证券研究报告 [Table_Page] 深度分析|公用事业 | | | 重申绿电重估行情，关注年报一季报业绩 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-03-22 [分析师： Table_Author]郭鹏 SAC 执证号：S0260514030003 SFC CE No. BNX688 021-38003655 guopeng@gf.com.cn 分析师： 郝兆升 SAC 执证号：S0260524070001 0755-82557403 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 03/25 06/25 08/25 10/25 01/26 03/26 公用事业 沪深300 haozhaosheng@gf.com.cn 请注意，郝兆升并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注 册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 1 / 31 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 972918116公共联系人2026-03-22 19:33:48 [Table_ 相关研究： DocRepor ...

Core Viewpoint - The electricity sector has shown strong performance since the beginning of the Year of the Rabbit, driven by policy reforms and improving fundamentals, indicating significant growth potential and investment opportunities in the sector [1][2]. Policy Developments - The State Grid Corporation plans to invest 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase compared to the previous plan [2]. - The State Council issued an implementation opinion to establish a unified national electricity market system by 2030, with full completion by 2035 [2]. - The new policy emphasizes a market-oriented approach to electricity pricing for various energy sources, including hydropower and nuclear power, which may enhance their revenue through mechanisms like green certificates and capacity pricing [2]. Profitability Improvements - The electricity sector is transitioning from a phase of declining prices and revenues to one of stable prices and increased income, with coal prices decreasing and capacity pricing mechanisms being implemented [2][3]. - Companies like Jinko Power and Jiantou Energy are forecasting significant profit increases for 2025, driven by lower coal prices and improved operational efficiencies [3]. Investment Opportunities - The electricity demand is shifting from traditional industries to residential and emerging sectors, with renewable energy sources like wind and solar expected to dominate new installations [4]. - The investment logic in the electricity sector is evolving towards growth driven by AI and energy transition, moving away from traditional cyclical patterns [4][5]. - Short-term investment opportunities include coal power and energy storage, while mid-term focuses on cross-regional trading and long-term on low-cost hydropower and nuclear power [5]. Sector Focus - The firepower sector should concentrate on the stability of earnings post-market reforms, while the hydropower sector should monitor hydrological data improvements during peak flood periods for performance expectations [5].

Market Overview - A-shares concluded February with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving three consecutive monthly gains, and daily trading volumes exceeding 1 trillion yuan have become the norm [1][20] - On February 27, the three major indices showed mixed results, with over 3,200 stocks rising and a total trading volume of 2.51 trillion yuan, slightly down by 504 billion yuan from the previous day [1][20] Sector Performance - The small metals sector surged, with rare earth prices continuing to rise, leading to a wave of limit-up stocks including Hunan Gold [21][23] - The chemical sector also performed well, with the chemical ETF achieving four consecutive daily gains, reaching its highest point since January 2022 [21][23] AI and Technology Impact - China's AI token usage surpassed that of the US for the first time, indicating a potential benefit for domestic computing power [21][29] - The cloud computing sector is entering a price increase cycle, with the big data ETF seeing a significant price increase [21][29] Electricity Sector - The electricity sector experienced a strong rally, with the electricity ETF rising by 2.64%, reaching a new high since its listing [2][26] - The demand for electricity is expected to increase due to the growth of AI, making it a defensive investment in the current market environment [2][29] Medical Sector - The largest medical ETF in the market saw a price increase of 1.14%, recovering its annual line, with significant net subscriptions in the previous days [2][29] - The medical sector is expected to benefit from the growth of the CXO model, with strong performance from companies like WuXi AppTec [12][29] Investment Recommendations - Focus on cyclical commodities such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and agricultural products, as well as sectors related to technology and national strength, such as military and new energy [22] - The medical sector is recommended for investment, particularly in areas like AI healthcare and medical devices, which are expected to see significant growth [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.39%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 1.04%. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.49 trillion yuan, a decrease of 50.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1]. Sector Summary Small Metals - The small metals sector showed renewed strength, with companies like Zhangyuan Tungsten and Xiamen Tungsten hitting the daily limit. Tungsten raw material prices have surged, exceeding 1,800 yuan per kilogram, leading to price increases in the tool industry [2][7]. - Post-Chinese New Year, stocks in the small metals sector have doubled in price, driven by their strategic attributes and supply-demand dynamics, which differ fundamentally from base metals [2]. Power Stocks - Power stocks showed resilience, with Ganneng Co. achieving three consecutive limit-ups. The sector is buoyed by a recent announcement from the National Energy Administration regarding the acceleration of the Renewable Energy Law revision and the development plan for renewable energy [2][3]. Computing Power Leasing - The computing power leasing sector was active, with companies like Cloud Tianli and Li Tong Electronics hitting the daily limit. The demand for AI models in China has surpassed that of the U.S. for the first time, indicating a shift towards productivity tools and intelligent agents [4][7]. - European cloud service providers have announced price increases due to rising costs, highlighting the current market trend of price hikes in computing power leasing and cloud services [4]. Individual Stock Performance - The market saw nearly 100 stocks hitting the daily limit, with only a few stocks declining significantly. YN Holdings achieved seven consecutive limit-ups, contributing to the active sentiment in the computing power leasing sector [6]. - The cyclical stocks also performed well, with Zhangyuan Tungsten and Jiangxi Tungsten Equipment recording five consecutive limit-ups, indicating a focus on price increase themes in the market [6]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a fluctuating upward trend, particularly driven by the strength in the metals sector. The ChiNext Index may continue to face pressure from computing hardware stocks, but the overall market structure remains stable [8].

