Core Viewpoint - The communication industry is experiencing stable growth driven by advancements in AI and new infrastructure development, with significant increases in user scale for 5G, gigabit, and IoT services [1][2]. Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, China's telecommunications industry generated a total revenue of 905.5 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 1%, and a 9.3% increase when adjusted for last year's prices [1]. - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange's communication sector has 26 companies forecasting a combined net profit of 9.4 billion to 11.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [1]. Company Performance - Wuhan Guangxun Technology Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 323 million to 407 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a substantial year-on-year increase of 55% to 95% [2]. - Fujian StarNet RuiJie Communication Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 180 million to 240 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 43.81% to 91.75% year-on-year [2]. AI Impact - The AI wave is significantly driving growth in the communication sector, with companies like StarNet RuiJie reporting increased orders for data center switch products due to accelerated data center construction [3]. - The demand for AI computing power is expected to continue driving large-scale data center construction, becoming a primary growth engine for the industry [3]. Policy Support - Recent policies have created a favorable environment for the communication industry, including targeted support for 5G, gigabit networks, and AI-communication technology integration [5][6]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and other agencies have set a goal to establish a national data infrastructure by 2029, which will enhance the demand for computing and optical communication infrastructure [5][6]. Future Outlook - The integration of AI with communication technology is anticipated to create vast market opportunities, with companies positioned to benefit from ongoing digital transformation and infrastructure development [3][6]. - The optical module market for AI clusters is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach 12 billion USD by 2029 [4].

Group 1 - The company has begun mass shipments of 400G and 800G optical modules [1] - A full range of high-speed optical modules, including 1.6T, has been launched to meet various application scenarios [1] - The company is actively investing in the research and development of Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) related optical devices and connection solutions [1] Group 2 - The company is collaborating deeply with industry chain partners to promote the implementation of these technologies [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance and management of Changsheng Fund's Changsheng State-Owned Enterprise Reform Mixed Fund, which has seen a net asset increase of 5.72% to 386 million yuan as of June 30, 2025 [1] - The fund manager, Dai Yi, has a background in research and has held various positions within Changsheng Fund since 2010, currently managing multiple funds including the Changsheng Urbanization Theme Mixed Fund [1] - The fund's recent share scale changes indicate a total share of 0.02 billion with a net asset of 20 million yuan, reflecting a significant decrease in net asset value over recent periods [2] Group 2 - The fund's performance metrics show a 3-month return of 17.79%, a 1-year return of 34.88%, and a since inception return of -56.3%, indicating volatility and challenges in long-term performance [2] - The top ten stock holdings of the fund account for a combined 47.49% of the portfolio, with notable companies including Shengyi Technology and Huafeng Technology [2] - Changsheng Fund Management Co., Ltd. was established in March 1999 and is based in Shenzhen, with a registered capital of 206 million yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - Nine listed companies in the optical module sector have disclosed their performance forecasts for the first half of the year, with significant year-on-year profit increases, particularly for New Yisheng, which expects a nearly fourfold increase in net profit [1] Group 1: Company Performance - New Yisheng anticipates a net profit increase of 328%-385% year-on-year, with a quarterly increase of 35.22%-67.01% [2] - Ruijie Network expects a year-on-year profit increase of 160%-232% and a quarterly increase of 172.79%-275.30% [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang forecasts a net profit of 3.6 billion to 4.