business has been a drag on performance, with only Dongwu Securities and Longcheng Securities reporting growth in asset management fee income [24][25]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The recovery in brokerage performance, supported by favorable policies and funding, has attracted market attention to the investment value of the brokerage sector [26]. - The industry is focusing on developing high-value-added businesses, particularly wealth management and institutional services, to optimize revenue structure and enhance profitability stability [26].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Guoyuan Securities, indicating an expected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [6][29][36]. Core Views - Guoyuan Securities has demonstrated robust growth in self-operated business and overall operational performance, with significant increases in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 [6][8][29]. - The company has effectively seized market opportunities, accelerating its wealth management transformation and increasing the number of institutional client accounts [7][14][29]. - The report highlights a notable recovery in both equity and debt financing scales, with substantial growth in underwriting fees [16][17][29]. - Investment income, including fair value changes, has seen a remarkable increase, contributing to the overall stable growth in operational performance [24][29]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Guoyuan Securities achieved operating revenue of 3.397 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.405 billion yuan, up 40.44% [6][8][29]. - Basic earnings per share (EPS) reached 0.32 yuan, reflecting a 39.13% increase year-on-year [6][8][29]. - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 3.73%, an increase of 0.89 percentage points compared to the previous year [6][8][29]. Business Segments - The brokerage and investment banking segments have seen a significant rise in net income, with brokerage fees increasing by 46.26% year-on-year [12][14][29]. - The investment banking segment's net income from fees rose by 73.02%, driven by a substantial increase in equity financing activities [16][29]. - The asset management business, while maintaining growth, experienced a decline in net income from fees by 47.89% [21][29]. Investment Strategy - The company has optimized its equity self-operated investments by focusing on low-volatility dividend strategies, enhancing profit resilience [24][29]. - Fixed income self-operated investments have been dynamically adjusted to optimize duration and leverage, achieving stable returns [24][29]. - The report projects EPS for 2025 and 2026 to be 0.61 yuan and 0.65 yuan, respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) of 8.85 yuan and 9.22 yuan [29][34].

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of the securities industry in the first half of 2025 shows positive growth, with all 18 listed securities firms reporting net profit increases exceeding 20% [4][6][8]. Revenue Summary - Among the 18 listed securities firms, Zhejiang Securities reported the highest revenue at 6.107 billion yuan, followed by Dongwu Securities at 4.428 billion yuan and Guoyuan Securities at 3.397 billion yuan [5]. - The highest year-on-year revenue growth was seen in Huaxi Securities, with an increase of 46.72%, while Guoyuan Securities, Changcheng Securities, and Hu'an Securities also reported growth rates exceeding 40% [5][6]. - Four firms, including Zhejiang Securities and Xibu Securities, experienced revenue declines, with decreases of 23.66% and 16.23% respectively [5][6]. Net Profit Summary - Dongfang Caifu led in net profit with 5.567 billion yuan, while Dongwu Securities, Guoyuan Securities, and Changcheng Securities reported net profits of 1.932 billion yuan, 1.405 billion yuan, and 1.385 billion yuan respectively [6][7]. - All 18 firms reported net profit increases, with Huaxi Securities achieving a remarkable growth rate of 1195.02% [6][7]. - Other firms such as Guosheng Jinkong and Jinlong Co. also reported net profit growth rates exceeding 300% [7]. Industry Outlook - The securities industry is expected to maintain steady growth, driven by increased activity in wealth management and proprietary trading, as well as a slight improvement in investment banking pressures [8][9]. - The overall revenue for the securities sector is projected to increase by 5% in 2025, with net profit expected to rise by 9% [9][10]. - The market is transitioning to a slow bull market, indicating a shift in the pricing logic of securities from traditional trading to long-term value investments [10].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from Gongda Gaoke indicates a change in the representative responsible for the continuous supervision of the company by Guoyuan Securities, which is crucial for ensuring the proper use of raised funds from the IPO [1] Group 1 - Gongda Gaoke received a letter from Guoyuan Securities regarding the change of the representative for continuous supervision [1] - Guoyuan Securities has been the sponsor and continuous supervision institution since the company's IPO in 2021, with the supervision period ending on December 31, 2024 [1] - The original representatives for continuous supervision were Yuan Dajun and Xia Chuan, with Xia Chuan being replaced by Zhang Lingran due to work adjustments [1]