Group 1 - The A-share power sector experienced a significant surge, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, indicating a strong market sentiment [1] - Key stocks that saw substantial gains include Jiawei New Energy (+19.91%), Nanguo Energy (+10.04%), and Fuling Power (+10.02%) [2] - The surge is attributed to increasing demand for AI computing power and the rising electricity consumption pressures from data centers [1][3] Group 2 - The U.S. government is planning to require major tech companies to bear the electricity costs for their high-energy data centers, aiming to alleviate pressure on the public power grid [3] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that from 2024 to 2030, the electricity consumption growth from data centers will account for nearly 50% of the total increase in U.S. electricity demand [3] - Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for global data center electricity demand growth from 175% to 220% by 2030, with a projected increase of 905 terawatt-hours [4] Group 3 - China is projected to surpass 10 trillion kilowatt-hours in total electricity consumption by 2025, maintaining its position as the world's largest electricity consumer [5] - The Chinese government is accelerating reforms in the electricity market, aiming for a unified national electricity market system by 2030 [5] - The increasing electricity demand driven by AI and data centers presents significant opportunities for domestic power equipment exports and ongoing high demand in the industry [6]

Group 1: Rare Earth and Tungsten Industry - The company is one of the six major rare earth groups in the country, having completed the integration of rare earth resources in Fujian Province [2] - The company possesses a complete tungsten industry chain, with significant competitive advantages in tungsten mining, smelting, powder, wire materials, and hard alloy deep processing [2] - The company is the first in China to develop and produce ITER filter tungsten probe components for nuclear fusion devices, capable of precision machining large-sized ITER-grade tungsten materials [2] Group 2: Data Center and AI Computing - The company is planning to acquire a stake in Xiantian Computing and aims to leverage it to acquire control of Zhengzhou Heying, which focuses on third-party large-scale data center operations [3] - The company is collaborating with Alibaba Cloud to jointly invest 15.8 billion yuan in building a cloud computing data center in Zhejiang [3] - The company has established a large data center in Xinjiang Hami, with a total computing power exceeding 80,000 P [3] Group 3: Power and Energy Sector - The company has acquired Honghe Power, a major thermal power plant in southern Yunnan, with a certified installed capacity of 1,300 MW [5] - The company is a leading player in the composite insulator market for high-voltage transmission lines, with a net profit growth of 177.52% year-on-year [5] - The company is expected to achieve a profit of 300 million to 360 million yuan by 2025, marking a turnaround from previous losses [5] Group 4: Semiconductor and AI Technology - The company has developed a low-code platform that integrates AI capabilities and has been applied in various sectors including power, aerospace, and manufacturing [4] - The company is a leading domestic player in crystal oscillators, with products applicable in optical communication and navigation systems [4] - The company has launched a series of AI products and is involved in the construction of AI computing centers across the country [4] Group 5: Renewable Energy and Materials - The company is a leader in the photovoltaic aluminum frame market, with a global market share exceeding 18% [5] - The company is investing 600 million yuan to build a project for producing 10,000 tons of iron phosphate battery precursor materials annually [8] - The company has established a comprehensive lithium battery supply chain, including mining, selection, and processing of lithium carbonate [8]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a collective pullback on February 27, with the electric power sector showing strong performance, particularly the green electricity ETF (562550) which rose by 2.26% [1] - Key stocks such as GCL-Poly Energy, Ganeng Co., and others reached their daily limit up, indicating robust investor interest in the sector [1] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that global data center electricity consumption will grow from 416 TWh in 2024 to 946 TWh by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 15% [1] Group 2 - AI data centers (AIDC) are expected to account for 80% of the new IT power consumption in data centers from 2024 to 2028, highlighting the significant impact of AI on energy demand [1] - According to Founder Securities, the AI boom is driving a surge in data