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 52.64%-86.57% [2] - Huagong Technology projects a net profit of 890 million to 950 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 42.43%-52.03% [2] - Guangxun Technology expects a net profit of 323 million to 407 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 55%-95% [2] - Xingwang Ruijie anticipates a net profit of 180 million to 240 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 43.81%-91.75% [2] - Cambridge Technology forecasts a net profit of 120 million to 128 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 50.12%-60.12% [2] - Guangku Technology expects a net profit of 48.56 million to 54.63 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 60%-80% [2] - Huilv Ecology anticipates a net profit of 36 million to 49 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 34.92%-83.64% [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The demand for high-speed optical modules has significantly increased, driven by the growth in data centers and AI technology [2] - Companies are benefiting from optimized product structures and increased customer demand in the computing power sector [2] - The overall performance of the optical module industry is being positively impacted by technological advancements and cost control measures [2]

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The overall growth in Q2 2025 still faces bottlenecks, but the performance improvement in emerging technologies and certain cyclical sectors is becoming clearer [2][11] - The pre-announcement of mid-year reports shows a pre-joy rate of 43.7% among 1,531 disclosed companies, lower than the past three years [11][12] - The cumulative profit growth for the entire A-share market and non-financial A-shares in the first half of the year is estimated at 1.0% and 1.2% respectively [11][12] Group 2: Industry Insights - Traditional economic sectors are improving slowly, with industrial enterprises experiencing a decline in accounts receivable turnover [3][12] - Emerging technologies are the main area for growth expectations, particularly in globally competitive industries [4][13] - Certain cyclical products, such as rare earths and small metals, are seeing price increases, while sectors like steel and construction materials are showing signs of performance improvement [4][13] Group 3: Company Focus - Guangxun Technology - Guangxun Technology's mid-year performance is expected to show a net profit of 3.23 to 4.07 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 55.00% to 95.00% [6][25] - The company has completed its stock incentive plan, which is expected to motivate employees and enhance future performance growth [7][25] - The target price for Guangxun Technology is maintained at 69.70 yuan, with a current price of 49.31 yuan, indicating a potential upside [25][26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1][36]. Core Insights - The communication industry has seen significant advancements with the release of Grok4 and Kimi K2, which are expected to enhance capabilities in various applications such as programming and robotics [3][15]. - The earnings forecasts for major players in the server, optical module, and copper connection sectors are promising, with notable year-on-year growth expected [5][16]. - The ongoing global competition in computing power is shifting from model training to service quality and competitive advantages, suggesting a robust outlook for investments in the sector [7][18]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The communication industry is rated as "Outperform," with expectations of exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1][36]. Industry Trends - Grok4, launched by xAI, boasts a tenfold improvement in reasoning capabilities compared to its predecessor, with applications in complex task execution and programming [3][14]. - Kimi K2, a new MoE model, has achieved state-of-the-art results in several foundational tests, indicating significant advancements in AI capabilities [4][15]. Earnings Forecasts - Industrial Fulian anticipates a net profit of 11.96-12.16 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.8%-39.1% [5][16]. - Other companies like Guangxun Technology and Huagong Technology also project substantial profit growth, with increases ranging from 30% to 95% year-on-year [5][16]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on both overseas and domestic computing power chains, highlighting companies such as Industrial Fulian and Huagong Technology as key players [8][19]. - The ongoing arms race in computing power is expected to yield numerous investment opportunities in the coming years, particularly in the context of domestic algorithm optimization [17][18]. Market Overview - The overall market showed positive performance during the week of July 7-11, 2025, with notable increases in various indices, including a 2.36% rise in the ChiNext Index [8][19]. - Specific sectors such as equipment manufacturers and IoT led the weekly gains, indicating strong investor interest [8][19].

资金流入比率方面，华工科技、光迅科技、震有科技等流入比率居前，主力资金净流入率分别为 9.33%、9.13%、8.80%。（数据宝） F5G概念资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅 | 今日换手率 | 主力资金流量（万 | 主力资金净流入比率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （%） | （%） | 元） | （%） | | 002281 | 光迅科 技 | 4.41 | 7.86 | 27215.85 | 9.13 | | 000988 | 华工科 技 | 5.07 | 5.60 | 25135.73 | 9.33 | | 300570 | 太辰光 | 8.96 | 15.98 | 17280.05 | 5.35 | | 301183 | 东田微 | 13.92 | 43.69 | 14224.28 | 8.16 | | 300548 | 长芯博 创 | 3.19 | 14.02 | 11403.33 | 3.87 | | 603083 | 剑桥科 技 | 1.52 | 23.75 | 10903.95 | 3.42 | | 002792 ...