Group 1 - The company, Tongfeng Electronics, announced a change in its sponsor representative from Guoyuan Securities for its 2022 private placement project [1] - The original representatives, Zhang Zhengwei and Wang Kai, were responsible for the project and ongoing supervision [1] - Due to work arrangements, Zhang Zhengwei will no longer oversee the project, and Wang Hongyang has been appointed to continue the supervisory role [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Nanjing Light has become the exclusive supplier of backlight modules for the Switch2, showcasing significant performance elasticity and strategic transformation [1] - The company has expanded its focus from mobile phone backlight sources to high-value applications in industrial control, automotive, tablets, and laptops, achieving a breakthrough in ultra-thin backlight module technology [1] - The management's proactive approach since 2020 has led to the development of a 0.3mm ultra-thin light guide plate design, meeting the testing standards for Nintendo's new gaming console, with a yield rate exceeding 99.6% [1] Group 2 - The Switch2 has exceeded market expectations with global sales of 5.82 million units in its first month, significantly surpassing the 2.74 million units sold by Switch1 and breaking the PS5's first-month sales record [2] - Nintendo forecasts a global sales target of 15 million units for Switch2 in its first year, indicating strong demand and supply constraints in multiple countries [2] - The company is expected to benefit from the sustained growth of Switch2, with stable market share and pricing due to its unique technology and first-mover advantage [2] Group 3 - The investment recommendation suggests that the company will see significant performance elasticity by 2025, with strong growth momentum anticipated [3] - Projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 245 million, 394 million, and 462 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 1.1, 1.8, and 2.1 yuan [3] - The initial rating for the company is "Buy," reflecting confidence in its growth prospects [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the role of the securities industry in supporting national strategies and enhancing financial supply-side reforms, highlighting the integration of financial services with the real economy to promote China's modernization [1]. Group 1: Industry Development and Strategy - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) chairman Wu Qing stressed the importance of enhancing the professional service capabilities of industry institutions to support new productive forces and wealth management [2]. - Guoyuan Securities is focusing on both technology finance and inclusive finance, leveraging digital finance to improve professional service capabilities and accelerate the establishment of a first-class investment bank and investment institution [2]. Group 2: Technology Finance Initiatives - Guoyuan Securities is committed to exploring the integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation, launching the "Scientist Accompaniment Program" to provide comprehensive financial support for scientists' entrepreneurial ventures [3]. - As of June 2025, the program has successfully facilitated the industrialization of 23 cutting-edge technologies and invested over 2 billion in 57 new productive force projects, while also providing financing advisory services to 22 startups, resulting in over 300 million in financing [4]. Group 3: Investment and M&A Activities - Guoyuan Securities has established a dedicated M&A restructuring team focusing on strategic emerging industries and has completed over 400 service projects, including IPOs, refinancing, and M&A [4]. - The company is actively investing in key industries in Anhui, including partnerships with notable companies and potential IPO candidates [4]. Group 4: Wealth Management Transformation - The company is implementing a client-centered buy-side advisory model as a key initiative to enhance inclusive finance, aiming to provide comprehensive services throughout the client lifecycle [6]. - Guoyuan Securities is revamping its assessment system to align with the buy-side advisory model, focusing on metrics such as asset growth and client retention rather than commission-based income [6][7]. Group 5: Digital Finance and AI Integration - In 2024, Guoyuan Securities plans to develop an AI strategy, establishing a domestic intelligent computing platform and deploying various AI models to enhance digital financial capabilities [8]. - The company aims to apply AI technology across various business sectors, including investment banking and wealth management, to improve service efficiency and resource utilization [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the strategic initiatives of Guoyuan Securities in enhancing its professional service capabilities through technology finance and inclusive finance, aiming to build a leading investment bank and investment institution [1][2]. Group 1: Technology Finance Initiatives - Guoyuan Securities is focusing on the integration of technology innovation and industrial innovation, establishing a "scientist companion program" to provide comprehensive financial support for scientists' entrepreneurial ventures [2][3]. - As of June 2025, the "scientist companion program" has successfully facilitated the industrialization of 23 cutting-edge technologies and invested over 2 billion in 57 new productivity projects [3]. - The company has established a merger and acquisition restructuring team, focusing on strategic emerging industries and has completed over 400 service projects, including initial public offerings and bond financing [3]. Group 2: Inclusive Finance Strategy - Guoyuan Securities is implementing a buyer advisory model as a key initiative to enhance customer-centric financial services, aiming for a comprehensive service system covering all products and lifecycle stages [4][5]. - The company is restructuring its assessment system to align with the buyer advisory model, focusing on metrics such as asset growth and customer retention rather than commission-based income [4]. Group 3: Digital Finance Development - In 2024, Guoyuan Securities plans to build a domestic intelligent computing platform centered around Huawei Ascend chips, deploying various AI models to enhance digital financial capabilities [6][7]. - The company has already implemented digital capabilities in its operations, including the launch of the "Liao Yuan Intelligent Assistant" for efficient information retrieval and online services for institutional clients [6]. - By 2025, Guoyuan Securities aims to advance the application of large model technology across various business sectors, including investment banking and asset management [7].