center electricity usage, coupled with aging power equipment and supply shortages in the U.S., creating opportunities for domestic power equipment exports [1] - The electric grid is undergoing a new wave of upgrades due to the concentrated electricity demand from large-scale data centers, with the electric grid equipment ETF (159326) being the only one tracking the China Securities Electric Grid Equipment Index [1] Group 3 - National-level computing centers are required to achieve over 80% green electricity usage, positioning green electricity as a core support for overcoming energy bottlenecks in the AI industry [2] - The green electricity ETF (562550) is the largest in its index, tracking the China Securities Green Power Index, which includes clean energy companies as well as transitional energy sources like coal and nuclear power [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced slight adjustments on February 27, with the power sector showing strong performance, particularly in green energy ETFs, amid a significant increase in electricity consumption by global data centers driven by AI computing power [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The three major A-share indices saw minor adjustments, while the electric power sector rose against the trend [1]. - Green Energy ETF (562550) increased by 2.7%, and Public Utility ETF (159301) rose by 2.46% [1]. - Key stocks in the green energy ETF, including GCL-Poly Energy, Ganeng Co., Henan Energy, Huayin Electric Power, and Jinkai New Energy, reached their daily limit [1]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The global electricity consumption by data centers is projected to surge, with the IEA forecasting it to reach approximately 945 TWh by 2030, more than doubling from 415 TWh in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of about 15% from 2024 to 2030 [1]. - The "Special Action Plan for the Green and Low-Carbon Development of Data Centers" mandates that by the end of 2025, over 80% of the electricity used in newly built national hub data centers must come from green energy [1]. - The policy document from the Central Committee emphasizes carbon reduction targets and the development of a new energy system, indicating that companies in energy storage, wind power, and grid sectors are likely to benefit continuously from these directives [1].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a strong performance in the power sector, with several stocks hitting the daily limit up and others showing significant gains [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Companies such as Xiexin Energy Technology, Gan Energy, Henan Energy Holding, and Huayin Power have all reached the daily limit up of 10% [1] - Gansu Energy and Leshan Power have increased by over 7%, while Guang'an Aizhong has risen by over 6% [1] Group 2: Detailed Stock Data - Xiexin Energy Technology (002015) has a market cap of 23 billion and a year-to-date increase of 42.31% [2] - Gan Energy (000899) has a market cap of 14.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 47.58% [2] - Henan Energy Holding (001896) has a market cap of 20.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 156.54% [2] - Huayin Power (600744) has a market cap of 16.1 billion and a year-to-date increase of 35.03% [2] - Leshan Power (600644) has a market cap of 7.48 billion and a year-to-date increase of 32.72% [2] - Guang'an Aizhong (600979) has a market cap of 6.74 billion and a year-to-date increase of 21.64% [2] - Other notable companies include Mingxing Power, Electric Investment Green Energy, and Jinkong Power, all showing gains of over 4% [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a strong performance in the power sector, with several stocks hitting the daily limit up and others showing significant gains [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Companies such as Xiexin Energy Technology, Gan Energy, Henan Energy Holding, and Huayin Power all reached the daily limit up of 10% [1] - Gansu Energy and Leshan Power increased by over 7%, while Guang'an Aizhong rose by over 6% [1] - Other notable performers include Mingxing Power, Electric Investment Green Energy, Jinkong Power, and others, which all saw gains exceeding 4% [1] Group 2: Market Data - Xiexin Energy Technology (002015) had a market cap of 23 billion with a year-to-date increase of 42.31% [2] - Gan Energy (000899) reported a market cap of 14.3 billion and a year-to-date increase of 47.58% [2] - Henan Energy Holding (001896) had a market cap of 20.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 156.54% [2] - Huayin Power (600744) had a market cap of 16.1 billion with a year-to-date increase of 35.03% [2] - Other companies like Leshan Power, Guang'an Aizhong, and Jinkong Power also showed significant market caps and year-to-date performance [2]