截至7月15日收盘，液冷服务器概念上涨1.90%，位居概念板块涨幅第7，板块内，63股上涨，博汇股份 20%涨停，利欧股份涨停，方盛股份、润泽科技、欧陆通等涨幅居前，分别上涨10.31%、9.49%、 9.26%。跌幅居前的有龙蟠科技、双良节能、江苏雷利等，分别下跌6.08%、5.02%、2.27%。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中国AI 50 | 3.91 | 低辐射玻璃(Low-E) | -3.55 | | ERP概念 | 3.35 | 硅能源 | -2.85 | | 共封装光学(CPO) | 2.39 | POE胶膜 | -2.39 | | F5G概念 | 2.25 | 农村电商 | -2.37 | | 英伟达概念 | 2.02 | 煤炭概念 | -2.36 | | 华为盘古 | 1.92 | 赛马概念 | -2.24 | | 液冷服务器 | 1.90 | 超超临界发电 | -2.22 | | 同花顺果指数 | 1.85 | 光热发电 | -2.21 | | AI PC | 1.72 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Accelink Technologies is "Sell" with a target price of Rmb24.6, indicating an expected share price return of -46.7% [2][5]. Core Insights - Accelink Technologies expects a net profit growth of 55%-95% YoY for 1H25, with guidance of Rmb323 million to Rmb407 million, driven by strong optical transceiver demand and an improved product mix [1][4]. - The mid-point of the 2Q25 earnings guidance at Rmb215 million is slightly below expectations, suggesting potential downside risk to the share price, which is currently trading at a high valuation of 37x FY25 PE compared to peers at around high-teens [1][5]. - The valuation of Accelink is considered demanding due to lower profitability in the domestic transceiver market and relatively lower earnings growth compared to competitors like Innolight and Eoptolink [1][5]. Summary by Sections Earnings Guidance - For 2Q25, Accelink's net profit guidance is Rmb215 million, a 64% increase from Rmb131 million in 2Q24, while for 1H25, the guidance is Rmb365 million, a 75% increase from Rmb209 million in 1H24 [4]. Valuation - The target price of Rmb24.6 is based on a P/E multiple of 20.0x 2025E EPS, which is one standard deviation below the stock's five-year historical forward PER [5]. Market Capitalization - Accelink Technologies has a market capitalization of Rmb37,228 million (approximately US$5,196 million) [2].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the telecommunications industry, considering the sustained high prosperity of the sector driven by AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [2][5]. Core Insights - The overall market performance for the week (July 7-13, 2025) saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 1.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.78%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.36%. The telecommunications sector, represented by the Shenwan Communications Index, increased by 2.13% during the same period [2][11]. - Within the telecommunications sector, the highest increase was seen in the communication network equipment and devices, which rose by 4.16%, while the communication application value-added services had the lowest increase at 0.16% [2][14]. - Notable individual stock performances included Hengbao Co., which surged by 21.13%, followed by Changxin Bochuang at 19.84% and Shijia Photon at 14.85% [2][16]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The telecommunications sector is experiencing a high level of prosperity, with significant contributions from advancements in AI and 5.5G technologies, as well as satellite communications [2][3]. - The report highlights a strong performance in the telecommunications sector, with a notable increase in stock prices across various sub-sectors [2][11]. Sub-sector Performance - The communication network equipment and devices sub-sector led the gains with a 4.16% increase, while other sub-sectors also showed positive trends [2][14]. - The report indicates a general upward trend across the telecommunications sub-sectors during the week [2][15]. Individual Stock Highlights - Hengbao Co. led the stock performance with a 21.13% increase, indicating strong market interest and potential investment opportunities [2][16]. - Other notable performers included Changxin Bochuang and Shijia Photon, reflecting a robust market environment for telecommunications stocks [2][16]. Future Focus Areas - The report suggests focusing on the computing power industry chain, particularly the upstream optical chip segment and the module segment, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing demand for AI and computing power [3].